A bunch of smaller as my money is all over the place for today/tomorrow.
--both SP's at Miller are rather hot...this total appears to be betting up so glad I waited; both
have good pens but Brews went about 75 innings yesterday; can't get word on roof so a smaller
play as wind is blowing out to C if open
--Vogelsong currently looks like good fade material while DLRosa (plagiarism follow):
Jorge De La Rosa is 0-3 with a 7.55 ERA and those surface stats have him very undervalued. De la Rosa's surface numbers say "fade," but his skills hold a different message. His strikeout rate is up significantly (20 K?s in 19 IP) and has even surpassed his pre-TJ surgery level. His 20 K?s are supported by his 12% swinging strike rate. De La Rosa has a nifty 54%/15%/31% groundball/line-drive/fly-ball profile over his 19 innings so far but his 48% extremely unlucky strand rate has his ERA grossly inflated. De La Rosa?s xERA is 3.55
...Rockies smokin' at home, as usual, and that +161 on the runline is sure tempting wind the wind
blowing out to left and Coors and with the Rockies generally winning by multiple runs at home and
so far are hitting .374 at home to R
--like that Dodger Stadium game over the 7 at plus-money but I'll stick with the Phillies over
as they get 27 outs for sure, they're facing the worse pitcher (and have hit him decently in the past),
and they come in with an .861 OPS vs L (they're only .647 vs R); light breeze out to RC,
allegedly
--Darvish has crap numbers vs A's but he's on fire this year while Straily just got smoked at LAA;
rangers starting to hit lately, as well, save for their closer vs chisox; A's have the much better pen
if that decides things
--just prefer Richards to Roark as well as the recent offense (laa OPS last 7 days .819 scoring
7.3 per game while Wash .667 scoring 4 per game); angels pen blows chunks so my temptation
for the game was avoided; angels ov3.5 -108 very tempting
Grabbed me some tex@Oak ov8 +106 for tomorrow--I'll be stunned if this doesn't move big time;
EVERYTHING pointing towards an over for that one but I'll save it for me postage stamp.
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