McDonald's LPGA Championship

[Stanley]

Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)

Lorena Ochoa to win 22/1 e.w. @ Boyle Sports
More commonly available as a joint 2nd-favourite at 14/1, Ochoa is a player who will win many major championships. The move to a new course will certainly help in that respect and even if she does finish 2nd for the fourth time this year, she certainly shouldn't be at these odds.

Grace Park to win 50/1 e.w. @ BlueSq
And nor should Grace Park. Again a mark about two-thirds of these odds appears more appropriate for a player who was 18/1 in this event last year. On that occasion she finished 3rd, having taken Annika to a playoff the previous year, so the change in course will not suit Park. However, for all her poor form this year (compared to previous years), it is noticeable that her best finish of the year (5th) came in the first major championship of the season. These events are where class shows through whatever the form and that means this price is far too large for Park.

 

[Stanley]

Further outright play (total stake: 1.5pts)

Stacy Prammanasudh to win 125/1 e.w. @ BlueSq
Some very large odds on offer this week for players that have won at this level and the move to a new course and all the talk of the 'grand slam' should undermine Annika's ability to stroll to this title. One player who should be half the available odds in Prammanasudh. Playing in only her third season on Tour, she won her first Tour event in April and has finished in the top-15 in five of her last six events. Her only finish outside that mark was in the last event of five consecutive weeks of tournament golf in which he had finished in the top-15 every time, winning once. No wonder she was tired! A two-week break followed and it showed with an opening 75 last week, but she shot the 4th-lowest score over the weekend to finish 11th and confirm the form that was so evident before her break. On a new course and with such confidence, she is certainly not a 125/1 player!

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

place only top 5
HW Han 10/1
Jones 10/1
Ward 12.5/1
Mathews 12.5

Qute a few but can't pass on 4 players with almost a collective
33 % top 5 (12/38) tab in 05. Would need to hit only one in 2 weeks to make money at these odds.

72 holes
Ward -112 over Gloria Park @ Cbet
will side with an outright
Prammasudah -110 over Icher
Ms P has won 6 of 7 rds in month of may by 23 strokes over this one.
@ BetFred (finally find a few plays at this book which has been a disappointment so far)
Kerr -110 over Wie
Ochoa -110 over Inkster
Getting top 2 players excluding Annika at pick em.

 

[Stanley]

Matchup plays (1.5pts unless stated):

Jeong Jang to beat Heather Bowie -118 @ Centrebet and SuperOdds [3pts]
Easy to side with a player fresh off two top-5 finishes and boasts a 17-6-0 h2h record against her opponent over the past year

Catriona Matthew to beat Paula Creamer -110 @ BetFred
Did consider Matthew for the outright market, but her ability to finish close and not win is a concern. She has finished 3rd in four of her last six events. But that level of consistent leaderboard positioning does make her a good player to back in the matchups and she has finished ahead of Creamer in their last four common events, including last week when she finished 19 shots ahead of opponent over just three rounds.

Rosie Jones to beat Laura Davies -110 @ BetFred
Opposing Davies even though she did finish 3rd last week as she no longer has the control to compete in major championships. She has missed the cut in this event in two of the last three years and in the season's first major, she trails Jones by 11 shots. In fact, the only time that Davies has finished ahead of Jones this year was at the Chick-fil-A Charity Championship when Jones had had her clubs stolen.

Stacy Prammanasudh to beat Karine Icher -111 @ Centrebet and SuperOdds [4.5pts]
Huge difference in class between these two players. Two top-15 finishes in five starts on the LPGA Tour this season for Icher does not compare well with five in the last six for Prammanasudh, including one victory. Add in Icher's major championship performances - a best finish of 51st and five missed cuts in seven major starts - and this should be a straightforward win for the outright selection.

 

[lostinamerica]

Outrights:

Stacy Prammanasudh(100/1) e.w. @ 5dimes
- - A new venue.

GL

 

[phar lap]

72 hole matchup

Agree with Stan, albeit at not quite so good a price (you have to be quick!)
Jang -120 vs Heather Bowie
at Centrebet

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

4th rd
Gulbis +110 over Dunn @ CBET ties lose

 

[Stanley]

Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 1-2; -2.06pts

Ochoa 5th
Park wd
Prammanasudh 33rd

Okay, so no price is good enough to back Grace Park at the moment! At least Ochoa earned some return, but if she had birdied the par-five last hole, the plays would have been in profit for the week.

Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 2-2; +4.20pts

Jang/Bowie WON by 2
Matthew/Creamer LOST by 13
Jones/Davies LOST by 8
Prammanasudh/Icher WON by 4

Nice profit hitting the larger plays, though the margins of defeat on other plays was rather large!

LPGA Tour ytd
Matchups: 8-30; -5.68pts
Outrights: 27-10; +51.72pts