May 12 Thursday

[EXTRAPOLATER]

All extrapolations are subject to change without notice.

2:2 stl(Garcia-L)@Chc(Coleman)
stl: jumbo edge SP
Chc: small edge BP
Bats look even, by the #'s, though I think I'd take stl's most days of the week. Cubs preferring L again, though, as they totally did last year.
Arroyo@Coleman, in Chc last with him, opened at -125 for cin and if I can spot similar for v, here, then hoppy, barring Puj,Hol&Ber being kidnapped by aliens or something else going askew.
Methinks it will be offline if so.
Seeing cards app. 62%.

3:4 ariz(Hudson)@Sf(Cain)
ariz: medium edge bats
Sf: medium edge BP
Have the SP's bang-on even, at present, as Hudson showed in his last what made some gambler's itchy last year while Cain has been mildly deteriorating lately but still showing some promise of a possible break-out year.
d'backs if any kinda serious doggage but likely won't approach Tues & Wed's lines. Under possibility--haven't checked ump or wind--but it will be 7 max.
Actually got ariz 52%.

7 lad(Garland)@Pit(Morton)
lad: bring back Manny (please, no!)
Pit: medium edge BP
Have bats and SP's basically even. lad does another number on 'em, Wed, and will have to swing things somewhat but Morton exceeding my expectations while Garland seems more likely to pull a see-ya than Freddie Garcia. Garland also not going deep and lad middle relief really struggling.
Ugly game and likely similar line to Wed's.
Have Pit 54%.

7 wash(Zimmerman)@Atl(Lowe)
wash: at least you're not Leafs fans
Atl: medium edge SP & BP & bats
Atl flubbed it Tues (almost came back) but hard-throwing and achy Hanson shuts 'em down and I can see weebler Lowe frustrating 'em some more. Zimmerman too young to write off, and he's been decent past 2, but he can't seem to make it into the 7th and really not doing much with the 1st6, save for keeping the ball in the park (only 1 HR vs in 41.2...not really Atl's preferred method of scoring anywho, esp. at home).
Price will be insane as earlier in the series (-200?).
Have Atl at 65% plus or minus a frankie.


Going to submit (she has a whip) before doing the whopping A.L. board.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

12 tb(Shields)@Clev(Masterson)
tb: small edge SP & BP, both on the especially lately side.
Bats look comparable.
Never been a big fan of Shields but that's been changing lately; none of his numbers indicate much in the way of flawage this year. Masterson also exceeding expectations and I'm not sure what to make of that--Shields previous occassionally pounded made me disrespect him but otherwise he was reasonable while Masterson has really never been worth writing home about. I didn't touch Tues's coin-toss but like the price on Price and a tb touchdown might make me try 'em in the 3rd for close to even--neither team still getting much respect from books so they likely give us a coin-toss. Likely is, but Shields has been giving me a Juliette Lewis, lately, while the entire Tribe looks prime to fall from perch...perhaps.
Under an 8 (likely...7.5 if they're evil) might tempt, depending on ump, wind, George Noory's guest, as both pens have been decent. Shields has been untouchable in 2 day games this year while Masterson--like many SP's--has always had better numbers in day games.
Have tb 52% and stays put with loss but like the increase with Price embarrassment.

I don't think Moby Dick was that long.

certainly no pun int...nevermind...

7 seat(Vargas-L)@Balt(Britton-L)
seat: small edge bats, preferring L and they've faced a ton of them so far, tiny edge BP
Balt: medium edge SP
Not sold on Vargas but he's had his share of decency, including lately. Britton needs some more seasoning but seems to be a better risk than Tillman, say, so far. Very tough call and same no-respect thing for either club from the books, and likely the gamblers.
Have Balt 56%, swingage on that onion likely based on Wed's happenings.

7 kc(O'Sullivan)@Nyy(Nova)
kc: Bo Jackson?
Nyy: small edge SP, medium+ edge bats (in theory, at least), small edge BP
Yanks should start hitting again someday--esp. at home--but haven't for past week plus and them not tearing Kyle Davies a new you-know-what is only further evidence of flounderage. O'Sullivan is the type of pitcher that they could possibly destroy while kc's O has been descending and Nova maybe showing some signs of life, lately. Price might actually be "reasonable" (-150'ish?) but no value there except maybe to take the poundage (runline +100'ish maybe). Wind, etc cooperating and Yanks power edge might make it tempting.
Seeing Yanks circa 64%.


Small board.
game7--det@SJ, on the ice, should spice things up.


GL anon

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

some weather and line words as I apparently have to kill 47 minutes.

Medium wind out to center at Wrigley, but no total overnight as usual.
Decent chance of storms so they might not get this one in.

Medium wnd out to center in SF. Both pitchers good at keeping the ball in the park, though, esp. Hudson. Total of 7 is no fun with the crappy 'zona pen and Cain's uninspiring work lately. Ump Miller about even, unlike Wed's Cuzzi, who is a total under-ump which might help often-wild Sanchez.

Wind nothing major in other parks, but not supposed to be blowing out for Nyy, which doesn't benefit a runline. Pittsburgh and Cleveland might see rain.

d'backs (+133) and rays (+103) look appealing.
cards (-147) price a little much, but currently unavailable runline might tempt.
Totals looking beyond the scope of my sin.

GL