Monday Service Plays 5/5/08

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James Patrick Sports


Cinco de Mayo Fiesta Angels vs. Royals 8:10 p.m. est.
The Halos have enjoyed their visits to Kaufman Stadium as they have posted 10 wins in their past 15 games in KC. Our complimentary selection on Monday in Major League action is #963 Los Angeles Angels


Sports Gambling Hotline

Orlando at DETROIT (-6)

Tonight we back another low-scoring game at the Palace of Auburn Hills, as the Magic and Pistons played well UNDER the posted price in Game One.
More of the same tonight, as the last pair of series meetings have stayed UNDER the total.
Orlando comes into this game on a 4 game UNDER streak, and the Magic has now played UNDER the posted price in 12 of their last 15 games.
Detroit meanwhile, has played UNDER in 4 of their last 5, and 8 of their last 11 overall
Yes, the total is a little on the low-side, but with good reason
Play on the UNDER in Game Two tonight.

2♦ UNDER


Chuck Franklin

Orlando at DETROIT (-6)


The Pistons are clicking on all cylinders, having won four games in a row. They will carry that momentum into this game, facing a Magic team they easily beat on Saturday. Detroit swept Orlando last season in the playoffs and may do so again
The Pistons are 9-2 ATS the last 11 games played as the favorite and 6-1 ATS the last seven home games. This is an experienced playoff team that is 6-2 ATS the last eight Conference Semifinal games and on a 28-11 ATS run with only one days rest. The Magic have only covered the spread twice in the last eight games versus a team with a better than .600 record.

Absolute Blowout!

3♦ DETROIT


Bobby Maxwell

Boston at DETROIT (-110)

The Tigers have Jeremy Bonderman (2-2, 3.86 ERA) on the hill today and he's already beaten the Red Sox once, so he should have the gameplan to do it again.
Bonderman gave up two runs (just one earned) on five hits in five innings of a 7-2 win in Boston back in early April and the Tigers have won four of their last six against the Red Sox. And in Comerica Park in Detroit, the Sox are just 1-4 in their last five visits.
Detroit is 6-0 against Boston with Bonderman on the hill the last few seasons and he's allowed just two earned runs in three straight outings, including Wednesday's 6-2 win over the Yankees in the Bronx. Against the Red Sox, Bonderman has allowed three runs or less in seven of his last eight starts against them.
Diasuke Matsuzaka (4-0, 2.52 ERA) goes for Boston and his only trip to Comerica in Detroit he got shelled, giving up six runs on 10 hits in five innings of a 6-5 loss.
The Tigers are 6-2 at home and 12-4 when Bonderman opens a series. Let's play Detroit to get this one.

3♦ DETROIT


Karl Garrett

White Sox at TORONTO (-115)
.
Tonight look for the streaking Blue Jays to hand the sliding White Sox another setback, and complete the 4-game series sweep.
Toronto has won their last 4, while Chicago is mired in a 5 game slide.
Dustin McGowan is coming off a nice 7 inning, 1 run, no decison at Boston, and he did win his lone home start to date, shutting down the Tigers back on April 19th.
The White Sox counter with Javier Vazquez who rebounded from a loss to the Yankees with 8 solid innings of 1 run ball in a no decision against Baltimore. Still, the Jays are now 5-1 the last 6 meetings at the Rogers Centre against the Pale Hose, and I like them to add another win to that total.
Take Toronto to pull of the rare 4-game sweep.

1♦ TORONTO


Jeff Benton


Finally got back on the right track with the free plays, as Sunday's selection teh Lakers was an easy winner. For Monday, it's back to the MLB diamond, and we'll back the Cubs as a small underdog at the Reds.


(Based on a 1♦ to 10♦ rating system)

3♦ CHICAGO CUBS



Tony Weston



We?re focused in on La La Land as the New York Mets continue this West Coast trip in Los Angeles against the Dodgers.

Despite a 7-2 loss at Colorado yesterday no team is hotter than the Dodgers, who are 8-1 their last nine games and are 10-3 their last 13. Leading Los Angeles? surge has been its bats, which have produced 7.2 runs per game in that 13-game stretch and have averaged 8 runs a game over its last nine.

On the other side, even though the Mets took two of three from the Diamondbacks, the team with the best record in the majors, New York is still only 6-7 its last 13 games, including a 3-5 mark on the road.

For the year New York is only 6-8 on the road, while the Dodgers are 9-5 at home.

Los Angeles? offense is too hot right now and it?ll keep up the production tonight and get an easy win over the Mets.

Take the Dodgers at home.

