MONDAYS SERVICE PLAYS

[Senor Capper]

Tony Mathew's Free NBA Selection for November 26, 2007.

Matchup: San Antonio Spurs vs. Sacramento Kings

Selection: San Antonio Spurs -7 (-110)

Explanation: We will side with the San Antonio Spurs -7 as they face-off against the Sacramento Kings in Monday's NBA contest.

It goes without saying that the San Antonio Spurs (12-2 Record) are the much superior team when compared to the Sacramento Kings (4-9 Record).

The San Antonio Spurs have the better offense and should be able to score many points against a poor Sacramento Kings defense (allowing opponents to score an average of 104.5 points per game).

The Sacramento Kings will struggle to score tonight as the San Antonio Spurs have a solid defense (allowing opponents to score an average of only 91.5 points per game).

This one has San Antonio Spurs blowout victory written all of it!

Take the San Antonio Spurs -7


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Selection: Utah Jazz (-)

Reason: Put us down on the Utah Jazz (-) for our Free NBA Selection on Monday. Today the Utah Jazz will be on the road as they take on the New York Knicks. We will lay the points with the Jazz! The Jazz are coming off a 10-point victory against the Pistons on Sunday, and are now 3-0 SU and ATS in their last 3 games. In addition, the Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games. To say the least, the Jazz have a lot of talent. With that said, the Jazz should easily be able to beat a struggling Knicks team (3-9 SU on the season). The Knicks are also 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games against Western Conference teams. We also don't mind the Knicks being at home as they are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games at home. The Jazz also have a history of beating the Knicks in New York. This is shown by the Jazz being 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against the Knicks (when playing in New York)
. Lay the points! Take the Utah Jazz!

 

[Senor Capper]

JIM FEIST

ORLANDO MAGIC

Orlando is for real, at 12-3 SU and a sizzling 11-3 against the number. They have been beasts on the road at 7-1 SU, 6-1-1 ATS. Not having No. 1 overall pick Greg Oden has certainly hurt the interior defense of Portland, allowing 98 ppg. They could use Oden this game against Orlando's man-child Dwight Howard. "I want to be a great player in this league, even one of the greatest players ever to play," Howard said this week. New Magic coach Jeff Van Gundy is all business: "Everybody is kissing our butt because we are 12-3, so we think we are great." Orlando carries a 7-1 SU/ATS run into this one. Play the Magic!
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DCI

COLLEGE BASKETBALL


ACC-Big Ten Challenge
at Iowa City, IA
IOWA 58, Wake Forest 55
Southern Conference
Davidson 83, APPALACHIAN STATE 80


Non-Conference
AKRON 70, Temple 61
American 66, MOUNT ST. MARY'S 64
ARIZONA STATE 74, Cal Poly 69
BELMONT 88, Middle Tennessee 73
CINCINNATI 76, Usc Upstate 60
CONNECTICUT 86, Florida A&M 69
GEORGIA SOUTHERN 90, Mercer 72
HOLY CROSS 82, Ohio 74
HOUSTON 84, Coastal Carolina 62
LEHIGH 75, New Jersey Tech 55
LIPSCOMB 62, Samford 60
MURRAY STATE 70, Arkansas State 69
NEBRASKA 70, Ipfw 53
NOTRE DAME 78, Colgate 53
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M 78, Norfolk State 77
South Florida 82, FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 79
THE CITADEL 81, Charleston Southern 80
UMKC 83, Florida Atlantic 75
WASHINGTON 80, Long Beach State 69
WYOMING 73, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 58
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Frank Patron
Date: Monday November 26, 2007

Sport: NBA
Game: Phoenix at Golden State

Prediction: Phoenix Suns -5.5
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LT Profits


Appalachian State +4.0 (-110)
Mon Nov 26 '07 7:00p
The Davidson Wildcats are receiving a lot of love in the early going, but we are still not convinced that they merit being road favorites over an Appalachian State Mountaineers team that is very tough at home.

Davidson actually sneaked into the ESPN/USA Today Poll at number 25 last week, and they even received some votes in the AP Poll. The primary reason for all the hoopla is that the Wildcats gave top-ranked North Carolina a game before falling just short 72-68. However, this team then went on the road to Western Michigan and was upset 83-76 as four-point favorite. In fact, Davidson is just 2-2 straight up for the season, losing to the only real teams they faced while beating a couple of teams named Emory and North Carolina Central!

Sure, one can argue that 3-2 Appalachian State has not beaten anyone yet either, but that just puts these teams on equal ground to start with. When you then consider that the Mountaineers are 20-8-1 against the spread in their last 29 home games, we feel that they should be a slight favorite here. Remember also that Appalachian State went into Davidson last season and upset the Wildcats 81-74 as eight-point underdogs.

