Nabisco Championship

[Stanley]

Course: Mission Hills Country Club, Rancho Mirage, California
Yardage: 6460
Par: 72 (four par-fives)
USGA Rating: 74.8
Greens: Common Bermudagrass - 9,000 sq.ft (Tour average: 6,000 sq.ft)

GCSAA Tournament Fact Sheet

Weather Forecast

Best Players Last 10 Years

Past Winners:
2001 - Annika Sorenstam
2000 - Karrie Webb
1999 - Dottie Pepper
1998 - Pat Hurst
1997 - Betsy King
1996 - Patty Sheehan
1995 - Nanci Bowen
1994 - Donna Andrews
1993 - Helen Alfredsson
1992 - Dottie Pepper

 

[milpalm]

I feel compelled to have a small bet on my compatriot Suzann Pettersen in her first major on American soil. 2nd on her last outing in Australia, she's been preparing for this event in Florida the last two weeks. With no course experience she's still very much an outsider. The 125/1 at Willhill seems fair enough.

 

[Ian]

A very fair price indeed - I hope she plays just that slight bit better than in Aus when I backed her at 160/1

 

[Stanley]

Outright plays (1 unit unless stated):

Juli Inkster to win 20/1 e.w. available generally
Definitely going for experience this week! Inkster won this title on her debut in 1984, has won the title on one other occasion and from 17 starts in this event, she has finished in the top-20 on 14 occasions. Has finished 6th and 2nd in the last two weeks - and should have won last week - so she looks in great form to continue her fine run on this course.

Meg Mallon to win 40/1 e.w. @ BetInternet or Surrey
Mallon's record on this course is almost as good. She has never won this title, but has finished in the top-3 twice in the last three years. Has played only two events this year, but closed last week with a 64 and was ranked #3 in greens hit in regulation. She seems to have discovered her 2002 game just in time for this event.

Kelly Robbins to win 50/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes [5 places option]
Top-6 in four of eight starts in this event, Robbins is another with plenty of course experience and course form. Like the others, she has shown good signs of form lately - four top-20 finishes from four starts this year, including 3rd last week - and has very good greens in regulation stats which will be of prime importance this week. Inkster, Mallon and Robbins all finished in the top-5 in greens in regulation in last week's event.

 

[Stanley]

Matchup plays (1 unit unless stated):

Emilee Klein to beat Raquel Carriedo -111 @ BetandWin [3 units]
Carriedo may have been impressive on the European Ladies Tour last season, but competing in the U.S. is a very different affair. She finished 53rd in her only other LPGA Tour start - the 2001 U.S. Women's Open - and is easily opposed with a player with plenty of course experience and secured a top-10 finish in the Ping Banner Health two weeks ago.

Carin Koch to beat Gloria Park -111 @ BetandWin [2 units]
Another selection with plenty of course experience against one with none. Koch has finished in the top-20 in the last two years, while finishes of 75th and a missed cut in the last two weeks are reason enough to oppose Park.

Meg Mallon to beat Laura Davies -140 @ Five Dimes
Two top-10 finishes and two missed cuts, it's not been the most consistent of seasons for Davies so far. Of 12 rounds so far this year, two have been in the 80s. Davies may blow hot or cold, but will side with the outright selection here for a genuine shot at a top-5 finish.

 

[Clive]

Boring though it is...I have to agree!!

We'll take the risk of losing out on the fifth place by playing with Sean Graham


Kelly Robbins 66/1 ...see above!

Juli Inkster 25/1 ...see above

But will add a couple of others;

Dorothy Delasin 80/1 Chandler, but prefer the 66 Netbet with six places...looked good last week and played well here on her only visit

Grace Park 66 Sean Graham....28 in places, driving much improved this year...great showing last week when a shorter price

 

[bettingmad]

On the subject of Sean Graham.... I can never get past the home page... at the bottom it says register, login and guests... but when I click them nothing ever happens... has anyone got a link for a page past their home page?

 

[Clive]

Bmad,

There isn't one... the site is still under development. I have to say they are the most helpful bookmakers I have ever used...nothing is too much trouble for them, I hope that doesn't change after they go online...whenever that is!

 

[bettingmad]

Clive,
Thanks for that.... explains a lot!!!
Don't know why they have the page as if it is accessible... should have an 'under construction' notice.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

to place only @ SIA 1 unit each
Moodie 10/1
Robbins 10/1
Hurst 12.5/1

 

[Stanley]

Mid-point update:

Klein/Carriedo WON (Carriedo DQ)
Koch/Park All Square
Mallon/Davies Leads by 2

Inkster 44th
Mallon 36th
Robbins 66th

Huge piece of luck with Carriedo being disqualified - she was leading Klein by eight shots! Will cover some very poor outright plays as they look completely out of contention and may still gain a profitable event if the other two matchups hold up. Very lucky!

 

[Stanley]

Final update:

Matchups: 2-1-0; +3.60 units

Koch/Park WON by 9
Mallon/Davies LOST by 4

Outrights: 0-3; -3.00 units

Inkster 19th
Mallon 36th
Robbins 58th

Managed to get a very lucky break-even event thanks to Carriedo. Good win for Koch who managed a top-5 finish, but no such luck for the outrights who were never in the hunt for a payout.

LPGA Tour ytd
Matchups: 4-3; +4.40 units
Outrights: 2-9; -5.47 units

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

outrights 0-3
Moodie 27th
Robbins 55th
Hurst 38th

Bad week to omit Kerr

week - 3 units ytd +15.5