08:30 PM NFL [273] MIN VIKINGS -4.5 -110
08:30 PM NFL [274] TOTAL u39.5 -110 (MIN VIKINGS vrs CHI BEARS)
07:35 PM NBA [501] TOTAL o206-110 (Denver Nuggets vrs Toronto Raptors)
07:35 PM NBA [503] Chicago Bulls -6-105
07:35 PM NBA [506] Atlanta Hawks -7-110
10:35 PM NBA [508] Los Angeles Clippers -11.5 -110
1 unit bet pays 48 ....betdsi line
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast: :SIB:em71:
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Bulls -5?
Chicago came into this season not getting a ton of love from the books, as their season win total was just 39.5, which means the books were expecting them to finish with a losing record. So, while the Bulls have opened up back-to-back impressive wins at home over Boston and Indiana, I don't think we are seeing an overreaction by the oddsmakers and there's still some great value here with them laying only 5.5-points at Brooklyn.
The Nets have surprised a lot of people by opening up the season 3-0 ATS, which includes a 9-point home win over the Pacers as a 6-point dog. I'm not buying this Brooklyn team being able to keep this up. This is also a tough spot for the Nets, who will be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights.
The Bulls are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games with a total of 210 or more and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 off a home win against a division rival. Chicago is also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 with the Nets and 5-1 ATS in 6 meetings in Brooklyn.
Nets +6
The Brooklyn Nets have been one of the most undervalued teams in the NBA in the early going. Their season win total of 20.5 was the lowest in Vegas, so bad things were expected of them and continue to be. But bettors willing to back them have cashed in and will continue to do so.
The Nets are 3-0 ATS in their first three games. They only lost 117-122 as 11.5-point road dogs at Boston, won 103-94 as 6-point home dogs against Indiana, and only lost 108-110 as 8-point road dogs at Miami. Now they find themselves catching 6 points here at home against the Chicago Bulls.
After starting the season 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS, I believe the Bulls are getting too much respect here. They beat the Celtics 105-99, who were on the second of a back-to-back, and the Pacers 118-101. But now the Bulls are hitting the road for the first time this season.
Chicago is 8-22 ATS when playing against a bad team with a winning percentage between 25% and 40% over the last three seasons. The Nets are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Chicago at Brooklyn
Pick: Over
The Bulls have gone out of the gate with a 2-0 schedule. Chicago has averaged 111.5 ppg in their first two while allowing an average of 100 ppg. The Nets have also showed offense, scoring 109.3 ppg in their first three games (1-2), while allowing 108.7. The Bulls totals are now 23-4 against the NBA Atlantic division. The Nets have gone over in six of their last eight (dating back to last season), while the last four meetings between these clubs have gone OVER. It's early, but the OVER is the play here today.
Clippers -10.5
Both teams played last night. The Clippers took care of the Jazz by an 88-75 score. The Suns fought hard but fell short (106-100) against the Warriors. Off that hard-fought loss and now in a difficult scheduling spot, I won't be surprised to see the Suns get blown out tonight. While both teams played last night, the Clippers game was "easier" and they didn't have to travel afterwards. Perhaps more importantly, they'd also had the previous two days off. On the other hand, the Suns will now be playing their third game in four nights, the fourth in six. The Clippers won by 40 the last time that these teams met here. This one could easily turn ugly, too. Consider laying the points with LA.
Phoenix @ L.A. CLIPPERS
L.A. CLIPPERS -10? -107 over Phoenix
The Suns went basket for basket with the mighty Warriors last night as a double-digit home dog. Phoenix led after the first quarter and even at halftime but in the end, the Suns fell 106-101. On Friday night, Phoenix went into overtime with the Thunder but also lost 113-110. After hanging and covering against both Golden State and OKC, the 10? points they are getting tonight in L.A. may appear to be very appealing but it?s not enough points. Phoenix is likely spent from the last two games, especially last night where they put in a huge effort in trying to take down the Warriors. They will now travel and play its third game in four nights and tail end of back-to-backs.
