NBA 01032010- Early Thoughts & Value Hunting

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Slicer

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North Carolina
NCAA GEM OF THE DAY: 20-16-1
This week 1-1
Last play: Loss Detroit -2.5 @ Ill Chicago

Today I'm taking Florida pk @ NC State. The Gators come into this game off a dominating 79-38performance against Presbyterian after dropping 3 of their last five against S. Alabama, Richmond, Syracuse. With quality wins over FSU, Mich St and Rutgers they head to Raleigh, NC to take on the local NC State Wolfpack. The wolfpack hold 1 quality win over Marquette with notable losses against Wake and Arizona.

The matchup on the interior advantage is clearly Florida's in this one, they must shoot well from the outside as they have failed to do, but their defensive pressure along with NC State's lack of scoring and speed will lead to ultimate victory.

This is actually a larger than 1 U bet for me for the first time this season.

NBA: Watching the totals all rise, liking most of the unders on the board today but waiting on them to cap out at their peak.

Locked in Phi/Den U207.5 still waiting on the others.

NFL: Pitt/Mia U45, Bears -3, NO/Car U41, Phi/Dal U47.5, Dal -3 (homer play), Balt -10 (Bought .5)

Best of Luck today.
 

frogster

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Based upon the informatin that I came across below I would play on SA - 3 and CLE/CHAR O 185.5. Questions comments or thoughts are wlecome.

Spurs at Raptors - The Spurs are 9-0 ATS (12.1 ppg) since December 19, 2001 with no rest off a win as an away favorite in which they trailed at the end of the third quarter. The League is 7-0 ATS (11.1 ppg) since January 19, 2009 with at most one day of rest after a double digit road win in which they had five or fewer offensive rebounds. The Raptors are 0-7 ATS (-7.4 ppg) since February 16, 2003 with at most one day of rest off a loss that broke at least a four-game winning streak.

Bobcats at Cavaliers - The Bobcats are 10-0-1 ATS (13.5 ppg) since March 04, 2008 off a win in which they trailed by 10+ points. The League is 0-9 ATS (-9.8 ppg) since January 07, 2009 as a dog with no rest after a double digit win in which they scored more than 25% of their points from the free throw line. The Bobcats are 8-0-1 ATS (11.3 ppg) since April 04, 2007 on the road with no rest after a game in which they shot at least 50% from the field. The Cavaliers are 0-9 ATS (-9.9 ppg) since November 19, 2008 with at most one day of rest after a win in which they scored more than 25% of their points from the free throw line.
 
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Slicer

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North Carolina
Yeah I wasn't counting on Fla going 3-24 from 3pt land either, but at least 1 of those 3 was the game winner :mj07:

Karma comes around full circle, last year I had a team beat me on a one handed heave from 74 feet that banked in for a 1 pt line loss.
 

bobble1woody

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ty slice, I was watching on internet, just waiting for final score as I did not have a live feed, knowing that FLA was going to lose, and HOLY BALLS...THEY WON, SO TYVM
 
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pfj

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Yeah I wasn't counting on Fla going 3-24 from 3pt land either, but at least 1 of those 3 was the game winner :mj07:

Karma comes around full circle, last year I had a team beat me on a one handed heave from 74 feet that banked in for a 1 pt line loss.

denver game......started out shooting lights outtttttt. hope they slow down the pace
 

frogster

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Based upon the informatin that I came across below I would play on SA - 3 and CLE/CHAR O 185.5. Questions comments or thoughts are wlecome.

Spurs at Raptors - The Spurs are 9-0 ATS (12.1 ppg) since December 19, 2001 with no rest off a win as an away favorite in which they trailed at the end of the third quarter. The League is 7-0 ATS (11.1 ppg) since January 19, 2009 with at most one day of rest after a double digit road win in which they had five or fewer offensive rebounds. The Raptors are 0-7 ATS (-7.4 ppg) since February 16, 2003 with at most one day of rest off a loss that broke at least a four-game winning streak.

Bobcats at Cavaliers - The Bobcats are 10-0-1 ATS (13.5 ppg) since March 04, 2008 off a win in which they trailed by 10+ points. The League is 0-9 ATS (-9.8 ppg) since January 07, 2009 as a dog with no rest after a double digit win in which they scored more than 25% of their points from the free throw line. The Bobcats are 8-0-1 ATS (11.3 ppg) since April 04, 2007 on the road with no rest after a game in which they shot at least 50% from the field. The Cavaliers are 0-9 ATS (-9.9 ppg) since November 19, 2008 with at most one day of rest after a win in which they scored more than 25% of their points from the free throw line.

well these did not work at all.
 

barts185

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well these did not work at all.

Sorry I haven't been around much, travelling (will be home in a couple of days and hope to start contruburing more after that), but while this is too late for last night's game, should be good in the future.

Look to play under in CLE home games when they are playing someone in the same conference.

Unfortunately, if last night's total is an indication, it seems like the books are realizing this.
 
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