4♦ DODGERS (1♦ to 5♦ Scale)


Jimmy The Moose

Game: Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays May 5 2008 7:05PM

Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays

Reason: Chicago is struggling losing 5 straight. The White Sox are 1-6 in their last 7 games as a road underdog. Chicago has lost their lsat 5 games played on turf. The White Sox are 5-12 in Vazquezs last 17 starts as a road dog. After a bad road trip the Jays have returned home and started to win again. Toronto has now won 4 straight and in their last 6 home games they are 5-1. The Jays are 6-1 in McGowan's last 7 starts as a home favorite. Chicago is 0-5 in their last 5 trips to Toronto. The Blue Jays are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between the clubs. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays


Big Al Mcmordie


Game: St Louis Cardinals at Colorado Rockies May 5 2008 8:35PM

Prediction: St Louis Cardinals

Reason: At 8:35pm ET our member selection is on the St. Louis Cardinals over the Colorado Rockies. Eight years ago, the Cardinals set a franchise record with 17 wins in the month of April, thanks in large part to a pitching phenom by the name of Rick Ankiel. Now fast-forward to 2008, and the Cardinals have broken that record with 18 April wins, and one of the main reasons is a relatively new outfielder and hitting star by the name of Rick Ankiel. Of course it hasn't hurt that the Cards also have an offense that features Albert Pujols, Chris Duncan, and a somewhat rejuvenated Troy Glaus. But it's been the starting pitching that has made the biggest difference for the Cards. One of the biggest surprises has been the performance of unheralded righthanded starter Joel Pineiro. Pineiro has three quality starts in a row and he has won his last two at Pittsburgh and at home against the Reds. The outing against the Reds was particularly impressive as Pineiro only gave up one hit in seven innings against one of the best lineups in the National League. Colorado has had a major turnaround this season, but unfortunately for them it is the wrong type of reversal. The Rockies have gone from World Series finalist to one of the worst teams in the league after the first month of the season. And there is seemingly no easy explanation for this as their roster experienced very few changes from last season to now. The recent loss of shortstop Troy Tulowitzki until sometime around the All-Star break will not help Colorado break out of its doldrums. Take St. Louis



Vegas Experts Tip of Day


Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners
Monday, May 5th, 10:10 PM ET

The M's should be able to snap their five game losing skid against a Rangers team that is not good away from home (just 9-29 vs. sub-.500 foes away from home) and is getting horrendous pitching (5.55 team ERA is an AL worst). It also helps that Texas is hitting just .257 away from home and scoring only 3.4 runs per game vs. southpaws this season. Seattle is 22-6 at home as a favorite of -125 to -150.

Play on: Seattle


Jim Feist

My free pick of the day is the game between (957) NY Mets and (958) LA Dodgers. Take "(957) NY Mets". Dodger stadium is a huge park, great for pitchers. You need speed on the base paths when playing here, and in this game the visiting Mets have it, tied for third in NL in thefts. Veteran righty Nelson Figueroa has been very good for the Mets, allowing 26 hits in 28 innings with 22 Ks. LA starter Chad Billingsley is struggling at 1-4 with a 5.20 ERA. Control has been a problem, walking 17 in 27 innings. A good spot for the dog, play the NY Mets!


Dave Cokin

My free pick of the day is the game between (967) TEX Rangers and (968) SEA Mariners. Take "(967) TEX Rangers". Dave has seven straight NBA winners with Sunday's Celtics-Lakers sweep, and he's discounting his Monday Under the Hat Magic-Pistons play to just $25 at his Pure Gold Club!... "Kevin Millwood and Jared Washburn take the mound tonight as the Rangers open a set with the Mariners in Seattle. Millwood has been pretty good on the road in the early going. Washburn got off to a terrific start, allowing just 20 baserunners in his first 18 innings. But in his last three starts, Washburn has been knocked around, permitting just under two baserunners per inning. I think Texas will be the fresher team with the M's having to make the cross country jaunt after getting swept by the Yanks. So it looks to me like decent enough value to justify a play on the Rangers as dogs tonight."
 

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PlayByPlayInc

NBA
DETROIT -5.5



ARMVIN SPORTS


MLB
KANSAS CITY ROYALS 131


Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the New York Rangers yesterday. Today it's the Spurs. The surplus is 460 sirignanos.



Hondo

Tonight, Mr. Aitch will roll with Dice K over Bond erman, Jeremy Bonderman - 10 units on the Sawx.
 

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Inside Las Vegas


Detroit Pistons - 6 over Orlando Magic

Detroit handily defeated Orlando 91-72 in game one of this series. The Pistons, which swept Orlando 4-0 in last season's playoffs, have advanced to the Eastern finals in each of the last 5 seasons.


San Antonio Spurs + 2.5 over (at) New Orleans Hornets

Defending NBA Champ San Antonio, 20-6 last 26 playoff games, figures to come with a focused effort to avenge a 101-82 loss at N.O. in game one. Resilient Spurs are now 13-4 last 17 meetings.
 

