#951 CINCINNATI @ #952 WASHINGTON - 7:05 PM
?Reds RH Mike Leake (2-3, 3.09 ERA, WHIP: 0.995) - The Reds have lost each of Leake's last five starts, even though he has pitched well during that stretch -- particularly this month. Leake has a 1.96 ERA in three May starts and was not involved in the decision Tuesday against San Diego despite allowing only one run and two hits in eight innings. Several Nationals players have terrific career numbers against Leake, including Jayson Werth (7-for-17), Ian Desmond (7-for-20), and Ramos (4-for-12, two home runs).
--KEY STAT: LEAKE is 24-7 against the run line (+18.0 Units) in road games in the first half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LEAKE 4.5, OPPONENT 3.4.
?Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (3-3, 3.48 ERA, WHIP: 1.325) - Strasburg has allowed only one home run over his previous five outings and worked at least seven innings in three of his last four starts. However, he has been much better at home this season (3-1, 2.30 ERA) than on the road (0-2, 5.09). Strasburg is 1-1 with a 7.36 ERA lifetime against Cincinnati, including a 6-3 road loss last season.
--KEY STAT: STRASBURG is 3-17 against the run line (-14.3 Units) as a favorite when the run line price is +115 to +160 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STRASBURG 3.1, OPPONENT 3.9.
--STRASBURG is 12-27 against the run line (-18.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STRASBURG 3.8, OPPONENT 3.8.
--STRASBURG is 8-20 against the run line (-14.0 Units) when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STRASBURG 3.6, OPPONENT 4.0.
--STRASBURG is 0-8 against the run line (-9.5 Units) against National League Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STRASBURG 2.8, OPPONENT 4.5.
#953 MILWAUKEE @ #954 ATLANTA - 7:10 PM
?Brewers RH Wily Peralta (4-2, 2.05 ERA, WHIP: 1.101) - Peralta won three consecutive April starts but is 1-2 in his past four outings, in part because the Brewers have scored a total of five runs in those contests. He pitched well last Wednesday against Pittsburgh, getting a no-decision despite allowing one run on five hits over seven innings. Peralta is 1-0 with a 0.69 ERA in two career starts against Atlanta, giving up one run in 13 innings.
--KEY STAT: PERALTA is 11-2 UNDER (+8.6 Units) versus an National League team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PERALTA 3.1, OPPONENT 2.9.
--PERALTA is 7-0 UNDER (+7.1 Units) versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was PERALTA 2.6, OPPONENT 2.4.
--PERALTA is 7-0 UNDER (+7.1 Units) versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was PERALTA 2.6, OPPONENT 2.4.
--PERALTA is 7-0 UNDER (+7.1 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was PERALTA 2.6, OPPONENT 2.4.
--PERALTA is 20-6 UNDER (+12.8 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PERALTA 2.6, OPPONENT 3.6.
?Braves LH Mike Minor (1-2, 4.24 ERA, WHIP: 1.471) - Minor posted his first victory of the season Tuesday in San Francisco, holding the Giants scoreless on three hits in 6 2/3 innings. His pitch count has increased through his first three starts, from 80 to 91 to 110. Minor is 1-2 against the Brewers with a 2.96 ERA in four lifetime appearances against Milwaukee, striking out 20 in 24 1/3 innings.
--KEY STAT: MINOR is 16-8 OVER (+8.3 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MINOR 4.9, OPPONENT 3.2.
#955 DETROIT @ #956 CLEVELAND - 7:05 PM
?Tigers LH Drew Smyly (2-2, 2.70 ERA, WHIP: 1.111) - Smyly is settling in nicely to the Detroit rotation and is coming off a start at Baltimore in which he allowed one run on five hits in six innings. The 24-year-old has allowed three or fewer earned runs in each of his last four outings. Smyly has made 11 career appearances against Cleveland - one start - and owns a 1-1 record with a 5.09 ERA in 17 2/3 total innings.
