Memorial
- Thread starter cole
- Start date
Matt Every to win 125-1
The nice thing about Tiger playing is that everyone's odds double. Matt shot a sixth last year in his only try at the Memorial. I was wholely impressed with Every's effort last week, especially the final day. He shot four rounds in the sixties, and three under the final nine. Paired with Kuchar, who got most of the TV time, Matt more than held his own. Being 30 years old, he is in the prime of his golf life, and ready to win his first PGA title.
The nice thing about Tiger playing is that everyone's odds double. Matt shot a sixth last year in his only try at the Memorial. I was wholely impressed with Every's effort last week, especially the final day. He shot four rounds in the sixties, and three under the final nine. Paired with Kuchar, who got most of the TV time, Matt more than held his own. Being 30 years old, he is in the prime of his golf life, and ready to win his first PGA title.
Jack's Place
Outrights
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT MATT KUCHAR +1600
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT JUSTIN ROSE +2000
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT JIM FURYK +4000
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT ZACH JOHNSON +5000
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT BO VAN PELT +5000
1st Round Match Ups
A SCOTT (RND 1) -130 (A SCOTT (RND 1) vrs C SCHWARTZEL (RND 1))
J ROSE (RND 1) +105 (R MCILROY (RND 1) vrs J ROSE (RND 1))
4 Round Matc Up
C HOFFMAN -110 (C HOFFMAN vrs B HAAS)
Outrights
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT MATT KUCHAR +1600
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT JUSTIN ROSE +2000
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT JIM FURYK +4000
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT ZACH JOHNSON +5000
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT BO VAN PELT +5000
1st Round Match Ups
A SCOTT (RND 1) -130 (A SCOTT (RND 1) vrs C SCHWARTZEL (RND 1))
J ROSE (RND 1) +105 (R MCILROY (RND 1) vrs J ROSE (RND 1))
4 Round Matc Up
C HOFFMAN -110 (C HOFFMAN vrs B HAAS)
Overall Record
Matchups 85-73-15 +0.03 units
Outrights/Finishes -5.10 units
The Memorial
Outrights
Tiger 2.4/1 (1u)
Z. Johnson 66/1 (.1u)
Stenson 75/1 (.1u)
Streelman 80/1 (.1u)
Matchups (1u)
Kuchar ov Scott +140
Mahan ov Watson +140
Z. Johnson ov Van Pelt -105
Stenson ov Els -140
Kirk ov Piercy -115
Matchups 85-73-15 +0.03 units
Outrights/Finishes -5.10 units
The Memorial
Outrights
Tiger 2.4/1 (1u)
Z. Johnson 66/1 (.1u)
Stenson 75/1 (.1u)
Streelman 80/1 (.1u)
Matchups (1u)
Kuchar ov Scott +140
Mahan ov Watson +140
Z. Johnson ov Van Pelt -105
Stenson ov Els -140
Kirk ov Piercy -115
72 holes
Kuchar over Scott +110
Kirk over Piercy -115
Every over DeLaet +115
I bet these at 5d yesterday and I loved Kuchar over Scott at plus 110, now the odds have jumped to +140 and I am nuts over this. But, I already made my bet. Usually, if I wait for the reduced juice, everything moves against me. So---just a bad deal I guess.
I wouldn't put Kuchar as an underdog against anyone, except for Woods.
Kirk---The best golfer no one knows about, except gamblers. I've bet against Kirk a couple of times this year, and although I won last week with a Kirk fade, he usually hands my head back to me.
Every is a legit underdog here, DeLaet is better, but not by much.
Kuchar over Scott +110
Kirk over Piercy -115
Every over DeLaet +115
I bet these at 5d yesterday and I loved Kuchar over Scott at plus 110, now the odds have jumped to +140 and I am nuts over this. But, I already made my bet. Usually, if I wait for the reduced juice, everything moves against me. So---just a bad deal I guess.
I wouldn't put Kuchar as an underdog against anyone, except for Woods.
Kirk---The best golfer no one knows about, except gamblers. I've bet against Kirk a couple of times this year, and although I won last week with a Kirk fade, he usually hands my head back to me.
Every is a legit underdog here, DeLaet is better, but not by much.