While this may not rival the upset by the Mountaineers? football program over Michigan, we do feel that this team gets the job done at home here.

Appalachian State +4



Los Angeles Clippers +6.5 (-110)
Mon Nov 26 '07 10:35p
This looks like a lot of points for the Houston Rockets to be spotting the Los Angeles Clippers on the road tonight.

Sure, the Clippers have had their fair share of injuries, but they have still managed to go 6-6, and their backcourt is now intact with Sam Cassell and Cuttino Mobley playing again. They may also get a boost tonight if Brevin Knight is able to return from his groin injury. Regardless, the last time the Clippers were this big of an underdog at home was last Wednesday vs. the Denver Nuggets, and the Clips responded with an outright 101-90 upset.

Besides, the Rockets are not exactly tearing up the court right now. They did manage to win at home vs. Denver on Saturday, but that snapped a six-game losing streak. Also the Rockets are just 2-5 against the spread and 3-4 straight up on the road this young season, making them vulnerable when favored by this much away from home.

In fact, Houston is 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games stretching back to last season, and we look for the Clippers to take this game down to the wire at the very least, with an outright upset not impossible.

Clippers +6.5
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[Senor Capper]

Big Al Mcmordie
Game: Houston Rockets at Los Angeles Clippers Nov 26 2007 10:35PM
Prediction: Houston Rockets
Reason: At 10:35 pm, our member selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over the LA Clippers. Over the last three seasons, the Clips are a dreadful 4-14 ATS as home underdogs, including 0-6 ATS vs. an opponent off a straight-up win. The Rockets won their last game, 109-81 over the Denver Nuggets to move to 7-6 on the season. Look for Houston to blow out the undermanned Clippers tonight. Lay the points


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MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty had no play yesterday and likes the Steelers Monday.

The surplus is 105 sirignanos.

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SCOUT

Wake Forest -2 over Iowa
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VEGAS SPORTS PICS

Iowa Hawkeyes + 2.5 over Wake Forest Demon Deacons


Wake Forest (3-0) went 2-10 on the road last season. Iowa (4-2) new coach "defending national coach of the year" Lickliter led Butler to the Sweet 16 last season. The Hawkeyes are 36-2 last 38 home games, and 9-1 last ten home games vs. ranked opponents.


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ARTHUR RALPH

Phoenix Suns

 

[Senor Capper]

Dave Cokin

CBB
725 Davidson @ 726 Appalachian State 7PM ET

Play: Davidson -4.5

I'm a big fan of backing good teams in their conference openers, especially if they're on the road as they almost never get complacent in such situations. Davidson is the class of the Southern Conference. While Appy State is not a pushover, the visitors are simply superior and they've also enjoyed several of their trips to this court. I like Davidson to come out of the conference gate with a convincing win, so the road chalk is the way I'm playing here.


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NEVADA SHARPSHOOTER

MONDAY
MURRAY ST -5.5 OVER ARKANSAS ST

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Davidson vs. Appalachian State 7:00 p.m. est.

The Wildcats have been waiting for this game as App St. only conference team to defeat Davidson last season. We'll take #725 Davidson Wildcats

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BIG TIME SPORTS

MONDAY NOVEMBER 26th
SPURS / KINGS UNDER 193
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Greg Daraban

721 Cal Poly SLO (3-2) at 722 Arizona St (2-1)

A few things show up for the dog in this one.
First ASU is very young still learning. They also played in Hawaii
last week in the Maui Invitational and could find themselves trying to get up for this one. Pac 10 teams rarely get up for Big West teams like Cal Poly Slo. Cal Poly played in Ceder Falls two weeks
ago played some pretty good teams No Iowa, UMass,
The Mustangs keep it close.

Take 721 Cal Poly

 

[Senor Capper]

HUDDLE UP

S Florida -5

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Scott Rickenbach

Demon Deacons (-) @ Iowa @ 7 ET

The Hawkeyes have a long history of success on their home floor. However, in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge they are dogged at home with good reason! The fact is that the struggles the Hawkeyes just showed at the South Padre Island Invitational in Texas have come home to Iowa too! This team lost 61% of it's scoring from last season's team. First year coach Lickliter is a solid coach who will eventually get this team turned around. However, it's going to take time.
As for Wake Forest, they also have a first year coach after the untimely death of Skip Prosser in July. The new coach was previously the assistant under Prosser and, as such, he's certainly been very involved with this program. That is why Wake Forest, even with heavy player losses, is still likely to start off the season stronger than Iowa. The Demon Deacons, although not yet truly challenged, still have got off to a nice start with three rather easy wins. They stay hot here. Play Wake Forest minus the points as a regular selection.
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PLATINUM PLAYS

NBA: Phoenix Suns & Golden State Warriors Under 228
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Lenny Del Genio

