I've noticed a bit of a pseudo-middle opportunity today and I'd like some advice on it.
The game is NYI@CAR
Olympic has the line CAR -0.5+130
Sportingbet has the line NYI -0.5+140
So, if I play both sides, and the game does not result in a draw, I have a minimum 30% profit on the game. Of course if the game does go to a draw, then I'm out 2 units. My question is: given that around 12%-15% of NHL games result in draws (I think?), is this a good bet over the long term? I know you can't expect the same lines to appear in the future, so projecting this might be tough. I've never been too good at statistics so if anyone has any insight into this one I'd appreciate it.
Thanks
Kron
The game is NYI@CAR
Olympic has the line CAR -0.5+130
Sportingbet has the line NYI -0.5+140
So, if I play both sides, and the game does not result in a draw, I have a minimum 30% profit on the game. Of course if the game does go to a draw, then I'm out 2 units. My question is: given that around 12%-15% of NHL games result in draws (I think?), is this a good bet over the long term? I know you can't expect the same lines to appear in the future, so projecting this might be tough. I've never been too good at statistics so if anyone has any insight into this one I'd appreciate it.
Thanks
Kron