Congratuations KC. You deserved it. I've looked at this thing all day and believe me if there was ever a game to pass on, this is it. I've decided to play it as a par because I believe if I hit the side, I'll get the total too and visa versa.
There's an old saying, defense wins games. We'll start from there. Pitt hasn't allowed over 21 this year with a 12.5 aver. Nash aver giving up 25. This is not the Titan d of the past few years. Looks like the line is a little low but here's the problem. No matter what a defense is giving up, an offense still has to take adv of their opportunities. Pitt hasn't taken adv of much in the way of scoring this year. I'm not a big Stewart fan so I don't look for him to have a break-out night. Even tho 20 is the most they have scored this year, they are aver 18+ for the last four games. I believe they will get over 20 tonight. Tenn is pretty banged up and not near as talented as the last couple of years. Pitt will stop George and McNair's running and make them go to the air. When McNair throws, anything can happen. Same with Stewart. If qb's are going to make mistakes, then the d really has to step up and I think I would back Pitt d first in that dept.
Nashville has only two wins and both were were won with mirrors. In both loses, their opponent almost doubled their score in the second half, which tells me their d gets tired. Pitt d seems to play consistent for the whole game.
Being MNF makes it a little harder and I can see where the under makes a lot of sense but since I believe one of these teams will be in the 20's, I'm going with the over. Bottom line.......
Pitt -3
o 36
Good luck everyone
There's an old saying, defense wins games. We'll start from there. Pitt hasn't allowed over 21 this year with a 12.5 aver. Nash aver giving up 25. This is not the Titan d of the past few years. Looks like the line is a little low but here's the problem. No matter what a defense is giving up, an offense still has to take adv of their opportunities. Pitt hasn't taken adv of much in the way of scoring this year. I'm not a big Stewart fan so I don't look for him to have a break-out night. Even tho 20 is the most they have scored this year, they are aver 18+ for the last four games. I believe they will get over 20 tonight. Tenn is pretty banged up and not near as talented as the last couple of years. Pitt will stop George and McNair's running and make them go to the air. When McNair throws, anything can happen. Same with Stewart. If qb's are going to make mistakes, then the d really has to step up and I think I would back Pitt d first in that dept.
Nashville has only two wins and both were were won with mirrors. In both loses, their opponent almost doubled their score in the second half, which tells me their d gets tired. Pitt d seems to play consistent for the whole game.
Being MNF makes it a little harder and I can see where the under makes a lot of sense but since I believe one of these teams will be in the 20's, I'm going with the over. Bottom line.......
Pitt -3
o 36
Good luck everyone
