May 14

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EXTRAPOLATER

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Feb 22, 2001
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Toronto
Done pre-Friday's so my mind is subject to alteration.

1 flor(Sanchez)@Wash(Hernandez)
flor: large edge SP esp. w/great work vs incl. 1 in April, not to mention Livan 2 crappy vs this year, medium edge BP & bats
fish a smokin' 17-9 vs R (7-4 road)
wind supposedly right to left at 10mph; decent chance of rain
Have marlins 61%

1 phil(Blanton)@Atl(Jurrjens)
phil: wasn't Mike Schmidt the first player to sign for 1-million+ per year? sorta remember that...'81ish or so
Atl: jumbo edge SP, small edge bats, lately in particular
BP's comparable
wind out to right-center 11mph and chance for rain here, too
Not sure on Heyward--out of the lineup Fri.
Have Atl a possibly inflated 65%.

3 sd(Harang)@Col(Chacin)
sd: medium edge BP
Col: medium edge SP & bats; sd totally preferring L which they get Fri.; Col's offense hurtin' lately
pads only 9-18 vs R but most of that brutality is at home (4-12 home, 5-6 road)
Have Col 60%.

4 nym(Dickey)@Hou(Happ-L)
nym: medium edge BP
Bats even due to nym's poor work vs L (.686 OPS vs .724 vs R). SP's unattractively even.
mets actually 7-3 vs L (3-0 road)...just checked out their last 3 vs L--lost at home to Kershaw 4-2, beat J.Sanchez at home 5-2 and had Young over Phils' Lee at Cit bank. They're beatin' L but likely need some decent pitching to do so. Not that Happ is impressing this year.
Astros 4-9 at home to R.
Had Astros 52% but I'd say toss a coin. Have to see what goes down Friday but looks unappealing.
Fairly strong wind blowin' in if roof open.


Anybody have the phone number for Guiness?
I met the world's slowest plumber today.
 
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EXTRAPOLATER

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Feb 22, 2001
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4 stl(McLellan)@Cin(Cueto)
stl: medium edge bats
SP's and BP's pretty even. McLellan's been pretty good while Cueto was sharp in his first go, at Wrigley.
Reds just 8-8 home to R, stl 9-6 vs on road.
System gave me stl 52% but I don't think I'd touch this with my brother-in-law's money.
wind right to left 6mph and very good chance of storms.

4 pit(Karstens)@Mil(Narveson-L)
pit: small edge BP
Mil: medium edge SP, large edge bats despite slumpage--pit OPS vs L .612, 2nd worst behind Nats
pit 6-3 vs L (2-0 road) but were shut-down by slumping Lilly last vs L, beat Happ 5-4 before and lost to Wandy 3-2 before that
Narveson totally inconsistent but I think that Karstens is garbage.
roof should be closed as good chance for rain.
Have Mil 66%.
Line might comply--seems low for the Gallardo game, sorta.

7 sf(Vogelsong)@Chc(D.Davis-L)
sf: small edge BP
Chc: medium edge bats
I have SP pretty even but who knows what to expect from Davis. Vogelsong poor work vs in 5 starts and some relief.
Have Cubs 57%.
wind in from right 12mph and good chance of rain.

7 ariz(Collmenter)@Lad(Billingsley)
ariz: small edge bats & BP
I have SP's even as Chad has been decent while Collmenter was solid in a very short spring training go and has been very good in relief. Obviously they'll need the BP and I'm expecting a drop-off back to their mean, soon, not to mention they'll lose Collmenter's position there.
Have Lad 51% but Friday could swing howevas.
Ugly game. Maybe ariz as huge dog if I want to live dangerously.
strong wind out to right.


Lines must be av by now but want to finish this first.
Nothing too hot looking, so far, anywho.
 
E

EXTRAPOLATER

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Feb 22, 2001
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1 seat(Bedard-L)@Clev(White)
Clev: large edge bats (preferring L, by the OPS), medium edge BP
SP's comparable as Bedard got the K's going, finally, in his last while White's been decent but he's still quite fresh.
Injuns 5-2 home to L. seat 5-6 at R.
mild wind out to left-center
Have Clev 64%.
wind might not help my very mild under lean; maybe with a Hirschbeck or Eddings as ump. Maybe an 8, methinks.

4 cws(Floyd)@Oak(Ross)
cws: small edge SP esp. w/great work vs in 6, medium edge bats
Oak: medium edge BP
wind out to right-center 14mph
Got me some cws for Friday and if the O continues to re-awaken might try some more here, for similar price (mild doggie).
Have cws 55%.

4 tor(Reyes-L)@Min(Blackburn)
tor: medium edge bats, large edge BP
Min: small+ edge SP
Twins .500 (5-5, 2-2 home) vs L but 7-18 vs R.
jays 6-9 on road to R.
wind out to right 14mph and chance of rain
tough call. flip a coin. over is tempting.
Have tor 51%.

4 kc(Francis-L)@Det(Penny)
kc: medium edge BP
Det: small edge SP
bats comparable
kc 12-6 home to R but just 3-6 road
Det 4-2 home to L
wind out to right 7mph and again the rain thaing
Have Det 58%.


Almost done.
Just submitting as had crash last week.
Nobody was killed.
 
E

EXTRAPOLATER

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Feb 22, 2001
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4 laa(Haren)@Tex(Holland-L)
laa: large edge SP, small edge BP, decent edge bats, too, with laa copping a solid .812 OPS vs L...need to see if Texsticks go crazy Friday
Haren seeming to like the A.L better, somehow, while Holland has really sucked lately.
Wind out to right 13mph. Haren good at keeping the ball on the ground but I wouldn't bet against a Texshot here.
laa 7-5 vs but only 3-4 road
Tex 7-7 home to R
Have laa 63%
Line might cooperate.

4 balt(Bergesen)@Tb(W.Davis)
Tb: large edge SP & BP, medium edge bats
Bergesen blows usually but he's 0-5 vs, in 5, with a 9.13 era, not to mention getting embarrassed by Rays in his last.
Vladdy out Friday but just getting a rest day.
Line will not be pretty.
Have Tb 70%.

7 bost(Beckett)@Nyy(Sabathia-L)
bost: small edge SP
Nyy: small edge BP, small+ edge bats ('sox actually hitting L better than R this year)
Beckett not with good numbers vs, previously, but had a beauty vs in April, at Fenway.
sox 4-3 home to L but only 1-4 road
Yanks 10-5 home to R
wind in from far right 9mph
Very tough call.
Might under a 9 but doubt we'll see one.
Have Nyy 53%.


GL


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