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Michael Cannon

NBA Playoffs: 11-7 (+80 dimes)


20 Dime

PISTONS

Take the Pistons for the win and cover tonight in Game 2 of their Eastern Conference semifinal series against the Magic.

Nothing has changed my mind after watching the Pistons dismantle the Magic in Game 1. I believed then and I believe now that Detroit is in too good of a groove to be knocked off on its home court.

The Pistons, as usual, had five players score in double figures and they outrebounded the Magic 47-40. Their offense ran smooth and they only committed six turnovers.

This is just a team that is flat out in a groove right now. They know what it takes to win and they will get there by any means necessary.

Detroit has won five straight playoff games against the Magic after sweeping them out of the first round last year. The Pistons are on a 4-0 SUATS run and going back to the regular season are on a 9-2 ATS run.

The straight-up winner is now 18-1-1 ATS in Orlando?s last 19 games and 15-0 ATS in Detroit?s last 15.

I don?t see Orlando winning this game.

Lay the points with the Pistons as they cruise again and take a 2-0 series lead.


10 Dime

CUBS (With Dempster as listed pitcher)

Take the Cubs for the road win tonight over the Reds.

The oddsmaker is crazy for listing the Cubs at this price.

First of all, they?re the much better team and they have the better pitching matchup tonight.

Ryan Dempster is enjoying his rebirth as a starter this year with a 4-0 record and a 3.16 ERA in six starts. He?s struggled a bit with his control, but that shouldn?t matter tonight against a Cincinnati team that is just plain awful right now.

The Reds will start Johnny Cueto and he may turn out to be a very good pitcher in the near future, but for now he?s having some growing pains.

The right-hander is 1-3 with a 5.40 ERA in six starts this year, including 0-2 with a 7.47 ERA over his last three. He?s surrendered six homeruns in only 35 innings.

Take the Cubs as they grab the road win.


5 Dime

TIGERS (With Bonderman as listed pitcher)

Let?s make the motor city faithful a happy bunch tonight and back the Tigers over the Red Sox.

Jim Leyland has said he plans to shake up the lineup for tonight?s game, and although I?m not sure what he has in mind I?ll trust his experience that it will be the right move.

The Tigers have been too inconsistent this year, but I like them to put it all together tonight against the Red Sox.

Jeremy Bonderman will get the start for Detroit and has already beaten the BoSox once this year. The right-hander is coming off a road win over the Yankees and as long as he pounds the strike zone he should be fine.

David Ortiz may not be in the lineup tonight after being scratched from yesterday?s game due to sore knees. Now I know it?s tough picking your rear end up off the bench four times a game to swing a bat, but if it?s still bothering you take the night off again Papi.

Daisuke Matsuzaka will start for Boston and the Sox are 6-0 when he pitches this year, but I feel like tonight is the night the Tigers break through and get to him, especially with the shakeup Leyland is promising.

Take the Tigers as they grab the home win.
 

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Brandon Lang


30 Dime
Hornets

10 Dime
Red Sox


Free - PISTONS and CARDINALS
 

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SportsKingz

MLB

BOSTON -110 (1100 TO WIN 1000)
CHI CUBS -105 (1050 TO WIN 1000)

NBA

SAN ANTONIO OVER 182 (10 UNITS)
 

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EZWINNERS

MLB

1 STAR: (956) ARIZONA (-$140) over Philadelphia
(Listing Scherzer and Moyer)
(Risking $140 to win $100)
8:40PM Central Time

1 STAR: (968) SEATTLE (-$130) over Texas
(Listing Washburn only)
(Risking $130 to win $100)
9:10PM Central Time


NBA

1 STAR: (711) SAN ANTONIO (+2.5) over New Orleans
(Risking $110 to win $100)
8:30PM Central Time
 

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JEFFERSONSPORTS


NBA
SAN ANTONIO UNDER 182

MLB
Cubs+101
St. Louis+115
Arizona-135
La Angels-130
 

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Hot Lines


Best MLB Bets


Angels vs. Kansas City (+130, 9 ?)

Chances are, you didn?t know these were the two best fielding teams in the American League. Now you know and it helps bring a little bit of overlooked value to the under for this three-game series.

Both squads have a .989 fielding percentage and have committed just 26 errors between them this season. It is part of the reason K.C. is the third-best ?under? team in baseball right now and L.A. also has one more under than overs this year.

These two squads met in mid-April and played under in both matchups. Throw in the facts the Royals enter tonight on a three-game under streak and the Angels? Ervin Santana has played under in all four of his totals this season and 9 ? runs starts looking a little steep.

Pick: under 9.5


St. Louis vs. Colorado (-125, 10)

Colorado has one strong pitcher, Aaron Cook, and after that it?s just everybody else. The Rockies are 6-1 when Cook starts and 6-18 when he doesn?t.

