BEN BURNS
NHL
MINNESOTA
Game: Colorado Avalanche vs. Minnesota Wild Game Time: 3/17/2008 7:05:00 PM Prediction: Minnesota Wild Reason: I'm laying the price with MINNESOTA. This is a huge game in the Western Conference as these teams both have 84 points which has them in a tie for first place in the Northwest division. This will be the sixth series meeting of the season with the home team having gone 4-1 through the first five. That's no surprise though as both teams have been stronger on home ice all season. The Wild, who won both meetings at Minnesota, are 20-11-5 at home and 18-15-3 on the road. The Avs, who won two of the three meetings at Colorado, are 16-16-4 on the road and 23-13-2 at home. Its true that the Avs have been the better team over the past couple of weeks. However, its also true that they got cooled off in their last game, losing 4-2 vs. New Jersey. Conversely, the Wild come off a much needed victory, shutting out the Kings by a score of 2-0. That snapped a losing skid and I look for them to carry the positive momentum into this evening's game. Marian Gaborik scored one of Friday's two goals, which brought the Wild to an impressive 22-2-2 when he scores a goal. Gaborik will be in the lineup this evening which is worth noting, as he didn't play in either of the games which Colorado won this season. Including this season's two victories, the Wild have won three straight home games in this series and five of the last seven meetings here. That fact that they embark on a 4-game road trip after this adds even greater importance to tonight's game. Look for a huge effort as they continue their recent success on home ice in this series, earning an extremely valuable two points.
*Annihilator
Minnesota Wild
NBA
UNDER Raptors/Jazz
No write up
UNDER Wizards/Hawks
Game: Atlanta Hawks vs. Washington Wizards Game Time: 3/17/2008 7:05:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on Washington and Atlanta to finish UNDER the number. The Hawks saw yesterday's game at New York finish above the total, as they won by a score of 108-98. However, they've seen the UNDER go 5-2 this season when coming off a double-digit victory and the last time they played the second of back to back games (03/08) they combined with Miami for 191 points in a game which stayed below the number by nearly double-digits. Looking at the last six times that the Hawks faced an Eastern Conference opponent, when playing the second of back to back games, and we find that five of those six games produced 198 combined points or less. These teams have faced each other three times this season. All three games had over/under lines in the low to mid 190s. Tonight's number is several points higher, giving us excellent value. The primary reason for the bigger number is that Washington has been involved in several high-socring games recently. However, its worth noting that they've seen the UNDER go 4-1 this season after playing three or more consecutive home games and 5-2 when playing at home with an over/under line ranging from 200 to 204.5 Two of the earlier three games fell below the number and all three produced 200 points or less. In fact, the UNDER is 6-1 the last seven series meetings and none of those games produced more than 200 combined points. Looking back further and we find the UNDER at a highly profitable 15-4 the last 19 times that these teams faced each other here at Washington. The Wizards won the most recent meeting, at Atlanta in January. That's worth noting as we find the UNDER at 12-6 this season when the Hawks were attempting to avenge a home loss. They've also seen the UNDER go 27-17 their last 44 divisional games. Look for tonight's final score to be lower than expected once again.
*Eastern Conf. TOW
UNDER Wizards/Hawks
GRIZZLIES
Game: Charlotte Bobcats vs. Memphis Grizzlies Game Time: 3/17/2008 8:05:00 PM Prediction: Memphis Grizzlies Reason: I'm taking the points with MEMPHIS. Yes, the Bobcats are still in the playoff race. However, they've fallen to 12th place in the conference and it's hard to say how motivated they really are to work to try and reach the playoffs, when they know that would only mean a sweep at the hands of the Celtics. Regardless of their motivation level, the Bobcats' problem is that they can't win when playing away from Charlotte. They've never won at Memphis before and they're an awful 6-25 on the road for the season. Asking them to lay points on the road against a Western Conference opponent is asking an awful lot, even if it is Memphis. The Grizzlies have certainly struggled. They don't get the luxury of playing as many lower tier teams as the Bobcats do though. When taking a closer look at their last stretch of games we find that they've lost road games at Cleveland, Houston, Chicago, Phoenix, Denver and Golden State. The Bobcats would have very likely lost at all those venues too though. Looking at the games played here at Memphis during that stretch and we find that the opponents have also been very tough. In fact, their last five home games came against Dallas, Phoenix, Utah, New Jersey and Boston. The Mavs, Suns, Jazz and Celtics are all among the league's best teams meaning that the Nets represented the best chance at a win. Facing that beatable opponent, the Grizzlies took advantage and played their best, winning by seven points as +2.5 point underdogs. Tonight, certainly represents another winnable game and I expect the Grizzlies, who find themselves a similar-sized underdog, to again rise to the occasion with their best effort. The Grizzlies played very well last time out, losing by only three points at Golden State. They had yesterday off. Charlotte, on the other hand, played the Cavs tough at Cleveland. Despite a 3-point win at Washington earlier this month, they're still just 4-12 the last 16 times that they played the second of back to back games. The Bobcats are also just 6-22-1 ATS against Southwest opponents the past three seasons and I look for their road woes to continue for another evening.
*Non-Conference Game of the Month
GRIZZLIES