Monday service plays 3/17/08

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donlauer

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to1: I AM READY FOR YOU KNOW WHO. HE IS GETTING CLOSE TO SWEEP.

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Scott Tissue

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ats basketball lock club

4units washington
3units orlando


ats hockey lock club

4units over phoe-vanc
 

to1

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to1: I AM READY FOR YOU KNOW WHO. HE IS GETTING CLOSE TO SWEEP.

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Wolkosky Milan

515-417-18 last one hundred ninety one days
183-145-5 last seventy three days
2-1 Yesterday

Today:

10* ATLANTA +7
10* CHARLOTTE -2
10* SAN ANTONIO -3?
10* ATL/WAS UNDER 204
10* LAC/MIN UNDER 196
 

the duke

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Wunderdog

NBA

Game: Cleveland at Orlando (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on First Half UNDER 101.5 -110 (risk 4 to win 3.6)

This should be a good game to watch and you would think Orlando will have the edge at home where they are 21-12. We will look to the first-half total though. Cleveland has been a very good defensive team all season but lately they have stepped it up. They have held their last five opponents to just 44.8 ppg in the first half. Orlando's defense is fairly weak on the road but at home it's solid. Orlando is 84-67 UNDER in the first half the past two seasons including 54-36 as a favorite. They are 42-25 UNDER over that span coming off an OVER. This season they are 15-7 UNDER after scoring triple-digits in three straight games and 20-11 UNDER in the first half after a game in which 205+ points were scored. Cleveland is 11-3 UNDER in the first half on the road vs. winning teams this season. We like this one to come in the 90s.



Game: Charlotte at Memphis (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Memphis +2 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 208 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Here we have a team that is just 6-25 SU on the road and is now favored. How crazy is this? It's only the second time in franchise history that Charlotte takes to the road as a favorite. Memphis certainly is a place and team that provides justification to such a rare event. But upon deeper analysis of the numbers, there is truely no value in Charlotte in this situation. Memphis has won just two games in their last 21, which happens to be the number of times they have played a team with a losing record at home. The two wins came when they played a team with a losing record at home! Since the first of the year, Memphis is just 7-28 overall and 6-11 at home. They are 0-10 SU and 0-10 ATS vs teams .500+ at home in this stretch. They are 6-1 SU and ATS at home vs losing teams. They are 3-0 in this same situation since they traded Gasol. The season shows a similar story. They are 1-16 ATS at home vs winning teams, and 9-3 ATS vs losing teams. On the surface this line looks viable, but when you really breakdown what is happening within the number, this line is completely off! Charlotte has never won or covered at Memphis, and the Grizzlies have an opportunity to revenge an earlier loss here. We like the Grizzlies to exploit a bad line, and come away with the home win. We also like the OVER as Charlotte is allowing 103.3 per game on the road and Memphis 106.7 per game at home. Memphis also puts up 102.6 per game at home. Charlotte is 29-16 OVER the past three seasons in the second of back-to-back road games. They are also 20-8 OVER the past two seasons after three straight losses. Memphis and the OVER here.



Game: Chicago at New Orleans (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on New Orleans -4.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

The Hornets have exceeded expectations this season while the Bulls have certainly under-achieved all year long. The Hornets have been whipping the lesser teams of the NBA all season long, and since December 22nd they have been just destroying these teams. They have met nine teams with sub-.500 records at home since December 22nd, and they are 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS vs. those teams. The only blemish was a missed cover by one point vs Memphis. None of these teams have come within double-digits and the average winning margin has been an amazing 21.2 ppg. The Bulls have covered some big lines on the road vs winning teams, but overall they are just 6-10 ATS vs .500+ teams on the road. When the line is down to 6.5 or less against the .500+ teams they are just 1-4 ATS. Thehe lone cover came vs Portland, a marginal winning team at 35-32. David West will likely not play, but he didn't play against New Jersey and they won by 11. He was also absent vs. Atlanta and they won by 15! Hornets by double-digits here.
 