One of those ?everybody else? guys starts tonight when Ubaldo Jimenez takes the hill. He is 0-3 with a 5.9 ERA in six starts and he has gone as far as six innings only once. Still, the Rockies are favored in this matchup while they still continue to see chalk as last year?s World Series finalists.

That creates a solid value situation against a Cards team that is coming off an 18-win April, the most wins in April in franchise history.

Joel Pineiro takes the mound for St. Louis and brings a 1.77 ERA over his past three starts.

Pick: Cardinals +115
 

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Dunkel Index

NBA

Orlando at Detroit
The Pistons held Orlando to 72 points in the opener and come back tonight with a 22-10 ATS record after allowing an opponent 85 points or less. Detroit is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Pistons favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-6)

MONDAY, MAY 5

Game 709-710: Orlando at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 120.659; Detroit 129.019
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 8 1/2; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 6; 185
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-6); Under

Game 711-712: San Antonio at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 124.200; New Orleans 128.824
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 4 1/2; 187
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 2; 182
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-2); Over
 

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Tips and Trends


Orlando Magic at Detroit Pistons [TNT | 7 PM ET]

Magic: Insiders believe Orlando will not be able to hang with the Pistons in this series if they don't make 3-point baskets - or take more of them. The Magic had averaged nearly 30 3-point attempts per game in the first round against Toronto but took just 15 in Game 1 vs. Detroit - making only 2. Taking more 3-pointers would also help open up the inside for Dwight Howard, who was held to 12 points and 8 rebounds. They also hurt their cause by making just 10-of-20 free throws. ?The first thing I look at is myself,? Orlando head coach Stan Van Gundy said. ?I can?t make free throws, but other than that we have to find something better.?

Road team is 15-6-3 ATS in the last 24 meetings.
The UNDER is 9-1 in Orlando's last 10 road games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 90

Pistons (-5.5, O/U 185): Detroit used its big advantage in the backcourt en route to a Game 1 victory - literally. Chauncey Billups totaled a game-high 19 points over a smaller Jameer Nelson while Rip Hamilton added 17, as the duo outscored Orlando's backcourt by 25. ?Chauncey drove the ball and he?s a very strong guy so if he gets an angle and drops that shoulder, good luck getting in front of him,? Magic coach Stan Van Gundy said. ?Rip around screens is the best in the league. Since Reggie Miller retired, he?s the best catch-and-shoot player coming off screens in the NBA.?

Pistons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
The OVER is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings at Detroit.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 95



San Antonio Spurs at New Orleans Hornets [TNT | 9:30 PM ET]

Spurs: San Antonio's Tim Duncan is coming off one of the worst games of his career thanks to stellar defense by New Orleans, utilizing an effective double-team strategy. Duncan missed 8 of his 9 shots and half of his 6 free throws, finishing with 5 points and 3 rebounds in Game 1. Duncan had averaged 25 points and 14 rebounds in the first round vs. Phoenix, and the Hornets expect him to bounce back in Game 2. "Tim is too proud to come out and play that way again," New Orleans head coach Byron Scott said. "In our minds right now, this is going to be a long series. They're just too good of a team to play the way they played (Saturday) night for four more games or five more games, so we didn't get their best shot."

The OVER is 6-2-1 in San Antonio's last 9 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 90

Hornets (-2.5, O/U 182): One of the biggest advantages New Orleans has in this series is youth, and head coach Byron Scott had his players practice only briefly on Sunday before watching film. The Hornets have also taken advantage of a big home-court edge to win all 4 of their games there in the playoffs, going 3-1 ATS. "We have to use what we've got - we have the youth, younger legs, things like that," Scott said. "We're a little more athletic than they are. We have to try to use those things to our advantage."

Hornets are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 home games.
The UNDER is 3-0-1 in New Orleans' last 4 games overall.
The UNDER is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 92


MLB

Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers [7:05 PM ET]

Red Sox (-115, O/U 9): Daisuke Matsuzaka has been dominant to start off this season, going 4-0 with a 2.52 ERA. He has allowed just 20 hits in 6 starts covering 35+ innings. Matsuzaka allowed just 2 hits in 7 innings pitched last time out. That came 12 days after missing a scheduled start because of the flu. The Tokyo Native defeated Detroit back on April 8th by not allowing a run over 6.2 innings. The Red Sox are 6-0 with Dice-K on the hill.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Tigers: Jeremy Bonderman is beginning to find his form. The right-hander has allowed just 6 earned runs over his last 3 starts, which ****** 17+ innings. Bonderman shutdown the Yankees to just 3 runs on 5 hits in his last start, and entered that contest with an ERA over 5 against them in his career. The 2001 draft pick also held down these Boston bats to just 1 earned on 5 hits in 5 innings back on April 9th.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (Side Play of the Day)



Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds [7:10 PM ET]

Cubs: Ryan Dempster has still yet to taste defeat here in ?08. The right-hander is 4-0 with a 3.16 ERA. He has allowed more than 3 earned runs just once in 6 season starts. Dempster?s road ERA is a miniscule 1.29 and has a solid 10-5 K-Walk ratio. The 1995 draftee got the W back on April 15th against these Reds, as he allowed 4 runs on 5 hits in 6 innings of work.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Reds (-115, O/U 9): Rookie Johnny Cueto is coming off the worst outing of his young career, surrendering a career-high 7 runs and 8 hits in just 1 2/3 innings at St. Louis last Tuesday. Cueto had gone at least 6 innings in each of his previous 5 starts and had not allowed more than 5 runs. He has pitched fairly well at home this season, going 1-1 with a 3.43 ERA.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 5



New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers [10:10 PM ET]

Mets: The wild side of Oliver Perez has reared its ugly head yet again. The south-paw has walked a total of 14 batters over his last 23 starts, and consequently dropped 2 out of those 3 by a combined 17 runs. Perez said he is ?Falling behind hitters? and the numbers prove it. However, the last time this Culiacan Native faced these Dodgers in LA resulted in a 4-1 Mets victory with Perez allowing just 1 run over 7+ innings of work.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 4 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Dodgers (-135, O/U 8.5): Chad Billingsley showed last time out in Florida why the Dodgers are so high on him. The 23 year-old allowed just 1 run on 3 hits over 7 innings of work, while striking out 8 Marlins. Billingsley said all of his pitches ?felt great? and he looks to build off his first victory of the season. The right-hander has never started against New York in his career, but has allowed just 1 hit in 3 innings of relief.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 6
 

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Pick 'n' Roll

Best NBA Bets

Orlando at Detroit (-6 ?, 184 ?)

Game 1 was a reality check for the Magic. After pushing the Raptors aside by dominating the paint and hitting from downtown, they were ones getting pushed around in the paint by the Pistons and couldn?t hit anything outside (2-of-15) either.

Detroit wants to turn this series into a battle royal, wearing out Dwight Howard in the trenches at both ends of the floor. The Magic can play that kind of scrappy game for a while, but the Pistons are built for that stuff. Orlando needs to make some outside shots to open things up a bit for Howard underneath.

Pick: over


San Antonio at New Orleans (-2, 182)

So are you a Hornets believer yet?

Betting against the Spurs has been a great way to burn your bankroll for years, but they?re up against some stiff competition in this series. New Orleans is becoming a really tough place to play ? with or without the greasy hardcourt following that mascot gaffe ? as the whole city gets behind the team.

You know San Antonio isn?t backing down, but the Spurs were having the same problems with New Orleans as Dallas did ? namely, Chris Paul.

?The way I put it is he runs an organized playground,? Spurs coach Greg Popovich told reporters. ?When Chris takes control of the basketball ... he has an uncanny ability and special awareness of where his teammates are and how to get the ball to them. And if that doesn?t work, he?s a helluva scorer.

?His decision-making skills are tremendous, but when you put his individual skills with that, it just makes it impossible.?

Pick: Hornets
 

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Dunkel Index

MLB

Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati
The Cubs send Ryan Dempster (4-0, 3.16) to the mound against a Cincinnati team that has lost five straight. Chicago is the underdog pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Cubs favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+105).

MONDAY, MAY 5

Game 951-952: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Dempster) 15.797; Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.755
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+105); Under

Game 953-954: St. Louis at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Pineiro) 15.673; Colorado (Jimenez) 14.667
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Colorado (-125); 10
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+115); Over

Game 955-956: Philadelphia at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Moyer) 15.040; Arizona (Scherzer) 15.138
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Arizona (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-140); Over

Game 957-958: NY Mets at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Firgueroa) 14.467; LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 16.748
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-130); Over

Game 959-960: Boston at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Matsuzaka) 15.244; Detroit (Bonderman) 16.707
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-105); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-105); Under

Game 961-962: Chicago White Sox at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Vazquez) 15.008; Toronto (McGowan) 15.072
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Toronto (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-110); Under

Game 963-964: LA Angels at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Santana) 16.378; Kansas City (Tomko) 14.656
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-145); Under

Game 965-966: Baltimore at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Olson) 15.017; Oakland (Eveland) 16.760
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-130); Under

Game 967-968: Texas at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Millwood) 14.512; Seattle (Washburn) 15.003
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-130); Under
 

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CASH & PROFIT EXPERTS

NBA:
SPURS/HORNETS OVER 182 (POD)


MLB:
WSOX +107 (COMP)