Orlando Magic at Portland Trail Blazers
Monday, November 26th, 10:05 PM ET

The Portland Trailblazers find themselves in a good spot Monday night, as Orlando comes into town to begin a five-game west coast trip. Portland plays this game with three days of rest, and gets some line value here after failing to cover their last six. The Blazers are a good home underdog, going 20-9 ATS in that role, and are a quiet 5-1 straight up on their home floor this year. With Orlando getting all the attention for their quick start, we?ll take the points in the home team.
Play on: Portland


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MIKE ROSE

Miami Dolphins @ Pittsburgh Steelers u41.0 (-110)
Mon Nov 26 '07 8:30p
It?s been a brutal season thus far for the Miami Dolphins, but the team has to press on over the next six weeks in hope of securing one victory this season that will allow them not to be considered the worst pro football team ever to take the field in the NFL. Pittsburgh is coming off a despicable effort in the Meadowlands that saw them lose to the J-E-T-S in overtime by a 19-16 final count. Maybe they thought they could just take the field and win the game, or maybe they thought they could just turn it on when it mattered most. Either way, practice will not have been the most pleasant place to be this week, and I?m sure we?ll see a much different Steelers club take the field this Monday night.

Head Coach Cam Cameron?s club has played some competitive ball in their L/3 games. Since getting blown out in New England, the Dolphins have lost three games to the Giants in London, the Bills at home, and Philly on the road by a combined 16 points. They?re getting closer towards winning their first game of the season, but that will be an awfully tough task to compete this week with the Steelers coming off just their third loss of the season last week. Pittsburgh also suffered a couple of major injuries (WR Holmes/SS Polamalu) in last weeks game that should help the Dolphins chances, but the players on the field for the home team still outclass the Fins dramatically.

Pittsburgh has been installed a 16-point favorite in this spot with the ?Total? set at 41. The Dolphins are 4-0 ATS the L/4 times they?ve been installed a road underdog greater than 10.5-points, but those spots occurred under prior regimes. On the flipside, Pittsburgh is a perfect 5-0 ATS after losing outright the week before the last five times. That streak includes ATS wins over Cincinnati and Seattle this season. As for the ?Total?, the ?Under? is 4-0 ATS the L/4 times off a Steelers SU loss and 6-1-1 ATS in the Steelers L/8 home games vs. teams with a losing road record.

All in all, it looks to be a very long night for the Dolphins. Pittsburgh should bounce back in a big way here and cruise to their 6th home win of the season. Miami turned the offenses' keys over to rookie QB John Beck last week, and the offense struggled mightily against a mediocre Philadelphia defense. It won't be pretty this week either against a Steelers unit only allowing a shade under 11 PPG at home this season. Miami's defense hasn't given up either, allowing a combined 43 points the L/3 weeks, and the Steelers offense had trouble executing last week mainly due to a limited ground attack and poor O-Line play. Sixteen is a ton of chalk to lay in this spot, so we'll back the 'Under' instead in a game that should allow many to catch up on sleep they lost over the holiday weekend
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RAZOR SHARP

WASHINGTON +12 over Dallas

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PLAYBOOK
MARC LAWRENCE

Pittsburgh Over Miami by 14 Points

Pity The Winless Dolphins.they've Battled Hard,to Be Sure,with
Five Losses By A Field Goal. Tonight They Take On A Mad-as-hell Foe
That Is 12-2 Ats under The Monday Night Lights. Before Jumping Off The High Board You Need To Know Miami Is 10-3 Ats as Dogs Of 7 Or More Points. You Also Need To Know The Steelers Have Been Favored By 14 Or More Points Three Times Since 1980. They Lost The Money In Each Game.
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[the duke]

Ben Burns


NFL


MIAMI (+14 or better)

Game: Miami Dolphins vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Game Time: 11/26/2007 8:30:00 PM Prediction: Miami Dolphins Reason: I'm taking the points with MIAMI. The Steelers have played well at home and they've also fared very well on Monday Nights over the years. However, they're also missing some key players and they're coming off an outright loss to the 1-8 Jets. I played New York in that game, not so much because I liked the Jets but more so because I felt the Steelers were over-valued. While I respect the Steelers as a quality team, I still feel that they're over-valued, particularly when they'll be without star wide receiver Santonio Holmes and star safety Troy Polamalu. Losing Holmes takes away Roethlisberger's best deep threat; losing Polamalu will alter defensive coordinator Dick ******'s blitz package. That should only help Dolphins' QB Beck, who should benefit from having a start under his belt. After last week's loss and playing on Monday Night, it's hard to imagine the Steelers "looking ahead." However, with hated division foe Cincinnati on deck, followed by huge games vs. top conference opponents New England and Jacksonville, it may be hard to fully focus on the winless Dolphins. Regardless of the situation, the Steelers have never fared well as really big favorites. They're 0-2 ATS as double-digit favorites the past two seasons and a horrid 5-14 ATS their last 19 in that role. During the same stretch, the Dolphins were 6-3 ATS as double-digit dogs. As bad as the Dolphins were the last couple of seasons, they still managed a 5-2 ATS record when facing teams with a winning record during the second half of the season. They've got linebacker Joey Porter making his return to Pittsburgh tonight and they are obviously desperate to earn their first win of the season. They saw the Jets beat this team last week and would love nothing more then to pick up win #1 in front of a national audience. The team hasn't quit playing hard and as Jason Taylor says: "...I know what we're putting forward. I know what we're putting into it, and we'll get the results one day." Look for them to give a huge effort tonight and easily hang within the big number. *AFC GOM



