Masters Tournament - 87th Edition, Augusta National Golf Club, Augusta, Georgia

kickserv

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It looks like there could be some rain for this edition of The Masters, get ready for some delays. Hopefully the tourney ends on Sunday, I guess we will find out soon enough.
 

boomer1

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It looks like there could be some rain for this edition of The Masters, get ready for some delays. Hopefully the tourney ends on Sunday, I guess we will find out soon enough.

I so hate rain delays in golf. It makes betting so difficult when rounds have to be finished the next morning and the new rounds starts mid-day every day. Let’s hope they get all the rounds in on the scheduled day
 

Another Steve

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I always get excited for The Masters. I think this is Rory's to Win but Well you know. Have a friend who won the Lottery, he goes tomorrow. I lost out to his son in law. Draft at 5.

1ST ROUND LEADER - US MASTERS 2023 Jon Rahm +1600
1ST ROUND LEADER - US MASTERS 2023 Tony Finau +3000
1ST ROUND LEADER - US MASTERS 2023 Sung-Jae Im +3500
1ST ROUND LEADER - US MASTERS 2023 Corey Conners +4000
1ST ROUND LEADER - US MASTERS 2023 Tommy Fleetwood +4150
1ST ROUND LEADER - US MASTERS 2023 Min Woo Lee +4500
1ST ROUND LEADER - US MASTERS 2023 Tom Hoge +6500
1ST ROUND LEADER - US MASTERS 2023 Russell Henley +7500

US MASTERS 2023 – WINNER Rory McIlroy +625
US MASTERS 2023 - WINNER Xander Schauffele +2450
US MASTERS 2023 - WINNER Tony Finau +2300
US MASTERS 2023 - WINNER Viktor Hovland +4200
US MASTERS 2023 - WINNER Tommy Fleetwood +7250
US MASTERS 2023 - WINNER Min Woo Lee +7250
US MASTERS 2023 - WINNER Shane Lowry +7550
US MASTERS 2023 - WINNER Tom Hoge +13250
US MASTERS 2023 - WINNER Russell Henley +11250
 
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Another Steve

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1st Round
K Mitchell -130 (L Oosthuizen vrs K Mitchell)
S Im -110 (S Im vrs H Matsuyama)

A Noren -115 (A Noren vrs S Garcia) (Liked Pepper info, I'm Game)

Tournament
K Bradley -115 (L Oosthuizen vrs K Bradley)
B Langer -125 (B Langer vrs F Couples)
 
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no pepper

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TO WIN:
Hovland 33:1 (15/495)
Im 36:1 (10/360)
Rose 56:1 (10/560)
Ancer 100:1 (5/500)
Niemann 40:1 (10/400)


FRL:
Rose 43:1
Niemann 46:1
Min Woo Lee 46:1
Bradley 58:1
Kirk 70:1


TOURNEY MATCHUPS:
Ancer OVER Power 115/100
Willett OVER English 135/100
Woods OVER Garcia 165/150

FIRST ROUND:
Noren OVER Garcia 125/100
JT OVER Cam Young 130/100
Poston OVER English 125/100

Top 10:

Rose +360 (60/216)
Niemann +350 (25/88)


TOP LEFTY:
Harman +135 (50/68) Basically Harman vs. Bubba

I’m full on fading Sergio. Look at his Twitter, he was blowing out his son’s first bday candle and tossing grapes into his wifes’ mouth from 20 feet away on Sunday in Orlando. It’s a sign of gluttony, satisfaction, and that guy don’t care about golf practice no more. He made his mint, now he’s a family man and can’t even make hay with the LIV tour. Finished 45 out of 48, 17 strokes behind the winner. And that course was candy compared to the elongated Augusta National.