11-2-1 LAST 7DAYS
 

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Winners Edge

NBA
SA SPURS +2 , 2 units

MLB
K.C ROYALS + 125 , 1 unit
Texas RANGERS + 110 , 1 unit
 

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Vic Monte

100* Inside Info Selection
Chicago Cubs +$110

I will start this off right away by making a "Big" point. Reds starting pitcher Johnny Cueto is a "Money Burner". The Reds are just 1-5 -$556 in Cueto's starts this season. That Ranks him #95 out of 96 starting pitchers in the National League, with only Barry Zito burning more money (0-6 -$600). On the other side of the diamond, Cubs starting pitcher Ryan Dempster has been a "Cash Cow" this season! The Cubbies are 5-1 +$280 in Dempsters starts this season, that Ranks Ryan #5 in the National League. So we are going to back the #5 ranked pitcher over the #95 ranked pitcher at +$110. Is it a Trap? No! The Public loves to back the Reds and Cueto. A young strong arm that everyone wants to see do good. There for the line is adjusted accordingly. Its not like Cueto is pitching lights out but just not winning. 0-2 with a 7.47 ERA in his last 3 starts. In his last start he only lasted 1.2 innings allowing 6 Earned Runs on 8 hit and walking 1 batter. That is just to much for a young guy to forget and then pitch a gem 5 days later. Want More? The Cubs are a "Money Making" 14-6 in there last 20 spots as a "Road Underdog" while the Reds 7-21 in there last 28 against the NL Central. Did I mention the Reds have lost 5 Straight games & are only 3-8 in there last 11 overall coming into play tonight! 100* Inside Info - Cubs
 

the duke

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THE SPORTS ADVISORS


NATIONAL LEAGUE

N.Y. Mets (16-13) at L.A. Dodgers (17-14)
The Dodgers try to start a new winning streak when they send Chad Billingsley (1-4, 5.20 ERA) to the mound at Dodger Stadium, while the Mets are scheduled to counter with Oliver Perez (2-2, 4.03) in the opener of a three-game series.
Los Angeles had an eight-game winning streak snapped with Sunday?s 7-2 loss in Colorado. It was the Dodgers? lowest run output in 10 games, as they averaged 8.8 runs per game during their streak, including producing double-digit runs four times.
New York arrives in Southern California having taken two of three from league-leading Arizona, including Sunday?s 5-2 win in the desert. The Mets have won five of their last seven overall, but they?re still under .500 on the highway (7-8).
These teams split their 10-game series last year, but the Mets did win five of the last seven, including three of four in Los Angeles.
Billingsley was stellar in his last start Wednesday, picking up his first victory of the season by allowing one run on three hits in seven innings of a 13-1 drubbing of the Marlins. At home this year, the right-hander is 0-2 with a 5.56 ERA. Tonight marks Billingsley?s first career start against the Mets.
Perez didn?t stick around long in his last outing on Thursday against the Pirates, getting chased after 1 2/3 innings after surrendering seven runs (only two earned) on two hits and five walks in a 13-1 home loss. Over his last two outings, the southpaw is 0-2 with an 8.59 ERA, allowing 12 runs (seven earned) in 7 1/3 innings.
Perez is 2-1 with a 2.60 ERA in three road games this year and 5-4 with a 3.53 ERA in 10 career starts against the Los Angeles, including 3-2 with a 3.50 ERA in six outings at Dodger Stadium.
The Dodgers are 4-1 in Billingsley?s last five starts versus N.L. East competition, and they?re on further streaks of 6-1 at home, 10-3 on Mondays, 5-0 in the first game of a series and 7-3 against the N.L. East. Meanwhile, the Mets are just 4-8 in their last 12 games against winning teams, but 5-1 in their last six against right-handed starters.
The over is 4-2 in Perez?s six starts this season (2-1 on the road) and 4-0 in Billingsley?s last four outings (2-0 in the last two).
The under is 4-1-1 the last six times these teams have met, but the over is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings on the West Coast. The over is also 4-1-1 in the Mets? last six overall, 14-7-1 in their last 22 road games and 17-9-2 in their last 28 on the road against right-handed starters six. Meanwhile the Dodgers are on over runs of 9-3-1 overall, 7-1 at home, 22-6-1 on Mondays, 35-16 in the first game of a series and 5-0 at home against teams with a winning mark.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER



AMERICAN LEAGUE

Boston (20-13) at Detroit (14-18)
Fresh off a three-game sweep of the Rays and 5-1 homestand, the Red Sox hit the road and hand the ball to Daisuke Matsuzaka (4-0, 2.52 ERA), while the Tigers counter with ace Jeremy Bonderman (2-2, 3.86) in the first of a three-game set at Comerica Park.
Boston wrapped up its weekend sweep of Tampa Bay with Sunday?s 7-3 win to improve to 5-1 in its last six, a run that comes on the heels of a five-game losing streak. Now the Sox take to the road where they have dropped three straight and are just 6-8 for the season.
Detroit returns home after a six-game road trip that saw the Tigers sweep the Yankees, then get swept by the Twins, concluding with Sunday?s 7-6 loss when they scored six first-inning runs and were shutout the rest of the way. Detroit scored 20 runs in winning three games in New York, then managed just eight runs in Minnesota, including scoring single runs in losses on Friday and Saturday.
The Tigers are on a 4-2 run against the Red Sox, but Boston took two of three earlier this season at Fenway Park. The only win for Detroit came when Bonderman delivered a quality start, allowing two runs (one earned) on five hits in five innings of a 7-2 victory. Otherwise the Red Sox are 29-14 in the last 43 series clashes, but just 1-4 the last five games at Comerica.
Bonderman has gone three straight outings of allowing two earned runs, and in Wednesday?s 6-2 victory at Yankee Stadium, he yielded just five hits and a walk in 7 2/3 innings. The Tigers have won six straight games against Boston with Bonderman on the hill, as the right-hander has limited the Red Sox to three runs or less in seven of his last eight starts against them. For his career, Bonderman is 4-4 with a 4.35 ERA against the BoSox.
Dating back to last season, Boston has each of Matsuzaka?s last eight straight starts, including Wednesday?s 2-1 victory over the Blue Jays when the right-hander tossed seven shutout innings, allowing on two hits and two walks. In April, Dice-K blanked the Tigers on four hits for 6 2/3 innings of a 5-0 Red Sox win. But in his lone visit to Comerica last year, he got shelled for six runs on 10 hits in five innings of a 6-5 loss.
Boston is on streaks of 20-7 against the A.L. Central Division, 40-17 against teams with a losing record, 12-5 on the road against losing teams, 11-1 in Matsuzaka?s last 12 starts and 4-1 when he toes the rubber on the road. Meanwhile the Tigers are runs of 6-2 at home, 12-4 when Bonderman opens a series and 8-3 with him on the hill against teams with a winning mark. However, Detroit is on slides of 2-6 when Bonderman works in Comerica and 4-10 overall against winning teams.
The under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 head-to-head matchups , 4-0 in Bonderman?s last four outings against the Sox and 4-1-1 in Bonderman?s six starts this season. The under is also 6-3 in Boston?s last nine and 18-6-1 in its last 25 Monday games. However, the over is 11-5-2 in the Tigers? last 18 on Mondays and 5-2-2 in their last nine at home.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER




NBA PLAYOFFS


WESTERN CONFERENCE

San Antonio (4-2, 2-3-1 ATS) New Orleans (5-1, 4-2 ATS)
The upstart Hornets try to take a 2-0 lead in their best-of-7 conference semifinal series when they host the Spurs in Game 2 inside New Orleans Arena.
New Orleans outscored San Antonio 56-33 in the second half Saturday en route to the 101-82 win and easy cover as a three-point home chalk. The Hornets shot 50 percent from the floor Saturday and got 30 points and nine rebounds from David West and 17 points and 13 assists from Chris Paul. The Spurs, meanwhile, shot just 40 percent, and superstar Tim Duncan had the worst playoff game of his career, going 1-for-9 from the field for five points and three rebounds.
New Orleans now has a 3-2 SU and ATS advantage in the season series, including winning the last two by 25 and 19 points, respectively. Dating back to 2005, the Spurs are still 8-3 SU (6-5 ATS) against the Hornets, and they have won four of the last six SU and ATS on the road. Finally, the straight-up winner is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings overall, and the road team is still 6-3 ATS in the last nine.
Gregg Popovich?s Spurs are 6-2 SU in their last eight overall (4-4 ATS), but just 23-21 (16-28 ATS) on the road this season (playoffs included). Also, San Antonio is a miserable 2-11 ATS as an underdog of less than four points this year, and the team is on further pointspread slides of 4-10 as an underdog of any price, 5-14 as a road pup and 1-6 on the highway.
Conversely, Byron Scott?s Hornets are on a plethora of positive ATS streaks, including 42-20-1 overall, 22-7 at home, 17-5-1 as a favorite, 20-7 as a home favorite, 7-0 as a home playoff favorite and 11-5 against the Western Conference.
Saturday?s game landed right on the 183-point total, but the under is still 4-1-1 in the last six series clashes (2-0-1 in New Orleans), 11-5-1 in the Spurs? last 17 as a ?dog and 16-6-1 in the Spurs? last 23 against the Southwest Division. On the flip side, the over is on streaks of 6-2-1 for San Antonio overall, 8-3-1 for San Antonio as a playoff underdog, 11-5-1 for San Antonio in conference semifinal contests, 17-7-3 for the Hornets as a home favorite and 6-1-1 for the Hornets in conference semifinal games.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NEW ORLEANS