NBA

PORTLAND (+3 or better)

Game: Orlando Magic vs. Portland Trail Blazers Game Time: 11/26/2007 10:05:00 PM Prediction: Portland Trail Blazers Reason: I'm taking the points with PORTLAND. The Magic are a solid team this year and they've played very well on the road to begin the season. However, they lost their most recent road contest by 18 points and tonight they'll be facing an improved Portland team which has been excellent at home. In fact, while the Blazers remain winless on the road, they're an excellent 5-1 at home, the lone loss coming by five points. The Blazers haven't just feasted on weak teams either as two of those wins came against the likes of Dallas (91-82) and Detroit (102-94). Most recently, they held the Kings to just 84 points, en route to a 87-84 victory. That game was played on Friday, which is worth mentioning as we find the Blazers at 15-9 ATS the past two seasons when playing with two day's rest in between games. The Blazers have also fared well as hosts in this series. Last season, they lost by two points, as four point home underdogs. That pointspread win brought the Blazers to 5-2-1 ATS the last eight series meetings here. Note that Portland won six of those games outright and that the two SU losses came by a combined seven points. As mentioned above, the young Blazers have really been able to feed off the home crowd of the Rose Garden. They're shooting 49.1 percent from the field and 40.9 percent from 3-point range here - both among the top home percentages in the league. Look for them to draw energy from the crowd again this evening as they continue their strong homecourt play and improve to 17-9 ATS since 2005 when listed as home underdogs in the +3.5 to +6 point range. *Annihilator



UNDER Kings/Spurs

Game: San Antonio Spurs vs. Sacramento Kings Game Time: 11/26/2007 10:05:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on the Kings and Spurs to finish UNDER the total. The Spurs played a high-scoring game at Seattle last night. However, they rarely play two in a row like that and I'm expecting a significantly lower-scoring contest this evening. Like Seattle, the Kings aren't great defensively. However, they ARE much better than the Sonics in that department and they've been playing better on that side of the ball recently. The Kings held the Blazers (who are averaging 97.3 ppg at home) to 87 points at Portland in their most recent game. In their most recent home game, they held the high-scoring Suns (averaging 106.3 on the road) to just 100 points. Not surprisingly, both those games fell well below the total. Last night was the fourth time that the Spurs allowed an opponent to top the 100 point mark this season. The previous three times they responded by holding their next opponent to 80, 84 and 88 points. All three of those games stayed below the total. The first of them came when these teams faced each other at San Antonio earlier this month, a 96-90 final. The UNDER is also 8-5 the last 13 times that the Spurs played the second of back to back games. Additionally, the UNDER is a profitable 12-4-1 the last 17 series meetings here at Sacramento. Despite last night's high-scoring contest, the UNDER remains a profitable 10-5-1 the last 16 times that the Spurs played in the month of November. Look for more of the same this evening as the final combined score falls beneath the generous number. *Blue Chip




NCAA BB

IOWA (pick'em or better)

