Monday

[Happy Hippo]

ATS: 102-73-4 (+31.4)
OU: 57-50-1 (+0.7)
ML dogs: 3-7 (+1.5)


Will probably have more as the day unfolds...




The Pacers have not performed well as a road dog this season, going 2-11 SU (-8.7 ppg) and 3-9-1 ATS. The Pacers are 3-7 SU this season vs. teams with a 60% or greater winning average, and on the road they are 0-6 SU (-11.7) and 0-5-1 ATS vs. these opponents. After beating a team at home in the same season, the Pacers are 2-10 SU (-8.5 ppg) and 3-8-1 ATS in the rematch as a road dog since the 2010 season.

The Grizzlies held the Pacers to their season low 18 points in the paint in their last match up, but were still unable to come out with a win, despite a double digit lead in the second half. They have only lost three games all season and are 17-7 ATS when they outscore their opponents in the paint. When seeking revenge as a home favorite for a road loss where they outscored their opponents in the paint, they are 11-2 SU (+10.5) and 10-3 ATS in the last thirteen. The key to this game will be keeping the Pacers off the three point line. They have held their last two opponents to under 25% from long range.

The Pacers have bounced around from home to away games a lot recently.

After a three game losing streak, the Grizzlies beat the Kings and had an overtime win against the Bulls. I think that win was a great way to unify the team. "It was important to get everybody back in a rhythm and get a team win," Griz forward Rudy Gay said. "I always expect this team to come out and battle and that's what we did."

The Grizzlies have owned the Pacers recently, going 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS in their last nine meetings.


Grizzlies -6 x2


Good luck...

 

[canuckfan77]

Good luck HH :toast:

 

[Happy Hippo]

For eeeerock:

The Knicks are 5-5 SU and ATS in the last ten days on MLK day.

O/Us are 44-67 in the last ten years on MLK day.




The Warriors are playing as a home dog today against the Clippers. The Clippers have the Thunder on deck tomorrow in a battle for the top spot in the NBA. Since the Clippers acquired Chris Paul, the Warriors are 4-3 SU and 5-2 ATS against them. Since the 2011 season, teams playing on the road as a favorite in the first game of a back-to-back when their next opponent will be the Thunder are 4-6 SU and 1-9 ATS (average line -4.5).

The Warriors have won two of the three meetings this year, so we know they can match up well. Although the Clippers sometimes look subhuman, I think there will be some look-ahead towards the big match up tomorrow. Plus, the Warriors must have some payback in mind after their beat down in LA.

Teams coming off a home loss where they shot less than 40% from the field when playing an opponent off a road win that shot better than 40% from the field are 10-26 SU (-5.4 ppg) and 13-23 ATS since the 2003 season. Teams coming off a loss where they shot less than 40% from the field and allowed their opponent to shoot better than 50% from the field, when playing on the road are 35-75 SU and 46-62 ATS (average dog 2.8).

I think the wrong team is favored here.

Let's see if this line gets to 4 :0074



Took these totals so far today:

Pacers-Grizzlies UNDER 173
Warriors-Clippers UNDER 199

 

[eeeerock]

For eeeerock:

The Knicks are 5-5 SU and ATS in the last ten days on MLK day.

O/Us are 44-67 in the last ten years on MLK day.




The Warriors are playing as a home dog today against the Clippers. The Clippers have the Thunder on deck tomorrow in a battle for the top spot in the NBA. Since the Clippers acquired Chris Paul, the Warriors are 4-3 SU and 5-2 ATS against them. Since the 2011 season, teams playing on the road as a favorite in the first game of a back-to-back when their next opponent will be the Thunder are 4-6 SU and 1-9 ATS (average line -4.5).

The Warriors have won two of the three meetings this year, so we know they can match up well. Although the Clippers sometimes look subhuman, I think there will be some look-ahead towards the big match up tomorrow. Plus, the Warriors must have some payback in mind after their beat down in LA.

Teams coming off a home loss where they shot less than 40% from the field when playing an opponent off a road win that shot better than 40% from the field are 10-26 SU (-5.4 ppg) and 13-23 ATS since the 2003 season. Teams coming off a loss where they shot less than 40% from the field and allowed their opponent to shoot better than 50% from the field, when playing on the road are 35-75 SU and 46-62 ATS (average dog 2.8).

I think the wrong team is favored here.

