ML Parlay 1/9/07

[blgstocks]

Have been doing pretty well on the ML parlays so far this season going 3-0 in the past week.

Havent been posting or adding the units to my posting record because I figured they are not really a true pick and I dont expect it to help anybody out, not that my other picks do lol.

Anyways, thought I would start posting them since my book acct keeps growing and i basically keep my record at the bottom for my money tracking purposes.

I have a list of about 10 teams that I look to play with (picks) and a list of teams to fade. Then I only play on the picks when they are at home and as a favorite, and I only play on fades when they are on the road as a dog.

I have been tracking the #'s for a little over the week on these and am starting to get enough numbers for it to be stat signifcant, so I started playing them and like I said 3-0 so far. I usually eat quite a bit of chalk when i take these heavy ml but they hit at such a high % and the parlays help keep the plays profitable since a loss wont wipe me out.

2 units to win 1 on Fla ML + CSU ML

 

[Hucklebuck]

It is a quiet way to build a bankroll. Parlaying is the key as sometimes 11 to 1 just seems absurd, but a winner is a winner. I have had a lot of success playing top teams in conference at home on the 2nd half ML this year. Take a look at that as another method to slowly build the bankroll.

 

[shamrock]

Huck, could you elaborate briefly, are you saying you take top conference teams i.e. Florida UCLA etc. in the second half of games, like playing Florida tonight in the second half of the Arkansas game?

 

[Hucklebuck]

FL ML 2nd Half -460 is a perfect example tonight. Kind of glad Ark went on that late run to make this game tight.

 

[Hucklebuck]

Creighton -320 2nd Half

 

[blgstocks]

It is a quiet way to build a bankroll. Parlaying is the key as sometimes 11 to 1 just seems absurd, but a winner is a winner. I have had a lot of success playing top teams in conference at home on the 2nd half ML this year. Take a look at that as another method to slowly build the bankroll.

thanks for the input hucklebuck, where are you getting these 2nd half ml

i have been using bj lately but i also have an acct over at pinny, and i am pretty sure bj doesnt do 2nd half ml

 

[Hucklebuck]

Blg sorry to hijack your thread, my bad.

These lines are all from Pinny. If Texas A&M was at home they would have fit into the system, but on the road they are getting all they can handle from Baylor.

Both Fla and Creighton were up 1 at half. 2nd Half ML provided quite a bit of value if you compared it to the game ML. I just have lists of bad road teams, good home teams, and matchups and each day identify a few games that could fit in the system and then follow the games as best I can.

AFA was looking like a play, need to check on the line though. They laid a major 1st half egg.

 

[Hucklebuck]

AFA down too much at half. They are -11 for 2nd half and so no ML. Had they been within the 5-8 range the ML probably would have been around -500.

 

[blgstocks]

your not hijackin my thread at all,

any input is definitely of value and i really like your angle

I do agree that 2nd half bets are usually better and 2nd hf ml seem to have quite more value

I dont know if i have the time to sit and watch all the games to spot the ml

If you dont mind tellin me what your good home teams you look for, or bad away teams are

 

[Hucklebuck]

These are the teams I have as potential 2nd half value for tomorrow. I probably won't be around, have a high school game to coach.

ODU -17.5
Buff (they are on the border) -1.5 (Drop)
Navy (No Line)
Miss St -8.5
Indiana -8.5
Mich St -13
Stl -8.5
Oke -15
Tex -8.5
Tulsa (this one fits all criteria) -13.5
Maryland -15
USD -18
Byu -12 (Missed this one the first time through)

Now by tomorrow at around 330 Pacific I normally have this list whittled to maybe 2-5 teams.

I also play game ML, but have found 2nd half ML to be much less juice and a whole lot more value.

(Edited in game lines)

After putting in the lines it comes down to finding teams that fit the criteria and are in a close game at half. Now you need to look for foul trouble, if they are playing a team that runs a gimmick defense, or presses, if they shoot a lot of 3s etc.

It is time consuming and requires too much time on the computer, but it has been profitable when I am able to be patient.

 

[blgstocks]

im from roughly the same area hucklebuck

what high school do you coach at?

 

[blgstocks]

well another winner tonight

4 plays for tomorrow

GT ML
KU ML
Texas ML
Georgia ML

But Duke always ****s me over
Ok St is a very tough team
SC is a tough team
Texas is such a young team

But I prolly will play two ML parlays and then a 4 ML parlay just for giggles

Will have to wait and see

 

[blgstocks]

well another winner tonight

4 plays for tomorrow

GT ML
KU ML
Texas ML
Georgia ML

But Duke always ****s me over
Ok St is a very tough team
SC is a tough team
Texas is such a young team

But I prolly will play two ML parlays and then a 4 ML parlay just for giggles

Will have to wait and see

I geuss thats why it is a system and not up to me to pick and choose. Really wish I would have done what I was going to last night, but I will take the Texas/KU ML winner as consolation:mj06: