Monday Service Plays 4/28

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BettingProphets

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Sport Favorite Underdog Line Pick
Mon (NBA) Magic Raptors 7- Magic
Mon (NBA) Celtics Hawks 9 Hawks
Mon (MLB) W. Sox Orioles 150 W. Sox

2-Minute Warning (Suns win yesterday)

Orlando Magic


Insider Sports Report

04/28/08


4* Boston/Atlanta (NBA) UNDER 190
Range 192 to 188
3* Toronto +7.5 over Orlando (NBA)
Range +9 to +5.5
3* San Francisco (Cain) -125 over Colorado (Morales)
Range -110 to -145


After taking Game Four in Toronto, the Magic look to close out the series at home tonight where they are 10-4 ATS when listed as a favorite between 6 1/2 and 9 points. Orlando is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Magic favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, APRIL 28
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST
Game 717-718: Toronto at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 117.144; Orlando 126.623
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 9 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 7 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-7 1/2); Under
Game 719-720: Boston at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 125.163; Atlanta 118.203
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 7; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 9; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+9); Over
Game 721-722: LA Lakers at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 125.891; Denver 123.808
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 2; 223
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 4 1/2; 227 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+4 1/2); Under

The Flyers come off an emotional win at Montreal in Game Two and look to take advantage of a Canadiens team that lost two of three on the road in their first-round series against Boston. Philadelphia is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Flyers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-135). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, APRIL 28
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST
Game 59-60: Montreal at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.491; Philadelphia 12.534
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-135); Under


Big AL


NBA 3* Denver

Opinion: Denver over
Opinion: Atlanta under


MLB 3* Oakland/LA under


Ben Burns

NBA Atlanta Hawks +9.5 (-115) / 4 units

NBA Los Angeles Lakers/Denver Nuggets o227.5 (-110) / 4 units


MLB St. Louis Cardinals (-133) / 4 units


NHL Montreal Canadiens/Philadelphia Flyers u5.5 (-110) / 4 units
 

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Bob Akmens


NHL: 3* PHILADELPHIA -135 vs Montreal


NBA 3* BOSTON / ATLANTA UNDER 190


MLB: 4* ST LOUIS (WELLEMEYER) -150 vs Cincinnati (Arroyo)
 

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EZWINNERS

NBA


3 STAR: (722) DENVER (+5) over LA Lakers
(Risking $330 to win $300)
9:30PM Central Time


MLB

5 STAR PARLAY: (902) NY METS (-$210) and (906) ARIZONA (-$172)
(Listing Santana and Haren only)
(Risking $500 to win $665)
6:10PM and 8:40PM Central Time



1 STAR: (909) BALTIMORE (+$142) over Chicago
(Listing Cabrera only)
(Risking $100 to win $142)
1:05PM Central Time
 
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Great Lake Sports

5* Lakers
4* A's
3* Astros Under





Billy Coleman

4.5* Raptors Over
4* Lakers Under
3* Raptors
 
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Winning Points Online

MLB 10-17 (-1080)
Lost yesterday


CHICAGO W. SOX (Vazquez) -150 over BALTIMORE (Cabrera)

This final game of a weekend series with the Orioles looks
like an ideal spot for the White Sox. They've been at their
best in day games this year (9-2, +$840) and that includes
today's pitcher Javier Vazquez) whose best two starts of the
year were in afternoon contests at US Cellular (1.93). The
Orioles are averaging just 3.3 runs per game on the road
vs. righties, and Daniel Cabrera is way overdue for a loss.
The home team looks sharp, and should dispatch the road
team today without much difficulty.



NBA 5-4

Lost 3 in a row


7:30 pm
Game 5
**PREFERRED
Toronto over Orlando* by 1

Let's keep it simple. From Game 4 in Toronto: "In the
second half, we shot the 3 well, and that's big for us,"
said Orlando head coach Stan Van Gundy. "Obviously,
it's a big thing for them, too, and they didn't shoot it well
today."

Toronto head coach Sam Mitchell: "We've got to do a better
job of stopping their dribble-penetration."

TORONTO 99-98
 

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SportsKingz

MLB

ARIZONA -185 (1850 TO WIN 1000)

OAKLAND +115 (1000 TO WIN 1150)


NBA

L.A. LAKERS -4 (10 UNITS)
 

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SPORTS ADVISORS

NBA PLAYOFFS

EASTERN CONFERENCE

(6) Toronto (42-44, 41-44-1 ATS) at (3) Orlando (55-31, 52-31-3 ATS)

The Magic try to close out their first-round best-of-7 series against the Raptors tonight when the two meet for Game 5 inside Amway Arena in Orlando.

Orlando put a stranglehold on the series with Saturday?s 106-94 victory north of the border, cashing as a 2?-point underdog. The Magic used a 33-point fourth quarter to seal the victory and had five players score in double digits, led by Rashard Lewis? 27 points and 13 rebounds. Dwight Howard came up just short of a triple-double with 19 points, 16 rebounds and eight blocked shots.

The Magic have won six of their last seven overall (5-2 ATS) and five of their last seven against the Raptors, including a 14-point home win in Game 1 and a one-point home victory in Game 2. Toronto is just 4-8 SU and ATS in its last 12 overall, but despite the Game 4 result, the Raptors are still on a 10-4 ATS run against Orlando, including 5-2 ATS inside Amway Arena.

Stan Van Gundy?s Magic are on a plethora of positive pointspread streaks, including 6-2 against the Eastern Conference, 11-5 on one days? rest, 11-3-1 at home against a team with a losing road mark, 12-5-2 overall at home and 9-4-1 on Mondays.

The Raptors are 38-17-2 ATS in their last 57 against Southeast Division opponents and 4-1 ATS in their last five as playoff underdogs of five to 10? points. However, the ATS trends are all negative from there, including 9-21 overall, 3-9 against teams with a winning SU mark, 4-8 against the East, 5-16 on one days? rest, 6-18 as an underdog, 2-10 on the road and 1-9 as a road ?dog.

The under was the play in both games in Toronto, but the over is 5-3 in the last eight between these two, with the first two games of this series in Orlando hurdling the posted price. In addition, the over is 7-3 in Orlando?s last 10 first-round playoff games, 4-2 in Toronto?s last six first-round contests and 5-3 in the Raptors? last eight against winning teams.

Conversely, the under is 10-3 in the Magic?s last 13 overall and 9-3 in their last 12 against the Eastern Conference. The under is also 8-2-1 in the Raptors? last 11 overall and 27-9 in their last 36 when they tip-off on Mondays.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


(1) Boston (68-17, 54-29-2 ATS) at (8) Atlanta (38-47, 38-46-1 ATS)

The Hawks showed they would not go quietly with a Game 3 victory over the Celtics and now try to draw even with the conference?s top seed when the two meet for Game 4 at Philips Arena in Atlanta.

Josh Smith put on a show Saturday, scoring 27 points to lead Atlanta to the 102-93 win as an eight-point home ?dog. The Hawks won the rebounding battle 43-35 led by rookie Al Horford?s 14 boards to go with 17 points.

While the victory snapped Boston?s six-game SU and ATS winning streak, Doc Rivers? Celtics have still won 13 of their last 15 games going back to the regular season, going 12-3 ATS.

The Hawks, who are in the postseason for the first time since 1999, snapped a five-game losing skid with Saturday?s win, but have still lost seven of their last 10, both SU and ATS. Also, the winner has cashed in each of the team?s last 12 games.

Boston is now 5-1 against Atlanta this year (4-2 ATS), with all five wins coming by double digits. Still, the underdog is 8-5 ATS in the last 13 clashes, and the home team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight.

Saturday?s upset loss aside, the Celtics are still on ATS runs of 21-6 overall, 16-6 as a favorite, 48-20-1 on the highway, 5-2 against the Southeast Division, 7-3 as a road chalk, 7-0 when playing on a days? rest, 5-1 on Mondays and 4-1 following a SU loss. Meanwhile, the Hawks remain on ATS slides of 2-5 at home, 1-4 as an underdog, 1-5 overall, 1-4 when playing on a days? rest and 1-5 against the Eastern Conference.

The first five meetings between these teams this season stayed under the posted price, but Saturday?s game soared over the total, and the over is now 10-4 in the last 14 clashes between these two in Atlanta. Also, for the Hawks, the over is on streaks of 10-5 overall, 9-5 against the Eastern Conference, 7-4 against the Atlantic Division and 7-1 at home.

On the flip side, Atlanta has stayed under the total in four of its last six against the Atlantic Division, and the under is 9-4 in the Celtics? last 13 overall, 12-4 in the Celtics? last 16 against the Eastern Conference and 6-2 in the Celtics? last eight versus the Southeast Division.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON and UNDER


WESTERN CONFERENCE

(1) L.A. Lakers (60-25, 50-34-1 ATS) at (8) Denver (50-35, 44-41 ATS)

The Lakers will try to put the finishing touches on the Nuggets in Game 4 of their best-of-7 first-round series inside the Pepsi Center in Denver.

Los Angeles took a commanding 3-0 lead with Saturday?s 102-84 win and easy cover as a 1?-point underdog. The Lakers? defense held Denver to 37.2 percent shooting and 5-of-20 from beyond the 3-point line. Kobe Bryant led the charge for Los Angeles with 22 points, seven rebounds and eight assists.

Saturday?s win improved the Lakers to 6-0 SU and ATS against Denver this season and 9-2 ATS in the last 11 overall. Also, Phil Jackson?s squad is 5-1 ATS in its last six visits to the Pepsi Center, although the home team is still on a 14-6 ATS roll in this rivalry.

The Lakers are on an 11-1 SU surge dating to the regular season, and they have covered the number in four straight after going 3-5 ATS in their previous eight. Meanwhile, Denver, which had to win four of its last five regular-season games to get into the playoffs for the fifth straight year, has now dropped seven consecutive playoff games both SU and ATS (all as an underdog) going back to last year?s opening-round, five-game loss to the eventual champion Spurs.

Los Angeles is on ATS streaks 20-7-1 on the highway, 21-9 following an ATS win, 6-1 on Mondays, 9-3 as a road favorite and 5-1 in conference quarterfinal matchups. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are still on positive pointspread runs of 19-9 following a SU defeat, 8-4 at home, 9-3 following a SU loss and 4-2 at home against teams with a winning road mark, but Denver is just 2-12 ATS in its last 14 as a playoff underdog and 3-14 ATS in its last 17 conference quarterfinal games.

The last two games of this series have stayed under the total and four of the last five between these two have remained low. The under is also 12-5 in the Lakers? last 17 Monday tip-offs and 5-2 in their last seven on the highway.

Also, the under is 7-1 in the Nuggets? last eight overall, 14-3 in their last 17 as a playoff underdog and 18-4 in their last 22 conference quarterfinal contests. However, Denver has still topped the total in 15 of its last 22 home games and 10 of its last 14 Mondays.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. LAKERS and UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

N.Y. Yankees (13-13) at Cleveland (12-13)

The Yankees send veteran Mike Mussina (2-3, 4.94 ERA) to the hill at Progressive Field in Cleveland to wrap up this four-game set with the Indians, who are scheduled to hand the ball to lefty Aaron Laffey (0-0, 0.00).

New York snapped a three-game losing streak with Sunday?s 1-0 victory but is still just 4-5 on its current 10-game road trip that ends tonight. The Yankees are on runs of 7-3 against left-handed starters and 36-17 on Mondays, but just 7-21 in their last 28 on the road against southpaws.

Cleveland had a five-game winning streak halted in Sunday?s shutout loss, but is still on positive streaks of 25-11 at home, 8-2 on Mondays and 15-8 at home against right-handed starters.

Despite Sunday?s win, New York is still just 2-5 in the last seven meetings with the Indians dating back to last year?s A.L. Divisional Playoffs. The Yankees had been on an 8-0 run against Cleveland prior to last October, when they got bounced 3-1 in the best-of-5 playoffs.

