I focus on totals in college football, specifically Unders.
All plays are based on league-based (not team-based) profiles I developed and fine tuned over the years.
(I use "profiles" because I hate the word "system." In the sportsbook, I had a saying: "Blessed are the System Guys, for they have discovered the way to beat us." Sarcasm, of course.)
I offer occasional NFL plays, when a specific situational play is active.
I rarely play MLB, because even when I put $ on a game it bores me so much I find myself switching channels to find something more interesting to watch (well, that and my O's have sucked so badly for so long it's painful to follow.)
But . . . a few months back I received an email from an old friend I hadn't heard from in years.
Rather than type a new message, he just replied to an older email we had gone back and forth in.
I read my emails within it and saw this:
Reviewing my log books for MLB profiles this morning, here's the record of my best one:
21-11, 65% in 2009
25-10, 71% in 2010
46-21 combined, 69%
The two year sample shows that we get apprx. 33 plays per season in this spot.
You can get higher W %'s by breaking it down further; examples:
NL has higher W % than AL;
overall higher W % when the game played the previous day was a night game
overall higher W % when it's the same two teams facing each other.
All that means absolutely NOTHING today.
But, it interested me enough to see what it yields this season, so I'll play it and post plays here to pass the time until football starts; IF football starts.
(I have over 12 years worth of football logbooks, but couldn't find my MLB log so I'm not sure of how this profile played out in subsequent years.)
This year, 2020 DC (During Corona) is weird enough as is 'cuz of the dempanic. Handicapping has a few additional factors involved, but this profile play is directly affected as the old record was 2009 BC and 2010 BC (Before Corona) AND the play is based on extra innings, which means it's subject to the ridiculous new rule change*. Not sure how that will affect this, so small $ bets for now, not investment plays.
I'll post all plays when the situation is active (nothing fits today.)
Good luck to all of the Mad Jackers this season,
RBD
* Ways you can get to 2nd base in MLB extra innings, circa 2020:
A double
A single and an error
A single or walk and a stolen base
A single and advance on a hit, walk, balk, or passed ball.
Magic.
All plays are based on league-based (not team-based) profiles I developed and fine tuned over the years.
(I use "profiles" because I hate the word "system." In the sportsbook, I had a saying: "Blessed are the System Guys, for they have discovered the way to beat us." Sarcasm, of course.)
I offer occasional NFL plays, when a specific situational play is active.
I rarely play MLB, because even when I put $ on a game it bores me so much I find myself switching channels to find something more interesting to watch (well, that and my O's have sucked so badly for so long it's painful to follow.)
But . . . a few months back I received an email from an old friend I hadn't heard from in years.
Rather than type a new message, he just replied to an older email we had gone back and forth in.
I read my emails within it and saw this:
Reviewing my log books for MLB profiles this morning, here's the record of my best one:
21-11, 65% in 2009
25-10, 71% in 2010
46-21 combined, 69%
The two year sample shows that we get apprx. 33 plays per season in this spot.
You can get higher W %'s by breaking it down further; examples:
NL has higher W % than AL;
overall higher W % when the game played the previous day was a night game
overall higher W % when it's the same two teams facing each other.
All that means absolutely NOTHING today.
But, it interested me enough to see what it yields this season, so I'll play it and post plays here to pass the time until football starts; IF football starts.
(I have over 12 years worth of football logbooks, but couldn't find my MLB log so I'm not sure of how this profile played out in subsequent years.)
This year, 2020 DC (During Corona) is weird enough as is 'cuz of the dempanic. Handicapping has a few additional factors involved, but this profile play is directly affected as the old record was 2009 BC and 2010 BC (Before Corona) AND the play is based on extra innings, which means it's subject to the ridiculous new rule change*. Not sure how that will affect this, so small $ bets for now, not investment plays.
I'll post all plays when the situation is active (nothing fits today.)
Good luck to all of the Mad Jackers this season,
RBD
* Ways you can get to 2nd base in MLB extra innings, circa 2020:
A double
A single and an error
A single or walk and a stolen base
A single and advance on a hit, walk, balk, or passed ball.
Magic.
