murray st @ morehead st >>>

loophole

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murray state has had their way with morehead for the last five years in this ovc rivalry, but this year eagles look in a good postion to finally gain some revenge. morehead 7-1 @ home, with win over top 100 team wright state and only loss by 3 as 5 point dog to conference top dog tenn tech. morehead also 2-2 ats @ home with only noncovers a 13 point win over e ky as 13- point favorites and 11 point win over vmi as 12 point favorites. eagles feature conf top scorer ricky minard, 21.6 ppg, and solid guard play. morehead also leads the nation in ft % with a sparkling 79.5%.

murray no luck on the road this year, 1-6 s/u and ats, with only win/cover @ struggling depaul. losses include @ austin peay by 6, @ tenn-chat by 13, and @ ind st by 8, all comparable or worse teams than morehead. racers also have had three key players hobbled by nagging injuries over the last two weeks with all missing games and signifcant practice time.

murray st road d rather soft, allowing 48% fg and 36% from the arc. morehead sharp shooting @ home with 54% fg, 39% 3 pt and the abovementioned numbers from the stripe. nice extra edge is that eagles average almost 21 ppg more at home than racers average on the road. llike last night, feel these angles justify laying small number on eagles at home.
 

#cruncher

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Was leaning that way....

Was leaning that way....

already Loophole, but think you may have pushed me over the edge. I grew up about 35 miles from Murray watching OVC Sports...and Murray St definitely has the 'name' over Morehead...so I just guess we're getting a little edge because of this...Hope so?...nice analysis btw!
 

doc

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I saw Murray play last Saterday....

I saw Murray play last Saterday....

and you couldn't be more right, whether the injury reports show it or not, they only dress 8 maybe 9 players for each game, they only have one threat, can't remember his name but he put up 37 against a lowly SE Mizzou squad, who has won a totaly of three games, the score was deceptive they were only ahead by 4 with less than 3:30 to play, and SE best 2 players just fouled out. This guy from murray drilled 3 after 3, they absoulutly have NO balanced scoring attach, if they can half way stop this guy, Morehead wins by double digits, but can easily get the cover with the small line. They are going no where fast. Great spot loophole for an off the way game, by the way my daughter attends Murray State, and we live 35 miles away, i'm only 11 miles away from Tenn Martin, this line to looks way off, like i posted earlier, Martin justs keeps getting better, forget the score of their last game on the road against the top team in the OVC, Martin has a school population of about 5,000 but don't let that decive you they are tough and play every second of the game like it was the last, GL
 

doc

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Loop just in case you are wondering..

Loop just in case you are wondering..

# cruncher and i are brothers:toast:
 

Buckman

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YAHOO.....great write and great call.....my man goes CRAZY.....when I bet on these conferences.....because of the info I'm getting on this forum.....you definetly found the loophole here:toast:
 

pd1

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Thanks Loop, When I turned this bet in I asked my man how much money he had on Morehead, he said in 20 years I was the first person ever to wager on them. Thanks again, pd
 

Bob Stoops

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Two straight nights, two great calls on teams I know absoloutly nothing about. Thank you very much for your work and insight. May the winners keep coming.
 
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