YTD: 2-1 +3.8 units
3* 1-0 + 3 units
2* 1-0 + 2 units
1* 0-1 - 1.2 units
*1 UNIT PLAY* New York Yankees (-170)
The Yanks haven't swept the Twins in the Metrodome in 9 years, but I believe that comes to an end today with Mussina on the mound.
Mussina is 17-2 with a 2.50 ERA in 20 career starts against the Twins. He has won his last five starts against the Twins dating to 1998 and is 8-2 with a 2.79 in 10 career outings at the Metrodome. Minnesota is the only team he has beaten more than 15 times in his career.
Reed on the other hand, has looked like a Cy Young candidate as of late. He is 3-0 with a 0.74 ERA in his last four starts, allowing just six earned runs in 24 1/3 innings. Although he is 3-0 in his four starts at the Metrodome, he has an average 4.35 ERA in those games. The statistic to note is that Reed is 0-2 with a 5.68 ERA in six lifetime outings against the Yankees.
Certain pitchers have certain teams they dominate over the course of their career and Mussina's team is the Twins. I see his dominance continuing once again today while Reed comes back to earth. Yanks win 6-3.
*2 UNIT PLAY* San Francisco Giants (-125)
Russ Ortiz has been very good as of late (1.89 ERA in last 3 games). SF is also #1 in the league in runs allowed.
Aramas, Jr. has a decent ERA in his last 3 games (3.00), but he has always been an erratic pitcher (knowledge gained from having him on my fantasy team last year). I predict this will be one of those starts where he just can't quite find his control.
I look for the Giants to pull out a close game 5-3.
*3 UNIT PLAY* Atlanta Braves (-220)
Glavine (5-1)has been stellar this year with a paltry 1.50 ERA (1.95 ERA in last 4 starts). He ia 3-0 with a 1.91 ERA in five starts at Turner Field this season. Glavine is 20-10 with a 3.51 ERA in 39 career starts against the Padres, one of four teams he has defeated 20 times or more.
On the surface Jones (3-2) looks like he has been good of late going 2-1 in his last 3 starts. However a closer look reveals his ERA in those 3 games was a staggering 8.78. More imortantly, Jones has struggled horribly this season on the road, where he is 1-2 with an 8.59 ERA in three starts. Jones is 4-9 with a 4.56 ERA in 19 career appearances against the Braves, including 18 starts.
The Brave bats have come to life. No more slumber lumber for this team. SD is one of the worst teams at giving up homeruns (41 on the year), while Atlanta is near the top in hitting homeruns (40 on the year). SD has been humiliated by the long ball the last two games in Atlanta ( 5, one by the pitcher, and two of which were grand slams), and I don't see things changing today.
With the loss of Nevin last night, I see the Padres packing up early and concentrating on just getting back to San Diego in one piece for their home series against Montreal starting tomorrow. I forsee a 7-2 Braves win.
Once again good luck to all!
3* 1-0 + 3 units
2* 1-0 + 2 units
1* 0-1 - 1.2 units
*1 UNIT PLAY* New York Yankees (-170)
The Yanks haven't swept the Twins in the Metrodome in 9 years, but I believe that comes to an end today with Mussina on the mound.
Mussina is 17-2 with a 2.50 ERA in 20 career starts against the Twins. He has won his last five starts against the Twins dating to 1998 and is 8-2 with a 2.79 in 10 career outings at the Metrodome. Minnesota is the only team he has beaten more than 15 times in his career.
Reed on the other hand, has looked like a Cy Young candidate as of late. He is 3-0 with a 0.74 ERA in his last four starts, allowing just six earned runs in 24 1/3 innings. Although he is 3-0 in his four starts at the Metrodome, he has an average 4.35 ERA in those games. The statistic to note is that Reed is 0-2 with a 5.68 ERA in six lifetime outings against the Yankees.
Certain pitchers have certain teams they dominate over the course of their career and Mussina's team is the Twins. I see his dominance continuing once again today while Reed comes back to earth. Yanks win 6-3.
*2 UNIT PLAY* San Francisco Giants (-125)
Russ Ortiz has been very good as of late (1.89 ERA in last 3 games). SF is also #1 in the league in runs allowed.
Aramas, Jr. has a decent ERA in his last 3 games (3.00), but he has always been an erratic pitcher (knowledge gained from having him on my fantasy team last year). I predict this will be one of those starts where he just can't quite find his control.
I look for the Giants to pull out a close game 5-3.
*3 UNIT PLAY* Atlanta Braves (-220)
Glavine (5-1)has been stellar this year with a paltry 1.50 ERA (1.95 ERA in last 4 starts). He ia 3-0 with a 1.91 ERA in five starts at Turner Field this season. Glavine is 20-10 with a 3.51 ERA in 39 career starts against the Padres, one of four teams he has defeated 20 times or more.
On the surface Jones (3-2) looks like he has been good of late going 2-1 in his last 3 starts. However a closer look reveals his ERA in those 3 games was a staggering 8.78. More imortantly, Jones has struggled horribly this season on the road, where he is 1-2 with an 8.59 ERA in three starts. Jones is 4-9 with a 4.56 ERA in 19 career appearances against the Braves, including 18 starts.
The Brave bats have come to life. No more slumber lumber for this team. SD is one of the worst teams at giving up homeruns (41 on the year), while Atlanta is near the top in hitting homeruns (40 on the year). SD has been humiliated by the long ball the last two games in Atlanta ( 5, one by the pitcher, and two of which were grand slams), and I don't see things changing today.
With the loss of Nevin last night, I see the Padres packing up early and concentrating on just getting back to San Diego in one piece for their home series against Montreal starting tomorrow. I forsee a 7-2 Braves win.
Once again good luck to all!