Donald +110 over Schwartzel
Stallings +105 over Stanley
Mahan +150 over Watson
Westwood -103 over Braddley
Kirk -115 over Piercy
These are tournament matchups
Jason Day +55/1 to win
Stallings +105 over Stanley
Mahan +150 over Watson
Westwood -103 over Braddley
Kirk -115 over Piercy
These are tournament matchups
Jason Day +55/1 to win
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Round 1 play (2pts):
Brendon De Jonge to beat Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano -125 @ Stan James
Experience is key at Muirfield Village and GFC doesn't have any. He is also completing a four-week stretch of Atlantic-crossing - three weeks ago, he missed the cut at Sawgrass, then exited in the first knckout round in the matchplay event in Bulgaria, before finishing 62nd last week at Wentworth. He had been 3rd after rd1 last week, but then shot 75-74-75 to drop so far down the leaderboard. De Jonge is in goof form with five top-25 finishes in his last seven starts, took a one-week break from Tour golf two weeks ago and has finishes of 12th, 63rd and 38th in the last three years here.
Brendon De Jonge to beat Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano -125 @ Stan James
Experience is key at Muirfield Village and GFC doesn't have any. He is also completing a four-week stretch of Atlantic-crossing - three weeks ago, he missed the cut at Sawgrass, then exited in the first knckout round in the matchplay event in Bulgaria, before finishing 62nd last week at Wentworth. He had been 3rd after rd1 last week, but then shot 75-74-75 to drop so far down the leaderboard. De Jonge is in goof form with five top-25 finishes in his last seven starts, took a one-week break from Tour golf two weeks ago and has finishes of 12th, 63rd and 38th in the last three years here.
Outrights:
Charl Schwartzel(33/1) e.w.
Kevin Streelman(80/1) e.w.
Kyle Stanley(125/1) e.w.
Marc Leishman(100/1) e.w.
Lucas Glover(200/1) e.w.
Bo Van Pelt(60/1) e.w.
Ricky Barnes(250/1) e.w.
GL
Charl Schwartzel(33/1) e.w.
Kevin Streelman(80/1) e.w.
Kyle Stanley(125/1) e.w.
Marc Leishman(100/1) e.w.
Lucas Glover(200/1) e.w.
Bo Van Pelt(60/1) e.w.
Ricky Barnes(250/1) e.w.
GL
golf ytd 16-22 -7.60 units
slowly but surely.............
rd 1, playing:
w simpson +110 vs matt kuchar
going with the fresher player here as webb has been off since the players while kuchar had a lot of stress last week
as always, good luck
LA Burns
slowly but surely.............
rd 1, playing:
w simpson +110 vs matt kuchar
going with the fresher player here as webb has been off since the players while kuchar had a lot of stress last week
as always, good luck
LA Burns
while I would have never bet ON webb, I did bet vs kuchar. If you want to build a voodoo doll, then the pins will be supplied
2nd Round Match Ups
DA POINTS (RND 2) -120 (N WATNEY (RND 2) vrs DA POINTS (RND 2))
Z JOHNSON (RND 2) -125 (Z JOHNSON (RND 2) vrs H STENSON (RND 2))
J ROSE (RND 2) -125 (R MCILROY (RND 2) vrs J ROSE (RND 2))
A SCOTT (RND 2) -110 (A SCOTT (RND 2) vrs C SCHWARTZEL (RND 2))
DA POINTS (RND 2) -120 (N WATNEY (RND 2) vrs DA POINTS (RND 2))
Z JOHNSON (RND 2) -125 (Z JOHNSON (RND 2) vrs H STENSON (RND 2))
J ROSE (RND 2) -125 (R MCILROY (RND 2) vrs J ROSE (RND 2))
A SCOTT (RND 2) -110 (A SCOTT (RND 2) vrs C SCHWARTZEL (RND 2))
Round 2 plays (4pts):
Camilo Villegas to beat Seung-Yul Noh -125 @ Stan James
Opposing Noh who lies outside the top-100 after the 1st round. Two missed cuts, a 52nd place finish in three previous attempts at Muirfield Village and a failure to break par in any round suggests that this is not a course that suits his game. And with a best finish of 46th in 11 events (in 13 weeks) since the Tour moved to Florida, he is hardly showing the form to break par today either.
Lee Westwood to beat Rory McIlroy -120 @ Paddy Power
McIlroy's play was poor last week and it was again yesterday despite playing in the much easier morning conditions. Set to play in the windier conditions this afternoon and already outside the top-100, he looks set to make the cut - he has never bounced back to make the cut from such a low leaderboard position in his career to date. So I'll oppose him with a player who is on a run of five consecutive top-10 finishes and certainly played better than his opponent yesterday despite shooting only two shots better.
Adam Scott to beat Rory McIlroy -125 @ Stan James [also available @ Bet365]
And I'll oppose him with the Masters Champions who beat him by five shots yesterday. Only the leader, Charl Schwartzel, hit more greens in regulation than Scott yesterday so his game is clearly in far better shape than that of McIlroy's.