The L.A. Clippers also played yesterday but it was a home game against the Jazz where they coasted after taking a 13-point lead into the fourth quarter. Although it's early, the Clip Joint is relying much more on their bench this season, as the reserves have scored at least 40 points in their first two games, which is a far cry from last year's squad that leaned almost entirely on their starting five. We are not in the habit of laying double-digit points but the Suns are likely to be running on empty after two emotional losses to a pair of top tier Western Conference opponents. The Clippers are capable of putting up big points against anyone and figure to put up some crooked numbers here against this vulnerable visitor, who comes into this one in a very unfavorable spot.
Minnesota @ Chicago
Pick: Minnesota -5
It?s an NFC North matchup on Monday night that features a 1-6 Bears team in primetime for the third time in this young 2016 season. One plus for Chicago is the return of starting quarterback Jay Cutler. The Bears? quarterback situation has been a big part of their dismal start to the season. Cutler was hurt in the second game of the season, a 29-14 loss to the Eagles, and hasn?t played since. His backup, Brian Hoyer, suffered a broken arm in last week?s loss to Green Bay, giving way to the Bears? third quarterback, Matt Barkley.
At least the Bears will have Cutler back to hopefully generate some offense. Chicago managed just 189 yards against the Packers. The Vikings defense, even though they gave up 21 points last week, is much better than Green Bay?s. Without much of a running game ? the Bears average just 87.9 yards a game ? Cutler and Chicago will have a very difficult time against a tenacious Vikings defense. The Bears are dead last in the NFL in scoring averaging just 15.9 points a game. Don?t expect many offensive fireworks from Chicago.
The Vikings are coming off of their first loss of the season, a 21-10 setback at Philadelphia. The Eagles defense beat up a makeshift Vikings offensive line and got pressure on QB Sam Bradford all day long. Philadelphia sacked Bradford six times and the defense intercepted him once. The Bears haven?t generated that kind of pressure on opposing quarterbacks yet this season. What Minnesota will need is for running backs Jerrick McKinnon and Matt Asiata to have success in the run game in an effort to help Bradford and the passing game.
Chicago has lost the last three straight in this series. The Bears have not won a game against the Vikings since the 2014 season. That victory, a 21-13 win, was at Soldier Field. Maybe the Bears can borrow some of the city of Chicago?s excitement about the Cubs in the World Series on Monday night and use it to grab their second victory of the season.
Minnesota @ CHICAGO
CHICAGO +4 -105 over Minnesota
Minnesota?s bubble burst last week with a loss to Philadelphia but that one loss is not going to deter action on them this week. The Vikes have been paying off like a broken slot machine with 10 straight covers dating back to last year prior to last week. Yes indeed, Minnesota has been a cash cow so we can understand why they are so appealing. However, spotting road points to a division rival on Monday Night Football is anything but appealing. It?s also a low percentage play.
Minnesota is a very good football team, defensively, but its offense is stale, stagnant, predictable and just downright awful. Of the 32 teams in this league, you would be hard-pressed to find three teams that have more risk spotting road points than the Vikings. Minnesota has trouble scoring four points, let alone covering four so if the Bears play a clean game, that is, not losing the turnover battle by two or more, chances are they will cover or win here.
Sam Bradford's average throw has traveled 6? yards downfield this season, which is the shortest of any qualified quarterback in the league. Half of Bradford's pass attempts have been five yards downfield or shorter. This is a conservative passing attack designed to prevent turnovers but the Bears have been pretty good on those throws, as Chicago?s defense has allowed the second-best yards per attempt average in the league.
Sam Bradford is till Sam Bradford and there is a reason why 32 teams didn?t want him. Bradford threw a pick and was sacked six times in a dismal outing in Philadelphia last week so let?s not get too crazy about his first two or three outings in his new digs. Bradford, after all, became the third stringer to Case Kennum for f**k sakes. The Vikes also come into this game with the 31st ranked offense and the NFL?s worst running game. If you can?t run the ball in this league, or at least set up the run, you usually cannot pass either unless you?re named Aaron Rodgers or Tom Brady. Fundamentally speaking, Minnesota?s offense is putrid and while Chicago has been a rather dysfunctional outfit for a few years now, the atmosphere, the exposure of playing on Monday night and their motivation for looking good in prime time is more than enough to get our endorsement. Lastly, the low total in this one also makes taking back these points very appealing.