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the duke

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Larry Ness

Las Vegas Insider

The Celtics returned from the All Star break and promptly lost the first three games of their five-game road trip vs Western Conference opponents (at Denver, Golden St and Phoenix). The team then won at Portland and LA (Clippers), sparking 11 wins in 12 games (8-4 ATS), including an easy 99-77 win a Milwaukee on Saturday. That game was the first of a five-game road trip that continues tonight in Sa Antonio against the Spurs. Boston is 52-13, 4 1/2-games better that the Pistons, who own the NBA second-best mark. However, this four-game stretch (over six days), has them visiting the Spurs (44-22), Rockets (46-20), Mavs (44-23) and Hornets (44-21). The Spurs enter this game having lost FIVE of six games (0-6 ATS), although all five losses have come away from San Antonio (Spurs are 27-5 SU at home). Boston's the league's best defensive team, ranking No. 1 in both opponents PPG (90.3) and FG percentage (41.8), while the Spurs rank 3rd in PPG (91.3) and eighth in FG percentage (44.9). The Spurs have been used to dominating the Celtics but that was before the "Big Three" of Pierce (19.9-5.3-4.7), KG (19.7-9.4) and Allen (18.3). The Spurs broke an 15-game losing streak in San Antonio last year (pre-KG and Allen, by the way!) and earlier this season, beat the Spurs 98-90 in Boston, in a contest in which neither KG played for the Celtics nor Parker played for the Spurs. Allen sat out the game at Milwaukee with an ankle sprain and is listed as questionable for this game. Cassell saw his most action as a Celtic in that game, playing 23 minutes, making five-of-nine shots and scoring 10 points (had five assists). The Celtics complimentary players have been very underrated this year and Cassell could be a GREAT addition to that underappreciated group. Parker (18.7-5.7 APG) missed nine straight games (late-Jan thru mid-Feb) while resting his ankle but he's looked very good lately, averaging 25.7 PPG on 68.0 percent shooting in San Antonio's last three games. Ginobili (20.2-5.0-4.7) is having a career-season and of course Duncan (19.7-11.5) is just Duncan. San Antonio is in a 'dog fight' in the West, as just 4 1/2 games separate the No. 1 seed from the No. 8 seed. San Antonio enters this game on a three-game losing streak and this proud franchise (four NBA titles in the last nine seasons!) has not had a four-game losing streak since early in the 2003-04 season. I'm backing the defending champs here.

Las Vegas Insider
San Antonio Spurs (8*)
 

the duke

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SPORTS REPORTER

MONDAY, MARCH 17

*INDIANA over NEW YORK by 11
INDIANA 96-85

ATLANTA over *WASHINGTON by 6
ATLANTA 96-90

BEST BET
*ORLANDO over CLEVELAND by 11
ORLANDO 111-100

L.A. CLIPPERS over *MINNESOTA by 6
L.A. CLIPPERS 96-90

CHARLOTTE over *MEMPHIS by 7
*NEW ORLEANS over CHICAGO by 14

*SAN ANTONIO over BOSTON by 7
SAN ANTONIO 96-89

UTAH over TORONTO by 11





WINNING POINTS


Monday, March 17
*Indiana over New York by 4
INDIANA 110-106.

*Washington over Atlanta by 5
WASHINGTON 102-97.

*Orlando over Cleveland by 5
ORLANDO 108-103.

**PREFERRED
Los Angeles Clippers over *Minnesota by 5
LA CLIPPERS 95-90.

*Memphis over Charlotte by 1
MEMPHIS 97-96.

*New Orleans over Chicago by 12
NEW ORLEANS 113-101.

**PREFERRED
Boston over *San Antonio by 6
BOSTON 96-90.

*Utah over Toronto by 13
UTAH 116-103.
 
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the duke

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MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty had no play Sunday and likes the Magic tonight.

The surplus is 510 sirignanos
 

the duke

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Insidersportsreport

4* Charlotte -2 over Memphis
Range Pk to -4

4* Atlanta/Washington UNDER 204
Range 205.5 to 202
 

the duke

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BEN BURNS

NHL

MINNESOTA

Game: Colorado Avalanche vs. Minnesota Wild Game Time: 3/17/2008 7:05:00 PM Prediction: Minnesota Wild Reason: I'm laying the price with MINNESOTA. This is a huge game in the Western Conference as these teams both have 84 points which has them in a tie for first place in the Northwest division. This will be the sixth series meeting of the season with the home team having gone 4-1 through the first five. That's no surprise though as both teams have been stronger on home ice all season. The Wild, who won both meetings at Minnesota, are 20-11-5 at home and 18-15-3 on the road. The Avs, who won two of the three meetings at Colorado, are 16-16-4 on the road and 23-13-2 at home. Its true that the Avs have been the better team over the past couple of weeks. However, its also true that they got cooled off in their last game, losing 4-2 vs. New Jersey. Conversely, the Wild come off a much needed victory, shutting out the Kings by a score of 2-0. That snapped a losing skid and I look for them to carry the positive momentum into this evening's game. Marian Gaborik scored one of Friday's two goals, which brought the Wild to an impressive 22-2-2 when he scores a goal. Gaborik will be in the lineup this evening which is worth noting, as he didn't play in either of the games which Colorado won this season. Including this season's two victories, the Wild have won three straight home games in this series and five of the last seven meetings here. That fact that they embark on a 4-game road trip after this adds even greater importance to tonight's game. Look for a huge effort as they continue their recent success on home ice in this series, earning an extremely valuable two points.