The good/bad news is he is playing Tiger in my book’s only tournament matchup (also offering Garcia vs. Noren in Round 1). Scary to back Tiger with rainy colder weather coming in with his overtaxed body. But hey, heart of the champion against a guy who spits in the cup. I’m in. GL fellas!
 

boomer1

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Outrights:

JT +1800
DJ +2200
Cantlay +1600 2x
Fleet 72-1
Day +2500 2x

Tournament:

Finau -125 Xander
JT-115 Jordan
Rahm +110 Rory
Rahm +110 Scottie
Day -150 Smith 3x
DJ -150 Smith 2x

good luck
 

lostinamerica

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Outrights YTD: 11-133 (-29.12*)
Matchups YTD: 1-4 (-3.83*)

I felt my capping efforts and my betting discipline had stayed fairly unruffled through the season as my disappointing weekends kept stacking up. But two straight winning Sundays have put a bounce in my step and given my season a much different feel, although the grind will return soon enough. Regardless, the Majors have been better than most for me over the years, so I can definitely live with a few too many plays for the sketchy conditions.


The Masters:

Outrights:

Xander Schauffele(22/1) e.w.
- - I’ve been seeing only a positive turn off Xander’s season opening back issues, and being on my watch list heading into the Match Play, he proceeded to tick the right boxes. His second best ever finish at his hometown Farmers event was of a piece. Being paired with Tiger is not a twist that leaves me jumping up and down, but since I sense Xander’s resilience is in a good spot for dealing with likely weather interruptions and mud balls and such, it is possible he draws inspiration from the pairing. Missing the cut here last year (which is also the case for Rose and Spieth) is an intangible I rate as a motivating circumstance at a place where course history matters (although I see that angle might be a money burning proposition at Augusta if 24 of the last 25 winners made the cut the year before). IMO his strength at dialing in flighted iron shots to pin high or to feed off slopes is in contrast to Rory’s swings that fire lasers that never leave the pin but are way off the mark from also being flighted for distance. The still twenty-something has no shortage of contending chances and even a few scalps in the biggest events, and I think being under the radar only helps his chances at bagging the major needed on his resume.

Justin Rose(55/1) e.w.
- - I was totally off Rose for at least two full years since Covid, especially exercising the discipline to stay away if the question was whether the forty-something would sustain and build on a hint of something exceptional in a prior outing. But I got an entirely different vibe about his game and his intangibles in this Ryder Cup year from watching his very brief on camera interview during the American Express coverage, and after playing him at 55/1 at Farmers, I was kicking myself twice for not riding with him at the start of Pebble Beach and then not jumping on him in-running before his Saturday 65. In the old days before so many e.w. places I would have made a futures play on Rose for the Masters back in January, and I’ve liked what I’ve seen since, up to and including his pass on the Match Play. If I could only have two plays this week, they would be Xander and Rose.

Jordan Spieth(16/1) e.w.
- - I think the chances of Spieth bagging this Masters are quite a bit more likely than the chances of Jason Day crossing the line.

Corey Conners(45/1) e.w.
- - This was definitely slotted as my 66/1 or even 80/1 longshot for the Masters. But then I went to capping Valero, and I concluded there was a good chance Conners was ready to pop early, so much so that he became my #1 play last week. No complaints now with his popping early, and now it’s become a happy situation where I rarely ever pick up a winning marker.

Brooks Koepka(40/1) e.w.
- - Link: https://www.golfmagic.com/liv-golf/r...buyers-remorse
- - Two weeks ago before the LIV event in Tucson, my eyes were squarely on Koepka as likely being my one and only choice of LIV players for the Masters, and that choice really wasn’t needing the attractive 66/1 odds that were looking to be available. But exactly like Conners, I was very much looking at Koepka popping a week early in Orlando, with the one big difference being I would not have bet a dime on anything having to do with the fucking LIV Tour even if someone else staked me to the dime. Koepka did pop early, and I’m left with only getting 40/1 on the LIV bastard. As much as I like picking winners in the major championships, I will not be pulling for Koepka on Sunday against about 95% of the non-LIV options. Gratuitously adding I am now so, so, so glad that Greg Norman pissed away all his chances to win the Masters and I won’t forever see his smug face on the grounds as a former champion until his corpse is rotting.

