16-13 +4.13
-
ml 13-10 +4.25
tot 1-2 -1.12
1st5 0-1 -1.0
parl 2-0 +2.0
---
pit@Cin ov7 -134 1.34/1
1st5 Brewers -110 1.1/1
Brewers -111 1.11/1
1st5 mets +111 1/1.11
---
--Strange choice, maybe, on going down to 7 on that total--I would've considered
playing ov8.5 here, then it opened at 7.5 with juice; why this is being played under,
apparently, is beyond me; decent wind blowing out to right and both SPs are not
doing great and that includes keeping the ball in the park; listed lineups sports
players that have had success vs these pitchers, again including longballs; as far
as the -134 vs +102 for the 7.5, well...I figure there has to be at least a 10% of
the final landing on a 7 and there is a 57.3% break-even for -134s and a 49.5% b-e
on the +102...10% on the final of 7 is probably low, too...whatevas
--Brewers are hot, hitting better overall, have shown a stronger bullpen and have their
#1 going; Brews chill at home, too, while stl travels...they also had to sit through a
(unfortunately) short rain delay yesterday...Brews have been good to me, this year,
except sometimes not so much the next morning.
Roof very likely to be closed, by-the-by.
--The following is plagiarized (sorry, RtH) to save me own, personal data-mining operations:
At some point the Diamondbacks may get off the mattress but right now this team is 4-11 and they?re finding ways to lose. Arizona is 1-8 in nine home games thus far. It seems like every game they are behind four or five runs and trying to play catch up. Josh Collmenter went 5-5 for the Snakes last year in a relief role, appearing in 49 games while starting none. Collmenter posted a 3.13 ERA but a lucky 29% hit rate and 77% strand rate was the driving force behind that ERA. His xERA of 4.24 last season is a better measure of his true skills. Collmenter?s unorthodox delivery has helped him build a respectable strikeout rate despite an 87 mph fastball. There are more warning signs too. Collmenter?s control is trending in the wrong direction and his groundball/line-drive/fly-ball profile of 33%/21%/47% makes him a huge risk at Chase Field. Now asked to start in front of an extremely taxed bullpen, Collmenter and the D-Backs are not an appealing proposition here.
Zack Wheeler has been unlucky (41% hit%) in his two starts this season. His underlying skill set looks strong and is worth a play today. Facing the Diamondbacks in Arizona is not an ideal setting for pitching but Wheeler has been much stronger on the road through his first 19 MLB starts. In 10 road starts, he is 5-2 with a 2.73 ERA and 1.28 WHIP, compared to a 4.70 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in nine home starts. Wheeler?s ugly 5.73 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in those two aforementioned starts not only has him undervalued, but it?s also hiding the fantastic skills he has posted that include 12 K?s and two walks in 11 frames and a 46% groundball rate. We?re buyers of skill sets and xERA, not ERA and Wheeler?s xERA in two starts is 2.66. Regression in his ERA is 100% forthcoming over his next few starts and we?re willing to bet it begins here.
(Not sure how this copy-paste shit will look)
I liked this, anywho, but totally prefer the 1st5 as both bullpens kinda suck and the
D'Backs offense is unlikely to stay quiet the whole night.
I need better results after a mediocre baseball weekend.
Hendrix bless shonan bellmare.
(I wonder if that sentance has ever previously been sputtered in this multiverse?
Maybe near Fukushima)
--Strong winds blowing out all over, by the way.
Maybe that Grande over 75.5 is worthy.
Only under I would consider is in Texas, with some cold offenses going, but there's
a killer wind blowing out there, too, and we know what this ballpark is capable of.
GL
<iframe width="420" height="315" src="//www.youtube.com/embed/s2B3gPY5LRg" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
-
ml 13-10 +4.25
tot 1-2 -1.12
1st5 0-1 -1.0
parl 2-0 +2.0
---
pit@Cin ov7 -134 1.34/1
1st5 Brewers -110 1.1/1
Brewers -111 1.11/1
1st5 mets +111 1/1.11
---
--Strange choice, maybe, on going down to 7 on that total--I would've considered
playing ov8.5 here, then it opened at 7.5 with juice; why this is being played under,
apparently, is beyond me; decent wind blowing out to right and both SPs are not
doing great and that includes keeping the ball in the park; listed lineups sports
players that have had success vs these pitchers, again including longballs; as far
as the -134 vs +102 for the 7.5, well...I figure there has to be at least a 10% of
the final landing on a 7 and there is a 57.3% break-even for -134s and a 49.5% b-e
on the +102...10% on the final of 7 is probably low, too...whatevas
--Brewers are hot, hitting better overall, have shown a stronger bullpen and have their
#1 going; Brews chill at home, too, while stl travels...they also had to sit through a
(unfortunately) short rain delay yesterday...Brews have been good to me, this year,
except sometimes not so much the next morning.
Roof very likely to be closed, by-the-by.
--The following is plagiarized (sorry, RtH) to save me own, personal data-mining operations:
At some point the Diamondbacks may get off the mattress but right now this team is 4-11 and they?re finding ways to lose. Arizona is 1-8 in nine home games thus far. It seems like every game they are behind four or five runs and trying to play catch up. Josh Collmenter went 5-5 for the Snakes last year in a relief role, appearing in 49 games while starting none. Collmenter posted a 3.13 ERA but a lucky 29% hit rate and 77% strand rate was the driving force behind that ERA. His xERA of 4.24 last season is a better measure of his true skills. Collmenter?s unorthodox delivery has helped him build a respectable strikeout rate despite an 87 mph fastball. There are more warning signs too. Collmenter?s control is trending in the wrong direction and his groundball/line-drive/fly-ball profile of 33%/21%/47% makes him a huge risk at Chase Field. Now asked to start in front of an extremely taxed bullpen, Collmenter and the D-Backs are not an appealing proposition here.
Zack Wheeler has been unlucky (41% hit%) in his two starts this season. His underlying skill set looks strong and is worth a play today. Facing the Diamondbacks in Arizona is not an ideal setting for pitching but Wheeler has been much stronger on the road through his first 19 MLB starts. In 10 road starts, he is 5-2 with a 2.73 ERA and 1.28 WHIP, compared to a 4.70 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in nine home starts. Wheeler?s ugly 5.73 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in those two aforementioned starts not only has him undervalued, but it?s also hiding the fantastic skills he has posted that include 12 K?s and two walks in 11 frames and a 46% groundball rate. We?re buyers of skill sets and xERA, not ERA and Wheeler?s xERA in two starts is 2.66. Regression in his ERA is 100% forthcoming over his next few starts and we?re willing to bet it begins here.
(Not sure how this copy-paste shit will look)
I liked this, anywho, but totally prefer the 1st5 as both bullpens kinda suck and the
D'Backs offense is unlikely to stay quiet the whole night.
I need better results after a mediocre baseball weekend.
Hendrix bless shonan bellmare.
(I wonder if that sentance has ever previously been sputtered in this multiverse?
Maybe near Fukushima)
--Strong winds blowing out all over, by the way.
Maybe that Grande over 75.5 is worthy.
Only under I would consider is in Texas, with some cold offenses going, but there's
a killer wind blowing out there, too, and we know what this ballpark is capable of.
GL
<iframe width="420" height="315" src="//www.youtube.com/embed/s2B3gPY5LRg" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
