Memorial Tournament

lostinamerica

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Oct 10, 2001
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Outrights:

Fred Couples(50/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w. @ GG
- - I believe Fred's favorite courses are Augusta and St. Andrews, with Riviera and Muirfield Village on the short list behind those, all hosting events that mean something extra in his mind, and stoking his professed self-belief that he can still compete on those courses . . . For almost no other reasons, Couples @ 100/1 (with 1-6 @ GG) was my top play at St. Andrews last year when he finished 3rd; my top play @ 80/1 at Riviera (with 1-6 @ GG) this year when he finished 6th; and after going back and forth, back and forth, the final play @ 100/1 at Augusta that I inexplicably opted for leaving off my "full units" play sheet at Augusta, when he finished 3rd . . . Nothing inexplicable this week.
http://www.golfdigest.com/newsandtour/index.ssf?/newsandtour/gw20060519verdi.html

Aside: My favorite golf quote of the year to date:
"I don't think Phil was worried about me beating him." ~ Fred Couples



Charles Howell(80/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w. @ GG
- - I like it not being just one thing, and I like getting 6 places . . . Not a course that demands making your score with wedges and short irons that are dialed in on the flags . . . A member with Nicklaus of the Royal Bank of Scotland Team, plenty of flavor that drops sufficient hints of his last place (?) finish at Augusta, which was classily accepted as (optimistically) a stepping stone out of his purgatory . . . A work in progress means growing pains, but tracking well into this event . . . His good friend Tiger Woods is MIA to all but those in his inner circle, which FWIW brings to mind comments from CHIII that he knows from his playing and working with Tiger exactly how high the bar is set when it comes to improving his short game.
Registration Required??


GL
 

Stanley

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Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)

Stephen Ames to win 40/1 e.w. available generally
The winner of the Players Championship in March and but for a missed cut in New Orleans, he has maintained some very impressive form ever since the Tour left the West Coast. And none moreso that the way that he rebounded from a 77 in the 3rd round of the Colonial last time out when 2nd to shoot 63 and climb 34 places to finish in 4th place. If only all selections rebounded so well from poor rounds! In this event, he had a solid top-30 finish last year, but had been the 2nd round leader two years ago before finishing 6th, so he can clearly play well on this course. That makes for surprisingly large odds on the Canadian.

K.J. Choi to win 40/1 e.w. available generally
Solid form recently and on this course. In the last five weeks, he has finished 6th, 4th, 26th and 17th, shooting 63 in his final round of the Colonial in his last outing, so there is no concern about his form. In terms of his success at Muirfield Village, he has finished 13th, 5th and 8th in the last three years, so again there are clear pointers to a strong showing this week from Choi.

Stewart Cink to win 80/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes
Backed him at 16/1 last week, so will gladly do so again at five times those odds even though he did play poorly in the St Jude Classic. He previous form is still as solid as it was a week ago with his performance in the Colonial of particular note and has played very well on this course in the past. From 2001 to 2003, he finished 4th, 9th and 6th here and while he finished a lowly 40th in 2004, he was again in contention last year being in 7th place at the cut even though he was in very poor form at the time. Apart from last week, that is not the case this year and so he should return to his former performances around this course this week.
 

scrub

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ok all to win after a huge win with maggert last week

verplank 50-1
mayfair 100-1
johnson 50-1
couples 40-1
dimarco 40-1

all for .10 units glta
 

lostinamerica

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Oct 10, 2001
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Jeff Maggert @ 100/1 - Great call, scrub!! :clap: :mj05: :clap: :mj05:


Adding . . .

Outrights:

Brett Quigley(100/1) e.w. @ Bet365
- - I debated with myself over quite a few possibilities for topping off my cards for the start of this week's events. By the size of my wagers on the "savers", Jarmo Sandelin(66/1) and Brett Rumford(80/1) in Europe, and Stephen Ames(33/1), Lucas Glover(40/1), Camilo Villegas(100/1) and Zach Johnson(66/1) at the Memorial (and DiMarco is back on my radar), came next closest to "full unit" plays . . . In pulling the trigger solely on Quigley and "guessing" why he might at least be in the frame over the weekend and/or it might actually be his time, the factors that seized control of my brain included: my perception of better value at the available price (just as an aside, it stands out that Bo Van Pelt with whom Quigley is playing on Thursday/Friday is deemed by virtually all my books as being about twice as likely to cash a ticket this week, and had been almost as likely as Lucas Glover, which means that now that I've singled out Van Pelt, he'll be out of his mind good); the angle of Quigley getting his spot as an alternate vis-a-vis the story of Maggert waiting and failing to get in as alternate and then winning (for only the 3rd time in a long career) an event the following week that he didn't really plan on playing (these parallel storylines, like the ages of winners and length of victory droughts ending, occur far too often to dismiss their potential; I dig for such twaddle, and then latch on to it); my liking the chances of Uncle Dana to be in the frame and in the news at his parallel event (more twaddle); obvious current form that I've been tracking to some extent in the hole-by-hole scoring updates and therein recognizing/sensing a pattern that leaves an impression that "green lights" this ocassion; my last viewing of Quigley which was at Colonial and consisted of a confident birdie of the 72nd hole for a 66 and then shaking hands like a man who wanted to go another 18; and something in the media, in this case just an old transcript from the 2003 U.S. Open, that supports rather than discounts the play's potential. It's actually pretty rare to have this much built up around any one player out of a field of 100-150+ vying for my notice and support, but when I "see it" I trust my judgment and hope for the best . . . Villegas is the only play I mentioned for which I can offer a concise reason for why I stayed off, which is the prospect of needing to hole plenty of fast and sharply breaking putts from short range tempered the enthusiasm I was otherwise generating.

GL
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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Jul 7, 2002
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Benbrook
Forgot to Post, here are my Plays so you can pull for me, yeah right

Els 14-1
DLIII 40-1
G. Ogilvy 40-1

Ernie Els OV/Retief Goosen-1.15
Rory Sabbatini OV/Vaughn Taylorpick @-1.20
Stephen Ames OV/David Howell-1.15
Geoff Ogilvy OV/Tim Clark pick @-1.20
 

pharlap

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The Lucky Country
pharlap said:
72 hole matchup

David Howell -115 to beat Sergio Garcia

At Centrebet


Howell's 3rd round 83 wouldn't have won our B-grade monthly medal on Saturday. Was he hungover or something?

(mind you......nor did I win the monthly medal, but I was always behind the 8-ball after hitting the wrong ball from the middle of the fairway on the 8th hole!)
 

Stanley

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FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -4.50pts

Ames mc
Choi 62nd
Cink 12th

Had looked good for a decent return on Cink. He was 3rd after the first round, but struggled when having to play in the worst of the conditions in the 2nd round. He did threaten to get back into the place money several times over the weekend, but fell down the leaderboard quicker than he climbed it.

PGA Tour ytd: 8-52; -10.31pts

All Tours ytd
Outrights: 29-130; -16.07pts
Matchups: 32-28; -6.60pts
 
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