Collin Morikawa(25/1) e.w.
- - Had my eye on this guy for this spot ever since the 2023 lid lifter at Kapalua, and win or lose at that event would have offered reasons to solidify that opinion, and his play in the months since has never given me reason to question keeping him on my short list. I would prefer him if Augusta was playing hard and fast instead of long and soft, but maybe I’m proven wrong about that.

Sungjae Im(33/1) e.w.
- - Even if I don’t get a sense he’s the winner, I can’t deny I’ve seen something that appeals from his prior play at Augusta, and therefore see some bit of value in this play.

Jason Day(25/1) e.w.
- - I’ve been tracking him from Day 1 this year, and making multiple outright plays on him this season, and have almost certainly been tracking more of his holes and shots on the leaderboards than any other player this year. What I keep seeing are a few too many wildly loose shots, a few too many disappointing shots around the green, and a few too many poor quality putts to really believe this Masters will be his, but I am pulling as hard for him as anyone, so on the team he goes.

Hideki Matsuyama(40/1) e.w.
- - So I have learned that when Matsuyama is flashing signs that he is in a zone, that's the time when I need to consider him for a play. I thought there were signs he was coming to a boil before the Players, and he had that sparkling 64 there at his last outing before the Covid shutdown. He obliged my confidence with a raging Sunday charge before fading to a very fine solo 5th place, and I was keeping on him with a further play in the Match play. His committing to Valero after a WD in the Match Play just fueled my speculation he is close to his best and just trying to tidy up some things, and I will let him carry my cash again this week at the Masters, given my lack of options for longshot plays that I like better.

Cameron Young(28/1) e.w.
- - Looking down the board for something juicier, I considered Kitayama for Top American, and Meronk for Top European, Lowry given the forecast, and even Tom Hoge, but going with this as a more legitimate chance. There is a spark at the right time with new bagman Paul Tesori, and Cam says he likes the way he is putting rounds together. And while folks regularly talk about course correlations, I glom on to a correlation between the Masters and doing well in the Match Play event just two weeks earlier, when confronted with multiple opportunities to answer under the gun and down the stretch in high level and high stress situations you just can’t simulate at this level in your preparation.

Colin Morikawa(33/1) e.w. First Round Leader
- -

- - I’ve done a really poor job of reading the room if it is much the case that Cantlay, Finau, JT, DJ, Rory, Zalatoris, Hovland, Fleetwood, Cam Smith, and Hatton come away dominating the storylines after the first major of the 2023 season.


Matchups:

Morikawa(+110) Un71' First Round
Spieth(-120) Un71' First Round
Morikawa(+150) over Fitzpatrick/Zalatoris (Thursday)
Koepka(+120) over Woodland/Willett (Thursday)
Homa(+180) over Scheffler/Bennett (Thursday)
Young(+225) over Rahm/Thomas (Thursday)
Woods(-102) over Garcia (Tournament)
Spieth(+108) over Cantlay (Tournament)
Matsuyama(-115) over Fitzpatrick (Tournament)


GL
 

MadJack

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One bet for me. Jason Day at 25/1
 
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MadJack

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Posting after the tourney had started:flush:

#rulebreaker:em38:

Well, my player hadn't started and I got it in at my book before start. Don't count it then. :lol:

I judt looked and Day STILL hasn't started.
 

kickserv

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Well, my player hadn't started and I got it in at my book before start. Don't count it then. :lol:

I judt looked and Day STILL hasn't started.


Ok well I'll give you a pass then.......but you are on notice:s2:




And speaking of not started/started yet........one LIV golfer didn't even make it 10 holes......Kevin NA withdraws from the tournament after nine holes.
 
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