Saturday NCAA?
I could use Will Muschamp?s first season at South Carolina as a topical counterpoint to what is happening to Barry Odom at Missouri and I will, but this time in the form of stepping up to the counter, and the opportunity to lock in #382 South Carolina (4:00 Eastern, note the time change) at -6.5 in the Monday morning marketplace, and it is also worth taking lead at -7, but no higher..
Muschamp has some work to do with the Gamecocks, but he was also given something most unusual ? his team would not have to leave campus the entire month of October, including a bye week. That provides the opportunity to do some serious ?coaching up?, as Steve Spurrier himself might have called it, and Muschamp has done just that, creating a far different level of focus and energy than what Odom has at Missouri.
This cycle particularly matters because there are seven true freshmen starting, more than any team in the nation, and one of the decisions during the bye week was to add #7, Jake Bentley at QB, and Bentley has responded by going 32-46 for 368 yards, with four TD passes and no interceptions. The numbers could have been bigger vs. Massachusetts two games back, but Muschamp treated that game the way that he should have, getting a 20-point halftime lead and then backing off with the SEC showdowns ahead. Bentley was then composed and confident against Tennessee, managing the offense well in what shows as a major upset in the betting markets, but never looked like one on the field.
Contrast this from Muschamp with what I detailed from Odom earlier in today?s column - ?There are little things as a coach you look for, and I can see the belief and the confidence and the buy-in. That?s never been an issue once we started the season, regardless of whether we struggled or won the game. All of that?s been really good.?
There is one downside here but it is not enough to stay away ? the Gamecocks will be without starting CB D. J. Smith for the first half because of a targeting penalty, but Eric King (two interceptions) and Rashad Fenton both filled in well after Smith and Chris Lammons had to leave the game.
I see a major difference in energy between these teams, and instead of inexperience there is now some confidence for the Gamecocks ? that is important for the likes of Bentley, and also true freshman Rico Dowdle, who ran for 127 yards and a TD vs. Tennessee. That gap in enthusiasm and energy should matter on the field, and it can lead to South Carolina winning this one by more than a touchdown.
08:30 PM NFL [274] TOTAL u39.5 -110 (MIN VIKINGS vrs CHI BEARS)
07:35 PM NBA [501] TOTAL o206-110 (Denver Nuggets vrs Toronto Raptors)
07:35 PM NBA [503] Chicago Bulls -6-105
07:35 PM NBA [506] Atlanta Hawks -7-110
10:35 PM NBA [508] Los Angeles Clippers -11.5 -110
1 unit bet pays 48 ....betdsi line
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast: :SIB:em71:
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Bulls -5?
Chicago came into this season not getting a ton of love from the books, as their season win total was just 39.5, which means the books were expecting them to finish with a losing record. So, while the Bulls have opened up back-to-back impressive wins at home over Boston and Indiana, I don't think we are seeing an overreaction by the oddsmakers and there's still some great value here with them laying only 5.5-points at Brooklyn.
The Nets have surprised a lot of people by opening up the season 3-0 ATS, which includes a 9-point home win over the Pacers as a 6-point dog. I'm not buying this Brooklyn team being able to keep this up. This is also a tough spot for the Nets, who will be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights.
The Bulls are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games with a total of 210 or more and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 off a home win against a division rival. Chicago is also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 with the Nets and 5-1 ATS in 6 meetings in Brooklyn.
Nets +6
The Brooklyn Nets have been one of the most undervalued teams in the NBA in the early going. Their season win total of 20.5 was the lowest in Vegas, so bad things were expected of them and continue to be. But bettors willing to back them have cashed in and will continue to do so.
The Nets are 3-0 ATS in their first three games. They only lost 117-122 as 11.5-point road dogs at Boston, won 103-94 as 6-point home dogs against Indiana, and only lost 108-110 as 8-point road dogs at Miami. Now they find themselves catching 6 points here at home against the Chicago Bulls.
After starting the season 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS, I believe the Bulls are getting too much respect here. They beat the Celtics 105-99, who were on the second of a back-to-back, and the Pacers 118-101. But now the Bulls are hitting the road for the first time this season.
