Monday Service Plays 8/18/08

[kozski61]

PlayByPlayInc. NFL

8/18/2008 CLEVELAND at
NY GIANTS Under 35.5



WILD BILL

Monday, Aug 18

New York Mets -125 (5 units)
Giants w/Zito +185 (5 units)
Laa Angels+120 (5 units)
Astros vs Sabathia +250 (5 units)
Tigers +105 (5 units)
7:05pm EST Texas Rangers
Athletics+125 (5 units)
Mariners +185 (5 units)

NFL
Browns +3 (5 units)




Jim Feist

My free pick of the day is the game between (963) OAK Athletics and (964) MIN Twins. Take "Over". Minnesota is an excellent hitter's park, with it's artificial carpet plus the baseball carries indoors. Oakland starter Justin Duchscherer gets that challenge handed to him. He's been very good, just not lately, with a 4.15 ERA his last three starts. He's also 0-2 with a 4.73 ERA against the Twins. Minnesota righty Nick Blackburn also has an ERA over 4 his last 3 starts. Minnesota is on an 8-2 run over the total, plus 2-0 over in Blackburn's last 2 starts. Oddsmakers made this total a bit too short, play the A's/Twins over the total.




MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty hit with the Rockies Sunday.
Monday it's the Angels. The surplus is 390 sirignanos.




HONDO

August 18, 2008

The Pirates did a flush job on Hondo's investment yesterday as they stunk it up against the Metamucils and caused the earnings to plunge to 440 kuzavas.
Tonight, he's going Yards with Guthrie over the Bosawx - 10 units on the Orioles.




ARMVIN SPORTS NFL

8/18/2008 CLEVELAND at
NY GIANTS Over 35


ARMVIN SPORTS MLB
8/18/2008 BOSTON RED SOX -119




Rocco Spacamuro


50* NFL
Browns +3




Players of America


Today's Selections

BOS vs. BAL
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
The Play: Boston Red Sox -115.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup:
A small card for Monday, but it is officially time to kick off a new week.and a new hot streak. We've steamrolled through the first 2/3rd's of this MLB season and it is now time to close things out with a bang. We have given a bit more back than we would have like in the past couple of weeks, but its Go Time now. Be sure to keep up to date with our Record Archive page for full season statistics and results.

On Monday, one team is vastly underpriced. That team is typically a public, square favorite, but this really is a situational play. The Red Sox travel to Camden Yards to face the hosting Orioles at 7:05PM EST. These teams were on opposite ends of the spectrum on Sunday. The BoSox are coming off a thrashing at home to Toronto, and a little redemption and self assurance has to be on the mind of these guys. Baltimore on the other hand went into Detroit and opened up a can on the Tigers, 16-8. If any of you watched that Tigers game, the announcers actually got one thing right. "This Baltimore team is legit, no questions there.but they are not this good." With that being said, Boston IS that good. They are high-time favorites to win the hardware this season, and home or away, today is a great spot to wager on them.

The 71-52 Red Sox will give the red and white to lefty Jon Lester. Lester has been better than just a spot in the rotation for these guys all season long. Heck, he is probably their ace. Lester is 11-4 overall with a WHIP of 1.29 and a very solid ERA of 3.25 in over 160 total innings pitched. Lester is 2-1 in his last three outings giving up just 20 hits for a WHIP of 1.16 and an ERA of 3.81. The Sox are 7-3 in their last ten overall. Boston has this Baltimore squad's number as of late, defeating them two of the last three times. Boston is relatively healthy all the way around. Paplebon will be back and ready to go in the pen, too. The Red Sox will be without Mike Lowell tonight as he has been placed on the 15 day DL to undergo an MRI next week.

The O's elect to put right hander Jeremy Guthrie on the mound Monday night. Jeremy comes in 10-9 overall. His numbers are comparable to Lester's and his ERA is also solid at 3.20. Jeremy is capable of coming in and putting in some good work, but at some point he needs to hand things over to that streaky bullpen of the Orioles. This is where many teams in this league struggle. The Oriole's bullpen has a combined ERA of 8.17 in their last three games. That is not a typo.an 8.17 ERA for the BULLPEN in the last three games, and a WHIP of 2.06. The projected available pitchers in the pen have an ERA of exactly 6.57. This is trouble for Baltimore players, fans and backers. How can you put any type of faith in a team who struggles so bad to close out games? It's easy to grab and hold on to wins when your offense explodes like last night, but that just doesn't happen too frequently. This is Major League Baseball, not Arena Football.

