MY full handicap Chiefs Eagles

Scrapman

Rollingdembones
Forum Member
Jan 6, 2013
5,909
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63
south east PA
OK as always Defense wins championships and theee worst defense ever is THE Chiefs

and who eveer burnt your money all seasonm 100% losers ats in every superbowl Chiefs went 5-12 ats KC overall

6-13 vs closing line

Eagles far better but not honest according to wins and losses 8-9 ats but overall 10-9 ats vs closing line

BOTH teams had very easy sos Chiefs was top at 1st ranked 3rd but final 8 gqames dropped them to 12th

Eagles was always at bottom

so lets add up all games including the play offs and see where the edge is

ok here it is

eagles including play offs 546 for 358 against differnce is +188 divide by 19 games eagles +9.9 round up to 10

10 -1.5 = +8.5

chiefs 546 points for but 409 points against diff is +137 div by 19 = +7.2 round down to +7

add 1.5 to 7 = 8.5 however notice eagles defense is 51 points better than chiefs

bad news chiefs turnovers -3 only team that won with negative turnovers huge was broncos but tops in defense vs run and pass as a 5 point dog vs the weak panthers who was ranked at bottom s o s that year

and very lame defense to boot ranked low vs pass and run

now many bettors big ones even 1 whale Eagles ML for $100,000,000

Matress mack tho has not placed a superbowl wager yet cause he has large bet on College B B team in texas to win

HIs last win in a SB was Tampa bay vs Chiefs s/u which i guess he got the ML +120

all other SB bets he lost last year Bengals +4.5 won he lost bengals to win

i'm thinking he goes with eagles than what ? he lost with chiefs in sb bet 49ers and playoff finals also

dunno when it was

other negatives or trends against chiefs the injuries to starters playing

Mahoomes no way near 100% high ankle sprains do not heal in 2 weeks kelce his back is hurting

in game vs Bengals he flipped ball to other player to run it for more yards


and yes lots of help from refs got chiefs the win eagles fawwwwwwkkkkkkkkkkkk you refs we will beat these fakes

positive on Chiefs andy reid with rest is like 95% s/u but not ATS

Consensus picks are Eagles 65% Chiefs 35% over at Covers

BETTING trends
Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Over is 6-1 in Chiefs last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.


Under is 5-1 in Chiefs last 6 vs. a team with a winning record

Chiefs are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.



Under is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games overall.




EAGLES

Under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games overall.
Under is 5-0 in Eagles last 5 games on grass.
Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.THEY RAN THE BALL
Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 playoff games.




and andy reid has been removed from his former squad for like 12 years only 3 guys remain from his former squad

Kelce Cox and Brandon graham

IN DEPTH trends

CHIEFS
Chiefs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. ( means zilch they are passing team )
Chiefs are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Chiefs are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
Chiefs are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win.
Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Chiefs are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Correct as i show in my charts aginst the spread

worse last 10 ats 4-6 ats

Eagles
Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 playoff games.
Eagles are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Eagles are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win
Eagles are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

but remember the quarter backs were hurt in 49ers game and the fawkssssssssss complain they were cheated

and Giants doomed because of rookie HC and tied game and Jones QB 1st time in playoffs

however one huge edge on chiefs is players from both schools Mich U and USC

RB Ronald jones USC
WR JU JU smith USC but bum knee
DE Frank Clark MICH
DE Michael Danna MICH

Eagles
DE Brandom Graham MICH (strip sacked Brady in the s b )
DT Marlon Tuipuloto USC( penetrate he's out IR Knee jan 9th )

and great p/u on D that helped Eagles who won the sb with Tampa Bay
Ndamukong Suh

key to beat KC keep mahoomes on the Bench use your ground game controll the clock

Chefs IR WR hardman Pelvis

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goota go with the Don juan pick and the fade USA today Eagles but why so many Eagles ML -1.5 points weird
i can make Eagles a dog in teser bets but thats goona be huge - more than the ML or just do eagles -.05 which will be less than the -125 ML which is wack on 1.5 spread should be - 115
other bets that came in

A bettor just placed $1M on the Eagles to win the Super Bowl at -125
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The bet would win $800,000





More big Chiefs vs. Eagles bets




As of Monday morning — six days before Super Bowl 57 kicks off at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona — BetMGM is the only sportsbook to report a seven-figure wager on the game.

However, Caesars Sportsbook on Saturday released information on several six-figure wagers it has taken. These include:
  • $314,000 on the Chiefs +3.5 points (-157 odds) from an Arizona bettor. The alternate-spread bet would win $200,000.
  • $150,000 on the Chiefs moneyline (+105 odds) from a Kansas bettor. The bet would win $157,500.
  • $150,000 on the Chiefs +1.5 points (-110 odds) from the same Kansas bettor. The bet would win $136,364.
  • $150,000 on the Eagles -1.5 points (-110 odds) from a Nevada bettor. The bet would win $136,364.
  • $220,000 on Chiefs-Eagles Under 51 total points (-110 odds) from a Michigan bettor. The bet would win $200,000.
  • $110,000 on Chiefs-Eagles Under 51 total points (-110 odds) from an Arizona bettor. The bet would win $100,000.
  • $220,000 on Chiefs-Eagles Under 51 total points (-110 odds) from the same Arizona bettor who played Under 51. The bet would win $200,000.


Caesars Sportsbook on Monday also reported the biggest wager it has accepted on a Super Bowl prop bet to this point: A New York customer wagered $35,000 at -1400 odds that there will not be a kickoff or punt returned for a touchdown on Super Sunday.

The potential payout; $2,500.

the head ref carl cheffers does not have his normal crew for this bowl there fore i side with overs

im expecting both teams t score in high 20's or low 30's scores you can win huge on with 5$ bets like so Eagles 27- Chiefs 24 Eagles 29 Chiefs 27 Chiefs 27 - eagles 24 etc...

Eagles 30 chiefs 28 or 27 or 26 some odds i had in games as high as +48000 $5 wager would get me back $5150 think about this a moment 20 $5 bets win any one you win hundreds or thousands

sorry cannot remove the pic it's not shown in edit
 
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