*Annihilator
Minnesota Wild





NBA

UNDER Raptors/Jazz

No write up



UNDER Wizards/Hawks

Game: Atlanta Hawks vs. Washington Wizards Game Time: 3/17/2008 7:05:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on Washington and Atlanta to finish UNDER the number. The Hawks saw yesterday's game at New York finish above the total, as they won by a score of 108-98. However, they've seen the UNDER go 5-2 this season when coming off a double-digit victory and the last time they played the second of back to back games (03/08) they combined with Miami for 191 points in a game which stayed below the number by nearly double-digits. Looking at the last six times that the Hawks faced an Eastern Conference opponent, when playing the second of back to back games, and we find that five of those six games produced 198 combined points or less. These teams have faced each other three times this season. All three games had over/under lines in the low to mid 190s. Tonight's number is several points higher, giving us excellent value. The primary reason for the bigger number is that Washington has been involved in several high-socring games recently. However, its worth noting that they've seen the UNDER go 4-1 this season after playing three or more consecutive home games and 5-2 when playing at home with an over/under line ranging from 200 to 204.5 Two of the earlier three games fell below the number and all three produced 200 points or less. In fact, the UNDER is 6-1 the last seven series meetings and none of those games produced more than 200 combined points. Looking back further and we find the UNDER at a highly profitable 15-4 the last 19 times that these teams faced each other here at Washington. The Wizards won the most recent meeting, at Atlanta in January. That's worth noting as we find the UNDER at 12-6 this season when the Hawks were attempting to avenge a home loss. They've also seen the UNDER go 27-17 their last 44 divisional games. Look for tonight's final score to be lower than expected once again.

*Eastern Conf. TOW
UNDER Wizards/Hawks





GRIZZLIES

Game: Charlotte Bobcats vs. Memphis Grizzlies Game Time: 3/17/2008 8:05:00 PM Prediction: Memphis Grizzlies Reason: I'm taking the points with MEMPHIS. Yes, the Bobcats are still in the playoff race. However, they've fallen to 12th place in the conference and it's hard to say how motivated they really are to work to try and reach the playoffs, when they know that would only mean a sweep at the hands of the Celtics. Regardless of their motivation level, the Bobcats' problem is that they can't win when playing away from Charlotte. They've never won at Memphis before and they're an awful 6-25 on the road for the season. Asking them to lay points on the road against a Western Conference opponent is asking an awful lot, even if it is Memphis. The Grizzlies have certainly struggled. They don't get the luxury of playing as many lower tier teams as the Bobcats do though. When taking a closer look at their last stretch of games we find that they've lost road games at Cleveland, Houston, Chicago, Phoenix, Denver and Golden State. The Bobcats would have very likely lost at all those venues too though. Looking at the games played here at Memphis during that stretch and we find that the opponents have also been very tough. In fact, their last five home games came against Dallas, Phoenix, Utah, New Jersey and Boston. The Mavs, Suns, Jazz and Celtics are all among the league's best teams meaning that the Nets represented the best chance at a win. Facing that beatable opponent, the Grizzlies took advantage and played their best, winning by seven points as +2.5 point underdogs. Tonight, certainly represents another winnable game and I expect the Grizzlies, who find themselves a similar-sized underdog, to again rise to the occasion with their best effort. The Grizzlies played very well last time out, losing by only three points at Golden State. They had yesterday off. Charlotte, on the other hand, played the Cavs tough at Cleveland. Despite a 3-point win at Washington earlier this month, they're still just 4-12 the last 16 times that they played the second of back to back games. The Bobcats are also just 6-22-1 ATS against Southwest opponents the past three seasons and I look for their road woes to continue for another evening.

*Non-Conference Game of the Month
GRIZZLIES
 
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the duke

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Gina


Monday March 17th, 2008 7:00 p.m. est.
New York Knicks (19-47) at Indiana Pacers (25-41)

Both, New York and Indiana are struggling. The Pacers have dropped five of their last six games, while the Knicks have lost eight of its last nine. Indiana has won and covered the spread in five of the last six meetings against New York and has taken 10 of the last 13 meetings at home. Go with the Pacers. Indiana is playing poorly, but should be able to beat the sorry Knicks tonight. New York is 7-25 on the road this season, just 4-15 in its last 19 against Indiana at Conseco Fieldhouse.

Indiana Pacers


Indiana Pacers - 7?
New Orleans Hornets - 5




Mr. A


New Orleans Hornets - 5
Toronto Raptors + 13?



