May 13 - lucky Fried, aye

[EXTRAPOLATER]

2:2 sf(Bumgarner-L)@Chc(Dempster)
sf: small+ edge SP, small edge BP
Chc: large edge bats as again preferring L; get 'em B2B days, too, though Garcia is making 'em sweat through 2
Bumgarner started to show some signs of life lately and BP one of sf's strengths this year so not turned on by this one. Dempster has been better past 2 but still looking like shit by overall numbers.
Cubs likely small faves. Unlikely play as mildly prefer giants but they travel far after H to d'backs while Cubs staying home to apparently lick their wounds.
Apparently Aramis Ramirez is flying home for family shiite and will miss this one.
Have Cubs a tentative 55%

7 flor(Volstad)@Wash(Gorzelanny-L)
flor: medium edge bats and BP
Wash: large edge SP, and maybe some mojo-filtering if they can take down Lowe for the sweep.
Never been sold on Gorzelanny but he's been great this season while fish ain't tearing up L like in '010 (OPS .717 and just 4-6 vs, 2-2 road).
Volstad still quite young but flashes of brilliance have been few and far between.
Nats even or doggie (pretty please) and I will need to take something to cure the temptation.
Have Nats 56%. Still the night game Thursday to swing howevas.

7 stl(Lohse)@Cin(Arroyo)
stl: medium edge SP and bats, though bats thing evens out by the Great American factor and the scheduling
BP's pretty even.
Not crazy about this one.
Have stl 54%.

7:3 phil(Hamels-L)@Atl(Beachy)
phil: medium edge bats; not sure on Heyward status for Thursday or the weekend but Hinske not the worse replacement possible
SP's and BP's pretty even.
Under, maybe, but likely a 7.
Have phil 52% pre-Thurs night go-nats situation but fading Beachy doesn't sound like a time at the beach.


Gonna see if the rays hold on before nexting.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

8 nym(Gee)@Hou(Norris)
nym: small edge bats; Wright out Thursday and who-knows for this one, medium edge BP
Hou: medium+ edge SP
Gee, I would like to see a decent line for the home squad. Hard to say as neither club garnering much respect. Had Norris pounded in his last (oops) and he wasn't that bad but this offense often does not show up. At least home while mets big travel and serious altitude change from Colorado.
Have Astros 57%.

8 pit(McDonald)@Mil(Gallardo)
pit: small edge BP as not too hot lately
Mil: medium edge bats & SP
Maybe Gallardo worked out whatevas before his last as he was phenomenal, while McDonald should get a farm, maybe.
This price will not be nice. RL depending on certain unknowns.
Have Mil 65%.

8:4 sd(Moseley)@Col(DLRosa-L)
sd: small edge bats, somehow, as sd hitting L much better than R (.738 OPS) and lately (.727 past week scoring 5 per game through their 6, vs Col .549 the past week scoring 2 per game for their 6)...Rox also dropped way down to .666 vs R (might be good luck), medium edge BP
Col: tiny edge SP, mostly based on history as DLRosa not great last couple (been great in 2 at home, though) while overachieving Moseley had 6 solid go's before finally getting thrashed in last, vs d'backs.
Big dog padres might tempt.
Under if at least 9, maybe, based on unknowns.
Have Col 51%.

10 ariz(Saunders-L...supposedly)@Lad(Kershaw-L)
ariz: medium edge bats but as unpredictable as Astros, in this regard, while facing Kershaw doesn't sound like fun, medium edge BP as seems to be improving, unlike pitiful Lad pen
Lad: jumbo edge SP if matchup is.
Line will be gross.
Have Lad 64%.


Be back in a bit.
Need to flip the Bananarama 33 1/3 I have spinnin'.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

7 seat(Fister)@Clev(Carmona)
Clev: medium edge SP, small edge BP, large edge bats with or without Sizemore
Injuns staying put, too, while m's have the night game at Balt before touring. Fister's unpredictable while Carmona seems to be pretty hot, lately, since a horrendous opener. Can't blame Indians for having trouble with this smokin' rays squad and a couple late tallies shows they won't roll over and die.
Line will be insane.
Have Clev 68% but still curious to see what happens at Camden. Runline, maybe, or a parlay if I have too much to drink.

7 kc(Hochevar)@Det(Verlander)
kc: small+ edge BP
Det: jumbo edge SP and major edge on current mojo-filtering
Bats even, by the numbers, but who's kidding who?
Royals 2-6 on the road vs R, by the by.
Verlander with good #'s vs in 16, including a 10-2 record.
This line could be the biggest. ouch.
Runline will see action by the public, which might include me.
Have Det 71%.

7 bost(Buchholz)@Nyy(Colon)
More HGH B.S.?...whatevas
Nyy: large edge bats, small+ edge BP
SP's pretty even, somehow.
Maybe over. Have to see wind, etc, not to mention if the Yanks get shut down by yet another unimpressive SP Thursday.
Have Nyy 61%

7 balt(Guthrie)@Tb(Hellickson)
Tb: small edge bats (large, lately), large edge BP, who you callin' Mojo?
SP's pretty even though inconsistent Guthrie has seen stock go down while Hellickson has been decent and has good numbers vs in 2, including his last go (was wild, but long layoff mighta been a factor)
Under was a thought but, fortunately, it has faded.
Rays for a good price (dream).
Have TB 64%


Will finish shortly.
I have to call back the Pentagon's cleaning lady first.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Boy...she can talk.
I wish I could speak Spanish.

8 laa(Weaver)@Tex(Ogando)
laa: small edge SP & BP
Tex: small edge bats, in theory (seem to be coming back to life while laa's O seems surpsingly unpathetic, IMO)
Both SP's with good numbers vs, both including '011's. Weaver only 2-4 @RBP, in 11, though he tossed a CG (1 earnie) their back in April. He's chilled past couple while Ogando with a long layoff due to blister probs. Very tough call. Under, maybe, but not a good time in this park and we won't see a 9.
Have Tex 52%. They'll need the BP, however.

8 tor(Romero-L)@Min(Pavano)
tor: large edge SP & BP, medium edge sticks which appear to be coming back to life...not sure about Lind, as of yet
Romero blew chunks in his last but should recover, and has good #'s vs in 4 including back in April.
Pavano with a few good games early but he has been pathetic lately. Every facet of this club seems brutal this season.
jays for a decent price
Have tor 62%

10 cws(Humber)@Oak(McCarthy)
cws: small edge SP, medium edge bats--another club who's O seems to be coming back to life
Oak: medium edge BP
I foresee a play on the white sox in my near future.
Gimme a good price.
Have cws 58%.


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[EXTRAPOLATER]

Looks like there might be value on the following, based on my hunt:

cardinals +112 small
Astros -102 sweet
padres +153 small
Yankees -115 medium
blue jays -108 large with possible bias
white sox +118 sweet

Should be decent prices for Injuns and Tigers RL's, but my book is currently hesitating to appease me.

Totals are totally beyond me, at present.


About that 3-day streak and back atcha...I lied.
3-winners is inevitable looking, even if the toolbox d'backs can't score half a run, but I'm doing better with status quo and ain't here to impress (or depress) anyone. Contributions, as is, will have to do. Pretty clear what I might doing, anywho.
You'll have to contact my accountant if you need to know if I'm up or down.
It's that cleaning lady I mentioned.
Let her know I'm sorry about the porcupine.


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I think Stevie Ray did a cool version of this, but youtube remains imperfect, and/or does my memory.