Mercedes-Benz Championship
- Thread starter PGS
- Start date
Round 1 plays (1pt):
Marcel Siem to beat Jeppe Huldahl -116 @ Extrabet [tie loses]
Opposing Huldahl for three reasons: (i) no course form; (ii) he shot 79-80 to miss the cut by 15 shots last time out; and (iii) his baby daughter was born just 10 days ago. As he wrote on his website, he has not been thinking about golf for a few days, but he had committed to play in this event and then he will return home for two weeks to spend more time with his daughter. If he doesn't start off particularly well, he could easily be hurrying his way out of this event to be back home, just as he did in the Jonnie Walker Championship. Siem was a top-10 finisher on this course last year and was in contention for three rounds last week.
Jose Maria Olazabal to beat Gregory Havret -120 @ FiveDimes
Havret is back on the radar after his third place finish in the Johnnie Walker Championship two weeks ago, but a look at his last ten finishes reveal how much of an exception that week actually was: mc, mc, mc, mc, mc, 41st, mc, 74th, 3rd, 67th. Olazabal is in much better form - he has finished ahead of him in four of their last five common events - and has a much better record on this course - he has finished ahead of him on all four occasions that they have both competed here.
Kenneth Ferrie to beat Jeppe Huldahl -115 @ FiveDimes
Also backing Ferrie to beat Huldahl. He has shown much better form in recent months - 6th in the Open de France, 17th in the Scottish Open and 4th after 54 holes in the KLM Open three weeks ago - and he does have top-10 finishes in two of his last three visits to Gut Larchenhof, so he should play much better than at Crans-sur-Sierre, of which he is not a fan.
Marcel Siem to beat Jeppe Huldahl -116 @ Extrabet [tie loses]
Opposing Huldahl for three reasons: (i) no course form; (ii) he shot 79-80 to miss the cut by 15 shots last time out; and (iii) his baby daughter was born just 10 days ago. As he wrote on his website, he has not been thinking about golf for a few days, but he had committed to play in this event and then he will return home for two weeks to spend more time with his daughter. If he doesn't start off particularly well, he could easily be hurrying his way out of this event to be back home, just as he did in the Jonnie Walker Championship. Siem was a top-10 finisher on this course last year and was in contention for three rounds last week.
Jose Maria Olazabal to beat Gregory Havret -120 @ FiveDimes
Havret is back on the radar after his third place finish in the Johnnie Walker Championship two weeks ago, but a look at his last ten finishes reveal how much of an exception that week actually was: mc, mc, mc, mc, mc, 41st, mc, 74th, 3rd, 67th. Olazabal is in much better form - he has finished ahead of him in four of their last five common events - and has a much better record on this course - he has finished ahead of him on all four occasions that they have both competed here.
Kenneth Ferrie to beat Jeppe Huldahl -115 @ FiveDimes
Also backing Ferrie to beat Huldahl. He has shown much better form in recent months - 6th in the Open de France, 17th in the Scottish Open and 4th after 54 holes in the KLM Open three weeks ago - and he does have top-10 finishes in two of his last three visits to Gut Larchenhof, so he should play much better than at Crans-sur-Sierre, of which he is not a fan.
The Mercedes - Benz Championship for September 10th to 13th.
The Mercedes - Benz Championship for September 10th to 13th.
Outrights to Win the Whole Tournament (Thursday - Sunday) :
1 Unit : Simon Dyson to Win @ 33 : 1. Lost tournament by 1 stroke.
1 Unit : Soren Hanson to Win @ 13 : 1. first round leader. Lost tournament by 1 stroke.
1 Unit : Lee Westwood to Win @ 8 : 1.
2/3 Unit : Alvaro Quiros to Win @ 45 : 1.
2/3 Unit : Carl Schwartzel to Win @ 33 : 1.
2/3 Unit : Ross Fisher to Win @ 10 : 1.
1/3 Unit : Chris Wood to Win @ 55 : 1. second round leader.
1/3 Unit : Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano to Win @ 45 : 1.
1/3 Unit : Nick Dougherty to Win @ 35 : 1.
.
The Mercedes - Benz Championship for September 10th to 13th.
Outrights to Win the Whole Tournament (Thursday - Sunday) :
1 Unit : Simon Dyson to Win @ 33 : 1. Lost tournament by 1 stroke.
1 Unit : Soren Hanson to Win @ 13 : 1. first round leader. Lost tournament by 1 stroke.
1 Unit : Lee Westwood to Win @ 8 : 1.
2/3 Unit : Alvaro Quiros to Win @ 45 : 1.
2/3 Unit : Carl Schwartzel to Win @ 33 : 1.
2/3 Unit : Ross Fisher to Win @ 10 : 1.
1/3 Unit : Chris Wood to Win @ 55 : 1. second round leader.
1/3 Unit : Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano to Win @ 45 : 1.