Johnny Guild


NBA Selection
Monday, March 17th, 2008 7:00 PM EST.
Atlanta Hawks (28-38) at Washington Wizards (33-32)

The Hawks are a nasty 6-14 in its last 20 games and have dropped 13 of its last 15 on the road. Atlanta has not been successful against Washington, losing 13 of the last 16 clashes and seven of its last 8 at Washington. However, the Wizards have not been lucrative, just 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home and 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings versus the Hawks at the Verizon Center. Take the points. The dog has been the best bet in this series, covering the spread in seven of the last 8 meetings. The last time these teams met, Washington won 102-98 in overtime at Philips Arena.

Atlanta Hawks + 5.5
 

the duke

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Sports Monitor

Cleveland Cavaliers (38-29) at Orlando Magic (44-24)

Monday, March 17th 7pm EST


Magic -7 total 204

TRENDS:

Cleveland has covered 11 of their last 16 road games.
Fifteen of the last 16 in this series have gone over
the total. Orlando has covered eight of their last nine
home games.

GAME SUMMARY:

Now that LeBron James is getting some support from his
teammates, the Cleveland Cavaliers look to carry over
their strong play at home to the road.

SPORTS MONITOR
PREDICTION:

Cleveland and Orlando over the total
 

eddieh8823

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Arthur Ralph

Arthur Ralph

Super Picks Charlotte Bobcats

900 GOLD KEY winner Minn Timberwolves
 

the duke

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EZ Winners

5 STAR: (554) WASHINGTON (-5.5) over Atlanta
(Risking $550 to win $500)
6:05PM Central Time


2 STAR: (551) NEW YORK (+7.5) over Indiana
(Risking $220 to win $200)
6:05PM Central Time


2 STAR: (556) ORLANDO (-6) over Cleveland
(Risking $220 to win $200)
6:05PM Central Time
 

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LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): 100% confirmed
CHICAGO BULLS vs NEW ORLEANS


Play: NEW ORLEANS -5 (NBA)
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: NEW ORLEANS -5 (NBA)



LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): COLORADO vs DALLAS


Play: COLORADO +10 IN ARENA FOOTBALL ( BUY 1/2 HOOK IF NEEDED)
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: COLORADO +10 IN ARENA FOOTBALL ( BUY 1/2 HOOK IF NEEDED) ^^^^ No doubt in our minds that Dallas wins this contest SU but as you know, that means nothing for us bettors who play the ATS. We feel Dallas is the better team but not overwhleming to be getting 10 points. This opens up a huge gap for a back door cover by Colorado. You can liken Arena ball to basketball where no matter what happens, 100% effort comes out in the 4th and it definitely helps the dog teams in covering ATS lines. Dallas will be fired up tonight as they are attempting to be the third team in AFL history to win 14 consecutive home games with a victory, joining Orlando and San Jose. The great equalizer is the fact Colorado is coming off a bye week. They are well rested only playing one game going into the bye and with two weeks to prepare for this game, Colorado should be able to stay within the ATS line of +10. If you opt to go on your own, don't take anything less than a +9 on this dog.


LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT
(LVTR): COLORADO vs DALLAS


Play: COLORADO vs DALLAS OVER 95.5 (ARENA FOOTBALL)
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: COLORADO vs DALLAS OVER 95.5 (ARENA FOOTBALL) This one will be a close one but look for this total to skim past 100 points by games end.
 

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Michael Cannon

Last 2 days: 2-0 w/best bets and showed profit both days

Last 13 days: 21-21 overall

Last 27 days: 18-9 best bet run and 16-10-1 days of profit

Monday's Plays...
10 Dime ?

CAVALIERS

Take the points with the Cavs tonight when they travel to take on the Magic.

The visiting dog has covered the last four meetings in this series and Cleveland has a great chance at pushing that to five tonight.

That?s because the Cavs, who played at home last night versus the Bobcats, have been money in the second of back-to-back games, covering five of the last six times in that role.

Cleveland should also receive a boost from the return of Zydrunas Ilgauskas, who is probable tonight after missing time with a strained back.

The Cavs are also much better matching up with Dwight Howard now that Ben Wallace is in the mix.

Take the points with the Cavaliers as they stay within the number tonight.

5 Dime ?

WIZARDS

Lay the points with the Wizards tonight when they host the Hawks.

Both teams should come out fired up for this matchup as Washington tries to maintain its playoff position while Atlanta is hungry to make the postseason for the first time in years.

But I like the Wizards in this spot, as they?ve gone 14-6 ATS as a home chalk so far this year.

The trends would seem to favor the Hawks as the visiting dog has covered all three meetings this season, but Washington has a big advantage with the return of Caron Butler to action.

The Wizards have won and covered three of the last four meetings with the Hawks, and Atlanta comes into tonight?s game on a 1-6 ATS slide.

Lay the points with the Wizards as they grab the home win and cover.
 
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