15-10
unders 11-8
overs 4-2
Cle / Hou under 180.5
NJ / Chi under 175
Cha / Den under 189
GoodLuck
unders 11-8
overs 4-2
Cle / Hou under 180.5
NJ / Chi under 175
Cha / Den under 189
GoodLuck
nba 12/11
- Thread starter Marmalade
- Start date
Are you using a system for your picks? You have a decent record w/ o-u. GSP, is another capper that is pretty acurate w/ his o-u picks. Wondering if you guys have similar angles.
Use recent stats & trends combined with some situational systems... back to back, 3rd game in 4 nights, 4th in 5, home after road trip, x # days rest, etc.
I will hit good & bad streaks, so I kinda make adjustments as i go along (Especially during a bad streak, i want to know WHY i'm losing).
Hope this answers your question and above all, GoodLuck!
I will hit good & bad streaks, so I kinda make adjustments as i go along (Especially during a bad streak, i want to know WHY i'm losing).
Hope this answers your question and above all, GoodLuck!
Thanks for the reply.
About the situational plays, what is your opinion if the teams (or one of the teams) plays prev night and and ttravels would that make you lean to over or under?
About the 4 games in 5 nights situatation, Would you think that the teams will play poor defense due to traveling and fatigue, or poor shooting for same reasons?
One think I have seen so far and made some bucks is when the teams are playing each other next night. For some reason it goes over. Doono why but it has been consistant so far. Even the Orl-Atl game went over after they had a over 220 first game. I was afraid b/c I thought they will be defense oriented.
About the situational plays, what is your opinion if the teams (or one of the teams) plays prev night and and ttravels would that make you lean to over or under?
About the 4 games in 5 nights situatation, Would you think that the teams will play poor defense due to traveling and fatigue, or poor shooting for same reasons?
One think I have seen so far and made some bucks is when the teams are playing each other next night. For some reason it goes over. Doono why but it has been consistant so far. Even the Orl-Atl game went over after they had a over 220 first game. I was afraid b/c I thought they will be defense oriented.
I think the fatigue factor has more of an effect on a team's strength, whether it be on the offensive end or on defense.
Also, rather than looking at a team's recent absolute numbers, i tend to focus on how far off the posted line they are (did that make sense?, i know what i was trying to say, saying it is something else).
Throw another at you... road vs. home games. Teams get into stretches where they're playing under on road / over at home and vice versa.
It all adds up to a lot of tinkering and adjusting.
Also, rather than looking at a team's recent absolute numbers, i tend to focus on how far off the posted line they are (did that make sense?, i know what i was trying to say, saying it is something else).
Throw another at you... road vs. home games. Teams get into stretches where they're playing under on road / over at home and vice versa.
It all adds up to a lot of tinkering and adjusting.
I find that the number of days they will be playing effects their scoring. On a trip over three days, teams seem to pace themselves and score a little below their ave. On a long road trip the teams that depend on outside shooting suffer. The legs are first to go and so goes the jump shot. They also bring the ball up court a little slower. They will try to compensate with good d but usually that's also gone by the fourth. On a three day tour, I find that if they score a lot the first night then they will drop off considerably the second night and visa vera. Play slow the first night and faster the next. A lot of one day games have a tendency to go over. On back to back, they are very seldom the same both nights. Usually a different total or different winner but not both. That's the way it looks to me with the limited research I've done but I do take these into account when figuring totals. Good luck