?Indians RH Corey Kluber (4-3, 3.38 ERA, WHIP: 1.278) - Kluber has been dominant over his last three starts, allowing a total of five runs in 21 2/3 innings while striking out 31. The Alabama native has fanned at least nine batters in four of his last five starts and owns 66 strikeouts in 58 2/3 total innings. Kluber is just 1-3 with a 5.50 ERA in seven career appearances - six starts - and struggles to retire Cabrera (8-of-17 with three home runs and seven RBIs).
--KEY STAT: KLUBER is 13-2 (+12.4 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 6.7, OPPONENT 3.7.
--KLUBER is 14-4 (+11.3 Units) against the money line versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 6.8, OPPONENT 4.1.
--KLUBER is 13-4 OVER (+9.1 Units) versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 6.8, OPPONENT 4.1.
--KLUBER is 21-9 OVER (+11.7 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 5.5, OPPONENT 5.3.
--KLUBER is 15-5 OVER (+9.8 Units) in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 6.5, OPPONENT 4.9.
#957 CHI WHITE SOX @ #958 KANSAS CITY - 8:10 PM
?White Sox RH Scott Carroll (1-3, 5.24 ERA, WHIP: 1.747) - Carroll was outstanding in his first two career starts, allowing just one earned run over 13 1/3 innings, but he has been roughed up his last two times out. He surrendered six runs and 11 hits for the second straight outing Tuesday at Oakland, lasting just five frames while dropping his third straight start. The 29-year-old has allowed three homers in his last two turns after not giving up any in his first two outings.
?Royals LH Jason Vargas (4-1, 3.00 ERA, WHIP: 1.117) - Vargas' hot start faded into two sub-par outings, but he has rebounded with back-to-back wins in which he has allowed two runs over 13 2/3 innings. The 31-year-old racked up a season-high eight strikeouts Wednesday against Colorado while giving up two runs and five hits in 6 2/3 frames. Vargas is 1-1 with a 6.31 ERA in seven games (six starts) against the White Sox.
--KEY STAT: VARGAS is 21-9 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was VARGAS 4.1, OPPONENT 3.1.
--VARGAS is 9-2 against the run line (+9.5 Units) in home games versus an American League team with they batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VARGAS 5.2, OPPONENT 3.3.
#959 HOUSTON @ #960 LA ANGELS - 10:05 PM
?Astros LH Dallas Keuchel (4-2, 3.06 ERA, WHIP: 1.113) - Kuechel pitched his first career shutout on Tuesday against Texas, allowing fewer than three runs for the fifth time in eight starts this season. The 26-year-old Tulsa native has recorded 47 strikeouts and issued 11 walks in 53 innings, and teams are batting .244 against him. Howie Kendrick is 4-for-10 with a homer versus Kuechel, who yielded four runs over five frames in losing to the Angels on April 5 in his season debut.
--KEY STAT: KEUCHEL is 15-5 OVER (+9.5 Units) as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KEUCHEL 4.5, OPPONENT 5.9.
--KEUCHEL is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KEUCHEL 4.7, OPPONENT 6.5.
?Angels RH Garrett Richards (4-0, 2.42 ERA, WHIP: 1.058) - Richards has been outstanding this season, limiting six of eight opponents to two or fewer runs after blanking Philadelphia over seven innings on Wednesday. The 25-year old has given up only one homer in 52 frames while striking out 54 and holding batters to a .186 average. Chris Carter is 5-for-10 with a homer against Richards, who surrendered one run in five innings to beat Houston on April 4.
--KEY STAT: RICHARDS is 8-0 OVER (+8.1 Units) in home games versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was RICHARDS 6.7, OPPONENT 5.2.
--RICHARDS is 8-0 OVER (+8.1 Units) in home games versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was RICHARDS 6.7, OPPONENT 5.2.
--RICHARDS is 9-0 OVER (+9.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was RICHARDS 7.0, OPPONENT 4.7.
--RICHARDS is 8-0 OVER (+8.1 Units) at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was RICHARDS 6.7, OPPONENT 5.2.
--RICHARDS is 9-0 OVER (+9.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was RICHARDS 7.0, OPPONENT 4.7.
--RICHARDS is 8-0 OVER (+8.1 Units) in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was RICHARDS 6.7, OPPONENT 5.2.
