Season to Date: 15-7-2 +12.64 units
Yesterday: 1-0 +2 units
Atlanta/ Newalins OVER 175.5 1 unit. This line just looked low when I first looked at the card. Dug into the numbers a little and the last 3 games last year between these teams went well under this number. This year though combined both teams are averaging 187 points and allowing 187 points. So, strictly by the numbers this line is off by a little, but is compensated by last years game numbers. I still like the over though. Both teams have had a day to rest and should be focused. Hornets like to run with Davis leading the break, and no Jason Terry for Atlanta is one less underrated defender to stop them.
San Antonio/ Grizzles OVER 175 2 units. Another line that looks low to me. However, both teams are a combined 0-5 favoring under for the year. The last 7 times these teams have played have never gone below this number. One would think that San Antonios offense is only getting better after their first two games and did just enough to win. Of the 5 unders these teams have combined for, 3 of them were against Houston, Denver, and the Knicks. 3 teams with awful offenses. Grizzlies played a run and gun offense their first game of the season losing a tight one at the buzzer, and their last game against Houston shouldn't matter much cause that team should turn out to be an under machine. SA will get their points in the paint, and without Parker most likely, Grizz will be able to run with JW and get some easy transition points.
Bulls +2 1 unit. Chicago cannot possibly look any worse than they did in their last game. They were up 14-2 in the early minutes, and somehow managed to lose the game by 30. So they were outscored by 42 for the last 43 minutes of the game. But the thing with the bulls is that they are improved, and they should be a moneymaker at home this year. They do have a home court advantage surprisingly enough for a team which will struggle to get to .500 by seasons end. Teams split the series last year with each team winning at home. Yao and franchise will get their points, but if the Bulls play disciplined at all (big if) they actually have too much offense for Houston. Chandler, Crawford, Rose, and Robinson can all score. I'm not a big fan of Houstons team this year. Yao is still young and can definitely eventually dominate a game defensively, but I just can't see him stopping two 7 footers on the court at the same time in Chandler and Curry. If the Bulls play as a unit, then they should win the game. If they get frazzled and come out flat then they wont. I think they should get some home cooking tonight though.
Minnesota -1.5 1 half 2 units. Same old story for Utah at home this year although its only been 1 game. Get down early and then pull a rabbit out of its hat in the 2nd half. Last year, utah was a great 2h team at home, but just seems to come out flat. They did the same thing against portland in their 1 home game this year. Lets face it, Minnesota is clearly the better team. Keon Clark is questionable for the game and even if he plays hes gonna have a bum ankle. Who is the presence inside thats gonna stop Garnett. The line looks low for the game and I smell a rat, but I think Minny should easily be able to come out early and establish at least a 6-8 pt. lead going into the break.
Got a lean for the late game, but want to see how the early games go and how the line shakes out.
Good Luck to All
Yesterday: 1-0 +2 units
Atlanta/ Newalins OVER 175.5 1 unit. This line just looked low when I first looked at the card. Dug into the numbers a little and the last 3 games last year between these teams went well under this number. This year though combined both teams are averaging 187 points and allowing 187 points. So, strictly by the numbers this line is off by a little, but is compensated by last years game numbers. I still like the over though. Both teams have had a day to rest and should be focused. Hornets like to run with Davis leading the break, and no Jason Terry for Atlanta is one less underrated defender to stop them.
San Antonio/ Grizzles OVER 175 2 units. Another line that looks low to me. However, both teams are a combined 0-5 favoring under for the year. The last 7 times these teams have played have never gone below this number. One would think that San Antonios offense is only getting better after their first two games and did just enough to win. Of the 5 unders these teams have combined for, 3 of them were against Houston, Denver, and the Knicks. 3 teams with awful offenses. Grizzlies played a run and gun offense their first game of the season losing a tight one at the buzzer, and their last game against Houston shouldn't matter much cause that team should turn out to be an under machine. SA will get their points in the paint, and without Parker most likely, Grizz will be able to run with JW and get some easy transition points.
Bulls +2 1 unit. Chicago cannot possibly look any worse than they did in their last game. They were up 14-2 in the early minutes, and somehow managed to lose the game by 30. So they were outscored by 42 for the last 43 minutes of the game. But the thing with the bulls is that they are improved, and they should be a moneymaker at home this year. They do have a home court advantage surprisingly enough for a team which will struggle to get to .500 by seasons end. Teams split the series last year with each team winning at home. Yao and franchise will get their points, but if the Bulls play disciplined at all (big if) they actually have too much offense for Houston. Chandler, Crawford, Rose, and Robinson can all score. I'm not a big fan of Houstons team this year. Yao is still young and can definitely eventually dominate a game defensively, but I just can't see him stopping two 7 footers on the court at the same time in Chandler and Curry. If the Bulls play as a unit, then they should win the game. If they get frazzled and come out flat then they wont. I think they should get some home cooking tonight though.
Minnesota -1.5 1 half 2 units. Same old story for Utah at home this year although its only been 1 game. Get down early and then pull a rabbit out of its hat in the 2nd half. Last year, utah was a great 2h team at home, but just seems to come out flat. They did the same thing against portland in their 1 home game this year. Lets face it, Minnesota is clearly the better team. Keon Clark is questionable for the game and even if he plays hes gonna have a bum ankle. Who is the presence inside thats gonna stop Garnett. The line looks low for the game and I smell a rat, but I think Minny should easily be able to come out early and establish at least a 6-8 pt. lead going into the break.
Got a lean for the late game, but want to see how the early games go and how the line shakes out.
Good Luck to All