Mussina is 1-1 on the road with a 4.26 ERA in two road starts this season and delivered a gem his last time out in Chicago, holding the White Sox to two runs on four hits in seven innings of a 6-4 victory. In his last two trips to Cleveland he has held the Indians to five runs on 13 hits in 13 2/3 innings (3.29 ERA) and the Yankees won both by scores of 11-2 and 11-3. Furthermore, New York is 6-3 in Mussina?s last nine starts against the Tribe, and he?s held them to three runs or less in seven of those nine.

Laffey is making his first start of the season ? and his first career start against the Yankees ? after a successful two-month stint last August and September in the Indians? rotation. He finished 4-2 with a 4.56 ERA in his nine starts, seven of which Cleveland won. In five of those nine outings, Laffey held the opposition to three runs or less, including allowing just a single earned run in three of his last four outings.

The under is 13-5 in New York?s last 18 road games, 18-8 in its last 26 overall and 8-3-1 in Mussina?s last 12 starts on Monday. However the over is on streaks of 11-4 in Mussina starts overall, 5-2 when Mussina starts on the road and 4-0-1 when he starts in Cleveland.

The under is 7-2 in the Indians? last nine overall, 4-0 in Laffey?s last four starts and 5-1 in their last six when hosting the Bronx Bombers (2-1 in this weekend?s series).

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
 
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FRANK ROSENTHAL

NBA PLAYOFFS *
717 RAPTORS+8 SB
UNDER 204 SB
719 CELTICS-9 SB
UNDER 189.5 SB+
722 NUGGETS+4.5 SB
UNDER 226.5 SB+

MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
905 ASTROS UNDER 9.5 SB+
907 ROCKIES-110 SB
OVER 7.5 SB
909 COOKIES+140 SB
912 TRIBE-105 SB
914 ANGELS-1209 SB+
 

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LT's LOCK


Overall record: 592-495-22

Current streak: 2 losses

Todays play: The Nuggets +4'



HONDO


Today, he expects the O's and A's to dot their I's, cross their T's, mind their P's and Q's, and ring up a couple of KO's. OK? Ten units apiece on Baltimore and Oakland.



MIGHTY QUINN


Monday it's the Magic



Benjamin Lee Eckstein

Mets -$220/Pirates.



Joe Wiz

Free Plays Magic And Giants



Arthur Ralph

52-27 run
Boston Celtics




Glen Mcgrew


A's/ Angels Under



Scott Spreitzer


Oakland A's
 

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ER Sports

MLB AL Playmaker (3-0 Playmaker Reports): $29
Erin Rynning has cashed in with his top rated Playmaker Reports in MLB action, nailing three straight to start what promises to be a great run. Get today's Playmaker for just $29 and it is guaranteed to win or tomorrow's baseball play from ER is free.

Cleveland Indians -105
 
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Michael Cannon

NBA Playoffs: 6-4 (+30 dimes)


15 Dime ?

RAPTORS

Take the points with Toronto tonight on the road.

It?s real simple for Toronto. Win or go home.

I expect the Raptors to come into this game with the sense of urgency they need in order to keep this series going. Chris Bosh broke out in Game 4 with 39 points and 15 rebounds, but he didn?t get any help from the backcourt.

If Toronto can execute the pick-and-roll with T. J. Ford and Jose Calderon, then not only does Toronto stand an excellent chance of staying within the number, they?ll have a shot at the outright win.

In the Raptors lone win of this series, Ford and Calderon combined for 39 points, 16 assists and 12 rebounds. More importantly, they only committed four turnovers.

Look for Toronto to execute that game plan while Bosh continues to shine inside.

Now I know Dwight Howard has been a beast in this series, and he could very well lead the Magic to the series win by himself tonight. But as long as Toronto can get Bosh going inside, along with the backcourt scoring, I don?t see the Magic covering this number.

Toronto is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings with Orlando.

Take the points with the Raptors as they keep it within the number.


