record 46-50
San Diego +2 2 units
Utah coming off a nice win at Pepperdine w/o Johnsen. Teams usually step up the first game after losing a star player and feel the loss a little more in subsequent games which I think may be the case here. Think the half court game Utah plays will benefit SD as they should have a big advantage inside with Keep and Blair. SD gets to the line well getting 27 attempts per game at home which could mean foul trouble for some of the Utes' big men. SD's trouble has been turnovers but Utah likes a half court game and doesn't force many turnovers so it should be less of a problem here. SD is a very good rebounding team at +8 per game and plays good defense outshooting opponents 47% to 37% at home. Like them to get the win at home.
Manhattan -5.5 2 units
Hofstra has really struggled going just 1-6 this season and they haven't played a difficult schedule losing to the likes of St. Francis, Quinnipiac, Monmouth, and Stony Brook. They are scoring just 59 ppg and shooting 39% from the field, 28% in 3's, and 53% from the FT line. Difference in the game may be turnovers. Manhattan forces 18 per game while Hofstra has problems taking care of the ball committing 22 per game. Manhattan coming off a shocking loss at home to St. Peter's. They are a much better team than that and I think they will bounce back here and get a double digit win.
Pacific +4 2 units
Haven't seen anything from W. Kentucky that justifies them being a road favorite as they are 0-3 on the road. Pacific is 2-1 at home and has shot the ball much better their last 2 games shooting over 50% against San Fran and San Jose St. Should be a close game that Pacific could win at home. If it close WK doesn't shoot FT's well at just 63% which could allow for a Pacific cover.
Evansville +16 1 unit
Rebels aren't playing well right now and having trouble executing their offense. Had trouble against a terrible Nicholls St. team and were lucky Harper got hot from the outside. Reed has been having trouble with his eye sitting out most of the 2nd half against Memphis and the entire game against Nicholls St. on Saturday. Not sure if he is playing tonight but I doubt it will be much if at all. Evansville shoots the ball well shooting 52% from the field and 41% 3's. Ole Miss has been having trouble scoring on the interior and in rebounding w/o Reed. Evansville should hang around.
Alabama -21.5 1 unit
Alabama should dominate this game at home. Morehead St. is a poor defensive team giving up 80 ppg and 48.5% from the field. Morehead has only played one good defensive team in Ohio St. and they were only able to score 60 in that game. Alabama is only giving up 60 ppg and 36.7% shooting on the year. Alabama has too much size and quickness. Dudley and Walker should control the paint and get plenty of easy baskets and 2nd chances inside.
San Diego +2 2 units
Utah coming off a nice win at Pepperdine w/o Johnsen. Teams usually step up the first game after losing a star player and feel the loss a little more in subsequent games which I think may be the case here. Think the half court game Utah plays will benefit SD as they should have a big advantage inside with Keep and Blair. SD gets to the line well getting 27 attempts per game at home which could mean foul trouble for some of the Utes' big men. SD's trouble has been turnovers but Utah likes a half court game and doesn't force many turnovers so it should be less of a problem here. SD is a very good rebounding team at +8 per game and plays good defense outshooting opponents 47% to 37% at home. Like them to get the win at home.
Manhattan -5.5 2 units
Hofstra has really struggled going just 1-6 this season and they haven't played a difficult schedule losing to the likes of St. Francis, Quinnipiac, Monmouth, and Stony Brook. They are scoring just 59 ppg and shooting 39% from the field, 28% in 3's, and 53% from the FT line. Difference in the game may be turnovers. Manhattan forces 18 per game while Hofstra has problems taking care of the ball committing 22 per game. Manhattan coming off a shocking loss at home to St. Peter's. They are a much better team than that and I think they will bounce back here and get a double digit win.
Pacific +4 2 units
Haven't seen anything from W. Kentucky that justifies them being a road favorite as they are 0-3 on the road. Pacific is 2-1 at home and has shot the ball much better their last 2 games shooting over 50% against San Fran and San Jose St. Should be a close game that Pacific could win at home. If it close WK doesn't shoot FT's well at just 63% which could allow for a Pacific cover.
Evansville +16 1 unit
Rebels aren't playing well right now and having trouble executing their offense. Had trouble against a terrible Nicholls St. team and were lucky Harper got hot from the outside. Reed has been having trouble with his eye sitting out most of the 2nd half against Memphis and the entire game against Nicholls St. on Saturday. Not sure if he is playing tonight but I doubt it will be much if at all. Evansville shoots the ball well shooting 52% from the field and 41% 3's. Ole Miss has been having trouble scoring on the interior and in rebounding w/o Reed. Evansville should hang around.
Alabama -21.5 1 unit
Alabama should dominate this game at home. Morehead St. is a poor defensive team giving up 80 ppg and 48.5% from the field. Morehead has only played one good defensive team in Ohio St. and they were only able to score 60 in that game. Alabama is only giving up 60 ppg and 36.7% shooting on the year. Alabama has too much size and quickness. Dudley and Walker should control the paint and get plenty of easy baskets and 2nd chances inside.