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?Reds RH Mike Leake (2-3, 3.09 ERA, WHIP: 0.995) - The Reds have lost each of Leake's last five starts, even though he has pitched well during that stretch -- particularly this month. Leake has a 1.96 ERA in three May starts and was not involved in the decision Tuesday against San Diego despite allowing only one run and two hits in eight innings. Several Nationals players have terrific career numbers against Leake, including Jayson Werth (7-for-17), Ian Desmond (7-for-20), and Ramos (4-for-12, two home runs).
--KEY STAT: LEAKE is 24-7 against the run line (+18.0 Units) in road games in the first half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LEAKE 4.5, OPPONENT 3.4.
?Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (3-3, 3.48 ERA, WHIP: 1.325) - Strasburg has allowed only one home run over his previous five outings and worked at least seven innings in three of his last four starts. However, he has been much better at home this season (3-1, 2.30 ERA) than on the road (0-2, 5.09). Strasburg is 1-1 with a 7.36 ERA lifetime against Cincinnati, including a 6-3 road loss last season.
--KEY STAT: STRASBURG is 3-17 against the run line (-14.3 Units) as a favorite when the run line price is +115 to +160 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STRASBURG 3.1, OPPONENT 3.9.
--STRASBURG is 12-27 against the run line (-18.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STRASBURG 3.8, OPPONENT 3.8.
--STRASBURG is 8-20 against the run line (-14.0 Units) when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STRASBURG 3.6, OPPONENT 4.0.
--STRASBURG is 0-8 against the run line (-9.5 Units) against National League Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STRASBURG 2.8, OPPONENT 4.5.
#953 MILWAUKEE @ #954 ATLANTA - 7:10 PM
?Brewers RH Wily Peralta (4-2, 2.05 ERA, WHIP: 1.101) - Peralta won three consecutive April starts but is 1-2 in his past four outings, in part because the Brewers have scored a total of five runs in those contests. He pitched well last Wednesday against Pittsburgh, getting a no-decision despite allowing one run on five hits over seven innings. Peralta is 1-0 with a 0.69 ERA in two career starts against Atlanta, giving up one run in 13 innings.
--KEY STAT: PERALTA is 11-2 UNDER (+8.6 Units) versus an National League team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PERALTA 3.1, OPPONENT 2.9.
--PERALTA is 7-0 UNDER (+7.1 Units) versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was PERALTA 2.6, OPPONENT 2.4.
--PERALTA is 7-0 UNDER (+7.1 Units) versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was PERALTA 2.6, OPPONENT 2.4.
--PERALTA is 7-0 UNDER (+7.1 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was PERALTA 2.6, OPPONENT 2.4.
--PERALTA is 20-6 UNDER (+12.8 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PERALTA 2.6, OPPONENT 3.6.
?Braves LH Mike Minor (1-2, 4.24 ERA, WHIP: 1.471) - Minor posted his first victory of the season Tuesday in San Francisco, holding the Giants scoreless on three hits in 6 2/3 innings. His pitch count has increased through his first three starts, from 80 to 91 to 110. Minor is 1-2 against the Brewers with a 2.96 ERA in four lifetime appearances against Milwaukee, striking out 20 in 24 1/3 innings.
--KEY STAT: MINOR is 16-8 OVER (+8.3 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MINOR 4.9, OPPONENT 3.2.
#955 DETROIT @ #956 CLEVELAND - 7:05 PM
?Tigers LH Drew Smyly (2-2, 2.70 ERA, WHIP: 1.111) - Smyly is settling in nicely to the Detroit rotation and is coming off a start at Baltimore in which he allowed one run on five hits in six innings. The 24-year-old has allowed three or fewer earned runs in each of his last four outings. Smyly has made 11 career appearances against Cleveland - one start - and owns a 1-1 record with a 5.09 ERA in 17 2/3 total innings.
