May 8

[EXTRAPOLATER]

keep in touch with mama kin


These done pre-Saturd, aye


1 wash(Livan)@Flor(a Sanchez)
Flor: edge sticks & BP med, small edge SP
Marlins will cost. No value likely.

1 lad(Kershaw-L)@Nym(Dickey)
lad: big edge SP
Nym: small edge sticks, med edge BP
Value on lad near even money, which won't happen.

1:3 hou(Happ-L)@Pit(McDonald)
hou: med edge bats
Pit: large edge BP
SP's pretty even
I'd prefer hou. Over might be a go, with a good # (might be 8.5). ump Lance Barrett likely--can't comment. Wind L-to-R at 5mph apparently.

2 mil(Narveson-L)@Stl(McLellan)
Stl: small edge SP & BP, medium edge bats
Might be small value homers, with a similar price to Sat (-125ish). Over might be a go as both starters have started to betray their real lack of talent. Ump Dreckman is even. Wind in from LC 9mph.

2:2 cin(Cueto)@Chc(Dempster)
cin: small edge bats
Chc: small edge BP
SP's maybe even as struggling Dempster has been better last 2 while Cueto hasn't looked great in his rehab assignment.
Flip a coin.

4 ariz(Saunders-L)@Sd(Harang)
ariz: medium edge bats
Sd: medium edge SP, large edge BP
I don't think I could stomach backing either SP, presently, as Harang's early success might have been an illusion based on recent work. A 6.5 or 7 might force my hand on the over. Wind L-to-R 13 mph. Ump Vanover is pretty even.

4 col(DLRosa-L)@Sf(Vogelsong)
col: large edge SP, medium edge bats even with recent falling off the table
Sf: medium edge BP
Any chance for a good price on rox? Maybe up to -120 would be worth it. Dog-time is a dream, what with Vogelchoke going.

8 atl(Jurrjens)@Phil(Hamels-L)
atl: mojo filtering
Phil: large edge bats by the uninclusive #'s (atl pretty grim vs L, so far)
SP's totally even and BP's close also.
Phil will be a med fave and should be. No value.
Under will tempt but # will be small, esp at CitBank. Wind in from far-left 4mph. Ump Wally Bell is an under-ump, as the whole staff is (esp. Hirschbeck, going Sat.)


Going to break a stupid law before tackling the A.L.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

1 det(Penny)@Tor(Reyes-L)
det: glad I'm not a sports fan living there, these days (maybe ice, then again...)
Tor: large edge BP
SP's and bats comparable, what with T.O. ailments.
ugly game. can't touch this.

1:3 tb(Davis)@Balt(Bergesen)
tb: large edge SP, BP and mojo
sticks pretty even, by the #'s, though recently tb is
Similar line to Fri & Sat (close to evenage) for tb and you can call me Mr.Hoppy.
tb team total over 4, if it's offered, though wind in from far L at 5mph; ump Kellogg is pretty even, if memory serves an ace

1:3 min(Pavano)@Bost(Matsuzaka)
min: bring back Kirby Puckett
Bost: medium edge bats, small edge SP based on twisted analysis
BP's pretty even as both suck
Dice is too unpredictable and I ain't paying the price on this one.

2 nyy(Sabathia-L)@Tex(Ogando)
nyy: small edge bats mostly due to recent Tex slumpage and no Josh, small edge BP due to Tex ailments
Tex: small edge SP but really nullified by his inability to go deep into games, his poor work vs Yanks (only start was earlier '11), and mentioned BP woes
tough call
under a 9, maybe (better to under 1st5, methinks); strong wind in from R at 16mph; ump DiMuro doesn't ring any bells...don't think he's far from even

2 oak(Ross)@Kc(Francis-L)
oak: medium edge SP & BP, though BP has had it's problems lately...Kc closer is fine just middle relief kinda chews
Kc: large edge bats, nice home edge
Can't touch this as my early esteem for Francis appears to be misplaced and my early disdain for Ross seems equally appalling. Tough call either way--side and total.

3:3 clev(Carmona)@Laa(Haren)
clev: small edge bats
Laa: medium edge SP, usually solid home edge
BP's comparable
I'd try Laa for a good price, which I doubt will happen...over -123 or so seems unjustified.
Under will tempt--pens pretty solid. Wind out to C, though, 7mph. Ump Nauert pretty even...dang skip him and give me Eddings, who will likely be at 1st.

4 cws(Buehrle-L)@Seat(Bedard-L)
cws: forget det, I wanna move here:sadwave:
Seat: small edge SP, medium edge BP and bats
Buehrle is as unpredictable as they come, but he is mostly unimpressive these days. Bedard is looking a little better last few but still not racking up K's which has usually been a sign that he is on. Small juice on M's and I could be in.


Think that's it.
Saturday's results will alter these opinions only mildly, barring something unusual happening.


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I want to marry David Gilmour's guitar.