Michelob Light Classic

Stanley

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Preview & outright plays:

Played at Fox Run Golf Club for only the second year, this event serves as not only a regular LPGA Tour event, but also a qualifier for the Weetabix Women's British Open. The top five scores from the eligible players at the conclusion of the first 36 holes of play will determine the players who earn places in the final major of the year. So plenty of sub-plots to make the 18-hole bets a little more intriguing.

The change of venue was not good news for Annika Sorenstam. She had won this event at Forest Hills in the previous three years, plus 1995, before the move to Fox Run. Lorie Kane took the title and Annika was a lowly 17th. With her slumping to 47th last week, her early-season dominance of this Tour seems a long time ago. Last week was also notable for Karrie Webb's return to action following the death of her grandfather. She fared little better in 23rd and though she did finish 3rd here last year and had not finished outside the top-10 on the previous course, she is also one to avoid at the available odds.

The three selections are therefore Lorie Kane, Rosie Jones and Catriona Matthew. Not only did Kane win this event last year, she had finished 3rd and 4th at Forest Hills the previous two years. The win last year was a turning point for Kane - having had nine runners-up spot before he maiden win, she has won three more times since, including the Takefuji Classic this year. Coming a runners-up spot at the ShopRite Classic, she looks in excellent shape to continue her form at this event.

Missed cuts in her two visits to Forest Hills and Rosie Jones was glad of the change of venue. She finished 3rd last year at Fox Run. Currently on a great run of form that has netted her five top-5 finishes in her last eight starts, including victory at the Kathy Ireland Championship, she looks another who could profit from the relatively indifferent form of Sorenstam and Webb.

The final selection, Catriona Matthew, also played well last year to finish in the top-10 and is in good current form. She can boast four top-5 finishes in her last seven events. As with the other selections, she is available at much larger odds at Stan James than at Surrey Sports, so the 5 places there look the best route this week.

Outright plays:

Lorie Kane to win 20/1 e.w. @ Stan James [5 places option]
Rosie Jones to win 20/1 e.w. @ Stan James [5 places option]
Catriona Matthew to win 33/1 e.w. @ Stan James [5 places option]


I don't know why I bother doing all this LPGA homework! I should just go to Clive's site and look at his selections - once again they are the same
rolleyes.gif
Maybe we'll break that 2nd place curse ... the event does start on Friday the 13th after all
wink.gif
 

Stanley

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Update:

No matchups of interest for the first two days, but at least there is a chance of a return from the outrights. Kane bogeyed the last two holes to drop back to 9th, but is only five shots out of the lead. Jones could sneak a place finish, currently standing in 23rd, though it should be too much for Matthew who is 39th after 36 holes.

3rd round play:

Lorie Kane to beat Rachel Teske +110 @ Five Dimes
 

Stanley

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Jul 26, 1999
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Manchester, England
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Final update: 0-1-0 and -1.00 units

Lost the only matchup play of the week to a single shot to round off a brief and winless week at the Michelob Light Classic.

Update on outright plays: 0-3 and -3.00 units

Jones did make an early charge, but could finish no higher than 13th, the same mark as Kane who never improved on her overnight top-10 position. Matthew was a very distant 58th.

LPGA Tour ytd
Matchups/props: 24-13; +14.33 units
Outright plays: 11-48; -6.99 units
 
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