Monday's Nuggets

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LOKI
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Monday's Nuggets


There are only nine games on MLB?s card for Monday. Six games will go down between National League clubs, including a pair of late-night tilts on the west coast. Gamblers have just three AL games and one goes early (12:05 p.m. Eastern) between the Royals and the Rays.

Let?s throw out a few quick-hit thoughts on several games and some of the division and wild-card races?

--Detroit is the most expensive favorite on Monday?s board, as ?chalky? as minus-300 versus Baltimore at a few books. That?s because red-hot RHP Justin Verlander (12-5, 3.16 ERA) is poised to toe the slab. Verlander is 4-0 with a 1.85 career ERA against the Orioles. He is 7-0 with a 1.15 ERA in nine home assignments this season.


--Oakland LHP Brett Anderson will take the bump tonight as the A?s host Texas as short home favorites. Anderson has been sharp recently, posting a 2-1 record and 1.87 ERA in five starts during the month of July. With that said, we should note that the Rangers have feasted on southpaws with a 22-14 record against left-handed starters.

--Washington won a 5-3 decision Sunday at Pittsburgh as a plus-128 underdog. However, I?m real bullish on the Pirates in Monday?s series finale at PNC Park. The Nats are winless in Garrett Mock?s three starts this season. Mock, who made 13 relief appearances before joining the rotation, has an abysmal 7.09 ERA. Pittsburgh will turn to Charlie Morton, who is 1-1 with a 3.06 ERA his last three times out.

--The Pirates are 28-20 at home, while Washington is a pathetic 13-39 on the road.

--Arizona RHP Dan Haren (10-6, 2.19) has been one of the few bright spots for the Diamondbacks this year. He?ll take the ball Monday against the Mets and ?Zona is an expensive (-185ish) road ?chalk.? The D-backs won 5-2 at Citi Field on Sunday, hooking up their backers with a plus-110 payout.

--Just a monster win for the Marlins on Sunday, as they rallied from a 2-1 deficit in the ninth inning thanks to back-to-back homers from Dan Uggla and Cody Ross. The Fish won by a 3-2 count to stay within three games of the NL wild-card leaders, San Francisco and Colorado. The victory was even sweeter in that Florida produced its comeback win against former closer Kevin Gregg.

--I want to tip my cap to every gambler that played the Astros as plus-255 underdogs (risk $100 to win $255) in Sunday?s 2-0 win over St. Louis with Adam Wainwright throwing.

--Dodgers slugger Manny Ramirez doesn?t have an RBI in 42 consecutive at-bats. L.A. returns to Chavez Ravine tonight to take on Milwaukee as a minus-210 favorite. Joe Torre?s team spanked Atlanta by a 9-1 score last night before jumping the red eye out of Hartsfield-International.

--Likewise, the Braves headed west to start a series at San Diego tonight. They are short road favorites against the Padres.

--The Yankees dodged a sweep against the White Sox by prevailing 8-5 Sunday in the Windy City. They maintain a one-half game lead over Boston in the AL East. The Red Sox won their fourth straight Sunday, clobbering Baltimore in an 18-10 triumph as minus-150 road ?chalk.?

--Bettors have a chance to back one of MLB?s hottest pitchers tonight in San Francisco?s Matt Cain. Not only that, but the Giants can be had at an affordable minus-135 price (at least at The Palms as of early this morning). They are on the road facing Houston with Mike Hampton on the mound. Hampton is all over my fade list right now and the stat I?m about to mention doesn?t scare me away from a play on the Giants. With that said, we?d be remiss to not touch on Hampton?s 15-4 career record against San Francisco.

--The Cubs are minus-150 favorites tonight at Cincinnati. They will give the ball to Randy Wells, who is 3-0 with a 3.32 ERA in his last three outings. On the other hand, Aaron Harang is 0-3 with a 6.30 ERA his last three times out.
 

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LOKI
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Monday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Monday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Monday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Streaking

Justin Verlander, Detroit Tigers

Detroit?s cornerstone starter has been earning both his paycheck and his reputation as one of the most reliable pitchers in the American League.

The 26-year-old right-hander is 4-1 in his past five starts, giving up three or fewer earned runs in each outing and holding opponents scoreless in two of them. He has allowed just eight earned runs total in this span. He also has 42 strikeouts against just eight walks during this streak.

