Yesterday's Recap:
No plays took the day off......
I got five games that I liked and played on the early overnight lines......
Play: D-Backs Vs. Rockies Under
Line: Under 11 -121
Pitchers: Randy Johnson Vs. Neagle
With the Big Unit on the mound it really neutralizes that middle of the order with Walker and Helton being left handed. When was the last time you got to go under double digits with the big unit on the mound? Plus it isn't like Neagle came up from the minors yesterday.
Play: Marlins (Smith)
Line: -127
Opponent: Phillies (Chen)
Chuck Smith at home this year has been dominant, hitters are only hitting .170 off him at home. Plus righties struggle against him hitting only .174, should help keep down Burrell and Rolen. Chen has a 5.02 ERA on the road this year in his starts, plus the Marlins have been playing really good baseball the last couple weeks.
Play: Red Sox (Wakefield)
Line: -177
Opponent: Blue Jays (Parris)
Huge chalk, I know. But, this game should be around -230 when you look at the total picture. Parris is 1-4 with a 6.21 ERA on the road. 5.84 ERA in day starts with and opponents avg at .345; Lefties hit .421 overall of of him!!! Road starts he is allowing an opponents average of .352... Billy Koch has a 90% chance of not being available. Wakefield has been great over his starts. 2.25 ERA in them and a 1.61 ERA in June. Boston's bullpen, looks like Beck, Lowe, Garces will all be able to go.
Play: Twins Vs. Tigers Under
Line: Under 9 -120
Pitchers: Milton Vs. Sparks
Milton has an ERA of 3.79 for day games, but here is the impressive stats for Milton.... With runners in scoring position, opponents hit .178 and with runners in scoring position and 2 outs they hit .160.... Sparks has been great in June with a 2.64 ERA; Runners in scoring position opponents hitting .230 scoring pos. 2 outs .234
Play: Orioles (Towers)
Line: -129
Opponent: White Sox (Baldwin)
I am a believer in Towers he has been absolutely great!!!! 5-1 with a 1.97 ERA, just hoping he can keep that shaky O's Bullpen off the field. Baldwin has been horrible on the road. 6.97 ERA, opponents hitting .348, runners in scoring pos. opponents hit .339; and get this, with runners in scoring position and two outs opponents hit a whopping .433 off him.
Note: I wanted to play the under 8 1/2 in the Giants and Cards game, but the way Dusty Baker is blowing thru his bullpen again tonite I am going to have to pass.
Possibly be back later with more if lines move accordingly, good luck,
HC
No plays took the day off......
I got five games that I liked and played on the early overnight lines......
Play: D-Backs Vs. Rockies Under
Line: Under 11 -121
Pitchers: Randy Johnson Vs. Neagle
With the Big Unit on the mound it really neutralizes that middle of the order with Walker and Helton being left handed. When was the last time you got to go under double digits with the big unit on the mound? Plus it isn't like Neagle came up from the minors yesterday.
Play: Marlins (Smith)
Line: -127
Opponent: Phillies (Chen)
Chuck Smith at home this year has been dominant, hitters are only hitting .170 off him at home. Plus righties struggle against him hitting only .174, should help keep down Burrell and Rolen. Chen has a 5.02 ERA on the road this year in his starts, plus the Marlins have been playing really good baseball the last couple weeks.
Play: Red Sox (Wakefield)
Line: -177
Opponent: Blue Jays (Parris)
Huge chalk, I know. But, this game should be around -230 when you look at the total picture. Parris is 1-4 with a 6.21 ERA on the road. 5.84 ERA in day starts with and opponents avg at .345; Lefties hit .421 overall of of him!!! Road starts he is allowing an opponents average of .352... Billy Koch has a 90% chance of not being available. Wakefield has been great over his starts. 2.25 ERA in them and a 1.61 ERA in June. Boston's bullpen, looks like Beck, Lowe, Garces will all be able to go.
Play: Twins Vs. Tigers Under
Line: Under 9 -120
Pitchers: Milton Vs. Sparks
Milton has an ERA of 3.79 for day games, but here is the impressive stats for Milton.... With runners in scoring position, opponents hit .178 and with runners in scoring position and 2 outs they hit .160.... Sparks has been great in June with a 2.64 ERA; Runners in scoring position opponents hitting .230 scoring pos. 2 outs .234
Play: Orioles (Towers)
Line: -129
Opponent: White Sox (Baldwin)
I am a believer in Towers he has been absolutely great!!!! 5-1 with a 1.97 ERA, just hoping he can keep that shaky O's Bullpen off the field. Baldwin has been horrible on the road. 6.97 ERA, opponents hitting .348, runners in scoring pos. opponents hit .339; and get this, with runners in scoring position and two outs opponents hit a whopping .433 off him.
Note: I wanted to play the under 8 1/2 in the Giants and Cards game, but the way Dusty Baker is blowing thru his bullpen again tonite I am going to have to pass.
Possibly be back later with more if lines move accordingly, good luck,
HC