[unofficial rd2 system plays: Senden tb Cink -111; De Jonge tb Fernandez-Castano -125]
Camilo Villegas to beat Seung-Yul Noh -125 @ Stan James
Opposing Noh who lies outside the top-100 after the 1st round. Two missed cuts, a 52nd place finish in three previous attempts at Muirfield Village and a failure to break par in any round suggests that this is not a course that suits his game. And with a best finish of 46th in 11 events (in 13 weeks) since the Tour moved to Florida, he is hardly showing the form to break par today either.
Lee Westwood to beat Rory McIlroy -120 @ Paddy Power
McIlroy's play was poor last week and it was again yesterday despite playing in the much easier morning conditions. Set to play in the windier conditions this afternoon and already outside the top-100, he looks set to make the cut - he has never bounced back to make the cut from such a low leaderboard position in his career to date. So I'll oppose him with a player who is on a run of five consecutive top-10 finishes and certainly played better than his opponent yesterday despite shooting only two shots better.
Adam Scott to beat Rory McIlroy -125 @ Stan James [also available @ Bet365]
And I'll oppose him with the Masters Champions who beat him by five shots yesterday. Only the leader, Charl Schwartzel, hit more greens in regulation than Scott yesterday so his game is clearly in far better shape than that of McIlroy's.
[unofficial rd2 system plays: Senden tb Cink -111; De Jonge tb Fernandez-Castano -125]
Round 4 plays (4pts):
Charl Schwartzel to beat Bill Haas -105 @ Stan James
With a best finish of 30th in seven attempts, it was a surprise to see Haas as the 2nd round leader. He is now down to 4th and I expect him to fall further with such poor course history (and missed cuts in his last two starts). Schwartzel has been very impressive this week (top-10 for dirving distance, accuracy and greens in regulation) and this is clearly a course that suits given his course history as well.
Bud Cauley to beat Camilo Villegas -130 @ 5Dimes
Both players more than ten shots off the pace, so likely motivation is the key factor here. Villegas has been in this position seven times since the start of last season and shot an over-par final round in six of those seven occasions; in the two occasions this year that Cauley has been more than ten shots off the lead at the start of the final round, he shot 66 (Humana Challenge) and 65 (Phoenix Open).
Scott Piercy to beat Gary Woodland -125 @ 5Dimes, Bet365 and Pinnacle [available generally]
It has been over a year since Woodland shot a lower 4th round score than Piercy and given that he ranks outside the top-50 for greens in regulation this week (Piercy is 5th), it appears unlikely that he is playing well enough to end that drought today.
Charl Schwartzel to beat Bill Haas -105 @ Stan James
With a best finish of 30th in seven attempts, it was a surprise to see Haas as the 2nd round leader. He is now down to 4th and I expect him to fall further with such poor course history (and missed cuts in his last two starts). Schwartzel has been very impressive this week (top-10 for dirving distance, accuracy and greens in regulation) and this is clearly a course that suits given his course history as well.
Bud Cauley to beat Camilo Villegas -130 @ 5Dimes
Both players more than ten shots off the pace, so likely motivation is the key factor here. Villegas has been in this position seven times since the start of last season and shot an over-par final round in six of those seven occasions; in the two occasions this year that Cauley has been more than ten shots off the lead at the start of the final round, he shot 66 (Humana Challenge) and 65 (Phoenix Open).
Scott Piercy to beat Gary Woodland -125 @ 5Dimes, Bet365 and Pinnacle [available generally]
It has been over a year since Woodland shot a lower 4th round score than Piercy and given that he ranks outside the top-50 for greens in regulation this week (Piercy is 5th), it appears unlikely that he is playing well enough to end that drought today.
4th Round Match Ups
H MAHAN (RND 4) -125
(H MAHAN (RND 4) vrs E ELS (RND 4))
J FURYK (RND 4) -120
(B WATSON (RND 4) vrs J FURYK (RND 4))
G WOODLAND (RND 4) EV
(S PIERCY (RND 4) vrs G WOODLAND (RND 4))
K STANLEY (RND 4) +120
(K STANLEY (RND 4) vrs B HAAS (RND 4))
H MAHAN (RND 4) -125
(H MAHAN (RND 4) vrs E ELS (RND 4))
J FURYK (RND 4) -120
(B WATSON (RND 4) vrs J FURYK (RND 4))
G WOODLAND (RND 4) EV
(S PIERCY (RND 4) vrs G WOODLAND (RND 4))
K STANLEY (RND 4) +120
(K STANLEY (RND 4) vrs B HAAS (RND 4))