Simply put, Boston at this price is a bigger bargain than ten-for-one pork chops at your local grocery store. Look for the Red Sox to get back on track and come out firing on all cylinders Monday night. Their playing for position now, something Baltimore is not. Bean Town -115 (opener) is the play for 10 units, a 1* wager.

TRENDS OF THE GAME:
- The Red Sox are 7-3 in their last 10 road games
- The Red Sox are 24-6 in Lester's last 30 starts on grass
- The Red Sox are 39-14 in the last 53 meetings with the Orioles

Boston 7, Baltimore 2




Cappers Access

Browns (NFL)
Mets (MLB)





SCOTT FERRALL

NFL

Giants -3 to Cleveland--You know Eli and company are going to get this one at Giants Stadium. Yah, the Browns are decent, but since it doesn't really matter--the G-Men will get it done in NJ--CARR sees lots of action and has looked good for NY as the backup plan to Manning--UNDER 35.5

MLB

TB and Andy Sonnanstine over Jon Garland and the Angels--I know the Halos are tough, but I think the Rays are better at home than almost any team in baseball

Lester -125 at Baltimore over the Orioles and Guthrie--The Red Sox are hitting again and so is Big Papi--take the Sox on the road here

Houston and Randy Wolf at a huge +230 at Miller Park over the Brew Crew--CC Sabathia hasn't lost once since coming to Milwaukee, but if he stumbles here against the Astros--you'll be jumping for joy with that fat payout




GLEN McGREW

Mets





JACK CLAYTON

Bos/ Balt Under

 

[kozski61]

These are Monday's plays:


*** EZWINNERS MLB ***

3 STAR: MILWAUKEE (-1.5)(-$130) over Houston
(Action)
(Risking $390 to win $300)
7:05PM Central Time

2 STAR: (952) PITTSBURGH (+$125) over NY Mets
(Action)
(Risking $200 to win $250)
11:35PM Central Time

2 STAR: (953) SAN FRANCISCO (+$182) over Atlanta
(Listing Zito only)
(Risking $200 to win $364)
3:35PM Central Time

 

[the duke]

NSA

NFL
20* Cleveland +3
10* OVER 35

MLB
10* Boston -125
10* Angels +120
10* Minnesota -135
10* Texas +100

 

[the duke]

SPORTS ADVISORS

NFL Preseason

Cleveland (0-1 SU and ATS) at N.Y. Giants (0-1 SU, 0-0-1 ATS)

The Super Bowl champion Giants take the field in front of their home fans at Giants Stadium in New Jersey when they host the Browns in this nationally televised preseason contest.

New York opened the preseason with a 13-10 loss in Detroit back on Aug. 7, pushing as a three-point ?dog. Super Bowl MVP Eli Manning completed just two passes in six attempts for 19 yards while his backups performed better with David Carr going 10-for-13 for 104 yards and a touchdown and Anthony Wright completing 9-of-13 for 116 yards.

Cleveland also opened the exhibition campaign on Aug. 7, falling 24-20 to the Jets as a five-point home favorite. The Browns put up 14 points in the first half and starting QB Derek Anderson finished 4-of-5 for 20 yards and a touchdown in limited action. Brady Quinn followed Anderson and was an impressive 13-of-17 for 133 yards with an INT and Ken Dorsey finished up with 139 passing yards and two INTs.

Expect to see a little more from Manning and the starters tonight as coach Tom Coughlin has said they will get about 25 snaps or go into the second quarter. Wright will follow Manning with rookie Andre Woodson and Carr splitting time in the second half.

Browns? coach Romeo Crennel said his starters will go into the second quarter tonight and has quieted any concerns about any quarterback controversy, giving Anderson all the snaps with the first unit the entire preseason. Quinn will come in midway through the second quarter and take it to the fourth quarter, with Dorsey mopping up from there.