5 Dime ?

YANKEES (With Mussina as listed pitcher)

Take the Yankees for the road win tonight over the Indians.

New York got a sensational pitching effort from Chien-Ming Wang in yesterday?s 1-0 win over Cleveland, and tonight I expect Mike Mussina to pick up where Wang left off.

Mussina is coming off his best start of the season, a 6-4 win over the White Sox on Wednesday. The right-hander pitched seven innings, allowing just four hits and two runs.

Aaron Laffey will get the start for the Tribe tonight and he?s making his season debut. You have to wonder how he?ll fare against the Yankees lineup, which is still formidable despite some of the injuries they are dealing with.

Take the Yankees as they grab the road win.
 

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Alex Smart

3 units Chicago White Sox (-139)


3 units AFL-Dallas +5.5 to cover vs Philadelphia
 

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Teddy Covers

Monday Daily Card: $49
Monday's Daily Card from Teddy Covers has his NBA O/U Report, MLB O/U report, and one additional NBA side report, all for only $49. This package must produce a NET profit or Teddy's Daily Card on Tuesday is yours at no additional charge.



NBA Toronto Raptors +7.5

NBA Boston Celtics/Atlanta Hawks u190.0


MLB Colorado Rockies/San Francisco Giants o7.5
 

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Mike Rose


Rose made 55 Units in AFL 07
Mike hit 72% in 2007 Arena Football Totals

Up $$ This Year - Huge 5-STAR Winner Monday
One word and one word only can describe Mike Rose's Arena Football...Legendary. This is the man who rips off close to if not MORE than 50 Units a season, year in and year out. Last season Mike DEMOLISHED Books from coast to coast, winning 72% of ALL his Total Bets, and, netting Dime Unit Bettors a Hefty $55,000. Lifetime at *********, Mike has made his Bettors OVER $120,000 of cold hard CASH. The Season of big profits is underway.

Dallas Desperados +5.5





INSANE 61-32 NBA Totals Run

Rose is our Most Profitable NBA Expert of 07/8

He is on a 6-0 NBA Run - Massive 5* TOTAL Mon
Mike Rose is storming into the playoffs, leading all NBA Experts and making his Dime Bettors $30,000 on the season. In all his NBA Bets he is on a 6-0, 26-15 and 63-41 Run and Mike has won his last 4 NBA Cards, 33 of his last 51 NBA Cards. He Totals are insane, sitting on a 7-1, 45-20 and 61-32 Totals Run and he is 60% and up 59 Units on the Season. This is Mike's 2nd straight season making Big NBA profit and watch out for a huge NBA Playoffs.


Los Angeles Lakers/Denver Nuggets over 227.5
 

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LT Profits


Won 10 of their last 16 Days
Profits earned Double Digit Units in MLB 2007

Cashes in HUGE Monday - Guaranteed Dog Winner
Over the last 2 decades of betting, LT Profits have ruled Baseball, calling 1-3 Live dogs everyday and winning 17 of those 20 years. Last year they had a big season making their customers double digit units again and their MLB Side bets made close to $50,000 for dime bettors. Get on board this season, as they have alraedy won 10 of their last 16 Cards and are up profit on the year.

MLB Mon: 110% Guaranteed Side Winner tonight


Cincinnati Reds (125)



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Toronto Raptors +8.0 (-110)
 
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IndianCowboy

Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Los Angeles Lakers @ Denver Nuggets - Monday April 28, 2008 10:30 pm
Pick: 3 units Denver Nuggets +4.5 (-110) (Play of the Day)



To close out the thought that I had on the research earlier, I've always believed the +4.5 or +5.5 Home dog price is one of the most indicative of Vegas believing a team will win outright and tonight is no different in my opinion. As the research below explains, I believe this is a repeat of the Suns vs. Spurs game 4 that occurred this weekend. Nuggets are 10-3 ATS after a straight up loss of more than 10 points and the home team is 14-6 ATS in the last 20 ballgames.

