NBA MONDAY 113009-Early Thoughts and Value Hunting

[Slicer]

Week 1 (5-2)

Week 2 (2-1)

YTD: (7-3)

Monday's NCAA Gem of the Day: St. Mary's -5.5

Offense, Offense, Offense, St. Mary's brings in the 3rd Highest PPG team in the nation, 15th in FG%, 26th in 3 pt %, 35th in FT % and 29th in Rebounding per game. SJ State brings an offense ranked in the upper 100's and a defense ranked above 100.

Grab this line early, opened at -5 and will only climb the remainder of the day.

NBA: Waiting on Ax, but I'm looking at the Ind/GS Under 227.5, think there is value in the play until 225.

 

[ReadySetGo]

NBA Monday

NBA Monday

Morning. Thanks for the NCAABB insight. Haven't read any posts from Ax in a few days. He ok?

 

[Joe_Vienna]

locked

Pacers @ Warriors U229
Bucks -2

leans/waiting

Bulls @ Bucks O195

 

[axp59]

Hope everyone had a great weekend! More food to come, best part of the holiday season.

BTW, I struggled over tonight's play. I LOVE slicer's under play on IND/GS. I'm now restricted to a single play so I'm going with the early under. 1U

and thanks for your Gems buddy.

BOLTA

<TABLE style="BORDER-BOTTOM: rgb(170,170,170) 1px solid; BORDER-LEFT: rgb(170,170,170) 1px solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LIST-STYLE-TYPE: none; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: 500px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; CLEAR: both; FONT-SIZE: 1em; BORDER-TOP: rgb(170,170,170) 1px solid; BORDER-RIGHT: rgb(170,170,170) 1px solid; PADDING-TOP: 0px" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0><TBODY style="PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LIST-STYLE-TYPE: none; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; FONT-SIZE: 1em; PADDING-TOP: 0px"><TR style="PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LIST-STYLE-TYPE: none; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; FONT-SIZE: 1em; PADDING-TOP: 0px" class=evenRow><TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center; PADDING-BOTTOM: 3px; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(221,221,221); LIST-STYLE-TYPE: none; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: 43px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: rgb(0,0,0); FONT-SIZE: 1em; VERTICAL-ALIGN: top !important; FONT-WEIGHT: normal; PADDING-TOP: 3px" class=idCell>NBA</TD><TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; PADDING-BOTTOM: 3px; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(221,221,221); LIST-STYLE-TYPE: none; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: 327px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: rgb(0,0,0); FONT-SIZE: 1em; VERTICAL-ALIGN: top !important; FONT-WEIGHT: normal; PADDING-TOP: 3px" class=pickCell>[502] TOTAL u196-110
(CHICAGO vrs MILWAUKEE)</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>​

 

[CoFred]

Here we goooo!!!

Full 1U plays. Let's do this Ax.

:toast:

 

[frogster]

Hi Slicer, thanks for posting your gem picks, I will tail you on this one, just like I did on W St. vs Anchorage...that was a nice gem. I hope we all had a good and reflective Thanksgiving. I could not agree with you more Slicer....don't we all wait on Ax..good to see you Ax. GL to all.

 

[ReadySetGo]

Great to see you back Ax and things are good.

 

[3win8]

MNF

MNF

Welcome back AX & GL to all of us.

:topic:
MNF
NE
or
NO
?

 

[grindstone]

Hope everyone had a great weekend! More food to come, best part of the holiday season.

BTW, I struggled over tonight's play. I LOVE slicer's under play on IND/GS. I'm now restricted to a single play so I'm going with the early under. 1U

and thanks for your Gems buddy.