New York is 4-2 SU and ATS in true home games at Giants Stadium (the annual game against Jets it is considered a neutral-site contest) and 9-7-1 SU and ATS in preseason games overall since Coughlin took over in 2004. The Giants have also cashed in three straight as a preseason chalk.

The Browns are 8-5 SU and 9-4 ATS since Crennel took over in 2005, including 5-1 SU and ATS on the road and 7-1 ATS as an underdog. Also, going back to 2004, the Browns are 4-0 ATS in the preseason following a straight-up defeat.

The last time these two teams met in the exhibition campaign was 2005 when Cleveland scored a 17-14 win at home as a three-point underdog.

The over is 3-1 in the Giants? last four true home exhibition games but the under is 9-4 overall in the last three-plus preseasons for New York. For the Browns, the under is 5-1 in their last six preseason road games and 8-5 in their last three Augusts overall.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

L.A. Angels (76-46) at Tampa Bay (75-48)

The top two teams in the American League square off in the opener of a three-game series at Tropicana Field as the Angels send Jon Garland (11-7, 4.26 ERA) to the mound to face the Rays? Andy Sonnanstine (12-6, 4.35).

Los Angeles comes into this one with the best road record in baseball at 39-23 despite losing in Cleveland 4-3 on Sunday. The Angels have won six of their last nine overall and 10 of their last 15 on the highway.

Tampa Bay wrapped up a 10-game road trip with Sunday?s 7-4 win at Texas, improving to 14-4 in their last 18 games. Now the Rays return to Tropicana Field, where they have won 41 of their last 51 games. They?re also 7-2 in their last nine games against the A.L. West.

The Rays lead the season series 4-2, including sweeping three straight from the Angels at Tropicana Field in early May. Tampa has gone 6-3 against Los Angeles in Florida the last three seasons, but the Angels sill have a commanding 48-20 lead in the last 68 clashes between these squads.

The Angels have won four of Garland?s last five outings, including two straight on the road where the right-hander is 7-2 with a 4.57 ERA 10 starts. He gave up three runs in seven innings of a 7-3 home win over the Mariners in his most recent outing on Tuesday. Also, in 10 career starts against Tampa Bay, Garland is 5-1 with a 3.03 ERA in 68 1/3 innings of work.

Sonnanstine is 2-0 with a 2.33 ERA in his last three starts, including a 3-2 victory in Oakland on Wednesday, as he gave up both runs in six innings of work. At home, the right-hander is 6-3 with a 4.46 ERA in 12 starts, eight of which the Rays have won. That includes an 8-5 victory over Los Angeles on May 11, even though Sonnanstine got hit hard (five runs allowed in five innings). He?s 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in two career starts versus the Angels.

The Angels are 5-1 in Garland?s last six road starts and 6-1 in his last seven when facing A.L. East teams. Meanwhile, the Rays are 15-6 in Sonnanstine?s last 21 starts overall and 10-2 in his last 12 against winning teams.

The under is 11-5-2 in Garland?s last 18 starts and 8-2 in his last 10 against the A.L. East. For Tampa, the under is 10-1 in their last 11 series openers and 12-5 in their last 17 versus a right-handed starter. Finally, the under is 6-2 in the last eight Rays-Angels battles and 4-1 in the last five clashes at Tropicana Field.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

 

[the duke]

SCOTT FERRALL

BASEBALL LOCKS FOR MONDAY

Maholm and the Bucs avoid the sweep and beat the Mets at +120--Maholm is 6-1 at PNC and has a 2.77 ERA at home this year

Atlanta -205 and Campillo over SF and Barry Zito, who basically never wins any game he pitches in

Buehrle and ChiSox -210 at home over the Mariners and Jared Washburn--The Sox are just too much for the M's to handle

A's +115 at Minnesota--Take Duchscherer over Blackburn in a mini-upset at the Homerdome

Feldman and the Rangers -110 over the Tigers and Kenny Rogers in Arlington


BASEBALL OVER-UNDERS FOR MONDAY

CHISOX-SEATT UNDER 9 RUNS

OAK-MINN UNDER 8 RUNS

DET-TEX OVER 11.5 RUNS

ANGELS-RAYS UNDER 9.5 RUNS

BOST-BALT OVER 8.5 RUNS

HOUS-MILW UNDER 7.5 RUNS

SF-ATL OVER 8.5 RUNS

NY-PITT UNDER 8.5 RUNS

 

