MLB PLAY Wednesday April 2

ndnfan

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Madjacks posted record: 0-0

Playing:

ANAHEIM -167 (1 UNIT)


Will have some analysis posted in a bit.

Good luck to everyone today :)

-ndnfan
 

ndnfan

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Anaheim ? 167:

Anaheim got an early wake up call after their season opening loss to Texas and got their first win of the season yesterday. Sometimes that first win is the hardest. I can definitely see the Angels bats staying hot in this one to take 2 of 3 in the series. Manager Mike Scioscia made the comment yesterday about everyone wanting to get all the ceremonial stuff over with so they can concentrate playing baseball and not worrying about the other distractions going on. Having Ramon Ortiz on the mound should be a big plus.

Ortiz has pitched in the majors for 3 seasons and if you take a look at his stats, you?ll see some trends in his stats that should be made note of. Ortiz has improved his ERA, his control (walks allowed per 9 innings), and has increased his strikeouts per 9 innings each and every season. The only negative is the 40 home runs that he allowed last year, but even that was something that he cut way down in the 2nd half of last season. He?s a guy that takes pitching very seriously. Always emotional and someone that is constantly working on his problem areas and I think you?ll see the continued improvement in the homerun category this season. In case you?re wondering, this spring he?s only allowed one home run in 6 spring starts that included 24.1 innings pitched.

Ortiz has also dominated the Texas Rangers over the course of his young career. He has a 9-1 record in 13 career starts vs them and was also very dominant vs this Texas team last season going 3-0 in 5 starts while holding Texas batters to hit a microscopic .171 as a team vs him.

Overall, Ortiz held opposing batters to just a .210 average last season. This is impressive, but even more impressive are his ?pressure pitching? numbers. Take a look:

Ortiz with runners on??..allowing batters to hit just .189 off him
Ortiz with runners in scoring position?.allowing batters to hit just .187 off him
Ortiz with runners in scoring pos and 2 out?allowing batters to hit just .150 off him.

John Thompson will be starting for the Texas Rangers today. Now normally a slight edge would go to him as he?s never faced the Angels in his past except for one lifetime start. I say normally because I don?t think he?s prepared enough this season (mechanics, injuries) to have that advantage. His stuff has not been too good this spring and if you take a look, you?ll see that he?s made 6 starts and was just 1-2 with a whopping 6.86 ERA while allowing 33 hits in just 19.2 innings! :eek:

To make things worse for Thompson, in his last spring start, he sprained his ankle and this could play a role. Even if that?s sound which the way it sounds he tested it a couple days ago, you have to wonder if he?ll be a little more unfocused with this in the back of his mind. Reason I say this, is because Thompson?s been on the DL quite a bit the last several years, and there?s some pressure on him, as he?s being heavily counted on to be in the Texas rotation which is down to a 4-man rotation to start the season.

Home Plate Umpire in this one is scheduled to be Doug Eddings who has had a larger than average strikezone over the past few seasons. The last 3 years, Eddings has had a strikeout/walk ratio way over the league average of 2 to 1. Check them out:

2002: Eddings had a 2.6 to 1 K/BB ratio
2001: Eddings had a 3.1 to 1 K/BB ratio
2000: Eddings had a 2.7 to 1 K/BB ratio.

I believe this could be beneficial as well to Ortiz. The last 2 games Ortiz has started with Eddings as the home ump, he?s recorded 13 strikeouts and only walked 3 in 12 innings?so he does matchup well with Eddings. Thompson has no experience with Eddings the past couple of years from my info.

Bottom line, I think the World Series Champs have a big edge in pitching in this one(both starting and relieving) and they take care of business and take the series. .

Good Luck! :thumb:

-ndnfan
 

Heyward

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OK, but could you give some kind of "reasoning" or "analysis" for your pick? :D

Good luck this year, buddy.
 

grooven

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Good Luck Pete. What is your take on the over in this DRays/BoSox game tonight. Both pens were completely depleted last night. So far 2 out of 2 games have gone over and the drays are playing small ball over 9 runs seems like a real attainable number
 

ndnfan

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grooven said:
Good Luck Pete. What is your take on the over in this DRays/BoSox game tonight. Both pens were completely depleted last night. So far 2 out of 2 games have gone over and the drays are playing small ball over 9 runs seems like a real attainable number

grooven.....I'm looking at my notes for this game, and I more/less have mixed feelings on this total.

The problem I have with this game is the fact I almost feel like the Sox could easily get 7 or more themselves in this one just because of Parque. After shoulder surgery, Parque's velocity dropped off so bad last year it was unreal. He gave up 11 home runs in 25 innings which comes out to an average of over 4 per nine innnings pitched.

Then again, I just can't see Tampa putting up many runs at all vs Lowe. Lowe's ground ball/fly ball ratio was tops in the majors last year and the 2nd best pitcher wasn't even close to him...it was unreal. Lowe was at 3.46 gb/fb and the next guy was at 2.75 gb/fb in case you're wondering. This will kill plenty of that rally killing small ball stuff imo.

Lowe actually had 5 starts vs Tampa BAy last season and was 3-0 with a 1.70 ERA only allowing a total of 18 hits in 37 innings. Tampa hitters hit a combined .133 against him!

Basically grooven, if this game goes over, I think Boston's gonna have to get at least 7 or 8 runs which could happen, but I'm not willing to take a chance....definitely a no-play.

Hope this helps ya some

-ndnfan
 

Hermione

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NDNFAN,

Nice call on the Anaheim game & nice writeup. I coattailed you a lot last year. Hope to see more picks & writeups from you!

Thanks again for the winner!
 

bohawk

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Good writeup&call. GL with you endeavors.Thanks,for not for-
getting the Mad-Jackers.:D :D Go Tribe!:D
 

ndnfan

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Thanks guys....will try to contribute as much as possible. MJ's is the best site on the net.


Hey Lanny (bohawk), Just finished watching the Indians game :) Think people are gonna see how good this Rodriguez kid is for the tribe. Good way for him to start the season with a nice confident builder vs a weak hitting Baltimore club. 7 IP, 4 hits, 1 earned run.

GO TRIBE :D
 

bohawk

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WAhoo----------------:D :D :D Badboys won. Like Eric Wedge.
Just like Brad Kominisk. Will do well TY.:D
 

bohawk

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Got excited after my Tribe won. On them like a "Big Tepee".
It`s "Komminsk". Bought a car from his dad many "moons" ago.:D :D GL
 

Spock

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nice call Pete .. how's it going ..

did not see it before otherwise would have put down some change on the Angels ..

good luck
Spock
 
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