Game: Wake Forest vs. Iowa Game Time: 11/26/2007 7:00:00 PM Prediction: Iowa Reason: I'm taking the points with IOWA. Iowa began the season with four straight double-digit victories over lesser opponents but stumbled in back to back games when stepping up to face stronger teams at the South Padre Island Invitational. The Hawkeyes are back home tonight though and I expect them to step up and give a huge effort. New Hawkeyes' coach Todd Lickliter won big at Butler and he'll stress the importance of this big nationally televised game against a team from the ACC. Its true that Iowa is relatively inexperienced. However, Lickliter isn't without weapons. He returns both last year's starting forwards (6-8 junior Cyrus Tate and 6-10 senior Kurt Looby) both of them tough defenders and 6-6 senior guard Justin Johnson has begun the year by averaging greater than 15 points per game and making the "All Tournament Team" at South Padre Island. The Hawkeyes were excellent as small home underdogs under Steve Alford the past couple of seasons, going 3-0 SU/ATS when listed as home underdogs of three points or less. I expect them to also thrive in that role under their new coach. Lickliter worked magic in his six seasons as the coach at Butler, taking the mid-major to a pair of Sweet 16 appearances and cracking the top 10 last season. Under Lickliter, Butler was listed as underdogs of four points or less four times the past two seasons and they won all four games outright. While the Hawkeyes may not have many proven scorers, they still know how to play great defense. That's noteworthy as Wake Forest was just 4-11 the past two seasons against teams that allow 64 points or less per game. The Demon Deacons are coming off back to back mediocre seasons and they lost Kyle Visser, the leading scorer, rebounder, and shot-blocker from last season. They also tragically lost their coach during the offseason, when Skip Prosser died of an apparent heart attack in his office in late July. They haven't played a quality team yet and this will be their first road game. The Demon Deacons were just 8-14 ATS as a favorite the past two seasons and an even worse 6-16 ATS when playing non-conference foes. Look for Lickliter's Hawkeyes to score the minor upset.
*Big Monday GOM



NHL

ISLANDERS

Game: Dallas Stars vs. New York Islanders Game Time: 11/26/2007 7:05:00 PM Prediction: New York Islanders Reason: I'm laying the price with the ISLANDERS. The Isles (8-3 at home) had yesterday off after knocking off Boston here on Saturday. The Stars won at MSG yesterday and come in on a roll. However, they were very fortunate to get that victory (outshot 41-18!) and "sweeping New York" is no easy task these days. The Stars are already 0-3 when playing the second of back to back games this season, getting outscored 12-4 by the likes of Phoenix, Nashville and Chicago. The Stars have been getting excellent goaltending during their recent winning streak. However, the Islanders have been getting that kind of play in net all season from DiPietro, who has allowed two goals or less in 13 of his 19 starts. Note that DiPietro is 2-0-0 with one shutout and a 0.50 GAA in two career starts against Dallas. Additionally, note that the Islanders haven't lost in this series since 2001, going 5-0-1 during that six year span. They're arguably a better team now than they've been at any time during those six years, while I don't feel the same can't be said for the Stars. All things considered, I feel the price is very reasonable on the rested and well-coached home team. *NHL Best Bet

 

[Senor Capper]

Vegas Hot Sheet

Pittsburgh -16---------------------------------------
MIKE WYNN

Phoenix -5 Over Golden St
---------------------------------------
Wild Bill

Dolphins +16 1/2 (4 units)
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PETER KING

Miami Dolphins (0-10) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-3)

I pick a relatively close game not because I think the Steelers won't play well. I think the message from Mike Tomlin will be heard loud and clear, and several times, this week. "Every time you take the field, you've got to come to play,'' Tomlin said the other day. "That's what great teams do.'' I think Miami will play OK down the stretch, in part because Cam Cameron's going to put the kid quarterback, John Beck (only 9-of-22 in his debut at Philly last week), in position to succeed. Success is a relative term on an 0-10 team, but I think Beck's going to have some.
Steelers 27, Dolphins 17

 

[Senor Capper]

EROCKMONEY

Miami (+15) at Pittsburgh

The Steelers are hurting and are slightly overrated in my opinion. Miami is a terrible team, but they are long overdue for a solid performance. Monday night in front of the nation might be the time to do it. Big Ben can easily lose a game at any time as he still makes a lot of mistakes when the Steelers struggle to run the ball. Parker has looked sluggish lately, Holmes and Polumala are out. Call me crazy, but I think the Dolphins not only cover, but win outrright. Take the poins, but this may be an opportunity to throw a little slice on the moneyline.

Pick: Dolphins by 3
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Jimmy The Moose
Game: Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers Nov 26 2007 7:05PM
Prediction: Philadelphia Flyers
Reason: The Bruins are 4-6-1 on the road this season. Boston has lost 5 of their last 6 road games. Away from Home Boston is averaging 2.55 GPG while giving up 3.27. In their last 39 games vs. Atlantic Division opponents the Bruins are 11-28. The Flyers are 6-1-2 at home this season where they average 3.33 GPG and give up 2.33. In their last 8 games playing with 1 days rest they are 6-2. The Flyers have won the last 3 meetings between the clubs and will take tonight's game. Play on the Flyers -.
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DR BOB

Strong Opinion
Under (41) - PITTSBURGH (-16.0) 24 Miami 10
05:30 PM Pacific, 26-Nov-07
Miamis offense went from better than average to a bit worse than average when quarterback Trent Green was injured and then the attack went from worse than average to dreadful starting week 9 when star running back Ronnie Brown was hurt. Backup Jessie Chatman is a decent runner, but he hasnt been able to match Browns 5.1 ypr and Chatman hasnt come close to making up for Browns contributions in the passing games. Brown still leads the Dolphins in receiving yards despite missing the last 3 games and he was the NFLs best pass catching running back when he got hurt, averaging 8.5 yards per pass thrown to him. Chatman, meanwhile, has averaged only 4.4 yards on the 28 passes thrown to him and the difference is about 3 points per game. The difference in the running contributions between the two backs works about to about 2 points per game and the Dolphins have averaged just 4.1 yards per play and 9 points in 3 games without Brown. Miami has turned over the reigns of this broken down offense to rookie John Beck and he appears to be no better or worse than Cleo Lemon was in Lemons 5 games at the helm which is to say not very good. My math model favors Pittsburgh by 14? points and I have situations going both for and against the Dolphins in this game. Ill lean slightly with Miami and I would have made the Under a Best Bet here if not for Pittsburghs tendency to go Over at home (39-12-1 Over). Miami has gone easily Under in all 3 games without Brown and his absence hasnt been properly adjusted for in the total. I will consider the UNDER a Strong Opinion at 40 points or higher.
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[Senor Capper]

Marc Lawrence
Game: Houston Rockets at Los Angeles Clippers Nov 26 2007 10:35PM
Prediction: Houston Rockets
Reason: Play On: Houston Rockets
Note: Rockets journey in to one of their favorite venues knowing they are 21-5-1 ATS as a visitor in this series against the Clippers when installed as favorites or dogs of less than 8 points. Back the better team with the better numbers here this evening.
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TOTALS 4 U

HOUSTON/L.A. CLIPPERS OVER 185 1/2
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#1 SPORTS

HOUSTON ROCKETS - 5 1/2
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BRW Sports Advisors

NFL Miami Dolphins ~vs~ Pittsburgh Steelers
Over 39.5 (-105)
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Pointwise Phones

3* PITTSBURGH STEELERS _________________________

John Fina
November 26, 2007

Selection: Utah Jazz (-)

Reason: Put us down on the Utah Jazz (-) for our Free NBA Selection on Monday. Today the Utah Jazz will be on the road as they take on the New York Knicks. We will lay the points with the Jazz! The Jazz are coming off a 10-point victory against the Pistons on Sunday, and are now 3-0 SU and ATS in their last 3 games. In addition, the Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games. To say the least, the Jazz have a lot of talent. With that said, the Jazz should easily be able to beat a struggling Knicks team (3-9 SU on the season). The Knicks are also 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games against Western Conference teams. We also don't mind the Knicks being at home as they are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games at home. The Jazz also have a history of beating the Knicks in New York. This is shown by the Jazz being 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against the Knicks (when playing in New York). Lay the points! Take the Utah Jazz!
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COMPUTER PLAYS

Pittsburgh Steelers -16-----------------------------------------
Bobby Maxwell

Easy play on the college hardwood tonight as we go with the Racers of Murray State to win easily at home over Arkansas State today. Don't worry about the spread as a good Murray State squad gets this one tonight by 13.
The Racers are 2-1 on the season but 2-0 at home (0-1 ATS). They are led by the Thomas tandem of Kevin Thomas who had 12 points in the Racers' last game and guard Danero Thomas who had 17 points and eight rebounds in the Racers' 84-55 win over Avila on Friday.
Arkansas State struggles on the road so far this year, losing big at Tulsa and Memphis. But the problem has been the Indians defense, giving up 79.5 points a game on the road and the opposition shooting 52.3 percent from the field. If anything ever said play the Racers, this does as they like to push the tempo and they'll be ready for this one.
Play Murray State and dont worry about the chalk. The Racers will get the cover quickly and then hold on down the stretch.

2♦ MURRAY STATE



.

 

[Senor Capper]

SUNSHINE FORECAST

Monday, November 26, 2007

Miami Dolphins (+16) at Pittsburgh Steelers

Power Rating Projection:

Pittsburgh Steelers 29 Miami Dolphins 17
Statistical Projections

Miami Dolphins 13

Rushing Yards: 101
Passing Yards: 144
Turnovers: 2 Pittsburgh Steelers 28

Rushing Yards: 148
Passing Yards: 232
Turnovers: 1

SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

Pittsburgh Steelers 34 Miami Dolphins 21

Angle: Favored by More Than 13 Points at Home [Home teams favored by more than 13 points ]
Go against Pittsburgh Steelers ( No additional conditions, 31-36-3, 46.3% )
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We are going to lay the points with the Mavericks tonight at home, as Washington is starting to feel the effects of Gilbert Arenas' absence, as the Wizards have lost their last pair of games both straight up and against the spread.

The Mavericks head back home mired in a two game losing streak of their own, but both of those losses came on the road. At home, the Mavs are perfect at 6-0 straight up, and 4-2 against the spread.

