Monday's Sweetpie Finale!!!

LordofBalls

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Hi guys ~
Saturday went pretty much the way I was hoping with an easy Baylor/Over parlay.. and the Gonz total going wayyy over to hit the other parlay..
I actually had a 23 pt chance for a middle on the Gonz total @ 167.5, but OT ruined it... it happens sometimes!

Whatta gm w/Gonz and Ucla eh? Wowzer!!
The best I've seen Ucla play with their offensive execution and determination.. definitely a championship effort! They fell a smidge short yes, but it was kinda awesome to see them play as well as they did...
Well Done Bruins!! :0074

NOW.... well actually tomorrow night lol.... comes the finale that many people (myself included) felt would happen...

the Finals matchup w/Baylor +4.5 vs Gonzaga... 159.5

I made some futures bets on Gonzaga... Baylor... Usc.. Oregon...
I added to the Gonz future before their gm vs Ucla... which made that very exciting semi-final a bit hairy at times lol... but that Suggs kid is pretty great.
On a side note... Personally, I think he's much closer to "ready" for the Nba than the young man from Okla St, tho I believe Cade Cunningham will "grow" into being a very talented player in his own right.

My take on this game... Bay v Gonz..

I believe it will be very similar to the Ucla/Gonz game....

Baylor's very capable guards can handle the ball and penetrate or shoot well from beyond the 3pt arc...
What I think will be different tomorrow is that Gonzaga will play better than they did on Sat... and shoot better.
Sat they were 12/20 on FTs... that's too low for them.
Kispert was 2/8 from deep... that will improve too I believe.

I think the FGame can get to 160+ pts...
but I LOVE the 1st Half OVER 76 even more! (w/Ucla hit 89 @half)
Gonz avg about 45 pts / 1half..
Bay avg about 38.5 pts / 1half..

Gonzaga wants to push EVerything after a miss, a turnover.. go go go!
I think Baylor will be happy to do that tomorrow!
Good shooters and dribblers LOVE to run the transition game!!
EZ Buckets!

If/When 1st half OVer hits, I'll look for a middle hedge on the full gm total probably...

The last 5 mins or so could be some pretty high drama in what I believe will be a very close game!
what often happens, is in the last min or so, a crucial miss or foul will lead to FTs and whether or not the fav or doggy covers!
Draaamaaa lol


in order to hedge a little bit on Baylor ml... I MAY play some of the "props" on Bay wins by 1-3 pays 8/1 and Bay by 4-6 and 7-9 are each 11/1...it's a better payback than just taking Baylor ml ! +170... rt?
(unless they win by 10+)


Last night lines opened at Gonz -4.5/160...(down to 159.5 now)

I played this one last night:
Par). Gonz -2.5/OVER 158.5/________(1 open) <<< 333/1483

today, I added this one:
Par). Baylor +6.5/OVER 157.5 <<< 433/769

FUTURES:
Gonzaga to win..... 1063/633

Baylor to win.... 130/390



and now.... it's late.. gnite

LoB
 

yanno

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LoB

Very nice writeup!! It has certainly given me some ideas. I took Gonzaga to win it all back a ways at + money but was looking for some ideas to hedge a little now that they look human. Thanks! and Good Luck! Enjoy the sweetpie.

:toast:
 

LordofBalls

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not sure why, but the 1half total has dropped from 76 down to 75.5...
possibly sign of sharp $$ coming in on the under...?

the tout services that I've seen are split on the total, w/more on the UNder about 2 of 3...
and probably 2 of 3 are on the Zags

to me...
EVery game Gonz tries to jump out big in the first half... and it goes OVer the total in 1half.

where the game USually stays under is cuz a lower-scoring 2half... and often some garbage time last min or two when often the guys are so nervous they often don't get shots up

haven't seen Arrow's play (he likes to play totals on 1h)....

I can't see Gonzaga changing ANYthing they do.... so mebbe Baylor is going to try and walk the ball up...??

I've got action mostly on OVer... and some futures $$ on both teams...

I'm playing w/house money.. and I'm just gonna ride it out now.. mebbe throw in some "Live Bets"...
IF I do anything of substance, I'll put it in here.. otherwise

MY IDEAL RESULT IS:

Gonz -3 or -4 or -5 or -6/ OVER 158.5...

cuz FIRST!! You get de money.... and THEN!! You get de powerrr :D (Scarface/AL Pacino.. I think lol)

Enjoy the game madjackers!

Best o'Luck to US!!!
:0corn
 

LordofBalls

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some good news (I think)....


one of the Best tout services I've seen the last few yrs...

Paul Leiner's 3000* Play... no I don't keep track of the record, cuz I know I don't see em all lol

his play...

OVER 159... I can live w/dat!

come on boys!!
get yer track shoes on... lets throw up another 90 pt 1st half even :D


GL Guys!
 
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