Mizuno Classic
- Thread starter phar.lap
- Start date
Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)
Jeong Jang to win 14/1 e.w. @ Coral
Backed at the same odds last week and she finished 2nd in that event. As is the case this week, they were playing on a new course so current form was the basis for her selection and the same holds true this week: "Apart from winning the Wegmans LGA in June, she had finished 10th, 2nd, 6th and 1st after each of her two rounds in her four starts on the LPGA Tour before being a wire-to-wire winner of the Japan Women's Open earlier this month." So, a very strong performance last week and in previous weeks and a wire-to-wire winner in the main event on this Tour makes Jang worth backing at the same odds as last week.
Ai Miyazato to win 20/1 e.w. available generally
A lot was expected of Miyazato on the LPGA Tour this season, particularly as she won the LPGA Qualifying Tournament last November by a record 12 shots, and even though she ranks 21st on the Money List and 15th in Scoring Average in her rookie season, winning this event will finally bring her season up to expectations. She returned to Japan at the end of August and has won two of five starts on this Tour, finishing no worse than 4th on each occasion, and has amassed a total of 13 wins on this Tour already even though she is only 21. And she has shown that she does not get fazed when the LPGA Tour comes to Japan. In her debut in this event two years ago, she finished 2nd and last year she improved from a very slow start to still finish in the top-10. This year, expectations are higher and she must believe that she win this week.
Mi-Jeong Jeon to win 80/1 e.w. @ Stan James, Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Taking a chance on another of the best home players. Jeon only earned her JLPGA Tour Card last year and finished a very creditable 12th on the Money List in her rookie season, but this year she ranks 2nd. Even more impressive is the fact that she has finished in the top-10 in 14 of her last 15 events, winning three times. Fatigue must be an issue with some of the home Tour players as most of them play every single week, but that is not the case with Miyazato and nor is it with Jeon as she rested last week. That can only help this week as will the use of a new course.
Jeong Jang to win 14/1 e.w. @ Coral
Backed at the same odds last week and she finished 2nd in that event. As is the case this week, they were playing on a new course so current form was the basis for her selection and the same holds true this week: "Apart from winning the Wegmans LGA in June, she had finished 10th, 2nd, 6th and 1st after each of her two rounds in her four starts on the LPGA Tour before being a wire-to-wire winner of the Japan Women's Open earlier this month." So, a very strong performance last week and in previous weeks and a wire-to-wire winner in the main event on this Tour makes Jang worth backing at the same odds as last week.
Ai Miyazato to win 20/1 e.w. available generally
A lot was expected of Miyazato on the LPGA Tour this season, particularly as she won the LPGA Qualifying Tournament last November by a record 12 shots, and even though she ranks 21st on the Money List and 15th in Scoring Average in her rookie season, winning this event will finally bring her season up to expectations. She returned to Japan at the end of August and has won two of five starts on this Tour, finishing no worse than 4th on each occasion, and has amassed a total of 13 wins on this Tour already even though she is only 21. And she has shown that she does not get fazed when the LPGA Tour comes to Japan. In her debut in this event two years ago, she finished 2nd and last year she improved from a very slow start to still finish in the top-10. This year, expectations are higher and she must believe that she win this week.
Mi-Jeong Jeon to win 80/1 e.w. @ Stan James, Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Taking a chance on another of the best home players. Jeon only earned her JLPGA Tour Card last year and finished a very creditable 12th on the Money List in her rookie season, but this year she ranks 2nd. Even more impressive is the fact that she has finished in the top-10 in 14 of her last 15 events, winning three times. Fatigue must be an issue with some of the home Tour players as most of them play every single week, but that is not the case with Miyazato and nor is it with Jeon as she rested last week. That can only help this week as will the use of a new course.
Matchup plays (2pts unless stated):
Karine Icher to beat Shi Hyun Ahn +100 @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Will take these odds on a player who has finished ahead of her opponent in three out of their last four common events (partly caused by back problems since June), including a six-shot victory last week, and finished ahead of her in this event last year as well.