Series numbers show the Wizards with the outright win in the last meeting last December, but prior to that loss, the Mavericks had won 6 in a row with 5 covers along the way.

One of these teams is going to end their two game slide, and we feel it will be the home-loving Mavericks who put a pasting on the depleted Wizards.

Play on Dallas minus the points.
3♦ DALLAS



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Must Win Sports Picks

NHL 11/26/2007 at 7:00:00 PM
Buffalo at Washington

Washington -1.5
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Drew Gordon

The fact of the matter is Orlando has been a cash-machine on the road, going 7-1 ATS away this season, with their only loss coming at San Antonio last Wednesday. Since then, they've gotten right back on track, crushing Charlotte and Miami at home in back-to-back nights. Now back on the road, the Magic grab the cash once again tonight at the Rose Garden.
Critics will tell you that Portland is terrible on the road (true), but much better at home (true, but to an extent). While they're better at the Rose Garden, this is still a very young, very flawed basketball team. They rely on their athletiscm on the defensive end, but that simply will not work against the ultra-athletic Magic, as Lewis and Howard should run circles around the Blazers frontcourt.
Worried about Fatigue? Don't be, despite the Magic playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, remember they're a young team, and fatigue isn't such a factor: Magic are 5-1 ATS with no rest & 4-2 ATS with just 1 day rest! Look for another strong effort tonight, as Orlando will be looking to start this road trip with a win, especially after how they played in San Antonio.
Bottom line, while the Blazers play much better basketball at the Rose Garden, its still not good enough to keep pace with one of the best teams in the East, bar none. Orlando is averaging 106 ppg on 51% shooting over their last 5 games, and there's little the Blazers can do to stop them.
Take Orlando comfortably over Portland in late NBA action.

2♦ ORLANDO
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florida booky busters

NBA 11/26/2007 at 10:30:00 PM
Phoenix at Golden State

Phoenix/Golden State u228
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Karl Garrett

With Tracy McGrady now back in the Houston lineup, the G-Man has to go with the Rockets tonight against the ailing LA Clippers.
The Clippers certainly miss the contributions of Corey Maggette, and Elton Brand, as LA has dropped their last pair of games, and 6 of their last 8 straight up, while covering just once in that span.
The Rockets just snapped a 6-game slide with a convincing spanking of the hot Denver Nuggets, 109-81. Houston has captured the last pair of series meetings, and 7 of the last 10 straight up, while the road team is a profitable 16-5 against the spread the last 21 get-togethers.
Ride the Rockets to victory at the Staples Center tonight.

1♦ HOUSTON
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Joe Wiz
(13-10-1 / +220)

NBA - Golden State (+5)
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RED SHEET

88 RATING
PITTSBURGH STEELERS _________________________
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[the duke]

Yankee Capper Total Ticket

We broke even on yesterday's Total Ticket as we continue to dominate in the NHL and struggle in the NBA. I am confident that we will get back on track on the hardwood however, so don't be discouraged. Today's Total Ticket will be a step in that direction! Today we have Six picks overall in the NHL and NBA, each with a 5 Unit play! Don't be left out. Purchase and cash in today. Remember the guarantee... You don't win you don't pay!

*paid and confirmed

NBA
5 Units ? Orlando Magic ?5
3 Units ? New Orleans Hornets ?11
3 Units ? Washington Wizards +12
2 Units ? LA Clippers + 6 ?

NHL
5 Units ? Buffalo Sabres
2 Units ? Dallas Stars

 

[Senor Capper]

GOLD SHEET

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 26

*PITTSBURGH 35 - Miami 10--Willie Parker (925 YR) is making no secret of the fact he's after the rushing title now that Adrian Peterson's injury has opened the door. And Ben Roethlisberger (23 TDs, only 8 ints.) is close to his Super Bowl form after LY's injuries. The Dolphins might activate Ricky Williams for this game. But Williams or no, rookie QB John Beck is likely to be plenty mystified by Pittsburgh's array of zone blitzes. Just a couple of turnovers might help the Steelers (4-1 vs. the spread at home) bounce back with a vengeance after last week's "soft" performance visiting the Jets. CABLE TV--ESPN

(06-PITT 28-Miami 17...P.20-15 P.38/143 M.18/38 M.18/37/2/240 P.15/25/0/196 P.1 M.0)

(06-PITTSBURGH -1 28-17...SR: Miami 11-10)





MONDAY NIGHT HISTORY

Miami and Pittsburgh on Monday Night

Miami is 6-15 straight-up and 9-11-1 vs. the pointspread on the road on Monday Night Football;
32-17 straight-up and 29-20 vs. the pointspread at home on Monday Night Football.