EASTERN CONFERENCE

Orlando (4-2, 3-3 ATS) at Detroit (5-2 SU and ATS)
After a dominating performance in Game 1, the Pistons look to go up 2-0 and record their fifth consecutive win overall when they host the Magic in Game 2 of their best-of-7 Eastern Conference semifinal series inside the Palace of Auburn Hills.
Detroit led wire-to-wire in Saturday?s 91-72 victory as a 6?-point favorite. Five Pistons scored in double figures, and Detroit won all the pertinent categories, including outrebounding Orlando 47-40 and committing just six turnovers compared to the Magic?s 13. Defensively, the Pistons also held Orlando to 2-of-15 shooting (13.3 percent) from beyond the 3-point line.
The Pistons now lead the season series 3-2 SU and ATS, as the winner has cashed in all five contests. Detroit has also won five straight playoff contests (2-2-1 ATS) against the Magic after sweeping them out of the first round last season. Also, despite the Game 1 result, the road team is still 15-6-3 ATS in the last 24 series clashes between these two, with the Magic going 6-3-3 ATS in their last 12 trips to Motown (playoffs included).
The Magic are on a 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS roll going back to the regular season, but Stan Van Gundy?s squad is just 1-2 SU and ATS on the road in the playoffs.
Detroit, in the conference semifinals for the seventh straight year, has now won four consecutive contests both SU and ATS after winning the final three games of their quarterfinal series against Philadelphia. Going back to the regular season, Flip Saunders? team is 9-2 SU and ATS in their last 11 games.
The straight-up winner is 18-1-1 ATS in Orlando?s last 19 games and 15-0 ATS in Detroit?s last 15.
The Magic are still on ATS streaks of 7-3 against the Eastern Conference, 6-1-1 against Central Division squads, 18-8-1 as an underdog, 5-3 on the highway and 15-7-1 as a road ?dog. However, they are just 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 as a playoff road ?dog.
The Pistons are in the midst of positive pointspread runs of 9-2 as a favorite, 6-1 as a home favorite, 5-1 against the Eastern Conference, 6-2 in conference semifinal action and 28-11 when playing on one days? rest. However Detroit?s negative ATS trends include 10-12-1 in the playoffs (5-8 ATS in the last 13) and 10-17-1 as a playoff chalk (5-8 ATS last 13 as a playoff favorite).
Even though Saturday?s game stayed well under the posted total, the over has still been the play in four of the last six head-to-head meetings between these teams and nine of the last 11 series clashes in the Motor City.
For Orlando, the under is on runs of 12-3 overall (4-2 in the playoffs), 9-1 on the road, 11-3 against the Eastern Conference and 6-0 against Central Division teams. For the Pistons, the under is on streaks of 14-5 overall (5-2 in the playoffs), 13-4 as a favorite, 10-2 when playing on one days? rest, 6-0 against Southeast Division teams and 16-4 against the Eastern Conference.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
 

the duke

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Winning Points Online

MLB -8 units this year


LA DODGERS (Billingsley) -125 over NY METS (Oliver Perez)

The Dodgers had their winning streak snapped at Coors Field yesterday, but they have been playing some of the best baseball in either league lately(8-2, +$580 with 7.6 runs per game). They come home to take on Oliver Perez, whose numbers in his last two starts were pretty bad (8.61 ERA).LA has been punishing left handers this year(7-3, +$410 with 7.3 runs per game) and New York checks in here with a 3-7 (-$565) record
vs. right handers in road games. Joe Torre saw plenty of the Mets in NYC, and his team is well poised for a victory in tonight's series opener.



Ultra

7:05 pm
**PREFERRED
OVER 9
Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati

Ryan Dempster of the Cubs is 4-0. Whoop-dee-damn do. With 19, 13 and 9 runs worth of support, anybody can go out there and win some games. Dempster's current WHIP of 1.11 is too good to last, as is the Batting Average Against of 1.73. In this hitter's ballpark, against a lineup with a .415 On-Base Percentage against him in 110 at-bats, it's a good time for those numbers to go up. Few pitchers with 19-22 BB-K ratios stay unhittable. On the other side, Reds' starter Johnny Cueto has 6-33 BB-K. That's nice. But if he's going to be coming in there with it, the Cubs can just sit on his fastball and take it downtown. Cueto is facing the NL's top Batting Average and On-Base Percentage lineup.




NBA

7:05 pm
**PREFERRED
Detroit* over Orlando by 14

The Magic can't match Detroit's muscle and their finesse can't win out against Detroit's muscle. If they're looking for a break, they can wait until Game 3 for home-friendly officiating to maybe throw them a lifeline. DETROIT, 100-86.
 
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