The article that I wrote yesterday about the Heavy favorites winning games 1 and 2, losing game 3 on the road to the underdog, then they typically come back to win game 4. Examples of series that have followed this prototype include (Hornets vs. Mavs, Magic vs. Raptors and Boston vs. Atlanta). However, the 2 series out west have not and that includes the Lakers vs. Denver and Phoenix vs. San Antonio as neither the Suns nor the Nuggets came back home to win game 3, but the Suns did win game 4 to avoid getting swept. Just based on that principle alone, it is tough for me to imagine that the Lakers want to close this baby out on the road here rather than at L.A. Furthermore, I would not be surprised to see the Nuggets, who are still a very proud team, take at least one game here as they got pummeled in game 3 - in an embarrassing way. These are still professionals and I think this team seriously took a blow to their morale. Just out of principle, this should be a play in my opinion. I'm a bit surprised to see this line overall, as 66% of the public do prefer the Lakers after the beat down they delivered in game 3, but I think this is similar to the Suns vs. Spurs in Game 4 the other day and I wouldn't be surprised to see a Nuggets outright win here, like I said, this is simply out of principle I like the Nuggs here, too much value.


Hawks +9.5

Here we go, another game in which 66% of the public is riding the Celtics. I was mentioning to a friend yesterday that Boston is not going to be in a good mood coming into this game losing a playoff game to the Hawks, who I hit the Hawks and the over in that game as I was there in Phillips and loved seeing the baby Hawks show up. You know what this game reminds me of? The Rockets vs. Utah game 4. Why? Well, many thought that Utah coming off that loss in game 3 would get fired up and show up big and blowout the Rockets. Utah did win, but they did not cover. I think something similar might happen today as the Hawks realize, this is their golden opportunity today. If they can somehow pull this game out and keep focused, they have evened this baby up. Do I think it will happen? no. However, I do think that this is likely going to be a much closer game than people realize. I do think there is a bit more defense today, but more importantly, I think the Hawks surprise some folks and hit the cover this evening. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these squads, Hawks likely lose tonight, but make an exceeded effort and fall inside the number imo.

Raptors +7.5

The bottom line here is I simply do not see the Raptors going down without a fight. Remember in Game 2, where there was ominous spread of -6.5 and it went down to -6 prior to game time and this was after the Raptors got hammered in game 1? Yet, the line was lower than what it was in game 1 as it was set at -6.5, well much is the similar case today. I look for the Magic to close this game out today, but simply too much value on Toronto who showed value at +6 on the road in game 2 and that was not even an elimination game where they barely lose by a bucket, and now getting +7.5 in an elimination game coming off a home loss is solid value here. I'll take the Raptors to possibly avoid elimination here, but more importantly, to lose but to lose within the cover. Raptors are 4-1 as underdogs of this margin and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Orlando. I wouldn't be surprised to see a similar result in Game 2 where the Magic win by around a bucket.
Research that went into this game: There is no more series price in this game as obviously many believe the Magic will close this baby out here and now as they have shown they can win at home and on the road all season, as well as in this series as well. The article that I wrote yesterday about the Heavy favorites winning games 1 and 2, losing game 3 on the road to the underdog, then they typically come back to win game 4. Examples of series that have followed this prototype include (Hornets vs. Mavs, Magic vs. Raptors and Boston vs. Atlanta). Thus, now, there is game 5 and I mentioned yesterday that I would not be surprised to see the Magic win this game straight up but fail to cover. Roughly just under 60% of the public believes the Magic close out here, but I find it hard to believe the Raptors will simply go away quietly. Do note that I think this game goes over as well and I lean on the Raptors to lose, but to lose within the cover today. I'll likely do a play on this game. In fact, I like the card overall today in the nba, much better than yesterday's playoff card when I took just one game
 
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Wolkosky Milan

575-471-20 last two hundred twenty three days
234-192-7 last one hundred three days
1-2 Yesterday

Today

10* TORONTO +7?
10* LA LAKERS -4?
10* TOR/ORL OVER 203


5* LA ANGELS -123
5* COL/SFG OVER 7?
 
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