NBA THUR 121009 early thoughts - value hunting

[40seven]

Early thoughts but most of you were night owls last night. With a light card i thought I would at least get things started.

FYI heading to Vegas Monday so I hope we can start a hot streak soon!!!

For today like most of you said last night 3 plays.

But a least two of them are on TNT.

Early Lean.....Home Dogs Washington + 8 now and Utah +3.

Right now the only one is WW I think i will get at least 9 by 3PM with the public all over Boston it just looks promising....

 

[40seven]

Did anyone watch the UJ LAL game

Did anyone watch the UJ LAL game

What happened in the 4th?

Was it great D or a warn out Jazz team?

 

[axp59]

That one hurt. There's no way to cap for someting like that. There's actually something positive to come out of this. This will increase the 'over-value' of the Lakers for future propositions. Give me that game again tonight and I'll take UTA again plus the 10.5

 

[40seven]

That one hurt. There's no way to cap for someting like that. There's actually something positive to come out of this. This will increase the 'over-value' of the Lakers for future propositions. Give me that game again tonight and I'll take UTA again plus the 10.5

The Lakers have a few of these large covers now...Phx and UJ this week after a slow start.

It is become unLaker like to kill a team late

 

[ChumpChange]

That one hurt. There's no way to cap for someting like that. There's actually something positive to come out of this. This will increase the 'over-value' of the Lakers for future propositions. Give me that game again tonight and I'll take UTA again plus the 10.5

That was a kick in the teeth !!!!!!

The least amt of points in a 4th quarter for an NBA team is 2 GS / Toro February 2004

No plays today ... good luck to those active !!!

 

[barts185]

That one hurt. There's no way to cap for someting like that. There's actually something positive to come out of this. This will increase the 'over-value' of the Lakers for future propositions. Give me that game again tonight and I'll take UTA again plus the 10.5

Obviously you didn't realize that Joey Crawford was part of the ref crew. It's his fault that UTA scored 25 second half points. Or at least some people think that.

Sorry if my rant yesterday was taken wrong by anyone. The games chances of going under went up a lot after I posted that And like I had said, it could go under by a bunch, but the trend that was being quoted didn't apply.

Anyway, onto another day.

lean ORL/UTA under, but some things to conflict with the Thursday night non-conference trend. Really wish UTA hadn't been blown out last night.

 

[axp59]

lean ORL/UTA under, but some things to conflict with the Thursday night non-conference trend. Really wish UTA hadn't been blown out last night.

I think we're looking at the same things. GS leaned early on the U on this game but after that 4Q by UTA, my signals are unreadable. Chump may have the POD today. No need to force even for action. Of course that doesn't apply to my homer play.

BOL

 

[40seven]

No need to force even for action. Of course that doesn't apply to my homer play.

BOL

So you want to play Boston -8 really?

 

[granpa]

College Hoops

College Hoops

Good day to everyone.
Being nothing looks inviting in NBA, I've found a couple college games for tonight FWIW.

First up is Florida/Cuse O 146. Both teams love to run & gun, especially Cuse who is averaging 90 ppg. Each average 60 shots per game, Cuse shooting 42% beyond the arc and averaging 8+ blocks per game. No reason this doesn't hit 155-160.

Next up is Northeastern/Rhode Island O 136. RI is another run & gun team and history shows NE will run as well, although against most opponents they won't. Last 2 meetings easily eclipsed this mark with RI shooting 50%+ from the floor in both meetings. NE kept pace with Providence who has the same style as RI, putting up 72. This should easily cover the over landing between 145-150.

GLTA - Granpa

 

[axp59]

So you want to play Boston -8 really?

Never said that bro. When I say 'homer play" that means I have a play/fade or O/U play on my homer. Please refer back to my post 2 weeks ago. "I am not above fading my homer"

In summary: it means I always have a play on a game that the Celtics are playing. I would be a total idiot to bet BOS every game just because I live in Massachusetts.

 

[axp59]

Forty,

Please check your mail across the street.

 

[40seven]

Thanks

Thanks

I got one followup...

BOLTA

 

[axp59]

I got one followup...

BOLTA

Already took care of it Forty. BOL man..

 

[Slicer]

Good day to everyone.
Being nothing looks inviting in NBA, I've found a couple college games for tonight FWIW.

First up is Florida/Cuse O 146. Both teams love to run & gun, especially Cuse who is averaging 90 ppg. Each average 60 shots per game, Cuse shooting 42% beyond the arc and averaging 8+ blocks per game. No reason this doesn't hit 155-160.

Next up is Northeastern/Rhode Island O 136. RI is another run & gun team and history shows NE will run as well, although against most opponents they won't. Last 2 meetings easily eclipsed this mark with RI shooting 50%+ from the floor in both meetings. NE kept pace with Providence who has the same style as RI, putting up 72. This should easily cover the over landing between 145-150.

GLTA - Granpa

Not to rip off your plays, but NE/RI Over 136 is the GEM OF THE DAY, only reason I don't like the Gator/Cuse Over is because I think Donovan will try to control the tempo in this one and not get into a pissing contest with the Orange. Florida is best served by keeping this game in the 60-70's range, I think over is the correct call but there is not much of a margin for me.

On the other hand NE/RI has loads of potential, for one thing RI is giving their opponents over 50 possessions per game thanks to their run/gun type offense. Each time NE has 50 possessions they score quite well (i.e. vs Providence the other night) I have this game landing in the high 140's to low 150's which is plenty of margin to make this the GEM OF THE DAY.

NCAA GEM OF THE DAY: 11-8

Week 1 5-2
Week 2 4-3
Week 3 3-3

NE/Rhode Island Locked at 136.5 OVER

 

[compita_luigi]

AX

AX

if you follow your team in every single game they play.. i think you got most wins than L.. you should be better in this games than in ohers..

why don?t you share your hommer plays with us.. remember we won?t tell anybody.. we are you freinds:142smilie

 

[granpa]

Not to rip off your plays, but NE/RI Over 136 is the GEM OF THE DAY

Don't mind at all Slice. Glad to see you're on it as well. Here's to a winning pick.. :mj06:

 

[Joe_Vienna]

No plays for me today, time for a break:0corn

BOL :sadwave:
Joe

 

[grindstone]

Sorry guys had to watch the Olympic flame today. I guess I'm lucky that it came by the neighborhood.Who knows the next this will happen. Froze my rear end with it, but all worth it.

Alright after looking over the card I'm playing

Bost/Wash Under 195 for 1/2 Unit


Off to play basketball with the boys and then have a couple of :drinky:

GLTA

 

[CoFred]

So Ax, nothing worth going full 1U on? Also, I'm curious as to what you're playing tonight on your C's. Thanks bud and good job last night. 2-1 always makes profti.

 

[BillyBatts]

Help

Help

Got a late day to capping, and since nothing looks promising in the NBA, but a small lean to Bos over, I could use some help please. I know it's not NBA, but I'm thinkin of taking the ten with the Brownies tonight. I can't remember too many teams in a 4 game losing streak ever laying dd on the road, to a div rival no less. Could someone please query these?

Team w 4 game losing streak giving 10+
AND on the road
AND vs division rival

Thanks in advance. If anyone could email me where i could find these tools myself, id appreciate it