BOLTA

<TABLE style="BORDER-BOTTOM: rgb(170,170,170) 1px solid; BORDER-LEFT: rgb(170,170,170) 1px solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LIST-STYLE-TYPE: none; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: 500px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; CLEAR: both; FONT-SIZE: 1em; BORDER-TOP: rgb(170,170,170) 1px solid; BORDER-RIGHT: rgb(170,170,170) 1px solid; PADDING-TOP: 0px" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0><TBODY style="PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LIST-STYLE-TYPE: none; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; FONT-SIZE: 1em; PADDING-TOP: 0px"><TR style="PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LIST-STYLE-TYPE: none; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; FONT-SIZE: 1em; PADDING-TOP: 0px" class=evenRow><TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center; PADDING-BOTTOM: 3px; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(221,221,221); LIST-STYLE-TYPE: none; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: 43px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: rgb(0,0,0); FONT-SIZE: 1em; VERTICAL-ALIGN: top !important; FONT-WEIGHT: normal; PADDING-TOP: 3px" class=idCell>NBA</TD><TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; PADDING-BOTTOM: 3px; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(221,221,221); LIST-STYLE-TYPE: none; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: 327px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: rgb(0,0,0); FONT-SIZE: 1em; VERTICAL-ALIGN: top !important; FONT-WEIGHT: normal; PADDING-TOP: 3px" class=pickCell>[502] TOTAL u196-110
(CHICAGO vrs MILWAUKEE)</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>​

Nice to have you back Sir, hope you had a wonderful Thanksgiving. Nothing like being surrounded by family. It's PRICELESS. God Bless

Here sre some public#

Chi/Milw open 196 current 195

Public is right down the middle 50-50

Let's all see each other at the window GL


:toast:

 

[40seven]

FWIW

FWIW

Dallas and Philly Over 199.

 

[doccjc]

Best I could get was 194 on the bucks/bulls under//

looks like you guys are moving the line

 

[BillyBatts]

Plays

Plays

GSW -2.5

and biig on Pats


Good luck tonight fellas

 

[snyder9]

Any update on the O/U percentages for the CHI-MIL game?

Line continues to drop. Should be 193 soon.

 

[CUBBOY69]

hey ax

hey ax

do you like it at u 193 ???

 

[grindstone]

OK boys

CHI/MILW

61% under
39% Over

Latest udate

 

[Randercity]

Like the totals posted so far...

Like the totals posted so far...

I have to agree, MILW/CHI Under and DAL OVER are two games I like. CHI returning from their very poor west coast trip, but still not home!! Just close. REDD is back out for MILW, BOGUT will probably play which should mess with chemistry and slow the game, DAL is taking on PHIL and Brand is expected to sit for SIXERS. He slows them on the break, so w/o him, SIXERS run much better and DAL has MARION back, so DAL will be willing to run as well.

I have a feeling the MEM/UTAH game goes WAY WAY Under.... I know MEM sucks on defense and UTAH has been scoring a bunch, but they have shot over 60% the past two games!! :scared Are they going to be able to do that missing AK and Milsap tonight? I doubt it.... BOOZER is on fire, but he's going to get tired carrying the entire inside load against the likes for Gasol/Gay/Randolph. I think this game ends around 190.

The last game is scary.... it's going to depend on how they shoot it. No reason to think they can't get to 230 in this game if both teams decide to run from the start and push it all game. Should be high scoring, but one bad stretch, and 227 is tough to reach.... I'm passing on this one.

MIL Under 194.5 ** DOUBLE PLAY **
DAL OVER 199 *** TRIPLE PLAY ***
Utah Under 207 ** TRIPLE PLAY ***

Good luck to all! :SIB

 

[KillerKardoogan]

Good to see you back at work Ax.

Hope you don't mind if I drop-in and whine.

So I got Dallas/Philly 1H UN 100.
They score 7 pts in the last 7 seconds and 16
in the last 1:27.


:mj15:

GL with Chicago

 

[Mindframe913]

Been lovin what your tryin to do slice but I would never fade a home dog of more than 5 pts and call it a gem.....home dogs rule buddy!!! Gl

 

[CoFred]

Had 195.5 tonight :sadwave:

Not the way I wanted to start off playing with full units. Hope we can cash tomorrow night.

 

[snyder9]

Same here.

Also got screwed on MNF over with John Carney's stellar kicking efforts.