May 10

EXTRAPOLATER

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Feb 22, 2001
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7 lad@Pit
lad: decent edge bats but Pit's W/L vs L remains funky at 6-2 (4-2 home)
Pit: big edge BP, small edge SP so far but Lilly due to show something or hit the DL
Toss a coin; Monday's might hint at a solution.

7 phil@Flor
I was thinking, about a week ago--without knowing this was coming up--that this would be a beauty match-up to see.
Flor: small edge BP, small edge bats esp. lately & being home (9-4 H vs R as opposed to phil 5-4 road vs R...mostly lookin' at production and OPS, however)
SP's looking pretty even though Doc has been stellar since poor one--several games ago--while Josh ran into trouble in last vs Cards as the strike zone seemed difficult to find
Under, even at 6, is tempting. Maybe a 3, 1st5, if av. Need to see ump...should know soon. Marlins small also tempting, though fading Doc seems ridiculous despite the 100 or so games I've seen him pitch.

7 wash@Atl
wash: bring back Andre Dawson
Atl: big edge SP, medium edge BP & bats
Marquis' distorted #'s coming back to earth after thrshing in Philly; Hudson looked untouchable in last vs good, though slumping, brewers O and he has pretty wicked numbers vs nats, in 19 goes, including 1 this season.
Price ain't a surprise and I'll consider runline depending on unknowns.

8 cin@Hou
cin: medium edge SP & BP & bats (oh my)
Two SP's just faced off in last, where Bailey looked great--as in recent AAA rehab--while Myers looked brutal. Very tempting for reasonable price.

8 stl@Chc
stl: large edge bats
Chc: small edge BP as two pens are moving opposite directions, lately.
SP's pretty even, as Carpenter was looking pretty good early--despite no W's--but he's been hit more than usual lately. Zambrano's better pretty good and he can be real streaky.
Impossible call.

8 sd@Mil
sd: medium edge BP, hitting better lately but I think that most blind people are hitting better than Mil lately (no offense to any...nevermind...)
Mil: medium edge bats in a perfect world, large edge SP.
Richard has been decent but Marcum has been phenomenal and this is the type of squad he should be able to totally shut down.
Price (-163) maybe tolerable for a parlay, or maybe a runline might pay--need to see if O wakes up Monday.

8:4 nym@Col
nym: medium edge bats in this imperfect world, small edge BP with recent turn-aroundages
Col: medium edge SP with Hammel surprising, lately, while Pelfrey looks majorly unsafe to back.
Price on Rox is WAY to high, regardless of Monday's result. Over 9 is tempting but need to check ump, weather and Monday action.

10 ariz@Sf
ariz: medium edge bats
Sf: medium edge SP & BP
Impossible to buck the Freak esp. w/crappy opposing pen but price is insane considering SF's recent offensive production, not to mention Kennedy's fine work this season.
Under a 9, if it were offered, but 6.5 at -123 can kiss my ass.


Will do A.L. by Dec.21, 2012.
 
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EXTRAPOLATER

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7 seat@Balt
seat: medium edge SP--I'd say large but Arrieta has been better than expected while Pineda can't make it deep into games, small edge BP (neither impressive but M's been getting better, lately)
Balt: large edge bats, overall, though lateliness has both smelling rather funny.
Seems like coin-toss.
Can't touch a 7.5 total.

7 tb@Clev
tb: medium edge BP
Clev: small edge bats overall but reverse that for lately's; large edge SP as Tomlin has been overachieving while Sonnanstine will likely gather negative votes for A.L. Cy.
-130, Clev, is a little bit high for me.

7 kc@Nyy
kc: maybe with George Brett
Nyy: large edge SP & bats esp. at post-Ruth house, small edge BP
Price is not nice but runline might entice.

7 bost@Tor
bost: large edge SP
Tor: medium edge BP
Bats favour Tor, by the numbers vsL against sox facing R, but Lind has issues and club can't score lately to save their lives.
Lester is smoking (freakin share!, Jon!) while Drabek has been grim last few. Price (-147) looks about right as I have 'sox around 58%.
Under is tempting but too low, at 7.5, with Drabek's recent struggles, especially wildness.

8 oak@Tex
oak: medium edge BP, medium edge SP though Anderson has poor #'s vs while Lewis has good #'s vs, both including '011 meetings
Tex: large edge bats even with slumpage and non-Josh
Rangers tempting. Only mildly as Lewis ain't my favorite bitch.
Was thinking under until I saw an 8...?!?!?...it's 8.5 for Cahill-Wilson (with strong wind in from right) and 8 for Anderson-Lewis?!?! (wind in from right-center but not as strong as Monday's).

8 det@Min
det: small edge SP, no-no or no no-no, large edge bats
Min: small edge BP but both chewing swamp grass, esp. middle relief
I think that my sister could no-hit the White Sox lately, so I'm not terribly impressed, esp. the way that Liriano is balling more than striking. Prefer Porcello with his rejuvenated work, lately. Hard not to prefer that bats, too.
+119, here, is the best I can see, so far.

10 cws@Laa
Laa: large edge bats esp. w/their solid work vs L this season (only 6-5 vs (3-1 home) but team owns an .804 OPS vs L (cws .694 vs R)), medium+ edge BP
SP's I have even as Pineiro's ungodly (through 2) numbers should come back to earth while Danks has sputtered some lately.
Angels (-134ml/?rl) very tempting but need to see some Monday resultage before removing the safety.


Should be 15.
I hope I don't not like Mondays.
 
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EXTRAPOLATER

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Feb 22, 2001
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One more word, concerning phil@Flor.
Looks like Mark Carlson ump'ing.
Not a major factor.
Wind apparently blowing in from center at a semi-decent 11mph, at Landshark.
6 is still a tough move.
 
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