Verlander (12-5, 3.16 ERA) has gone at least seven innings in each of his past four starts, including a complete-game, 6-1 win over the Chicago White Sox.

Randy Wells, Chicago Cubs

Wells quietly has become a big reason why the Cubs boast a team ERA of 3.81, which is fifth in the majors.

He has gone 7-1 over his last eight starts, going at least six innings in all but one contest. He has been a model of consistency, yielding four runs or fewer each time out during this span.

In his last start, Wells (7-4, 2.84) shut out the Houston Astros over eight innings while picking up another win. He has notched two of Chicago?s eight wins in their past 10 games.

Slumping

Scott Kazmir, Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay?s erstwhile reliable lefty ? he has posted double-figure wins in each of the past four seasons ? Kazmir (5-6, 6.22 ERA) has battled both injuries and inconsistency this season.

He is 1-3 with four no-decisions in his past eight starts, and has struggled to find the strike zone despite winning his last start against the New York Yankees.

Kazmir has allowed seven earned runs in three starts during this span, and yielded five earned runs in another, contributing to his hefty ERA.

Kenshin Kawakami, Atlanta Braves

Kawakami (5-8, 4.37 ERA) has been a source of concern for Atlanta?s bullpen of late. He's failed to reach the fifth inning in three of his past six starts.

The 34-year-old righty is 1-2 with three no-decisions during this span; he was tagged for six earned runs in four-plus innings in his last start, a loss to the Florida Marlins.
 

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Monday's best MLB bets

Monday's best MLB bets

Monday's best MLB bets

Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds (+130)

Reds starter Aaron Harang told the media over the weekend that the club?s acquisition of third baseman Scott Rolen proved that the team wasn?t giving up.

You couldn?t tell from their performance on the field.

Now that the trade deadline has passed and the buyers and sellers have identified themselves, it seems the Reds have retreated to the comforts of the ?wait until next year? zone despite adding the perennial All-Star to their infield.

The Reds have lost six straight home games and 12 of 14 overall. They now face a contending Cubs squad that has won eight of their past 11.

The struggling Harang (5-12) has given up 19 earned runs over his past four starts, all losses. This doesn?t bode well against the Cubs who have scored 37 runs over their past four games and sends surging starter Randy Wells to the mound.

Pick: Cubs.

San Francisco Giants at Houston Astros (+130)

In order to salvage a chance at contending in the postseason, the Houston Astros need some wins ? fast.

Sending erratic veteran Mike Hampton to the mound against Cy Young candidate Matt Cain of the Giants doesn?t look like a good place to start, but the Astros have a few factors working in their favor.

They are 5-1 at home this year against teams from the NL West and are 7-2 in their last nine tilts against the Giants.

San Francisco, coming off an important home series against the Philadelphia Phillies in which it took two of three, has scored just 16 runs in its past six road games (2-4) against the NL Central. The Giants also are 3-9 in their past 12 road games.

Pick: Astros.
 

