As I have admitted - I am not a good capper. However I do win consistently but I depend on pure probability. As a team wins consecutive games the odds that they will lose the next game become greater. Likewise as a team looses consecutive games the odds that they will win the next game become greater.
Basically a double or nothing type thing that is not for the faint of heart but I use the following rules as a guide.
Rule of tiers:
Top 1/3 tier teams (tier one) I wait until they have lost 3 in a row before betting them to win and wait until they have won 5 in a row before betting them to lose.
Middle 1/3 tier teams (tier two) I wait until they have lost 4 in a row before betting them to win and wait until they have won 4 in a row before betting them to lose.
Bottom 1/3 tier teams (tier three) I wait until they have lost 5 in a row before betting them to win and wait until they have won 3 in a row before betting them to lose.
Rule of equals:
If a sceanario occurs, and they do, wherein you have teams playing each other that you would be betting on both to win, I pass on the play and wait until the next day to play the system.
Rule of opposites:
If a sceanario occurs wherein you have teams playing each other that you would be betting on one to win and one to lose I dombiune the bets.
Rule of home field:
If a team that is to be bet to win is home and playing last game of the stand after losing prior games in the series, I double the bet.
Rule of -1.5 run line:
If a top tier team loses five in a row I split the bet between the ML and run line.
If a dog team has lost five in a row I split between the ML and the -1.5 alt run line (available at Pinnacle - not sure if available at other books).
I do not care who is pitching or who is out with injuries.
It is a simple system that works.
A WORD OF CAUTION:
Long streaks can be unnerving and unless you have the stomach, the bank, and open books do not try this. If a top tier team has a 10 game losing streak you would be betting $12,400 (124 units) on game 11.
LOLTA
Bill
Basically a double or nothing type thing that is not for the faint of heart but I use the following rules as a guide.
Rule of tiers:
Top 1/3 tier teams (tier one) I wait until they have lost 3 in a row before betting them to win and wait until they have won 5 in a row before betting them to lose.
Middle 1/3 tier teams (tier two) I wait until they have lost 4 in a row before betting them to win and wait until they have won 4 in a row before betting them to lose.
Bottom 1/3 tier teams (tier three) I wait until they have lost 5 in a row before betting them to win and wait until they have won 3 in a row before betting them to lose.
Rule of equals:
If a sceanario occurs, and they do, wherein you have teams playing each other that you would be betting on both to win, I pass on the play and wait until the next day to play the system.
Rule of opposites:
If a sceanario occurs wherein you have teams playing each other that you would be betting on one to win and one to lose I dombiune the bets.
Rule of home field:
If a team that is to be bet to win is home and playing last game of the stand after losing prior games in the series, I double the bet.
Rule of -1.5 run line:
If a top tier team loses five in a row I split the bet between the ML and run line.
If a dog team has lost five in a row I split between the ML and the -1.5 alt run line (available at Pinnacle - not sure if available at other books).
I do not care who is pitching or who is out with injuries.
It is a simple system that works.
A WORD OF CAUTION:
Long streaks can be unnerving and unless you have the stomach, the bank, and open books do not try this. If a top tier team has a 10 game losing streak you would be betting $12,400 (124 units) on game 11.
LOLTA
Bill
