- Mar 2, 2006
- 4,794
- 120
- 0
ATS: 152-109-7 (+50.0)
OU: 74-63-2 (+3.4)
ML dogs: 5-11 (+0.6)
Nets
The season is winding down. Contenders and pretenders are becoming more clearly defined, especially in the eastern conference. Travel schedules are more grueling, and tired teams need every motivation to push through the exhaustion. One team that has struggled with motivation this season is the Sixers, and tonight they should be particularly inclined to take a night off.
The Nets have everything to play for, as they are trying to secure a good spot in the eastern conference standings. They are playing great right now, having won 3 SU and ATS, and holding all three opponents to 80 points or less. The Sixers have had their own offensive struggles this year, and they are particularly bad on back-to-backs, averaging less than 90 points and shooting 41.9% from the field. Jrue Holiday has really been struggling, shooting 26% from the field over his last five games. Doug Collins message to Holiday: ?I've been trying to encourage him as best I can. Losing is not fun.? True, losing is not fun, and the Sixers are now losers of 12 of their last 13. With tired legs, against a hungry Brooklyn squad, they may not find winning in the cards tonight.
The Nets have already beat the Sixers twice this season, the last time by twenty in Philadelphia.
The Sixers are coming off a loss to the lowly Magic.
I expect a big game from the Nets, and little resistance from the Sixers.
Spurs
The Thunder are one of the best teams in the league, there is no question about that. But they have been playing a hectic schedule recently. Tonight will be their fourth game in five days, their fifth in seven, and they have been bouncing back and forth between home and road games. The Spurs have a great home court advantage. In fact, after the Thunder, they lead the league in margin of victory at 12.86 ppg at home.
The Spurs have struggled recently with the Thunder, but if they are going to take advantage of them at any time, now it is. Without Parker to match up against Westbrook they have a clear disadvantage at this position, but their system is good enough to overcome his loss. The Thunder rely on a lot of jump shooting, and those are the shots that become more difficult to make when teams are tired, especially against a good defensive team like the Spurs. The Thunder are also a good defensive team, but the Spurs are one of the best teams in the league at passing side to side and wearing out opponents, especially when they might have a little lag to their step.
After giving up the most points to any team on their home floor during the Popovich era in their last game, I expect they will come out with some serious heat. Good teams respond to good coaches, and I am sure Pop had some choice word with them over the last two days.
Nuggets
The Nuggets have had a great run recently, and they are sure to falter in one of these games soon, but I don?t think it will be tonight. The Suns beat them by 10 earlier this season in Phoenix, and I think they will bring their game tonight. Again and again, teams hang around for awhile against the Nuggets, but in the matter of a minute they can open up a 10+ point lead. Don?t blink.
The Suns had an impressive win over the Rockets, who were playing on a back to back after a fourth quarter shut down of the Warriors. Although the Suns led most of the game, they had to scrape out the win at the end. They also were not able to move the ball well as well on the Rockets as in their previous game.
Before their loss to the Suns earlier this season, the Nuggets were 6-0 SU (+15.3 ppg) and ATS in the last six meetings. I?m betting that this is the norm, and the last game was a fluke.
And no, I am not being a homer
and no, I don't care who the *public* is betting on. Contrarion betting is a 50/50 proposition, and I try to find an edge that is better than that.
Plus, once you have savored the sweet sensation of road chalk, it is just hard to go back...
Nets -5.5
Spurs -2
Nuggets -8.5
Good luck...
OU: 74-63-2 (+3.4)
ML dogs: 5-11 (+0.6)
Nets
The season is winding down. Contenders and pretenders are becoming more clearly defined, especially in the eastern conference. Travel schedules are more grueling, and tired teams need every motivation to push through the exhaustion. One team that has struggled with motivation this season is the Sixers, and tonight they should be particularly inclined to take a night off.
The Nets have everything to play for, as they are trying to secure a good spot in the eastern conference standings. They are playing great right now, having won 3 SU and ATS, and holding all three opponents to 80 points or less. The Sixers have had their own offensive struggles this year, and they are particularly bad on back-to-backs, averaging less than 90 points and shooting 41.9% from the field. Jrue Holiday has really been struggling, shooting 26% from the field over his last five games. Doug Collins message to Holiday: ?I've been trying to encourage him as best I can. Losing is not fun.? True, losing is not fun, and the Sixers are now losers of 12 of their last 13. With tired legs, against a hungry Brooklyn squad, they may not find winning in the cards tonight.
The Nets have already beat the Sixers twice this season, the last time by twenty in Philadelphia.
The Sixers are coming off a loss to the lowly Magic.
I expect a big game from the Nets, and little resistance from the Sixers.
Spurs
The Thunder are one of the best teams in the league, there is no question about that. But they have been playing a hectic schedule recently. Tonight will be their fourth game in five days, their fifth in seven, and they have been bouncing back and forth between home and road games. The Spurs have a great home court advantage. In fact, after the Thunder, they lead the league in margin of victory at 12.86 ppg at home.
The Spurs have struggled recently with the Thunder, but if they are going to take advantage of them at any time, now it is. Without Parker to match up against Westbrook they have a clear disadvantage at this position, but their system is good enough to overcome his loss. The Thunder rely on a lot of jump shooting, and those are the shots that become more difficult to make when teams are tired, especially against a good defensive team like the Spurs. The Thunder are also a good defensive team, but the Spurs are one of the best teams in the league at passing side to side and wearing out opponents, especially when they might have a little lag to their step.
After giving up the most points to any team on their home floor during the Popovich era in their last game, I expect they will come out with some serious heat. Good teams respond to good coaches, and I am sure Pop had some choice word with them over the last two days.
Nuggets
The Nuggets have had a great run recently, and they are sure to falter in one of these games soon, but I don?t think it will be tonight. The Suns beat them by 10 earlier this season in Phoenix, and I think they will bring their game tonight. Again and again, teams hang around for awhile against the Nuggets, but in the matter of a minute they can open up a 10+ point lead. Don?t blink.
The Suns had an impressive win over the Rockets, who were playing on a back to back after a fourth quarter shut down of the Warriors. Although the Suns led most of the game, they had to scrape out the win at the end. They also were not able to move the ball well as well on the Rockets as in their previous game.
Before their loss to the Suns earlier this season, the Nuggets were 6-0 SU (+15.3 ppg) and ATS in the last six meetings. I?m betting that this is the norm, and the last game was a fluke.
And no, I am not being a homer
and no, I don't care who the *public* is betting on. Contrarion betting is a 50/50 proposition, and I try to find an edge that is better than that.Plus, once you have savored the sweet sensation of road chalk, it is just hard to go back...
Nets -5.5
Spurs -2
Nuggets -8.5
Good luck...
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