Yesterday's Recap:
1-1 -0.14 units
Overall Second Half (July 1st & After)
34-26-1 +17.41 Units
I have three so far today and am looking at a couple more......
StL Cardinals -107 Hou Astros
Risking 2.14 Units to Win 2.00 Units
I couldn't pass up this very low number at home with the Cards while they have a pitcher on the mound that loves the home cooking. Morris is 9-1 at home with an ERA of 1.70 and hitters are only clubbing a paultry .232 average against him. So far Vs. Houston this season he is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA. Plus the Cardinals bullpen had yesterday off and only threw fourteen pitches on Sunday. On the other side you have to wonder if Wade Miller is on the downward slide. He has given up fifteen earned in his last three starts. 5.12 ERA in June and a 5.61 ERA in July. So far this season Vs. the Cards he is 1-1 with 4.20 ERA. Love the small price tag on these divisional games with the home team.
Tor BJ's +144 Bos Red Sox
Risking 2.00 Units to Win 2.88 Units
This game is going to come down to the bullpens. The Red Sox bullpen is used up even with the day off yesterday. Check out these bullpen pitch counts:
Sunday - 106
Sat - 126 (Florie threw 61)
Fri - 38
Thurs - 130
Look for the Red Sox to go on a slide, no matter if they had three days off in a row it will take a good week plus to recover from the White Sox series in my opinion. David Cone has only gone past the 6th once so, either he gets tired and let's in runs or a tired pen comes in and let's in runs. Hamilton hasn't been that much of a starter, but I love the position the Jays have in this one. Although in July Hamilton is 2-0 with a 3.31 ERA. The key members of the Jays pen should be in position for this game. Mondesi looks to be out for this game, but at least Stewart came back strong last night and will be hitting in the three hole with Cruz Jr. leading off.
CWS Vs Cle Indians OVER 10 1/2 -107
Risking 2.14 Units to Win 2.00 Units
Absolutely love this spot for the Over. Lowe has been effective as a starter, but remember he was a middle reliever and has thrown 303 pitches in his last three starts and may hit the wall this evening against the big bats of the Indians. The White Sox pen has thrown 153 pitches over the last three games to boot, so they have that not so fresh feeling. Against the Indians this year Lowe is 1-1 with 6.00 ERA. Burba has been giving up runs this year as if they were a blue light special. In July he is 1-1 with a 6.61 ERA at home he is 5-3 with a 6.39 ERA, so he gives up a ton a runs and gets a ton of runs in support. Lefties are clubbing him at a .364 clip. Jerry Manuel has used their closer Bob Wickman three days in a row, so I doubt if we will see him this evening, and if we do expect a few runs off of him. May add a little more to this one as well, waiting on Alomar's availability.
Let's take the man down!!!
HC
1-1 -0.14 units
Overall Second Half (July 1st & After)
34-26-1 +17.41 Units
I have three so far today and am looking at a couple more......
StL Cardinals -107 Hou Astros
Risking 2.14 Units to Win 2.00 Units
I couldn't pass up this very low number at home with the Cards while they have a pitcher on the mound that loves the home cooking. Morris is 9-1 at home with an ERA of 1.70 and hitters are only clubbing a paultry .232 average against him. So far Vs. Houston this season he is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA. Plus the Cardinals bullpen had yesterday off and only threw fourteen pitches on Sunday. On the other side you have to wonder if Wade Miller is on the downward slide. He has given up fifteen earned in his last three starts. 5.12 ERA in June and a 5.61 ERA in July. So far this season Vs. the Cards he is 1-1 with 4.20 ERA. Love the small price tag on these divisional games with the home team.
Tor BJ's +144 Bos Red Sox
Risking 2.00 Units to Win 2.88 Units
This game is going to come down to the bullpens. The Red Sox bullpen is used up even with the day off yesterday. Check out these bullpen pitch counts:
Sunday - 106
Sat - 126 (Florie threw 61)
Fri - 38
Thurs - 130
Look for the Red Sox to go on a slide, no matter if they had three days off in a row it will take a good week plus to recover from the White Sox series in my opinion. David Cone has only gone past the 6th once so, either he gets tired and let's in runs or a tired pen comes in and let's in runs. Hamilton hasn't been that much of a starter, but I love the position the Jays have in this one. Although in July Hamilton is 2-0 with a 3.31 ERA. The key members of the Jays pen should be in position for this game. Mondesi looks to be out for this game, but at least Stewart came back strong last night and will be hitting in the three hole with Cruz Jr. leading off.
CWS Vs Cle Indians OVER 10 1/2 -107
Risking 2.14 Units to Win 2.00 Units
Absolutely love this spot for the Over. Lowe has been effective as a starter, but remember he was a middle reliever and has thrown 303 pitches in his last three starts and may hit the wall this evening against the big bats of the Indians. The White Sox pen has thrown 153 pitches over the last three games to boot, so they have that not so fresh feeling. Against the Indians this year Lowe is 1-1 with 6.00 ERA. Burba has been giving up runs this year as if they were a blue light special. In July he is 1-1 with a 6.61 ERA at home he is 5-3 with a 6.39 ERA, so he gives up a ton a runs and gets a ton of runs in support. Lefties are clubbing him at a .364 clip. Jerry Manuel has used their closer Bob Wickman three days in a row, so I doubt if we will see him this evening, and if we do expect a few runs off of him. May add a little more to this one as well, waiting on Alomar's availability.
Let's take the man down!!!
HC
