Miis St/Arkansas

[Tito]

I am not understanding the line on this one. Miss St getting +7? Miss St is ranked 24th, with a 14-1 record. They are 7-0 on the road although they have been non-conference games. Their only loss was to Cincinnati. They Beat Kentucky last Saturday.

Arkansas is 9-4. they have played 2 ranked teams and lost both.

Looking at the matchup between the two, I see Miss St having their way on the boards.

Am I missing something here?

Any help would be appreciated.

 

[Reffie]

Re: Miis St/Arkansas

Tito,
Could very well be a trap play!!

I am not understanding the line on this one. Miss St getting +7? Miss St is ranked 24th, with a 14-1 record. They are 7-0 on the road although they have been non-conference games. Their only loss was to Cincinnati. They Beat Kentucky last Saturday.

Arkansas is 9-4. they have played 2 ranked teams and lost both.

Looking at the matchup between the two, I see Miss St having their way on the boards.

Am I missing something here?

Any help would be appreciated.

 

[NJO]

I like Arkansas here for a few reasons:

Ark's guards should be able to attack Miss State's

Ark's strong homecourt, and coming home with confidence off of some nice wins

Miss State primed for a letdown, what I describe as "Rush the Floor" letdown -- if you win and your fans rush the floor, look out next game!

Miss State has been a slow starter this year, from the times I have bet on them or against them -- if that happens here, Ark and their crowd will never let them back in

Good luck with whatever you do, but I am on Ark tonight.

 

[NJO]

A fewother reasons I like Ark, for what it's worth:

The 2 ranked losses - ILL and OK ST - were both games where Ark coughed up leads late. That won't happen at home. I also view those 2 teams as far superior to Miss St.

Strength of schedule: Ark 11, vs Miss St's 69.

Miss State lookahead to in-state game Saturday at Mississippi -- possibly.

 

[Time Will Tell]

Bookies

Bookies

The only thing that i can tell you about this is that the bookies must know something, but if you find some inside stuff on this game let me know!

 

[Elvino]

Someone posted in one of the threds about ranked teams on the road and the home team being a FAV. I know JT Sneaks and I have talked about this before and I don't have the numbers to back it (he has better stat sheets) but I remember it hits at 60% or more rate area.
My Money is on Arkansas -6 to -7.


Elvino

 

[Keyser Soze]

Unranked favored over ranked now 11-6 this year after Indiana and Arkansas winning tonight.