NBA SUN 03282010 - Early Thoughts & Value Hunting

logan

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Nov 15, 2007
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Well it looks like the NBA season is grinding down and ending like seasons past. Many of the games are becoming very unpredictable. My notes from seasons past says to play unders the last couple of weeks involving playoff teams.

Today I have.

Orl un 208.5
Okc un 192.5
Bos un 191.5

any thoughts guys??
 

barts185

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Feb 9, 2005
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CLE -4 in Q1.

They tend to beat up on teams in the first quarter when they are a large favorite.

Also like Q1 under in that game.

Good Luck,
Bart
 

Ools

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Mar 18, 2009
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Well it looks like the NBA season is grinding down and ending like seasons past. Many of the games are becoming very unpredictable. My notes from seasons past says to play unders the last couple of weeks involving playoff teams.

Today I have.

Orl un 208.5
Okc un 192.5
Bos un 191.5

any thoughts guys??

Barts - didnt you run this query for me a few days ago--+500 and +600 teams last 10 games of season...no real evidence that under was the way to go (even though that was my thought as well)
 

Slicer

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Mar 18, 2009
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North Carolina
This has been one of the worst weeks for me in quite a while. After starting hot on Monday/Tuesday, went to hell since Wednesday.

Today so far: Clev/Sac Under and Chicago (riding the Bulls)
 

barts185

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Feb 9, 2005
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Barts - didnt you run this query for me a few days ago--+500 and +600 teams last 10 games of season...no real evidence that under was the way to go (even though that was my thought as well)

Yep, it didn't really show anything for recent years other than in recent years, with two .600 and higher teams playing each other, the home team had an edge. In earlier years, under seemed to do better.

Here it is again, by season

H and 70<=(wins+losses)<=80 and 70<=(o:wins+o:losses)<=80 and tA(W)>.6 and oA(W)>.6 and season

ATS OU SU season
3-0-0 (9.3) 1-2-0 (-18.7) 3-0 (10.67) 2009
15-4-0 (5.9) 10-9-0 (0.2) 16-3 (10.05) 2008
13-10-2 (3.6) 11-13-1 (-5.4) 19-6 (8.88) 2007
4-4-0 (-2.9) 5-3-0 (1.4) 5-3 (0.00) 2006
4-2-0 (1.4) 2-4-0 (-7.2) 4-2 (6.00) 2005
5-4-0 (6.1) 1-8-0 (-16.6) 6-3 (10.11) 2004
11-3-0 (3.9) 5-9-0 (-6.3) 12-2 (9.36) 2003
4-4-0 (-1.3) 4-4-0 (-2.7) 5-3 (-0.12) 2002
6-6-0 (-2.2) 5-7-0 (-5.7) 9-3 (1.92) 2001
9-11-0 (-1.9) 8-12-0 (-1.1) 12-8 (2.75) 2000
6-9-0 (-0.8) 5-10-0 (-2.7) 8-7 (3.07) 1999
5-8-1 (-4.2) 7-7-0 (-3.6) 7-7 (-0.21) 1997
8-7-1 (3.9) 8-8-0 (2.2) 10-6 (7.31) 1996
1-7-1 (-6.0) 3-6-0 (-6.7) 4-5 (-0.78) 1995
 
Last edited:

Ools

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Mar 18, 2009
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CLE -4 in Q1.

They tend to beat up on teams in the first quarter when they are a large favorite.

Also like Q1 under in that game.

Good Luck,
Bart

good call - tailed you there!!
 

barts185

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Feb 9, 2005
378
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Glad the CLE Q1 worked out for us.

Maybe I should have quoted this stat instead of the general way I put it, but something to remember in case it comes up again.

Including today, when they are a DD favorite at home, they are 15-6-1 in the first quarter.

Take Care,
Bart
 

logan

Registered User
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Nov 15, 2007
125
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Well it looks like the NBA season is grinding down and ending like seasons past. Many of the games are becoming very unpredictable. My notes from seasons past says to play unders the last couple of weeks involving playoff teams.

Today I have.

Orl un 208.5
Okc un 192.5
Bos un 191.5

any thoughts guys??

Hmm I know that the query ran does't support this but I will take a 3 and 0 Sunday. Thanks Ools for mentioning this a few days back.
 

Eagle123

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Mar 18, 2009
300
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Hmm I know that the query ran does't support this but I will take a 3 and 0 Sunday. Thanks Ools for mentioning this a few days back.

Thank you very much for this Logan:mj06: :mj06:

Basketball 3 parlay 1
HK

Orlando Magic[Home] VS. Denver Nuggets
103:97 under 209 @ 1.920

Oklahoma City Thunder[Home] VS. Portland Blazers
87:92 under 190 @ 1.880

Boston Celtics [Home] VS. San Antonio Spurs
73:94 under 192 @ 1.920

:toast: :toast:
 
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