Went 2-1 last night, hitting my POD. A lot to choose from tonight, so just wanted to get started early to see if anyone had any leans yet?? :0corn
NBA WED 01272010-Early Thoughts and Value Hunting
- Thread starter BillyBatts
- Start date
- Mar 18, 2009
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As w/ the Lake Show, what the books giveth last night to the public, they likely will take back tonight...
Hey gang,
just caught up on the last few threads. Bill and all, thanks for your concern. I am well, but busy. Just stopping in to say hello and maybe I can join your cashing party
Also wanted to clarify and give credit where credit is due. Grindstone is a capping animal. He gets all this work done overnight and these are his picks. I've been tailing the picks he sends me. I had some time last night and actually capped my own plays. LOL
my plays (if tailing, wait for GS confirmation)
NBA[702] MIAMI v TORONTO u204
NBA[704] LA LAKERS v INDIANA u209?
NBA[712] CHICAGO v OKLAHOMA CITY u195
NBA[717] DENVER +1 (ML play)
NBA[722] GOLDEN STATE +2 (ML play)
BOL all, keep up the great work!!!
just caught up on the last few threads. Bill and all, thanks for your concern. I am well, but busy. Just stopping in to say hello and maybe I can join your cashing party
Also wanted to clarify and give credit where credit is due. Grindstone is a capping animal. He gets all this work done overnight and these are his picks. I've been tailing the picks he sends me. I had some time last night and actually capped my own plays. LOL
my plays (if tailing, wait for GS confirmation)
NBA[702] MIAMI v TORONTO u204
NBA[704] LA LAKERS v INDIANA u209?
NBA[712] CHICAGO v OKLAHOMA CITY u195
NBA[717] DENVER +1 (ML play)
NBA[722] GOLDEN STATE +2 (ML play)
BOL all, keep up the great work!!!
- Mar 18, 2009
- 375
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- 0
Ax -
Got the e-mail, if you'd like to make introductions electronically, more than welcome to pass along my contact details to S/GS if he's interested...
Thanks.
What I have for now
What I have for now
If I go with my leans at the start I woulda...coulda...shoulda. Enough looking back lets look forward!
Tonight my strongest leans...
Pacers +6 and going up the Lakers do not cover well in this spot, I should a watched last night to set up tonight.
The Cavs -13 and coming down, Thanks to all the JMorrison followers this line could be down another point later today. Again the TWolves are bad and they showed it last night. Caution the starters played very little so they may not be as bad off and tired but this just screams play me.
The Clippers at NJ. Lots of $ is available if you fade the Nets every time but there are situations when they do well, this is not one of them.
GSW + points, if you look at the Hornets 2009/2010 history they play 75% of the time with in 4 points...Home dogs where the public is overly supporting the road fav...Home team wins and covers this most of the time.
Hawks and Nuggets are playing teams on the decline and desperate for a win, I will crock pot these two for now but my gut says take the points.
Last my only total is the Heat Raptors Over
BOLTA, good to hear from you Ax
47
What I have for now
If I go with my leans at the start I woulda...coulda...shoulda. Enough looking back lets look forward!
Tonight my strongest leans...
Pacers +6 and going up the Lakers do not cover well in this spot, I should a watched last night to set up tonight.
The Cavs -13 and coming down, Thanks to all the JMorrison followers this line could be down another point later today. Again the TWolves are bad and they showed it last night. Caution the starters played very little so they may not be as bad off and tired but this just screams play me.
The Clippers at NJ. Lots of $ is available if you fade the Nets every time but there are situations when they do well, this is not one of them.
GSW + points, if you look at the Hornets 2009/2010 history they play 75% of the time with in 4 points...Home dogs where the public is overly supporting the road fav...Home team wins and covers this most of the time.
Hawks and Nuggets are playing teams on the decline and desperate for a win, I will crock pot these two for now but my gut says take the points.
Last my only total is the Heat Raptors Over
BOLTA, good to hear from you Ax
47
Nice info fellas
Nice info fellas
Looks like we got a good start to the discussion, and even a post from the Yetti.........er...I mean Ax :toast:
Will be running some numbers for totals now. Here's what I'm leaning towards so far.