[the duke]

Vegas Sports Experts

The VSE NFL Power Play for Monday is

10* Take New York Giants (-2) over Cleveland (NFL Power Play)

New York
? 2-0 SU & ATS in pre-season vs. AFC North Opponents
? 2-0 SU & ATS in pre-season as a home favorite the last 3 years
? 3-1 ATS in pre-season when the total posted is 35 points or less
? 3-1 SU & ATS in pre-season after allowing 14 points or less

 

[the duke]

Nostradamus

Mets/Pitt Under 8.5
SF/Atl Under 8.5
Oak/Minn Over 8

Cleveland +3

 

[the duke]

Ben Burns

***TOTAL BLOWOUT***ANNIHILATOR ***5-0 L5*** $40.00
Ben Burns went 3-1 on Sunday, narrowly missing the sweep. He heads into the new week on a FANTASTIC 14-4 RUN. Yesterday's card included another winning "Annihilator," bringing him to a PERFECT 5-0 with his L5 Annihilators and an AWESOME 11-3 for the month. Despite a tough beat with his Blue Chip, he's also 7-1 his L8 totals!

Browns/Giants Under



**5-0 L5 MLB TOTALS** AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK! $35.00
Off a SUPER 3-1 Sunday, Ben Burns begins the new week having gone a SWEET 14-4 his L18 MLB/NFLX selections. Yesterday he easily cashed his NL Total of the Week. Today, he switches leagues and steps out with his #1 American League Total of the Week. He's a PERFECT 5-0 his L5 MLB Totals and this has "#6" written all over it. Book it!


Mariners/White Sox Under

 

[the duke]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

LA Angels +108 over TAMPA BAY

Boy this is one of the games I wished I had put out last night, before realizing it was a top play of others on here as well. Jeff Bonds gave great insight on the travel of Tampa and what they're heading into, so I won't go into all that, but what I will go into is my usual key trends and stats that give this play even more merit. The Angels are 21-6 in their last 27 vs. American League East and 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series, while the Rays are 20-48 in the last 68 meetings and just 2-5 in their last 7 game 1 of a series. Jon Garland has pitched very well for the Halos, going 11-7 with a 4.26 ERA overall, including a 7-2 mark with 4.57 ERA on the road. Johnhas also always pitched well vs the Rays going 5-1 with a 3.04 ERA in 10 career starts vs them, including a 3-0 mark with a 2.13 ERA in 6 starts at the Trop. Andy Sonnanstine has also had a nice year so far, going 12-6 with a 4.35 ERA overall, including a 6-3 mark with a 4.36 ERA at home, but he has struggled in 2 starts vs the Halos, going 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA. The Rays are 5-2 without Longoria and Crawford, scoring 5.1 rpg in the process, but the loss of the two should begin to take its toll. The Rays score just 4.6 rpg at home and 4.5 rpg at night. The Angels are the best road team in the league, with a 39-24 mark, including a 10-2 mark in their last 12 road openers of a series. The last time the Angels were at the Trop they were swept by the Rays and only scored 5 total runs in the 3 games. Payback starts tonight as the halos have all the edges in this one, including the emotional and mental edges and that should propell them to a solid win vs a team that they just might meet later in the playoffs.


