record 5-3 +1.3 units
E. Carolina +5 3 units
Think this Marquette team is overrated. They have played only one road game this year losing to Notre Dame by 21 and have played a pretty weak schedule overall. ECU is a good defensive team allowing just 62 ppg and 39% shooting. Pirates beat Marquette 51-46 at home last year and I think they can do it again this year so will take the points.
Memphis -10 2 units
Memphis is finally healthy getting their big man back in Massie and their PG Hunt. Murray St. has had some trouble on the road losing by 19 at Auburn and by 29 at S. Illinois. Memphis is much better defensively allowing just 38% shooting at home while Murray St. is allowing 48% shooting on the road. Memphis has a lot more size as most of the Racers are under 6-8 and should control the boards. Memphis should also have a big advantage at the FT line as they are getting 22 attempts per game at home compared to Murray St. who only gets their 11 times per game which could mean foul trouble for Murray St.'s big men. Memphis should also force some TO's as they have some great athletes and Murray is committing 17.5 per game in their road games. Memphis should be able to get whatever they want inside or at least get to the line. Think they get an easy win at home.
San Fran +14.5 1 unit
SF playing well with Bayless and Broussard beating BYU and Fullerton by 12 and 14 their last 2 games. Cal doesn't have a good bench and doesn't have anyone with much of a post game. If they struggle from the perimeter SF could win this game SU. Think this game will be close so will take the points
Alabama -2 1 unit
Don't like playing road favorites but think this Alabama team is too athletic for the Utes. Alabama is a good defensive team and their guards should be able to defend the Ute's 3's in the halfcourt. Also think they will get some steals and transition baskets with their quickness. Dudley and Walker are too quick for Utah's big guys, Frost and Koford, inside and should get a lot of offensive boards and 2nd chance points while drawing some fouls as well. Think the game will be close with the Tide getting the win.
E. Carolina +5 3 units
Think this Marquette team is overrated. They have played only one road game this year losing to Notre Dame by 21 and have played a pretty weak schedule overall. ECU is a good defensive team allowing just 62 ppg and 39% shooting. Pirates beat Marquette 51-46 at home last year and I think they can do it again this year so will take the points.
Memphis -10 2 units
Memphis is finally healthy getting their big man back in Massie and their PG Hunt. Murray St. has had some trouble on the road losing by 19 at Auburn and by 29 at S. Illinois. Memphis is much better defensively allowing just 38% shooting at home while Murray St. is allowing 48% shooting on the road. Memphis has a lot more size as most of the Racers are under 6-8 and should control the boards. Memphis should also have a big advantage at the FT line as they are getting 22 attempts per game at home compared to Murray St. who only gets their 11 times per game which could mean foul trouble for Murray St.'s big men. Memphis should also force some TO's as they have some great athletes and Murray is committing 17.5 per game in their road games. Memphis should be able to get whatever they want inside or at least get to the line. Think they get an easy win at home.
San Fran +14.5 1 unit
SF playing well with Bayless and Broussard beating BYU and Fullerton by 12 and 14 their last 2 games. Cal doesn't have a good bench and doesn't have anyone with much of a post game. If they struggle from the perimeter SF could win this game SU. Think this game will be close so will take the points
Alabama -2 1 unit
Don't like playing road favorites but think this Alabama team is too athletic for the Utes. Alabama is a good defensive team and their guards should be able to defend the Ute's 3's in the halfcourt. Also think they will get some steals and transition baskets with their quickness. Dudley and Walker are too quick for Utah's big guys, Frost and Koford, inside and should get a lot of offensive boards and 2nd chance points while drawing some fouls as well. Think the game will be close with the Tide getting the win.
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