Pittsburgh is 21-5 straight-up and 19-7 vs. the pointspread at home on Monday Night Football;
13-17 straight-up and 15-14-1 vs. the pointspread on the road on Monday Night Football.
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[Senor Capper]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS
NFLMiami (0-10 SU, 2-5-3 ATS) at Pittsburgh (7-3 SU, 6-4 ATS)

The Dolphins travel to Heinz Field still in search of their first win of the season as they take on the Steelers in a nationally televised contest.
Miami, which is trying to avoid joining the 1976 Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the only winless teams in NFL history, is making its second trek to Pennsylvania in as many weeks. Last Sunday in Philadelphia, the Dolphins competed the entire game but still fell to the Eagles 17-7 as 9?-point underdogs. The Dolphins managed just 186 total yards against Philadelphia and their only score came on an 87-yard punt return for a TD by rookie Ted Ginn Jr.
Pittsburgh suffered a 19-16 OT loss to the Jets in New York last week, falling as a nine-point favorite. The loss snapped a three-game winning streak that had put the Steelers in charge of the AFC North.
Miami rookie QB John Beck gets his second career start for the Dolphins after going 9-for-22 for 109 yards in his debut against the Eagles. The Dolphins? offense has produced just 27 points the last three weeks. Meanwhile, although the defense has given up just 43 points in the last three games, Miami still is surrendering an NFL-worst 154.9 rushing yards per game and 27.4 points per contest.
The Dolphins are 1-2-2 ATS on the road this season and 4-12-2 ATS in their last 18 games against AFC foes.
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU (4-1 ATS) at home this season with the only non-cover coming two weeks ago in a 31-28 win over the Browns as 10-point favorites. The Steelers are outscoring their visitors by an average of 20 points per game (31-11), with the defense giving up just 184.6 total yards per game at home (67 rushing yards ypg).
These teams met in the season opener last September when the Steelers scored a 28-17 win at home as a one-point chalk.
Pittsburgh has been dominant at home on Monday nights, going 21-5 SU and 19-7 ATS, including a 38-7 rout of the Ravens as a 9?-point favorite three weeks ago. Meanwhile, Miami is just 6-15 (9-11-1 ATS) on the road under the Monday night lights.
The over is 38-13-2 in the Steelers? last 53 home games (3-2 this year) and 11-4 the last 15 times the Dolphins have played on Monday night.

ATS ADVANTAGE: PITTSBURGH and OVER
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NBA

Houston (7-7 SU, 5-9 ATS) at L.A. Clippers (6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS)

The Rockets visit the Staples Center in Los Angeles for a game against the Clippers in a battle of struggling Western Conference squads.
Houston opened the season 6-1, then went on a six-game losing streak (1-5 ATS) that finally came to an end with Saturday?s 109-81 rout of the Rockets as six-point home favorites. Tonight?s contest kicks off a four-game West Coast road swing for Houston.
The Clippers have dropped four of their last five and six of eight (1-7 ATS), including Saturday?s 98-89 home loss to the Hornets as three-point underdogs. Los Angeles has been favored in just one of its last 10 games, during which Mike Dunleavy?s squad is just 2-8 ATS.
The Rockets are just 2-5 ATS on the highway this season, posting an average of 94 points a game and giving up 95.7 ppg.
The Clippers are just 2-3 ATS on their home court, averaging 96.7 ppg while allowing 97 ppg.
Houston has won seven of the last 10 meetings with Los Angeles (5-5 ATS), including the last two back in March. The road team is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 head-to-head meetings, including Houston?s 92-87 victory as a three-point chalk on March 28.
The under is 7-3 in the Clippers? last 10 overall, but the over has been the play six of the last seven meetings in this series.

ATS ADVANTAGE: HOUSTON
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[the duke]

Frank Rosenthal

NFL at 6pm

NBA
702 KNICKS+6 SB
712 CLIPPERS+7 SB
713 SUNS-4 SB+

COLLEGE HOOPS
717 SO FL-4 SB
725 DAVIDSON-3.5 SB

 

[Dr. Maddog]

anyone have PPP baskets?
thanks

 

[taipans]

spritzer--
tko..............steelers

direct line release........cal ply
tko.............davidson

ko..................gold st
5 star total.........dall over 09


feist--
inner circle..........fla int
window..............ark st

island source...........hornets
platinum................sa over 93
total...................suns over 28


cokin--
fat man releases.........davidson-5, over 38.5
under the hat..............majic
window...............ark st

 

[Ole-Reb]

Anyone have Brandon Lang's 50 dimer tonight?

 

[Big_Chief]

Wayne Root

 

[utcahoona]

ATS lock please. :00hour

 

[husky]

Anyone have Brandon Lang's 50 dimer tonight?

Brandon Lang

50 dime
Steelers

free pick over pitt and miami
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