MLB PLAY Wednesday April 16

ndnfan

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Record at Madjacks: 5-0 (+5.19 UNITS)

UNDER 9 PITTSBURGH ?123:

Pretty much a nice combination of things have me on this Under. Let?s take a look.

First of all, none of these teams last 7 meetings have gone over 9 runs. Also Both offenses seem to be struggling a bit. Pittsburgh is hitting just .236 as a team while the Mets are hitting just .216 as a team.

Would not surprise me to see David Cone pitch a nice game today. He?s the type of pitcher that is tough if you haven?t seem him for a while. This showed some in his first 2 starts this season. He pitched 5 awesome innings in his first start vs the Expos only to get rocked by that same team in his next start.

Cone will be facing a Pittsburgh team that will also be without their best hitter in Brian Giles.

Suppan gets the start for Pittsburgh, and I think you?ll see a good game from him as well. Suppan has a 2.38 career ERA vs the Mets in 2 starts and seems to have his groundball stuff working right off the bat this season. You remember the first half of last season, all the home runs he allowed, well he only allowed 10 the entire 2nd half last season and so far through 2 games this year, he has not allowed any. In case you?re wondering he?s been right up their the last couple of seasons in groundball/flyball ratio. In 2001 it was 1.62 to 1, in 2002 it was 1.60 to 1 and this season it?s even better at 1.85 to 1. The number of homers should be limited in this one.

Also, the home ump in this game is Eddings which will be beneficial to both pitchers today. He has been known to have one of the larger strikezones. So far this season, Edding?s strike % is at 64.3% so both pitchers should benefit here.

Basically, it?s a nice combination of factors that set up for a low scoring affair?at least low enough to keep this one under the posted total of 9.

Good luck :thumb:

-ndnfan
 

loophole

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big play for me also, ndnfan. here's a few items not mentioned in your excellent writeup:

eddings consistently large strike zone over his career, in which games are 49-75 to the under, with k/w ratio over 2.7 over the last four seasons. mets 0-8 under on the road this season, pirates 0-4 under at home. cone has lifetime 3.42 era vs pirates. wind tonight forecasted to be left to right @ 14 mph.

thanks for the consistent contributions and g/l tonight.
 

ndnfan

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Thanks Anthony!

Loop.....thanks also for the added info. Only good things usually happen when we have the same thoughts on a game :cool:

Good luck today!
 

ndnfan

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heleanth said:
Pinnacle is on to you, ndnfan. The total is down to 8 1/2. I took it anyway. Thanks and continued good luck to you.:)

Thanks heleanth......I guess I shouldn't be too upset about getting the -123 instead of the -120 I could have gotten last night then :)

Good luck to you today!
 

cooz3

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interesting note on this game....in eddings 8 games with them mets since 99....none...not one has gone over 8

im riding you as im cold...

good luck ...cooz
 

loophole

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sa w that, cooz3; however all but two of those games @ shea. still, eddings definitely a plus for an under play here.
 

Lightning

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Weather Update

Weather Update

New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates, 7:05 p.m.

Mostly cloudy. Winds blowing out to center field at 10-20 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 70.

With winds blowing straight out at 10-20 m.p.h. ... would you still recommend this play?
 

ndnfan

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lightning.....yes, especially with the ground ballers on the mound today and given the other situations...wind might not play much of a role in this one even if it is blowing out.
 
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