1 UNIT PLAY

NY Mets -132 over PITTSBURGH

The Mets are 28-11 in Maines last 39 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter, while the Pirates are 1-8 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter and 8-20 in their last 28 vs. a team with a winning record. The Mets have won 5 of the last 6 games played here and they really need to win games like these if they are to keep pace with the Phillies, who atre now at home for an extened home stand. The Mets have taken the 1st 3 in this series and they have done it with superb pitching as they have held the Pirates to just 5 total runs in the 3 games. John Maine takes the hill for them today and he has been solid for them this year. John is 10-7 with a 3.97 ERA overall this year, including 2-0 with a 2.20 ERA in his last 3 starts. This is his second start since coming off the DL and in his first one he allowed 0 ER on 1 hit in 5 innings of work an a 12-0 Met rout of the Nats. How important was Jason Bay to this offense? The Pirates had been averaging 5 rpg on the year prior to his trade, but the Pirates have put up just 2.8 rpg in their last 16 games since the trade, including scoring just 2 rpg in their current 6 game homestand. The Met offense has not had many problems lately, as they come in averaging 5.9 rpg over their last 9 games, including 6.3 rpg in their current 6 game win streak. The Mets are 24-13 vs lefty starters on the year, hitting .279 and scoring 4.9 rpg vs them in the process. Paul Maholm has been very good for the Pirates this year, going 8-7 with 3.69 ERA overall, including a 6-1 mark with a 3.06 ERA at home, but he has struggled in day games going 1-2 with a 4.79 ERA in his 7 day starts. The Pirates just don't have the offense to hang with the hot Mets here and the should translate in to the 7th win in a row for a NY team that looks to grab a half a game lead on the idle Phils.

 

[the duke]

Big Al McMordie

100% (8-0) MONDAY AFTERNOON TOTALS WINNER $35.00
Al McMordie suffered a tough 1-run loss on Sunday, as Colorado scored 4 in the top of the 8th to send its game 'over' the total. On Monday AFTERNOON, Big Al looks to bounce back and extend his 10-4 hot streak here with a Totals play out of a 100% perfect, 8-0 angle. Don't miss it.

Mets/Pirates Under

 

[the duke]

The Hitman

$35.00 Guaranteed:
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$35.00

5000 LARGE DIAMOND DOMINATOR
Minnesota w/Blackburn -139 8:10 EST



$35.00 Guaranteed
Today in baseball the Hitman has just what you are looking for! A PERFECT way for you to WHACK your man with his 5000 LARGE DIAMOND RUN LINE DOMINATOR you can get it now for just $35 and as always you must win this game or you will not be charged! WHACK your man with this RED HOT BASEBALL WINNER! We are currently 94-35 in Baseball this season! 20-3 RUN!!!


5000 LARGE DIAMOND RUN LINE DOMINATOR
Chicago White Sox w/Buehrle -1.5 -115 8:10 EST

 

[kozski61]

totals 4 U

oakland/minnesota Under



Budin 25 Dime

Baltimore Orioles



Jeff Bonds

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOM Angels

 

[the duke]

Larry Ness

20* AL Game of the Month (7-3 s/Jun 1) $40.00
Larry had a disappointing weekend in MLB but has still owns a 'healthy' 72-48 mark with his L120 premium plays (since June 30). Larry's been "on the money" with his 20* Game of the Month plays recently, going 7-3 with these 'key' releases since June 1. Don't get "caught on the sidelines" for his 20* AL Game of the Month, tonight!

Minnesota Twins

 

[kozski61]

Erin Rynning

MLB Playmaker: Pittsburgh Pirates



Larry Ness



20* AL Game of the Month



Minnesota



Kbhoops
5 units Pitt Pirates +1.5 -135 **POD**

 

[the duke]

ER Sports

Monday MLB Playmaker Report (+17.65 MLB Run): $29
Erin Rynning continues his assault on the market after banking +124 units since 2006. He has been stellar in Baseball banking +17.65 units since 4/30. Get his MLB Playmaker Report for $29 and if it doesn't win ER's next report is yours free.

Pittsburgh Pirates

 

[the duke]

JEFF BONDS

LOS ANGELES ANGELS +105 (GOM)

PITTSBURGH PIRATES +132 (1 DIME)

 

[MLBKING]

Mon, 08/18/08 - 8:00 PM Matty O'Shea | NFL Money Line
dime bet 431 CLE (+115)BetUS vs 432 NYG
Mon, 08/18/08 - 8:10 PM Matty O'Shea | MLB Money Line
dime bet 964 MIN (-140)BetUS vs 963 OA

 

[MLBKING]

Ron Raymond
1 2008-08-18 RON RAYMOND'S 5* MLB BEST BET WINNER
Pick # 1 Oakland Athletics / Minnesota Twins Under 8.0

 

[MLBKING]

Stan Sharp

Cleveland+3

triple dime

 

[MLBKING]

GamblersWorld TIP OF THE DAY Sport: MLB Game: 8:11PM, Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox

Prediction: Chicago White Sox Current Line: -210