Let's see if this line gets to 4 :0074



Took these totals so far today:

Pacers-Grizzlies UNDER 173
Warriors-Clippers UNDER 199

Thanks HH,thought Knicks had a better thing going,maybe I won't play them after all,have to see what # I get.Thanks for the info,you are the King their or Queen if what I seen was true the other day,don't want to call you the wrong 1.

 

[Happy Hippo]

Thanks HH,thought Knicks had a better thing going,maybe I won't play them after all,have to see what # I get.Thanks for the info,you are the King their or Queen if what I seen was true the other day,don't want to call you the wrong 1.

Thanks - yes, these rumors are indeed true.





Finally went to 4 at my book...


Warriors +4



Good luck...

 

[Jord20]

GL

 

[ivabign]

HH - Didn't have a chance to thank you as I had to do laundry with my wife... wasn't near a computer - I was looking at a play to parlay with NO -6.5 - needless to say the under IND/MEM came in... I was watching on ESPN gamecenter on my iPhone - thought we were done for when it went to 81-81 - then when Hill (?) missed the first FT - I thought we were done for again - Thanks for the pick - I thought my NO wager was over when Sac came screaming back...

That's gambling!

 

[Happy Hippo]

HH - Didn't have a chance to thank you as I had to do laundry with my wife... wasn't near a computer - I was looking at a play to parlay with NO -6.5 - needless to say the under IND/MEM came in... I was watching on ESPN gamecenter on my iPhone - thought we were done for when it went to 81-81 - then when Hill (?) missed the first FT - I thought we were done for again - Thanks for the pick - I thought my NO wager was over when Sac came screaming back...

That's gambling!

I can't believe your wife made you do laundry - sheeshe

Nice. Next time let me in on your action so I can win some too, haha. Finally not screwed by overtime for once!


This is a fun day to bet on sports, because we have all day to chase our losses. Maybe that's a good thing, and maybe that's a bad thing. Headed out to dinner, so not doing a long write up, but Philly will show up tonight against the Spurs on national TV. Playing a couple other trends, but mostly just going on the feeling that Collins and his team come to ball tonight. Their young and athletic line up could get it done against the Spurs tonight.


Sixers +6 x2


Good luck!

 

[ldabdou]

Like 6ers too! GL hip!

 

[grindstone]

HH you got a number on the Port/Wash game I got this landing around 186.I'm leaning U195.5 Any thoughts???

 

[WhiteSharpie]

That total has been flying upwards so play with care..my accounts have seen the total rise from 193 to 196

 

[cagex]

:0074

 

[Happy Hippo]

HH you got a number on the Port/Wash game I got this landing around 186.I'm leaning U195.5 Any thoughts???

My total says 177. Have to think that although they are just playing the Wizards, that the Blazers come out super motivated tonight, and play good defense.

Most of the trends I researched indicated the over, but I don't really use trends when it comes to totals. Sometimes when my calculated number is so far off, I give pause as to why, but I would think this one goes under.

Cheers

 

[Four Corners]

Nice comeback win on Philly...victory snatched from the jaws of defeat..well done...was gonna jump on philly 2nd half but instead of helping with laundry I was giving the dog a bath!!:0002

 

[Happy Hippo]

This is supposed to be a holiday, not a workday, boys!

Yea, I thought that one was toast at halftime, and at the very end. Whew!

Even though it hasn't been the greatest of days, I have to say it has been a fun day betting for me, and I liked that one.

 

[grindstone]

My total says 177. Have to think that although they are just playing the Wizards, that the Blazers come out super motivated tonight, and play good defense.

Most of the trends I researched indicated the over, but I don't really use trends when it comes to totals. Sometimes when my calculated number is so far off, I give pause as to why, but I would think this one goes under.

Cheers

Played

[718] Wash/Port U195.5

Thanks HH GL

 

[WhiteSharpie]

Nice cover on PHILLY HH! ..let us know if your acting on this under for the total, i like the lean

 

[Happy Hippo]

Nice cover on PHILLY HH! ..let us know if your acting on this under for the total, i like the lean

Yes, took it

Blazers UNDER 195.5

:toast:

 

[grindstone]

Yes, took it

Blazers UNDER 195.5

:toast:

Let's get this done hope to see you at the window later

 

[grindstone]

Holy shit 65pts scored in the 1Q and Wash shooting 66.7% from the floor and 50% from the 3pt line. Got to slow down or else we are in trouble