Mayakoba

DerrickTulips

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I am looking at Bowditch over Lowery.
Steve just finished 41st at a senior event.. Bowditch has had a nice start to his pga season. Just not sure if i force a play. Im sure if i dont bet it, Steve will finish 140
 

Whalers Rule

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18 hole matchup
Knost +100 over Willis
Cook -110 over Daly
Janzen -110 over Hensby


outrights 1 unit e.w.
Mallinger 150-1
Chappell 150-1
knost 150-1
Janzen 200-1
Kisner 200-1
stallings 300-1
 

Stanley

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Round 1 play (2pts):

Tom Lehman to beat Aaron Baddeley +163 @ Bet365 [also available @ Extrabet]
Worth a punt at these odds. Baddeley is worth opposing as a winner last week and has never previously played in this event; Lehman is worth backing given his form on the Champions Tour - 2nd and 1st in his two starts this year, plus he has played in this event previously: he finished 49th two years ago. But it is not just form and the post-win-letdown angles that point to this play. Lehman and Baddeley have played in seven common PGA Tours events since the start of last year: Baddeley has never shot the lower first round score in any of those events in the last 14 months. Every time, Lehman shot the lower 1st round score apart the Phoenix Open three weeks ago when they both shot 65. Baddeley may be a more likely winner of the event, but Lehman is the better player to back in match bets regardless of these odds.
 

DerrickTulips

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Round 1 play (2pts):

Tom Lehman to beat Aaron Baddeley +163 @ Bet365 [also available @ Extrabet]
Worth a punt at these odds. Baddeley is worth opposing as a winner last week and has never previously played in this event; Lehman is worth backing given his form on the Champions Tour - 2nd and 1st in his two starts this year, plus he has played in this event previously: he finished 49th two years ago. But it is not just form and the post-win-letdown angles that point to this play. Lehman and Baddeley have played in seven common PGA Tours events since the start of last year: Baddeley has never shot the lower first round score in any of those events in the last 14 months. Every time, Lehman shot the lower 1st round score apart the Phoenix Open three weeks ago when they both shot 65. Baddeley may be a more likely winner of the event, but Lehman is the better player to back in match bets regardless of these odds.

really good :0074
I was lookin at fading Vegas again, I think those 2 tournies were more fluky than the norm.
 

Stanley

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Round 2 play (4pts):

Garrett Willis to beat Cameron Percy -120 @ 5Dimes
Opposing Percy who lost his Tour Card last year and has been struggling to get into events. He only got into the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am two weeks ago (his only PGA Tour start this year) because Tim Clark withdrew through injury. He missed the cut by 10 shots that week and that only puts even more pressure on him today as got off to a good start yesterday and is currently in 11th position. Willis is also in that position, but at least he has made the cut previously on this course and has been playing regular Tour golf, which includes a top-30 finish in the Farmers Insurance Open.

[unofficial rd2 system plays: Kelly tb Toms -105; Pernice tb Willis +100]
 

Stanley

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Round 4 play (2pts):

Cameron Beckman to beat Briny Baird -102 @ Extrabet
Two players with very good histories in this event - Beckman is the defending champion and both players have finished in the top-15 in three of the four years of this event - so it is no great surprise to see them both in 6th place on the leaderboard. But the pressure is really on Baird and not Beckman. He lost his Tour Card by finishing outside the top-125 on the Money List last year, so he can only get into a small number of events and, if he is to avoid Q-School again, he needs to make the most of these opportunities. Beckman already has three top-25 finishes this year, so comes into the event in much more confidence and form. Plus, it was from this position - three shots off the lead - that he won this event last year (as well as the 2008 Frys.com Open).

[unofficial rd4 system play: Wagner tb Gates -111]
 

Whalers Rule

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ever have a 450-1 winner and not make $10
Golf > : Winner > Johnson Wagner Showing 1 - 1 of 1 Bets
Selection Odds Stake
($) Liability
($) Bid type Placed Matched (GMT) Profit/loss
($)
Johnson Wagner 450 0.02 Back 21-Feb-11 23:16 22-Feb-11 07:16 8.98
 

Trampled Underfoot

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ever have a 450-1 winner and not make $10
Golf > : Winner > Johnson Wagner Showing 1 - 1 of 1 Bets
Selection Odds Stake
($) Liability
($) Bid type Placed Matched (GMT) Profit/loss
($)
Johnson Wagner 450 0.02 Back 21-Feb-11 23:16 22-Feb-11 07:16 8.98

Nice. :toast:

At least you can say you got a 450-1 winner. That is crazy. Didn't you have Micheel years ago at a huge number?
 
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