Chicago is 8-22 ATS when playing against a bad team with a winning percentage between 25% and 40% over the last three seasons. The Nets are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Chicago at Brooklyn
Pick: Over
The Bulls have gone out of the gate with a 2-0 schedule. Chicago has averaged 111.5 ppg in their first two while allowing an average of 100 ppg. The Nets have also showed offense, scoring 109.3 ppg in their first three games (1-2), while allowing 108.7. The Bulls totals are now 23-4 against the NBA Atlantic division. The Nets have gone over in six of their last eight (dating back to last season), while the last four meetings between these clubs have gone OVER. It's early, but the OVER is the play here today.
Clippers -10.5
Both teams played last night. The Clippers took care of the Jazz by an 88-75 score. The Suns fought hard but fell short (106-100) against the Warriors. Off that hard-fought loss and now in a difficult scheduling spot, I won't be surprised to see the Suns get blown out tonight. While both teams played last night, the Clippers game was "easier" and they didn't have to travel afterwards. Perhaps more importantly, they'd also had the previous two days off. On the other hand, the Suns will now be playing their third game in four nights, the fourth in six. The Clippers won by 40 the last time that these teams met here. This one could easily turn ugly, too. Consider laying the points with LA.
Phoenix @ L.A. CLIPPERS
L.A. CLIPPERS -10? -107 over Phoenix
The Suns went basket for basket with the mighty Warriors last night as a double-digit home dog. Phoenix led after the first quarter and even at halftime but in the end, the Suns fell 106-101. On Friday night, Phoenix went into overtime with the Thunder but also lost 113-110. After hanging and covering against both Golden State and OKC, the 10? points they are getting tonight in L.A. may appear to be very appealing but it?s not enough points. Phoenix is likely spent from the last two games, especially last night where they put in a huge effort in trying to take down the Warriors. They will now travel and play its third game in four nights and tail end of back-to-backs.
The L.A. Clippers also played yesterday but it was a home game against the Jazz where they coasted after taking a 13-point lead into the fourth quarter. Although it's early, the Clip Joint is relying much more on their bench this season, as the reserves have scored at least 40 points in their first two games, which is a far cry from last year's squad that leaned almost entirely on their starting five. We are not in the habit of laying double-digit points but the Suns are likely to be running on empty after two emotional losses to a pair of top tier Western Conference opponents. The Clippers are capable of putting up big points against anyone and figure to put up some crooked numbers here against this vulnerable visitor, who comes into this one in a very unfavorable spot.
Minnesota @ Chicago
Pick: Minnesota -5
It?s an NFC North matchup on Monday night that features a 1-6 Bears team in primetime for the third time in this young 2016 season. One plus for Chicago is the return of starting quarterback Jay Cutler. The Bears? quarterback situation has been a big part of their dismal start to the season. Cutler was hurt in the second game of the season, a 29-14 loss to the Eagles, and hasn?t played since. His backup, Brian Hoyer, suffered a broken arm in last week?s loss to Green Bay, giving way to the Bears? third quarterback, Matt Barkley.
At least the Bears will have Cutler back to hopefully generate some offense. Chicago managed just 189 yards against the Packers. The Vikings defense, even though they gave up 21 points last week, is much better than Green Bay?s. Without much of a running game ? the Bears average just 87.9 yards a game ? Cutler and Chicago will have a very difficult time against a tenacious Vikings defense. The Bears are dead last in the NFL in scoring averaging just 15.9 points a game. Don?t expect many offensive fireworks from Chicago.
The Vikings are coming off of their first loss of the season, a 21-10 setback at Philadelphia. The Eagles defense beat up a makeshift Vikings offensive line and got pressure on QB Sam Bradford all day long. Philadelphia sacked Bradford six times and the defense intercepted him once. The Bears haven?t generated that kind of pressure on opposing quarterbacks yet this season. What Minnesota will need is for running backs Jerrick McKinnon and Matt Asiata to have success in the run game in an effort to help Bradford and the passing game.
Chicago has lost the last three straight in this series. The Bears have not won a game against the Vikings since the 2014 season. That victory, a 21-13 win, was at Soldier Field. Maybe the Bears can borrow some of the city of Chicago?s excitement about the Cubs in the World Series on Monday night and use it to grab their second victory of the season.