1/3 Unit : Nick Dougherty to Win @ 35 : 1.
.
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The Mercedes - Benz Championship for September 10th to 13th.
The Mercedes - Benz Championship for September 10th to 13th.
Whole Tournament Matchups for 72 holes for Thursday thru Sunday :
Four Units :
Lee Westwood over Henrik Stenson @ - 115. Lost by 1.
Three Units :
Bernhard Langer over Alex Cejka @ - 120. Lost by 4.
Two Units :
Simon Dyson over Alexander Noren @ - 110. Won by 8.
One Unit :
Soren Hansen over Ross Fisher @ + 110. Won by 7.
Win by 8 & 7 but lose the big one by 1.
.
The Mercedes - Benz Championship for September 10th to 13th.
Whole Tournament Matchups for 72 holes for Thursday thru Sunday :
Four Units :
Lee Westwood over Henrik Stenson @ - 115. Lost by 1.
Three Units :
Bernhard Langer over Alex Cejka @ - 120. Lost by 4.
Two Units :
Simon Dyson over Alexander Noren @ - 110. Won by 8.
One Unit :
Soren Hansen over Ross Fisher @ + 110. Won by 7.
Win by 8 & 7 but lose the big one by 1.
.
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Outrights:
What to say, when I really wasn't even able to commit on a hierarchy to list the plays . . . .
Nick Dougherty(35/1) e.w.
- - Does enough for me to continue with my years of overrating him.
Alvaro Quiros(45/1) e.w.
- - I immediately said "I like it" when tipped by PGS, on the theory/theme/angle that his impressive early season fireworks always suggested to me legs until Dubai, and there were recent hints in the U.S. before this here seemingly favorable Nicklaus venue.
Jamie Donaldson(45/1) e.w.
- - I haven't watched a lot of European Tour TV coverage lately, but when I have, I keep getting the impression that no one is enjoying themselves as much on the course right now, regardless of a 75, especially after a 66, and all numbers in between.
Niclas Fasth(66/1) e.w.
- - He hasn't teased me, he's flat out deceived me, since some time earlier this summer.
Marcel Siem(200/1) e.w.
- - He's teased me, but I've pretty much managed to keep my powder dry, waiting for some perceived opportunity, although a difficult one with this week's field.
Kenneth Ferrie(200/1) e.w.
- - A play too far, and probably at the wrong end of the prices, given the strength at the top of this field, cream for which I seem to display disdain, but am actually concerned about their chances this week to separate from the clowns I'm on.
GL
What to say, when I really wasn't even able to commit on a hierarchy to list the plays . . . .
Nick Dougherty(35/1) e.w.
- - Does enough for me to continue with my years of overrating him.
Alvaro Quiros(45/1) e.w.
- - I immediately said "I like it" when tipped by PGS, on the theory/theme/angle that his impressive early season fireworks always suggested to me legs until Dubai, and there were recent hints in the U.S. before this here seemingly favorable Nicklaus venue.
Jamie Donaldson(45/1) e.w.
- - I haven't watched a lot of European Tour TV coverage lately, but when I have, I keep getting the impression that no one is enjoying themselves as much on the course right now, regardless of a 75, especially after a 66, and all numbers in between.
Niclas Fasth(66/1) e.w.
- - He hasn't teased me, he's flat out deceived me, since some time earlier this summer.
Marcel Siem(200/1) e.w.
- - He's teased me, but I've pretty much managed to keep my powder dry, waiting for some perceived opportunity, although a difficult one with this week's field.
Kenneth Ferrie(200/1) e.w.
- - A play too far, and probably at the wrong end of the prices, given the strength at the top of this field, cream for which I seem to display disdain, but am actually concerned about their chances this week to separate from the clowns I'm on.
GL
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Round 2 plays (1pt):
Graeme Storm to beat Christian Nilsson -139 @ Unibet
Markus Brier to beat Christian Nilsson -130 @ FiveDimes
Markus Brier to beat Daniel Vancsik -111 @ Unibet
Graeme Storm to beat Christian Nilsson -139 @ Unibet
Markus Brier to beat Christian Nilsson -130 @ FiveDimes
Markus Brier to beat Daniel Vancsik -111 @ Unibet
Round 3 plays (1pt):
Peter Hedblom to beat Jamie Donaldson -105 @ FiveDimes
Ross Fisher to beat Soren Hansen +105 @ SkyBet [tie loses] [also available @ FiveDimes, Bet365 and Paddy Power]
Henrik Stenson to beat Soren Hansen -110 @ Stan James [tie loses]
Peter Hedblom to beat Jamie Donaldson -105 @ FiveDimes
Ross Fisher to beat Soren Hansen +105 @ SkyBet [tie loses] [also available @ FiveDimes, Bet365 and Paddy Power]
Henrik Stenson to beat Soren Hansen -110 @ Stan James [tie loses]