Cavs -13
Lakers over
Raps and over
Grizz
Thunder and Under
Rockets
Hawks
Wll be back in a bit. kurby
Nice info fellas
Looks like we got a good start to the discussion, and even a post from the Yetti.........er...I mean Ax :toast:
Will be running some numbers for totals now. Here's what I'm leaning towards so far.
Cavs -13
Lakers over
Raps and over
Grizz
Thunder and Under
Rockets
Hawks
Wll be back in a bit. kurby
Cavs not so good ATS as -14 or more faves
Cavs not so good ATS as -14 or more faves
team=Cavaliers and site=home and 1=t:rest and line<=-14 and 20071030<=date
SU: 5-0 (11.8)
ATS: 1-3-1 (-3.1) avg line: -14.9
O/U: 0-4-1 (-10.2) avg total: 189.2
However the ONE cover was against who else?
MINNESOTA TWOLVES
Cavs not so good ATS as -14 or more faves
team=Cavaliers and site=home and 1=t:rest and line<=-14 and 20071030<=date
SU: 5-0 (11.8)
ATS: 1-3-1 (-3.1) avg line: -14.9
O/U: 0-4-1 (-10.2) avg total: 189.2
However the ONE cover was against who else?
MINNESOTA TWOLVES
Here is @ -13
Here is @ -13
team=Cavaliers and site=home and 1=t:rest and line<=-13 and 20071030<=date
SU: 7-0 (11.6)
ATS: 2-4-1 (-2.8) avg line: -14.4
O/U: 1-5-1 (-9.4) avg total: 190.6
THE UNDER MAY BE A SOLID PLAY HERE
Here is @ -13
team=Cavaliers and site=home and 1=t:rest and line<=-13 and 20071030<=date
SU: 7-0 (11.6)
ATS: 2-4-1 (-2.8) avg line: -14.4
O/U: 1-5-1 (-9.4) avg total: 190.6
THE UNDER MAY BE A SOLID PLAY HERE
Nice stats JB. The Wolves are "due", (hate that term) to go under on the road. I tried it last night thinking they wouldn't score many, unfortuantely they gave up over 120
Will see what number I come up with. kurby
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- Mar 18, 2009
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Thanks JB - appreciated.
The Cavs for the last couple of years are poor at covering 12 + spreads owing to a tepid bench that inevitably allows backdoor covers.
Do think that the wild card this season for Cleveland is Jawad Williams. And the 1A that would be best suited for the Cavs? Joe Johnson - his ego won't allow for it, but pairing him w/ James would in all likelihood replicate the Jordan/Pippen pairing in the Chicago blueprint that Ferry seemed to be mimicking.
Ax,
First, great to hear from you and glad that everything is going well.
Also, and I don't say this enough, thanks to grindstone for all he does. I know that I'm better off for it.
Lastly, on your DEN play, wondering if you think Anthony is going to play tonight? I actually like DEN even if he doesn't play, but think the line will go up if he doesn't play (captain obvious here).
Take Care,
Bart
First, great to hear from you and glad that everything is going well.
Also, and I don't say this enough, thanks to grindstone for all he does. I know that I'm better off for it.
Lastly, on your DEN play, wondering if you think Anthony is going to play tonight? I actually like DEN even if he doesn't play, but think the line will go up if he doesn't play (captain obvious here).
Take Care,
Bart
Plays
Plays
One play locked in so far.:director:
Thunder -5.5
Bulls at the end of a very long road trip, Thunder back at home and well rested.
More to come, just wanted to get this before it goes to 6.
Plays
One play locked in so far.:director:
Thunder -5.5
Bulls at the end of a very long road trip, Thunder back at home and well rested.
More to come, just wanted to get this before it goes to 6.
- Mar 18, 2009
- 158
- 0
- 0
Hey gang,
just caught up on the last few threads. Bill and all, thanks for your concern. I am well, but busy. Just stopping in to say hello and maybe I can join your cashing party
BOL all, keep up the great work!!!
Nice to see you Ax.
Glad to hear all is well.