Gloria Park to beat Maria Hjorth -105 @ The Greek
Don't make Hjorth the favourite in this match. Hjorth missed the cut in the Japan Women's Open last month and while she has been mixing high finishes with missed cuts, Park has finished in the top-10 in four of her last five events. She has also finished ahead of Hjorth in each of the last two weeks.
Lorie Kane to beat Heather Young -111 @ Centrebet
Opposing Young who has a poor record in Japan. Her best finish in four attempts at this title is just 29th despite the small field and she finished, on average, more than seven shots behind Kane over those four occasions. She did manage to finish ahead of Kane last week, but that was by a singe shot and it was the only time in their last four common events that she had done so. She should not do so again in Japan.
Brittany Lang to beat Heather Young -135 @ The Greek [4pts]
Lang has never played in Japan before now, but she is a player who is at the start of a very promising career (22nd on the Money List in her rookie season) as opposed to one who has shown little signs of such promise (just one top-10 finish this year). Lang has finished in the top-25 in six of her last seven starts, whereas Young has managed that once and Lang has finished ahead of Young in each of their last four common events, including the last two weeks. Should be an easy win.
Karine Icher to beat Shi Hyun Ahn +100 @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Will take these odds on a player who has finished ahead of her opponent in three out of their last four common events (partly caused by back problems since June), including a six-shot victory last week, and finished ahead of her in this event last year as well.
Gloria Park to beat Maria Hjorth -105 @ The Greek
Don't make Hjorth the favourite in this match. Hjorth missed the cut in the Japan Women's Open last month and while she has been mixing high finishes with missed cuts, Park has finished in the top-10 in four of her last five events. She has also finished ahead of Hjorth in each of the last two weeks.
Lorie Kane to beat Heather Young -111 @ Centrebet
Opposing Young who has a poor record in Japan. Her best finish in four attempts at this title is just 29th despite the small field and she finished, on average, more than seven shots behind Kane over those four occasions. She did manage to finish ahead of Kane last week, but that was by a singe shot and it was the only time in their last four common events that she had done so. She should not do so again in Japan.
Brittany Lang to beat Heather Young -135 @ The Greek [4pts]
Lang has never played in Japan before now, but she is a player who is at the start of a very promising career (22nd on the Money List in her rookie season) as opposed to one who has shown little signs of such promise (just one top-10 finish this year). Lang has finished in the top-25 in six of her last seven starts, whereas Young has managed that once and Lang has finished ahead of Young in each of their last four common events, including the last two weeks. Should be an easy win.
1/4 1-5:
Kung 66/1 Skybet
Castrale 50/1 Skybet
Nakata 200/1 Coral
Lee J-H 125/1 Coral
Koga 125/1 Coral
1/5 1-5:
Hjorth 80/1 Sportingbet
Jeon 80/1 Stan James
Meena Lee 50/1 Betdirect
1/4 1-4:
Fukushima 100/1 BetInternet
Kung 66/1 Skybet
Castrale 50/1 Skybet
Nakata 200/1 Coral
Lee J-H 125/1 Coral
Koga 125/1 Coral
1/5 1-5:
Hjorth 80/1 Sportingbet
Jeon 80/1 Stan James
Meena Lee 50/1 Betdirect
1/4 1-4:
Fukushima 100/1 BetInternet
Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -3.00pts
Jang 25th
Miyazato 7th
Jeon 40th
Disappointing return after Miyazato had held the lead at numerous times during the event, including during the final round. Being two-over-par for the last four holes, though, meant that she even managed to finish a shot outside the payout places.
Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 3-1; +5.90pts
Icher/Ahn WON by 5
Park/Hjorth LOST by 3
Kane/Young WON by 5
Lang/Young WON by 11
Nice profit on the matchups to ensure a profitable event.
Jang 25th
Miyazato 7th
Jeon 40th
Disappointing return after Miyazato had held the lead at numerous times during the event, including during the final round. Being two-over-par for the last four holes, though, meant that she even managed to finish a shot outside the payout places.
Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 3-1; +5.90pts
Icher/Ahn WON by 5
Park/Hjorth LOST by 3
Kane/Young WON by 5
Lang/Young WON by 11
Nice profit on the matchups to ensure a profitable event.