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TOTALS REPORT

TOTALS REPORT

TOTALS REPORT
Team Total Home Away Streak
Arizona Diamondbacks 49 - 51 33 - 23 16 - 28 Under-1
Atlanta Braves 44 - 57 21 - 29 23 - 28 Over-1
Baltimore Orioles 49 - 50 23 - 29 26 - 21 Over-1
Boston Red Sox 42 - 53 20 - 27 22 - 26 Over-1
Chicago Cubs 45 - 55 25 - 27 20 - 28 Under-1
Chicago White Sox 42 - 64 19 - 37 23 - 27 Over-3
Cincinnati Reds 43 - 56 23 - 25 20 - 31 Over-1
Cleveland Indians 56 - 46 21 - 29 35 - 17 Over-1
Colorado Rockies 48 - 53 25 - 21 23 - 32 Over-1
Detroit Tigers 38 - 62 19 - 27 19 - 35 Over-1
Florida Marlins 50 - 49 30 - 22 20 - 27 Under-1
Houston Astros 44 - 55 21 - 28 23 - 27 Under-3
Kansas City Royals 43 - 54 27 - 24 16 - 30 Under-2
Los Angeles Angels 61 - 37 31 - 18 30 - 19 Over-13
Los Angeles Dodgers 51 - 49 23 - 25 28 - 24 Over-1
Milwaukee Brewers 53 - 48 25 - 26 28 - 22 Under-2
Minnesota Twins 47 - 53 31 - 21 16 - 32 Over-3
New York Mets 45 - 53 22 - 28 23 - 25 Under-1
New York Yankees 51 - 48 25 - 23 26 - 25 Over-3
Oakland Athletics 51 - 52 24 - 26 27 - 26 Over-8
Philadelphia Phillies 47 - 50 22 - 27 25 - 23 Over-1
Pittsburgh Pirates 43 - 57 18 - 28 25 - 29 Under-1
San Diego Padres 50 - 53 22 - 28 28 - 25 Under-2
San Francisco Giants 45 - 53 24 - 25 21 - 28 Over-1
Seattle Mariners 41 - 63 21 - 27 20 - 36 Under-1
St. Louis Cardinals 43 - 57 18 - 34 25 - 23 Under-5
Tampa Bay Rays 44 - 57 24 - 24 20 - 33 Under-2
Texas Rangers 35 - 64 18 - 37 17 - 27 Under-1
Toronto Blue Jays 49 - 53 22 - 27 27 - 26 Over-3
Washington Nationals 49 - 52 22 - 30 27 - 22 Under-1
 

