Michelin Championship at Las Vegas

Stanley

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Outright plays (1.5pts):

Carl Pettersson to win 80/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet, Sporting Odds, Victor Chandler and BetDirect
Some bigger prices than usual on the PGA Tour selections, but all certainly capable of a top-5 finish at least and they all played well when the Tour was in Nevada a few weeks ago. Pettersson finished 5th on that occasion, just one shot out of the playoff and was also 10th last week. With the 'name' players in far from convincing form, this is a tournament for bigger-priced players to win and Pettersson is certainly playing well enough to give himself a chance.

Hunter Mahan to win 100/1 e.w. @ BetDirect
Big price that will not last - Mahan is more generally available at half these odds. Like Pettersson, he will be making his debut in this event, but also like Pettersson, he finished in the top-5 in the Reno-Tahoe Open. He did make it to the playoff, but lost out to Vaughn Taylor. But with two further top-5 finishes in his last two starts, he is clearly going to win a Tour event sooner or later and if so, it may be a very long time before this promising player is available at these odds again in a regular Tour event.

Joe Ogilvie to win 100/1 e.w. @ Paddy Power
Ogilvie finished in 9th place in the Reno-Tahoe Open last month and, in contrast to the other selections, does have event experience, finishing 10th in 1999. His form has also been good recently with finishes of 3rd and 14th in his last two starts, but apart from securing a maiden Tour win, Ogilvie has the added incentive of the Money List this week. He is currently ranked 44th, with the top-40 gaining entry to the Masters next year and the top-30 competing in the Tour Championship at the end of the season. Both are easily attainable with a high finish this week and these odds really are too high for a player in this position.
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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Jul 7, 2002
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Vegas Baby!!

Vegas Baby!!

Jim Furyk WINS LAS VEGAS INVITA+12.00 2 Units
Kirk Triplett OV/Bob Estes-1.55 2 Units
Joe Ogilvie OV/Matt Gogel-1.25 2 Units

Think Jim is back and ready to Win. Looking at same Matchups with him but they are getting Chalky.

Talk about Chalk, Kirk is steap but he is Playing well. Joe is a CoatTail of Stanley's Outright.

Viva Las Vegas!! Thank you, Thank you very Much.
 
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Stanley

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Matchup plays (1.5pts):

Corey Pavin to beat Steve Allan +100 @ Olympic
Will take these odds on a player who has played particularly well since the U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills. He leads Allan 12-5-0 h2h this year and does not have the pressure of potentially losing his Tour Card this season - Allan lies in 110th position on the Money Leaders list.

Kirk Triplett to beat Alex Cejka -114 @ Expekt
Not much to choose between these two in terms of form, but Triplett is coming off a top-10 finish in the Southern Farm Bureau Classic, while Cejka has struggling with the conditions in Ireland at the weekend. Add in Triplett's excellent record in this event versus Cejka missed cut on his debut last year and this warrants a play.
 

Stanley

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Further 72-hole play (1.5pts):

Tom Lehman to beat Steve Flesch -111 @ NordicBet
Flesch has lost his form since winning the Colonial with no top-20 finishes since June and he was playing in wet, blustery Ireland last week. It is a far from ideal preparation for desert golf in Nevada! Plus, he has only finished ahead of Lehman twice this year so does not look like adding to that tally this week.
(also available at Ladbrokes)
 

veride

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Win Only :

Stuart Appleby --> 16/1 Wiliam Hill
Scott Verplank --> 33/1 William Hill
Kirk Triplett --> 40/1 William Hill
Chris Riley --> 40/1 William Hill

1/4 1-5 :

Tom Lehman --> 66/1 Sportingbet
Woody Austin --> 80/1 Bet 365
Craig Barlow --> 125/1 Victor Chandler
Robert Gamez --> 125/1 Bet365
 

Stanley

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Further outright play (1.5pts):

Duffy Waldorf to win 16/1 e.w. @ BetDirect
Waldorf currently stands in 5th place, two shots out of the lead, but the players ahead of him have a total of just one Tour win in the last five years, so they can be expected to struggle under the weekend pressure. So it looks a good position to be in and given that he ranks in the top-5 for the week for both driving accuracy and greens in regulation and has yet to drop a shot all week, he is very playing well. He should improve on his 7th place finish in his last event.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Jul 13, 1999
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Will play prop @ Oly getting both Browne and Waldorf to Win @ 10/1

While Brown might seem like weak sister he in fact ranks 19th in in final rd scoring---and am hoping 10/1 is fortunate # this week and is good hedge for this one with Lehman in the hunt also--

Michelin Championship - Top 5 - Tom Lehman 10/1 $20.00 $200.00
 

OnlyOneRonaldo

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Oct 4, 2004
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petterson was 5 under for the front 9 all week, 14 under for the back 9.

"get there earlier fella! practice more before you start your round!"

quite easy this sport psychology business isnt it!
 

Stanley

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Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 1-3; +1.88pts

Pettersson 5th
Mahan mc
Ogilvie mc
Waldorf 11th

Amazing finish by Pettersson to come from nowhere to snatch a tie for 5th place and a place win. He did miss a 5ft putt on the last hole, but he would have still finished one behind Stolz anyway. Had hope for better from Waldorf, but he rediscovered the art of dropping shots over the weekend.

Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 1-1-1; -0.21pts

Pavin/Allan TIED (Push)
Triplett/Cejka LOST by 10
Lehman/Flesch WON by 11

Small loss, but still finish the event in profit.

PGA Tour ytd
Outrights: 20-96; +45.14pts
Matchups: 126-101; +15.35pts

All Tours ytd
Outrights: 83-330; +295.59pts
Matchups: 369-283; +83.73pts
 
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