Minnesota @ CHICAGO
CHICAGO +4 -105 over Minnesota
Minnesota?s bubble burst last week with a loss to Philadelphia but that one loss is not going to deter action on them this week. The Vikes have been paying off like a broken slot machine with 10 straight covers dating back to last year prior to last week. Yes indeed, Minnesota has been a cash cow so we can understand why they are so appealing. However, spotting road points to a division rival on Monday Night Football is anything but appealing. It?s also a low percentage play.
Minnesota is a very good football team, defensively, but its offense is stale, stagnant, predictable and just downright awful. Of the 32 teams in this league, you would be hard-pressed to find three teams that have more risk spotting road points than the Vikings. Minnesota has trouble scoring four points, let alone covering four so if the Bears play a clean game, that is, not losing the turnover battle by two or more, chances are they will cover or win here.
Sam Bradford's average throw has traveled 6? yards downfield this season, which is the shortest of any qualified quarterback in the league. Half of Bradford's pass attempts have been five yards downfield or shorter. This is a conservative passing attack designed to prevent turnovers but the Bears have been pretty good on those throws, as Chicago?s defense has allowed the second-best yards per attempt average in the league.
Sam Bradford is till Sam Bradford and there is a reason why 32 teams didn?t want him. Bradford threw a pick and was sacked six times in a dismal outing in Philadelphia last week so let?s not get too crazy about his first two or three outings in his new digs. Bradford, after all, became the third stringer to Case Kennum for f**k sakes. The Vikes also come into this game with the 31st ranked offense and the NFL?s worst running game. If you can?t run the ball in this league, or at least set up the run, you usually cannot pass either unless you?re named Aaron Rodgers or Tom Brady. Fundamentally speaking, Minnesota?s offense is putrid and while Chicago has been a rather dysfunctional outfit for a few years now, the atmosphere, the exposure of playing on Monday night and their motivation for looking good in prime time is more than enough to get our endorsement. Lastly, the low total in this one also makes taking back these points very appealing.
Saturday NCAA?
I could use Will Muschamp?s first season at South Carolina as a topical counterpoint to what is happening to Barry Odom at Missouri and I will, but this time in the form of stepping up to the counter, and the opportunity to lock in #382 South Carolina (4:00 Eastern, note the time change) at -6.5 in the Monday morning marketplace, and it is also worth taking lead at -7, but no higher..
Muschamp has some work to do with the Gamecocks, but he was also given something most unusual ? his team would not have to leave campus the entire month of October, including a bye week. That provides the opportunity to do some serious ?coaching up?, as Steve Spurrier himself might have called it, and Muschamp has done just that, creating a far different level of focus and energy than what Odom has at Missouri.
This cycle particularly matters because there are seven true freshmen starting, more than any team in the nation, and one of the decisions during the bye week was to add #7, Jake Bentley at QB, and Bentley has responded by going 32-46 for 368 yards, with four TD passes and no interceptions. The numbers could have been bigger vs. Massachusetts two games back, but Muschamp treated that game the way that he should have, getting a 20-point halftime lead and then backing off with the SEC showdowns ahead. Bentley was then composed and confident against Tennessee, managing the offense well in what shows as a major upset in the betting markets, but never looked like one on the field.
Contrast this from Muschamp with what I detailed from Odom earlier in today?s column - ?There are little things as a coach you look for, and I can see the belief and the confidence and the buy-in. That?s never been an issue once we started the season, regardless of whether we struggled or won the game. All of that?s been really good.?
There is one downside here but it is not enough to stay away ? the Gamecocks will be without starting CB D. J. Smith for the first half because of a targeting penalty, but Eric King (two interceptions) and Rashad Fenton both filled in well after Smith and Chris Lammons had to leave the game.
I see a major difference in energy between these teams, and instead of inexperience there is now some confidence for the Gamecocks ? that is important for the likes of Bentley, and also true freshman Rico Dowdle, who ran for 127 yards and a TD vs. Tennessee. That gap in enthusiasm and energy should matter on the field, and it can lead to South Carolina winning this one by more than a touchdown.