?Indians RH Corey Kluber (4-3, 3.38 ERA, WHIP: 1.278) - Kluber has been dominant over his last three starts, allowing a total of five runs in 21 2/3 innings while striking out 31. The Alabama native has fanned at least nine batters in four of his last five starts and owns 66 strikeouts in 58 2/3 total innings. Kluber is just 1-3 with a 5.50 ERA in seven career appearances - six starts - and struggles to retire Cabrera (8-of-17 with three home runs and seven RBIs).
--KEY STAT: KLUBER is 13-2 (+12.4 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 6.7, OPPONENT 3.7.
--KLUBER is 14-4 (+11.3 Units) against the money line versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 6.8, OPPONENT 4.1.
--KLUBER is 13-4 OVER (+9.1 Units) versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 6.8, OPPONENT 4.1.
--KLUBER is 21-9 OVER (+11.7 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 5.5, OPPONENT 5.3.
--KLUBER is 15-5 OVER (+9.8 Units) in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 6.5, OPPONENT 4.9.
#957 CHI WHITE SOX @ #958 KANSAS CITY - 8:10 PM
?White Sox RH Scott Carroll (1-3, 5.24 ERA, WHIP: 1.747) - Carroll was outstanding in his first two career starts, allowing just one earned run over 13 1/3 innings, but he has been roughed up his last two times out. He surrendered six runs and 11 hits for the second straight outing Tuesday at Oakland, lasting just five frames while dropping his third straight start. The 29-year-old has allowed three homers in his last two turns after not giving up any in his first two outings.
?Royals LH Jason Vargas (4-1, 3.00 ERA, WHIP: 1.117) - Vargas' hot start faded into two sub-par outings, but he has rebounded with back-to-back wins in which he has allowed two runs over 13 2/3 innings. The 31-year-old racked up a season-high eight strikeouts Wednesday against Colorado while giving up two runs and five hits in 6 2/3 frames. Vargas is 1-1 with a 6.31 ERA in seven games (six starts) against the White Sox.
--KEY STAT: VARGAS is 21-9 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was VARGAS 4.1, OPPONENT 3.1.
--VARGAS is 9-2 against the run line (+9.5 Units) in home games versus an American League team with they batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VARGAS 5.2, OPPONENT 3.3.
#959 HOUSTON @ #960 LA ANGELS - 10:05 PM
?Astros LH Dallas Keuchel (4-2, 3.06 ERA, WHIP: 1.113) - Kuechel pitched his first career shutout on Tuesday against Texas, allowing fewer than three runs for the fifth time in eight starts this season. The 26-year-old Tulsa native has recorded 47 strikeouts and issued 11 walks in 53 innings, and teams are batting .244 against him. Howie Kendrick is 4-for-10 with a homer versus Kuechel, who yielded four runs over five frames in losing to the Angels on April 5 in his season debut.
--KEY STAT: KEUCHEL is 15-5 OVER (+9.5 Units) as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KEUCHEL 4.5, OPPONENT 5.9.
--KEUCHEL is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KEUCHEL 4.7, OPPONENT 6.5.
?Angels RH Garrett Richards (4-0, 2.42 ERA, WHIP: 1.058) - Richards has been outstanding this season, limiting six of eight opponents to two or fewer runs after blanking Philadelphia over seven innings on Wednesday. The 25-year old has given up only one homer in 52 frames while striking out 54 and holding batters to a .186 average. Chris Carter is 5-for-10 with a homer against Richards, who surrendered one run in five innings to beat Houston on April 4.
--KEY STAT: RICHARDS is 8-0 OVER (+8.1 Units) in home games versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was RICHARDS 6.7, OPPONENT 5.2.
--RICHARDS is 8-0 OVER (+8.1 Units) in home games versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was RICHARDS 6.7, OPPONENT 5.2.
--RICHARDS is 9-0 OVER (+9.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was RICHARDS 7.0, OPPONENT 4.7.
--RICHARDS is 8-0 OVER (+8.1 Units) at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was RICHARDS 6.7, OPPONENT 5.2.
--RICHARDS is 9-0 OVER (+9.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was RICHARDS 7.0, OPPONENT 4.7.
--RICHARDS is 8-0 OVER (+8.1 Units) in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was RICHARDS 6.7, OPPONENT 5.2.
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