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MLB UMPIRE REPORT

MLB UMPIRE REPORT

MLB UMPIRE REPORT
UMPIRE AVG RUNS GAMES UNDER OVER K/GAME BB/GAME K/BB
ADRIAN JOHNSON 9.41 17 5 9 12.1 7.8 1.6
ALFONSO MARQUEZ 10.00 2 1 1 14.5 7.5 1.9
ANDY FLETCHER 7.24 17 13 3 14.8 8.4 1.8
ANGEL CAMPOS 8.46 13 8 5 15.8 6.2 2.6
ANGEL HERNANDEZ 9.72 18 8 9 13.4 7.6 1.8
BILL HOHN 8.33 15 8 6 13.1 5.8 2.3
BILL MILLER 8.71 17 11 5 16.1 5.9 2.7
BILL WELKE 9.88 16 8 7 14.8 5.5 2.7
BOB DAVIDSON 9.20 15 6 8 14.1 7.2 2.0
BRIAN GORMAN 6.88 16 12 3 14.7 6.4 2.3
BRIAN KNIGHT 8.72 18 10 7 13.7 6.9 2.0
BRIAN O'NORA 7.24 17 10 6 14.0 5.8 2.4
BRIAN RUNGE 8.44 16 10 4 13.3 6.4 2.1
BRUCE DRECKMAN 9.00 13 5 7 12.4 6.9 1.8
BUCKNOR 9.35 17 8 9 13.1 7.5 1.7
CASEY MOSER 4.00 2 2 0 12.5 4.0 3.1
CHAD FAIRCHILD 8.75 16 10 6 14.4 6.4 2.3
CHARLIE RELIFORD 7.93 15 10 5 13.7 5.2 2.6
CHRIS GUCCIONE 8.47 19 10 8 14.7 7.1 2.1
CHRIS TILLER 6.00 2 2 0 11.0 7.0 1.6
CHUCK MERIWETHER 9.38 16 8 8 14.0 6.9 2.0
DALE SCOTT 9.76 17 6 10 13.6 5.6 2.4
DAMIEN BEAL 9.50 2 1 1 14.5 5.0 2.9
DAN BELLINO 4.67 3 3 0 16.7 3.3 5.0
DAN IASSOGNA 10.50 16 8 8 13.1 6.9 1.9
DANA DEMUTH 9.56 16 8 7 13.6 6.8 2.0
DELFIN COLON 7.33 3 2 0 12.0 4.7 2.6
DERRYL COUSINS 8.81 16 8 7 12.6 7.9 1.6
DOUG EDDINGS 9.71 17 7 10 14.5 6.1 2.4
ED HICKOX 14.33 3 2 1 10.7 10.0 1.1
ED MONTAGUE 11.80 5 1 4 14.4 6.8 2.1
ED RAPUANO 9.44 18 7 9 13.8 7.6 1.8
ERIC COOPER 10.33 18 6 12 14.3 6.7 2.1
FIELDIN CULBRETH 7.33 15 11 3 13.7 7.5 1.8
GARY CEDERSTROM 10.00 13 7 6 13.7 6.5 2.1
GARY DARLING 7.58 12 8 4 13.6 5.5 2.5
GERRY DAVIS 10.88 17 6 8 12.6 7.8 1.6
GREG GIBSON 10.60 10 4 6 10.3 6.7 1.5
HUNTER WENDELSTEDT 9.56 18 8 10 13.9 7.3 1.9
JAMES HOYE 9.75 20 12 7 12.0 7.4 1.6
JEFF KELLOGG 7.65 17 11 6 13.2 8.4 1.6
JEFF NELSON 10.33 15 6 8 12.6 7.3 1.7
JERRY CRAWFORD 11.57 14 6 7 14.9 9.1 1.6
JERRY LAYNE 8.31 16 8 7 14.8 6.9 2.2
JERRY MEALS 9.35 17 6 10 14.8 7.3 2.0
JIM JOYCE 8.94 16 9 7 14.3 8.7 1.6
JIM REYNOLDS 9.18 11 4 7 14.1 8.0 1.8
JIM WOLF 9.75 16 7 8 13.4 6.9 1.9
JOE WEST 9.06 17 8 8 13.4 7.5 1.8
JOHN HIRSCHBECK 8.82 17 11 6 13.9 6.2 2.2
KERWIN DANLEY 8.50 4 2 2 13.5 6.5 2.1
KEVIN CAUSEY 3.00 1 1 0 12.0 5.0 2.4
LANCE BARKSDALE 9.75 16 7 9 11.7 7.7 1.5
LARRY VANOVER 8.47 15 7 7 11.9 6.9 1.7
LAZ DIAZ 10.19 16 6 9 13.0 6.4 2.0
MARK CARLSON 9.14 14 8 6 13.7 7.4 1.8
MARK WEGNER 9.41 17 9 8 13.8 6.6 2.1
MARTY FOSTER 8.31 16 9 6 13.4 6.4 2.1
MARVIN HUDSON 7.76 17 9 8 15.4 7.1 2.2
MIKE DIMURO 8.87 15 7 8 14.6 6.7 2.2
MIKE ESTABROOK 7.86 7 4 3 13.0 4.9 2.7
MIKE EVERITT 10.06 17 7 10 12.6 7.4 1.7
MIKE MUCHLINSKI 8.00 2 1 0 14.5 8.5 1.7
MIKE REILLY 9.63 16 7 9 14.5 8.2 1.8
MIKE WINTERS 10.13 15 7 8 12.5 6.5 1.9
PAUL EMMEL 8.79 14 8 5 12.7 7.1 1.8
PAUL NAUERT 9.56 16 7 9 15.1 6.4 2.3
PAUL SCHRIEBER 9.94 16 6 6 14.6 8.6 1.7
PHIL CUZZI 9.44 18 10 7 14.4 7.2 2.0
RANDY MARSH 10.44 16 5 10 11.8 8.6 1.4
REYBURN 6.33 3 2 1 10.7 2.3 4.6
ROB DRAKE 9.22 18 9 9 14.9 5.9 2.5
RON KULPA 9.71 7 4 3 15.4 7.3 2.1
SAM HOLBROOK 8.27 15 9 6 14.3 6.9 2.1
SCOTT BARRY 7.24 17 13 4 12.9 6.5 2.0
TED BARRETT 9.00 16 9 6 12.6 6.9 1.8
TIM MCCLELLAND 12.33 18 3 11 13.3 8.4 1.6
TIM TIMMONS 11.06 18 7 9 13.9 7.5 1.9
TIM TSCHIDA 10.24 17 7 9 13.4 8.0 1.7
TIM WELKE 10.65 17 8 9 13.4 7.5 1.8
TODD TICHENOR 8.47 15 9 6 12.7 7.5 1.7
TOM HALLION 8.47 17 7 9 12.5 6.6 1.9
TONY RANDAZZO 8.58 19 10 8 12.5 5.2 2.4
WALLY BELL 9.00 17 10 6 14.4 7.1 2.0
 
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